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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, January 13, 2017

SPX May Have Completed Wave 2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears as if the SPX has made an impulse from its top. This is very tight, but a decline beneath 2270 would give us some comfort with that call. This appears to be a repeat of where we were last Friday with a potential aggressive short entry. Some Elliotticians look for this type of entry, since it also puts a limit on losses when wrong.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 13, 2017

Will Stocks Bull Market Continue to Charge or is it Time to Sell the News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

For of all sad words of tongue or pen, the saddest are these: "It might have been!" ~ John Greenleaf Whittier

For a long time, our theme was to view all sharp pullbacks through a bullish lens as the trend based on our trend indicator was trading firmly in bullish territory. Secondly, one critical psychological component was in our favour too - the masses were either bearish or they cursed this market from the sidelines (neutral camp); hence the slogan the most hated bull market in history.    We must deter for a second by stating that a mild or brutal correction comes down to what level you embraced this market. If you embraced this Stock Market Bull in the early stages from 2009-2011, then a mild correction would seem brutal or back breaking in comparison to someone who just jumped into the market. A 15-20% correction would knock the socks out of them, but for you, it would appear to be nothing but a blip; this is why we have consistently stated that the best time to open long positions when the masses are in a state of despair.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 13, 2017

Is trading stocks and shares just as luck-based as roulette? / Stock-Markets / Gambling

By: Submissions

....

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, January 13, 2017

Stock Market Unlucky Friday the 13th? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The stock market is nearing the ten week cycle low from November 4th, 2016. The daily Bollinger bands are tightly squeezed together suggesting a break-out one way or the other (an expansion of volatility). The SPX broke the uptrend line today only to close back above the line. Normally, this is a sign of strength, but the OBV did not confirm the recent highs suggesting the smart money has already moved away from the market. I would call this a sign of weakness.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 13, 2017

Biggest Challenge of 2017 Directly Ahead for Gold, Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Clif_Droke

If you thought the pace of the head-spinning political events of the last two months couldn't get any faster, think again. One of the most critical decisions of President-Elect Trump's reign will soon be decided. The final verdict will have a direct impact on the direction of stocks, gold, and the economy in the months to come.

The decision in question is the Congressional challenge being made against the Affordable Care Act (ACA), also known as Obamacare. Specifically, the requirement that individual Americans carry health insurance or else pay a stiff financial penalty is being challenged. Earlier this week, Trump directed the Republican-led Congress to begin efforts at repealing and replacing the health care law "very quickly."

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 12, 2017

SPX has Fallen Beneath the Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has declined beneath the trendline, putting it on an “aggressive sell.” A confirmed sell may be had beneath the 2-hour mid-Cycle support at 2247.13 and a breakout above the 50-day Moving Average on the VIX.

ZeroHedge comments, “Despite the latest Small Business Optimism explosion of confidence (in December), the most up-to-date surveys of US consumer confidence appear to be crumbling after the 'Trump Bump'...

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 12, 2017

Massive VIX Stock Market Warning for all Traders / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

My analysis of the recent VIX action is clearly warning of a potentially massive price volatility increase in the US and global markets.  Many traders use and trade the VIX as a measurement of volatility.  The VIX is a measurement of the expected market volatility over the next 30 days.  As the VIX rises, traders expect larger and more volatile price swings.  As the VIX declines, traders expect smaller and more narrow price swings.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 12, 2017

USD in Decline. SPX and TNX May Follow / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The USD is in decline, challenging its 50-day Moving Average at 10.99 by declining to 100.70 this morning. The USD has a high correlation to equities and an inverse correlation to treasuries and gold.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 12, 2017

Stock Market Drops After Trumps Biotech Pricing Comments, Impressive Come Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market had a very volatile day today as the indices went up in the morning, down in the afternoon on news that Trump is going to make the biotech companies accountable for pricing, rallied back up, came back down to retest, held, and then put on a very impressive afternoon rally that took the indices back into the plus column, to close up on the day.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 11, 2017

2017: Year of Market and Economic Extremes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Clif_Droke

Now that another New Year is upon us, it's time to reflect on what the coming months might unfold. Normally when market analysts try their hand at predicting the year ahead it involves either wild guessing or linear extrapolation based on prevailing trends. I tend to eschew both methods and instead focus on comparing past events in comparable time frames. This method is based on something known as Kress cycle "echo" analysis and was pioneered by my late mentor, Samuel J. Kress.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 11, 2017

