Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, January 04, 2013
Stock Market VIX Compression Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
VIX compression continues into its 17th hour of this declining fractal. Whether this compression is artificial or not, there is a natural limit to how long it may last. This may be it, since the pattern also appears complete. We know that the New York Fed is buying ES and SPY and selling VIX. However, as you will soon see, it may be running out of bullets and is making one last desparate stand against asset deflation.
Thursday, January 03, 2013
Stock Market Flash Crash Alert / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good morning!
I submit a potential flash crash fractal in the one minute SPX Chart. If you are not short, you probably missed the opportunity already.
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Thursday, January 03, 2013
Stock Market Indices Marching Towards New Bull Market Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: Here is a update in response to a standing request from David England, a professor who has developed a popular college level stock market classes at John A. Logan College in Carterville, IL. In his presentations, he likes to disprove the standard message of Wall Street, “Don’t worry! The market will always come back.” I furnished David with some charts, and I now share them with regular visitors to my Advisor Perspectives pages.
Thursday, January 03, 2013
Fiscal Cliff - Republicans Cave....Bill Passed..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
The Republicans held a stance that if there are no substantial spending cuts in the plan regarding the fiscal cliff, they would not accept it. It sure looked as if that would hold true as once they received the format from the Democrats, they said there wouldn't be enough of them to vote in favor of it. It looked bad for the market and the bulls as the night drew on. Suddenly, and out of the blue, the Republicans had a change of heart and said that the back drop of the stock market was a main reason for their turn around. Isn't it always! We talk about this all the time. Fed Bernanke always letting our leaders know what's at stake. Enough Republicans suddenly would vote for the passage of the bill as is.
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Wednesday, January 02, 2013
Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of 2012, Exponential Inflation Mega-trend Continues into 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst 2012 closed with a whimper, 2013 starts with a BANG! as the fiscal cliff collapse crash mantra goes the same way as the Mayan doom prophecies barely of a fortnight earlier. Though don't worry there will be plenty more cliff-hangers for the always imminent crash merchants to hang onto during 2013 that I will seek to debunk during 2013, unless that is the actual probability of such events is high.
But before looking ahead towards the prospects for the likes of the stocks stealth bull market for 2013 and other markets such as housing and commodities, this is a look back at a selection of the 10 most popular articles of 2012.
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Wednesday, January 02, 2013
Stock Market Fiscal Pop-N-Drop Warning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Today’s gap higher in stocks has many investors feeling really good about but will this rally last?
My to the point answer is “Yes” but there will be some bumps and navigating positions along the way.
Looking at the charts below you will notice how stocks are trading up over 4% in two trading sessions and several indicators and technical resistance levels are now being tested. Naturally when several resistance levels across multiple time frames, cycles and indicators we must be open to the idea that stocks could pause or pullback for a few days before continuing higher.
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Wednesday, January 02, 2013
Don't fall for the Stock Market Rally, New Crash Formation is Made / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Insanity has reached new heights. SPX has risen this morning to challenge its massive Rising Wedge formation at its very apex. At the same time, it has formed a new Orthodox Broadening Top nested within the original formation. There is no doubt in my mind that the markets are headed for disaster.
Wednesday, January 02, 2013
Wild Stock Market Start to 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Happy New Year!
And what a way to start it off with our Futures flying up another 1.5% – on top of Monday's 2% gains you might have missed as we celebrate the non-event of the Fiscal Cliff that we kept telling you not to worry about last year (see any post). On Monday morning's Alert, and in our Chat Room, I reminded our Members, as the market tanked, not to be too bearish, saying:
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Wednesday, January 02, 2013
Look at Financial Crisis Year 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Clif_Droke
In the course of history, some of the great crises of the past were beyond the pale of human control. Other crises, however, were created by the very people who suffered the effects of them. The coming year could well afford a testament in how a “crisis of our own making” leads to economic destruction.
Tuesday, January 01, 2013
The Greatest Risk to Your Wealth in 2013 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
By: Investment_U
Andrew Snyder writes: The ringing in of a new year is a bittersweet celebration. As the seconds ticked off the clock last night, a rush of emotions rolled through my mind.
For a lagging moment, it was as if I was back inside the stark white delivery room of our local hospital waiting for my son to be born.
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Tuesday, January 01, 2013
Stock Market Bulls Back in Town? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: WavePatternTraders
Firstly I want to wish readers and members a happy New Year for 2013 and look forward to making more successful trades with members, even more than we did in 2012 as I think 2013 is going to start out with a bang, and if my long term ideas plan out the way they have so far, then we are going to be seeing some very large swings in both directions. What you saw this past week or so is nothing, I suspect we will be seeing moves like we saw in 2007-2008.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 01, 2013
Stocks Secular Bear Market, Slower Economic Growth Game Changer / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Mauldin
We are 13 years into a secular bear market in the United States. The Nasdaq is still down 40% from its high, and the Dow and S&P 500 are essentially flat. European and Japanese equities have generally fared worse.
