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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Monday, July 22, 2019

What you Really need to Know about the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

If you read financial news & market analysis from pundits every day, it’s easy to be overwhelmed by countless charts, data, indicators, opinions, etc. In this post, I’m going to focus on what I think really matters for the stock market right now. A quick recap:

  1. Long term risk:reward does not favor bulls
  2. Fundamentals (next 6-9 months): favors bulls
  3. Technicals (next 6-9 months): favors bulls (i.e. late cycle rally)
  4. Short term: mixed/bearish
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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 19, 2019

XAU, Newmont, Dollar, DOW RTT Charts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: readtheticker

The magic of support and resistance channel lines and how they direct price. Here are some chart disclosed to members via the RTT Plus service. All charts are a few weeks old.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 19, 2019

Gold and US Stock Mid Term Election and Decade Cycles / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recently I have been trying to show all the different angles to look at and analyze the US stock market and the precious metals sector. At the end of this report, I will share with you several crucial angles and charts you must see for our self.  There are several very intriguing things unfolding right now which are interconnected in ways you may not have known.

Gold Midterm Years and Seasonality

Let’s start off with the price of gold and what it typically does each month during the presidential midterm year, which is this year 2019. The graph below shows the average price movement during the midterm election since 1971 and I think the chart speaks for its self.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 18, 2019

Who is Lying: Gold or the Dow? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Hubert_Moolman

Both Gold and the Dow has in recent times made significant bull market signals.

The Dow in 2016 when it broke out of a rising resistance line:

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 18, 2019

Double Top In Transportation and Metals Breakout Are Key Stock Market Topping Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our researchers identified this critical Double-Top pattern in the Transportation Index after a very strong price rally on Friday, July 12.  Double-Top patterns are very important in terms of Fibonacci price structure because they reflect a complete price rejection at a certain price level.  In this case, the TRAN Double Top level is $10,655 and our research team believes weakness at this level will push a downward price swing which should attempt to break through the $10,250 level and possibly attempt to move much lower.

The Transportation Index reflects future expectations for shipping of goods and raw materials across the US and, of course, is somewhat related to global economic activity.  If the Transportation Index falls in price, then future expectations are for weaker economic activity.  If it rises, then investors expect the economy to continue to strengthen.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 18, 2019

Is the Stock Market Rally Floating on Thin Air? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market went nowhere today. Today’s headlines:

  1. S&P internal weakness
  2. Low volume vs. high volume rallies
  3. Short term, medium term, and long term trend
  4. Mean reversion
  5. Consumer discretionary on fire

Go here to understand our fundamentals-driven long term outlook. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going up on any given day.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 18, 2019

SPX Consolidating, GBP and CAD Could be in Focus / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: QUANTO

SPX may now be consolidating at 3000 levels for some time. If the market does not selloff aggressively at these levels, then we will melt higher.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

Financial Crisis Stocks Bear Market Is Scary Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Everyone knows something bad is brewing not just in tnhe USA but globally within the financial systems. Most countries are bankrupt, and almost all currencies have been losing value for the past year. Everyone is playing the game of musical chairs and getting creative with how they borrow, lend, create, and steal money in hopes the world does not catch on to just how corrupt and bad things really are.  

It’s just a matter of time before we see another financial market meltdown and what I show you here today gives you an idea of just how close we could be to a market collapse. 

The financial markets rarely repeat the same type of crisis, but most crisis’ cause the stock market to sell off and crash in the same way. Human nature and emotions do not change, and because traders and investors drive the price action of stocks we are able to profit from bear markets.  

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

Will Fed Easing Turn Out Like 1995 or 2007? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Michael_Pento

You should completely understand that the market is dangerously overvalued and that global economic growth has slowed to a crawl along with S&P 500 earnings. However, you must also be wondering when the massive overhang of unprecedented debt levels, artificial market manipulations, and the anemic economy will finally shock Wall Street to a brutal reality.

Artificially-low bond yields are prolonging the life of this terminally-ill market. In fact, record-low borrowing costs have been the lynchpin for perpetuating the illusion. Therefore, what will finally pull the plug on this market’s life support system is spiking corporate bond yields, which will manifest from the bursting of the $5.4 trillion BBB, Junk bond and leveraged loan markets. And, for that to occur, you will first need an outright US recession and/or a bonafide inflation scare.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 15, 2019

Top Equity Mutual Funds That Offer Best Returns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Ruchi_Mahajan

....

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, July 15, 2019

Financial Markets, Iran, U.S. Global Hegemony / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Raymond_Matison

Are you still in the market?  Markets for equities and bonds have been struggling over the last one and a half years.  Few real gains have been made – and it has taken an important policy reversal by the FED just to keep the markets levitated at current levels.  Neither earnings reports nor financial statistics seem to matter; charts have not mattered; the state of our domestic economy does not seem to matter either, as global trade, tariffs and sanctions are ignored in market valuations which remain scandalously unrealistic.  Negative earnings guidance is at record levels, but that too does not matter.  Both market fundamentals and charts continue to be completely ignored.  Every money manager simply follows announced guidance action of the Federal Reserve, and evaluates their statements to the point of analyzing missing or modified words from previous FED press releases.