Stock Market Quiet, Mixed Consolidation Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a very mixed, sloppy session, and finished the day on a sour note, with the S&P 500 unchanged today. The day started out with a move down, a very strong rally in the morning ensured, reaching a new all-time high on the 5050 Nasdaq 100. The S&P 500 couldn’t get back to Friday’s double-top high at 22.82, reaching 2279 today, and then rolled over to 2269. The Dow closed down, the S&P 500 closed flat, while the Nasdaq 100 closed slightly in the plus column.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 11, 2017

Stock Market Short, Sharp Pull Back? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Brad_Gudgeon

A short, sharp in the stock market may be in the offing over the next couple of days. I believe that last Friday’s top in the SPX signaled a Y wave top and now we should see Z of "sub-minuette wave 4". Our subs made 11.7% in 5 days buying the reverse volatility ETF SVXY. Most market gurus were gloomy going into the New Year, but we went the other way. A final wave 5 should take us just over 2310 by or around January 23.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 11, 2017

The Market Has Become One Giant Lopsided Trade / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Graham_Summers

The market has become one giant trade.

That trade is:

  • Long US stocks
  • Long the $USD
  • Short Treasuries
  • Short Gold
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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 10, 2017

NDX Tek Stock Index Reaches Over Five Thousand / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices started the week off in a very strange session, the Nasdaq 100 working its way higher, while the S&P 500 got hammered at the opening, and barely hung on all morning. Midday the Nasdaq 100 extended its move, making new, all-time highs today at 5034.00, while the S&P 500 tried to rally, but rolled over and continued steadily lower. At the end of the day, the Nasdaq 100 pulled back ten points, while a much deeper retrace on the session lows of the S&P 500 and Dow finished at the lows for the day.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 09, 2017

Markets 2016 Past is 2017 Prologue / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: GoldCore

With us being just over a week into the New Year, we feel it worthwhile to look back just one last time at 2016. We believe that many of the themes and risks of 2016 continue in 2017 and that they are likely to impact markets in the coming months – especially the precious metal markets.

We always enjoy new perspectives and every year we enjoy the witty, comprehensive and insightful analysis review of the year past by David Collum. His‘2016 Year In Review’ is in the same vein and was missed by many when it was released over the Christmas period.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 09, 2017

Stock Market Major Indexes Reached New Record Highs - But Will They Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 09, 2017

Stock Market Tad More Distribution Needed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.

SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to 2300 is still possible before a reversal occurs.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 08, 2017

The Trump Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Mike_Whitney

Donald Trump has a plan for dealing with the stock market bubble. Make it bigger.

Before the election candidate Trump blasted Federal Reserve chairman Janet Yellen for keeping interest rates too low for too long to keep the economy humming along while Obama was still in office. The president elect accused Yellen of being politically motivated suggesting that the Fed’s policies had put the country at risk of another stock market Crash like 2008.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 08, 2017

Government Bail-ins, Asset Confiscations and the Gold Sword of Self Defense / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Stewart_Dougherty

[Preface: In Part 1 of our report, “Goldman to Trump: Situation Assessment, Government Bail-ins and the Precious Metals Threat,” we inferred what Goldman Sachs’s second in command Gary Cohn might have said to President-elect Trump during their meeting on November 29, 2016. Cohn met again with Mr. Trump on December 2, 2016, and this time, we have inferred that he was accompanied by a second person. Here is Part 2 of our intuited, fictional report.]

Mr. Cohn: It is a pleasure to see you once again, Mr. Trump. I have been pre-empted. I was asked by important friends of our firm to introduce to you their envoy, Dr. Hugo Ehrlich. I can vouch for the fact that he represents extraordinarily powerful people with whom you will be working closely going forward. Let me turn it over to Dr. Ehrlich so he can explain.”

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 08, 2017

Soft Commodities and the SPX Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started on Tuesday at SPX 2239. The market gapped up to start the week, hit SPX 2264, sold off to 2245, then gapped up on Wednesday to hit 2273. Thursday the market pulled back to SPX 2260. Then on Friday the SPX made all-time new highs at 2282. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.45%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 2.95%. Economic reports for the week were slightly positive. On the downtick: the ADP, monthly payrolls, unemployment, factory orders, plus the trade deficit increased. On the uptick: construction spending, ISM manufacturing, auto sales, the WLEI, the Q4 GDP estimate, plus weekly jobless claims declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by retail sales, business/wholesale inventories and consumer credit.

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