The average secular bear market in the US has been about 11 years, with the shortest to date being four years and the longest 20. Are we at the beginning of a new bull market or another seven years of famine? What sorts of returns should we expect over the coming years from US equities?
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Tuesday, January 01, 2013
Stock Market Hopeful of Fiscal Cliff Agreement..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
The stock market has been hoping for an agreement between both sides for quite some time. It began to look quite dismal for the prospects of getting something done. Neither side really seemed interested in doing what was right for the public but isn't that always the case. They probably still don't truly care, but there is an image and reputations at stake here, so it appears a program of some real substance will get done, one that actually includes both sides giving in some. Seems almost impossible to believe, but there is real hope that things will get done and done in a way where the public actually thinks it's not half bad. Never say there aren't any miracles. You are possibly witnessing one at this moment in time. If we get exactly what we need we should see higher prices in the stock market overall. Not straight up. Lots of head fakes up and down but overall higher. Let's see what we get over the next 24 hours and how the market responds to it.
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Tuesday, January 01, 2013
Happy End to the 2012 Stock Market Roller Coaster Ride / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: Despite the lack of a vote on the Fiscal Cliff issues, the constant stream of breaking news, comments from congressional sources and assorted tweets kept the markets in an upward trend on this last day of 2012. The S&P 500 closed the day with a gain of 1.69% to finish the year up 13.41%, the best performance in three years.
Monday, December 31, 2012
Your Four Best Financial Resolutions for 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: This is the time of year for making New Year’s resolutions. And I have four that are guaranteed to make your portfolio bigger, fatter and wider a year from now.
So listen up:
* Save more. All investment begins with saving. And unlike the performance of the stock market, saving is something that’s under your control. It will also have a significant impact in the long-term value of your portfolio. For example, let’s say you’ve accumulated a portfolio worth $100,000. If it compounds at no more than the long-term return of the S&P 500 – 11% a year – it will be worth $1,358,000 in 25 years.
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Monday, December 31, 2012
Stock Market Fiscal Cliff Meltdown Countdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
I'm not worried, are you?
Congress sure doesn't seem worried as they aren't even coming back to work until 11 am this morning with only 13 hours left until 2012 ends and all those horrible, nasty things kick in. Of course, those horrible, nasty things, in summary, amount to paying more taxes and spending less money – isn't that what we need to do if we are ever going to get serious about paying down our debts?
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Monday, December 31, 2012
Alasdair Macleod's Financial Markets Outlook for 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Alasdair_Macleod
I have not faced the prospect of a new year with so much trepidation as when I contemplate what is in store for 2013. Systemic risks abound, which of themselves are not the main story, only milestones on the road to final currency destruction, unless governments somehow regain their senses.
To help understand the perils of 2013 I shall give them their background context first before listing them individually. No such list can be exhaustive or temporally sequenced, but all on it have the same root: the long-term accumulation of a burden of unsupportable debt.
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Monday, December 31, 2012
Themes for 2013 - Fiscal Cliff Follies, Gold Momentum, Economic Muddling Through / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Andy_Sutton
With the hoax of the Mayan ‘End of the World’ fantasy and the week of extreme materialistic consumerism behind us, we can now return our focus to the events of the day and what might come to pass as we enter 2013. Certainly, there are several issues at the forefront right now, but many of the biggest issues are being buried. As we transition from 2012 to 2013, let’s take a look at what are likely to be the main themes of 2013.
Sunday, December 30, 2012
Stocks Bear Market Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
The US market opened lower to start the week, continued lower for much of the holiday shortened week, and ended giving back all of last week’s gains. For the week the SPX/DOW -1.9%, and the NDX/NAZ were -2.1%. Asian markets gained 1.8%, European markets lost 0.7%, and the DJ World index lost 0.7%. On the economic front positive reports continued to outnumber negative reports: 7 to 2. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, new/pending home sales, new home prices, the Chicago PMI, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: consumer confidence, and the monetary base. Next week the monthly Payrolls report, ISM and Auto sales. Best your week!
Saturday, December 29, 2012
Market Asset Class Correlations Imply Swift Selling in Coming Days / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Tony_Pallotta
For the week ending December 28, 2012, the SPX was down 1.9%, the Russell small caps were down 1.7% and the COMP was down 1.8%.
The model triggered short all indices in mid October. The move had not fully exhausted itself when a countertrend rally began the week of Thanksgiving. But the move was being profiled as countertrend based on the stress profile and therefore not the start of a new uptrend. That was confirmed this week when support levels failed to hold. And based on Friday's close a renewed short signal was issued for the Dow, SPX and COMP.
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