Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, May 27, 2012
Are we to Bame Nixon for Fed Money Printing Market Trends? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The Fundamental forces driving this market higher for the short term is partly due to the expectation of QE3. Ben Bernanke will ultimately prime the printing pump again, but only after we see the selling pressure intensify.
There is still plenty more downside left of this market, which is why I'm telling you not to believe this current rally. It is simply a contra-trend within a larger decline, but only for the intermediate term.
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Saturday, May 26, 2012
Stock Market Downtrend May Have Bottomed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Markets rebounded this week after last week’s nasty selloff. Last week’s decline of SPX/DOW 3.9% was the largest weekly decline in six months. The previous one was the week of November 21, 2011: a 4.75% decline that marked the end of Major wave 2. Thus far, it looks like the recent selloff may have marked the end of Major wave 4. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.20%, and the NDX/NAZ were +2.05%. Asian markets were flat, European markets were +0.6%, and the DJ World index gained 0.7%. On the economic front it was a mixed week. All five the publicly watched indicators were higher: existing/new home sales, FHFA housing prices, durable goods orders and consumer sentiment. Yet, four of the not so publicly watched indicators we track were all lower: the M1- multiplier, new home sale prices, the monetary base and the WLEI. The last week of May starts off with a US holiday, then is followed by a slew of economic reports. Q1 GDP, the Payrolls report and PCE prices highlight the week. Best to your week!
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Saturday, May 26, 2012
Stock Market Crash Alert, Market is Falling Like a Stone / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
As you might have noticed, the stock market is falling like a stone. German 2-year debt (bund) has dipped below 0% this morning at auction, signalling an acceleration in the bank run taking place in southern Europe. Depositors in Spain, Greece, Italy, Portugal, etc would rather take a loss on their investment, then risk not their money back at all. The European Central Bank (ECB) does not guarantee deposits, so people are withdrawing their money en masse and getting out of Dodge pronto. What we're seeing is a real-time panic.
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Saturday, May 26, 2012
Stock Market Forecast for Coming Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Market is now eyeing on Euro bonds, experts are expecting that it may create a good atmosphere in the financial market. But I am not sure whether that has the capabilities to make a reversal! Market is not going to make a new run from here; we may see a short-term change and that in-turn may create more opportunities for shorts. Gulf related problems may find a solution in coming month so crude oil may not disturb market.
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Saturday, May 26, 2012
Copper and Global Stock Markets Rollover / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Following the May 9th Market Minute titled "Downward trend starts", global markets are continuing to rollover. Copper, often referred to as a bellwether indicator on the broader economy, is also declining. The peak in copper prices was in early 2011 and it has dropped steadily over the past year.
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Saturday, May 26, 2012
Stock Market Bear Flag Continues.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
There is no question about the pattern in place across all the major daily index charts. Whether looking at the S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq 100, small-cap stocks or large-cap stocks, you see the same pattern everywhere. There was an intense move lower in the market across the board, and after a while, the market got very oversold on all those daily charts. It was time for a pause in the down trend, with the natural course of things to back test the lost 20-day exponential moving averages. Using the S&P 500, that means a back test of 1343. It's been five days in the bear flag, and thus far, the S&P 500 has shown no inclination to even make that type of normal back test. It's just incredibly poor action, to say the least. It's still a possibility that it will happen, but ever so slowly and surely, we are unwinding those oversold oscillators without, basically, any price appreciation. That's never a good sign.
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Friday, May 25, 2012
Merkel’s thoughts on ticker tape, Euro is no longer a friend to Germany / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
As the Eurozone crisis rumbles on investors’ attention is split across a range of European issues; an apparently imminent ‘Grexit’ (possibly the ugliest wordmash we’ve ever heard), strains in the Italian bond market, Spanish property loans defaulting and busting the Spanish banking system, Portugal’s continued woes, France’s tired state driven economy and more. These are all issues that matter and are part of the macroeconomic picture. They are all here to stay, ‘givens’ if you like, or ‘known knowns’ to use Donald Rumsfeld’s contribution to the lexicon.
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Friday, May 25, 2012
Euro Panic, ECB Out of funds, and Germany Out of Patience / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Good Morning!
FXE (124.43) is leaking lower beneath its massive Head & Shoulders neckline at 124.75. The wave pattern may allow it to wiggle around at this point, but the trend is totally down. It is certain that the algos will try to milk any news about another European bailout, even though the ECB is out of funds and Germany is out of patience. Meanwhile the Greek police are trying to keep their constituents from stuffing their mattresses full of Euros. This simply cannot get any worse, or can it?