During the Cold War, its belligerents developed a theory and practice to deal with the very real risk of a nuclear conflagration.  The resulting adopted strategy was called Mutually Assured Destruction, or MAD.  The operating theory was that neither nuclear power, Russia nor the United States, would initiate a nuclear attack while remaining vulnerable, because of the presumption of a vigorous response in kind, destroying both countries and perhaps making life impossible on the whole planet from radiation fallout.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 15, 2019

U.S Bond Yields Point to a 40% Rise in SPX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Donald_W_Dony

Over the last 10 years, the yields on the benchmark U.S. 10 year Treasury bond have foretold the path of the S&P 500.

Money flow trends between the bond market and the equity market, over the past decade, have given investors a heads-up on the trading direction of the S&P 500.

The swings toward fixed income (2011 to mid-2012, 2014 to mid-2016, Q4 2018 to mid-2019) have produced higher bond prices and lower yields as money managers balance safety and risk.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 15, 2019

Corporate Earnings may Surprise the Stock Market – Watch Out! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

I believe the outcome of the past 6+ months with regards to global trade, currency devaluations, and consumer sentiment will result in weaker US earnings in Q2 than at any time over the past 3+ years.  We believe US stocks, after recently breaching key psychological price levels ($300 SPY and $3000 ES) are poised to set up a sideways Pennant price pattern formation headed into a key price breakdown near the middle of August 2019.

Our cycle indicator tools and predictive modeling suggests that August 19, 2019, is the date to watch out for and after that date, we believe the US and global stock markets may begin a new downward price phase that could lead to a dramatic price decline. Read our August 19 Top warning here

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 15, 2019

Stock Market Interest Rate Cut Prevails / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way?  How much longer, is the question.

Intermediate trend –  The continued strength has muddied the water and we may have to wait until August/September before the intermediate trend becomes more clear.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends 

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 15, 2019

Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State July 2019 Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Most market commentators remain confused, flirting between being bearish or bullish usually AFTER the fact, AFTER the market has risen or fallen. Take when I last looked at the Dow and the market was in a downtrend eyeing an assault on Dow 25,000. At the time the reasoning was 'surprise' failure to resolve the US China trade war for why stocks had fallen. All without understanding the underlying mega-trend drivers that remain constant regardless of what Trump announces or tweets or threatens, which are the trends towards war with China, Climate Change, the Inflation mega-trend (money printing), AI mega-trend and Africa's population explosion amongst others that come to mind. All of which were in motion BEFORE Trump came to office and will remain so for decades after Trump leaves office.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 14, 2019

Mid-August Is A Critical Turning Point For US Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our cycle and predictive modeling solutions have been suggesting that Mid-August 2019 will likely prompt a major inflection point in the US stock markets and we have been attempting to warn our followers about this for months.  Our continued efforts to identify this big breakdown price move in term of timing and expected range have led us to believe the outcome could be at least a -10% to -13% downside price collapse – possibly larger.

Post 1: NEXT BULL AND BEAR MARKETS ARE NOW SET UP

Post 2: TECHNICALS SHOWS AUG/SEPT MARKET TOP PATTERN SHOULD FORM

Our research team now believes that August 19 ( 5 days) will likely be the critical price inflection point/price apex that we have been searching for.  Our cycle and other predictive modeling tools are suggesting that this date will become critical for the markets future price trends and current support/resistance levels.  We believe that some type of new event or price event will take place sometime between August 14 and August 19 and that this event will lead to a new bearish price trend setup to break current support levels as well as begin a downside price move that should attempt a minim of -10% to -13% before attempting to find support.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 13, 2019

Stocks Market Investors Worried About the Fed? Don't Be -- Here's Why / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: EWI

Achieving and maintaining success as a stock market investor is a tall order.

You, like many others, probably watch financial TV networks, read analysis and talk to fellow investors, trying to understand what's next for the stock market.

One popular stock market "indicator" is interest rates. Mainstream analysts parse every word from the Fed, hoping they hear a clue about interest rates. They assume that falling rates mean higher stock prices, while rising rates mean lower stock prices.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 13, 2019

Stock Market SPX and Dow in BREAKOUT but this is the worrying part / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: QUANTO

SPX and Dow are in BREAKOUT mode. There are things that are worrying even as markets climb to new highs. The new highs need to be confirmed via volume and market internals. We take a look at some of them.

Our Twitter feed has all the feed news as they release. Follow us on twitter

Fed Chair Jerome Powell testified before Congress yesterday and effectively communicated that the Fed would lower rates at the end of this month. However with data not yet supportive of a rate cut and inflation starting to rear its head again, capital outflows remain a key risk for the US in case of a rate cut. Sensing the dilema, bond markets have started

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 12, 2019

Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Most market commentators remain confused, flirting between being bearish or bullish usually AFTER the fact, AFTER the market has risen or fallen. Take when I last looked at the Dow and the market was in a downtrend eyeing an assault on Dow 25,000. At the time the reasoning was 'surprise' failure to resolve the US China trade war for why stocks had fallen. All without understanding the underlying mega-trend drivers that remain constant regardless of what Trump announces or tweets or threatens, which are the trends towards war with China, Climate Change, the Inflation mega-trend (money printing), AI mega-trend and Africa's population explosion amongst others that come to mind. All of which were in motion BEFORE Trump came to office and will remain so for decades after Trump leaves office.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, July 12, 2019

Stock Investors Buckle Up, the Trade War is About to EXPLODE / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Graham_Summers

And when it does, smart investors will lock in TRIPLE DIGIT… and possibly even QUADRUPLE DIGIT RETURNS.

Stocks performed a backtest of the broken rising wedge formation (red lines in the chart below) yesterday.

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