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Friday, May 25, 2012
Where Can an Investor Go in this Period of Turmoil? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
We start with this quote from David Cameron, the British Prime Minister made at the conclusion of the latest in European Summit Meetings.
Well, it was a good meeting in that there was complete agreement that dealing with deficits and getting growth are not alternatives, they go together, you need to do one in order to get the other.
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Friday, May 25, 2012
Debt Crisis Investment Critical Mega Developments & Select Gold Antidote / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
“When the ECB is forced to cave and act it may finally become clear to market participants that the body politics around the world will demand that central banks implement debt eroding inflations.”
“At the Threshold of the End of Central Bank Independence, Gold is Compelling”, Frank Veneroso, A Rock Meets a Hard Place, 05/20/2012
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Friday, May 25, 2012
Financial Market Forecasts - Free Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Dear Reader
Elliott Wave International are making their current and highly timely Financial Forecast 10 page report available for FREE.
With Europe in turmoil, U.S. stocks retreating and the mainstream financial press totally on the wrong side of the trend (as usual), EWI's Financial Forecast offers big-picture forecasts tackling the issues that the mainstream ignores, and they explain possible future trends using straight-talking language.
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Thursday, May 24, 2012
Euro-Zone Crisis Real Deal, Warning What Follows is EXTREMELY BAD / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
The media is rife with misrepresentations and analysis of the EU. Here’s the real deal.
- The ECB is tapped out. Having provided over €1 trillion in funding via LTRO 1 and LTRO 2, taking on over €700 billion in PIIGS debt putting its own solvency at risk, it simply cannot launch another LTRO scheme for the following reasons:
- Those banks accepting LTRO funding are being punished by the market, thereby indicating that ECB funding is no financially toxic to a firm’s reputation in the market place
- The positive effects of LTRO 2 lasted only one month compared to several months for LTRO 1. Thus, we find that with each additional intervention the benefits are shorter lasting.
Thursday, May 24, 2012
Long term Stock Market Top Is in, DOW MAP Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The Dow has a clear MAP Wave count top on the monthly pivot scale M-2.
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Thursday, May 24, 2012
Is the Worst Over for the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Greetings,
As a financial publisher, literally dozens of investment reports come across my desk each quarter, and only occasionally does one capture my attention for more than a couple of minutes.
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Thursday, May 24, 2012
Stock Market SPX Technical Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
This is an update on the technical comment regarding the S&P500 (symbol: SPX).
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Thursday, May 24, 2012
Toronto Venture Exchange Technical Update / Stock-Markets / Canadian Stock Market
This is an update on the technical comment regarding the Toronto Venture Exchange (symbol: TSX-V).
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Thursday, May 24, 2012
Have Small Cap Stocks Bottomed Or Further to Fall? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The IWM ETF represents the Russell 2000 small cap growth index. This ETF peaked at 84.66 this spring and has fallen in the the 74′s before the recent two day bounce. What we are looking at is a possible 5 wave rally from October into March, and now a possible 3 wave correction (Wave 2) of 38-50% of that entire 5 wave rally. Elliott Wave theory is broken down into 5 wave and 3 wave movements in the markets and individual stocks, where a full 5 wave pattern in a Bull market is obviously bullish and a 3 wave pattern corrective of the prior 5 wave rally.
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Thursday, May 24, 2012
Position Yourself for the Rest of "Conquer the Crash" / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
To this day, I wonder why Robert Prechter's book Conquer the Crash has not been more widely recognized. It described in advance much of what happened in the 2008 financial crisis.
Published in 2002, the book provided detailed descriptions of then-future economic scenarios. They were detailed vs. general. Prechter was specific in a way that would prove right or wrong; there was no gray.
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Tuesday, May 22, 2012
Can the Stock Market Reverse and Rally to Highs? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Do the Bulls still stand a chance to make another run?
That is the question this weekend after we saw the 1340, 1322 pivots crashed right through following the “SP 500 Bear Case” weekend report on May 13th I sent to subscribers with a chart last weekend (May 13th SP 500 at 1353).
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Tuesday, May 22, 2012
Stock Market Retracement Rally is Nearly Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
SPY (132.14) is putting the final touches on its bounce as it tests the underside of its prior Orthodox Broadening Top. A new decline beneath 129.50 will trigger both a new Orthodox Broadening Top with an average target of 99.33 and a new Head & Shoulders pattern with a minimum target of 116.97.
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