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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 28, 2020

This Major Stock Market Indicator is Flashing a HUGE Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: EWI


Here's what should happen during a bear-market rally as sentiment rises

A question was posed to Elliott Wave International President Robert Prechter for a classic Elliott Wave Theorist (Prechter's monthly publication about financial markets and social trends since 1979):

Under the Wave Principle, what is the most important thing to watch other than price?

Prechter answered:

Volume.

You see, high trading volume means that traders are displaying a great deal of conviction about a given market, whether the trend is up or down. Low trading volume means a lack of enthusiasm.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 27, 2020

We Don’t Have Markets Anymore / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020

By: Patrick_Watson

The novel coronavirus is destroying human lives: almost 170,000 worldwide as I write this, including 40,000+ in the United States.

These aren’t just numbers. They were people who were loved. Now they are gone. Next to that, all other effects are secondary.

But some are still serious. For one, government actions and consumer choices are pushing an already-weak economy into deep recession.

I said in a video interview last week (watch here) the world economy we knew three months ago won’t be back, ever. It is gone. After a transition period, we will find something different, whose contours are not yet known.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 27, 2020

Stock Market Re-testing the Recent High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: An “official” bear market has now been declared.

SPX Intermediate trend: Intermediate low mid-year.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Daily market analysis of the short-term trend is reserved for subscribers. If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at anvi1962@cableone.net

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 26, 2020

Stocks Bears Hoping To Win Battle At Confluence Of Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Ricky_Wen

Tuesday’s session saw an immediate downside continuation based off of Monday’s double top/lower high setup. Essentially, the bears broke support and hit a quick homerun into the daily 20EMA 2718 target on the Emini S&P 500 (ES), and then buyers/bulls showed up to put a temporary floor in place. It was a fairly simple trend day to the downside that could be classified as a ‘gap down and go’ day given the fact that the majority of the losses occurred during the overnight globex hours.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 25, 2020

Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications and AI Mega-trend Stocks Buying Levels / Stock-Markets / Investing 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Coronavirus trend trajectories for both the UK and US ARE IMPROVING! I.e. Targeting 36,000 US deaths and 10,000 UK deaths far below the likes of Dr Fauci have been bandying around of a minimum of 100,000 to 240,000 deaths. With some late to game so called Medical experts are getting carried away with projections running to 1 million plus for the US which is NOT reflected in the trend trajectory. So it looks like many people have become infected with EXTREME PESSIMISM which is what happens at major market bottoms, as I concluded last week that we have probably seen the bear market low at Dow 18,200 which this weeks coronavirus data is confirming.

Therefore this improving coronavirus trend 'should' resolve in relative stock market strength during the coming week.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 24, 2020

Stock Market 40 Year Cycle - 1980 Part 2? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Submissions

We are tracking the 1980 correction in relation to the ongoing correction today. Thus far, the two have been shockingly similar.

1980 SHARE MARKET CHART 40 YEAR CYCLE

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 21, 2020

7 Stock Market Myths to Watch Out For / Stock-Markets / Investing 2020

By: Travis_Bard

There are a lot of myths and rumors floating around when it comes to investing. If you’re going to invest, it’s important that you know the difference between fact and fiction. To help you, here are seven of the biggest myths about investing and the stock market.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 21, 2020

The Fed Induced Stock Market Twilight-Zone / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The past three weeks have been filled with intense drama, incredible highs and lows, political battles that continue to this day, and millions of questions from people throughout the world.  Throughout this COVID-19 virus event and the collapse of the US and global markets, one continued belief has prevailed – the US Fed will attempt to rescue the global markets (again).

Late last week, President Trump announced a task force to evaluate how and when to reopen the US economy and more than US nine states have already committed to a staged reopening process.  COVID-19 virus being what it is, the US is going to attempt to lead the way forward.  This means every resource and every effort will be taken to engage in a proper process to protect our future while battling this virus outbreak.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 20, 2020

Gilead Drug May Cure COVID-19 But Won’t Save the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Big news out today on CNBC about Gilead drug cured all 125 people from serious COVID-19 conditions within 5 days, This is amazing to hear, stocks are popping today up 3-5% which is to be expected for this type of news but the damage to the financial markets has already been done.

But early data recently published suggests the Banking and Finance sector may continue to get crushed under a massive weight of real losses and exposure to risk in the Derivatives Markets.  As with the 2008-09 Credit Crisis, Derivatives losses extended compound risk factors by 10x to 20x or more for in some instances.  We believe the banking and finance sector may be setting up for a massive implosion if global derivatives implode as leveraged accounts collapse.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 20, 2020

Stock Market End of Countertrend Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: An “official” bear market has now been declared.

SPX Intermediate trend: Intermediate low mid-year.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Daily market analysis of the short-term trend is reserved for subscribers. If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at anvi1962@cableone.net

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 19, 2020

Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications, Global Recession and AI Stocks Buying Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications

Whilst the UK's trend trajectory appears to be stabilising, which offers some light at the end of Britains' dark coronavirus tunnel. However, the key driver for stock market trends, the US is still accelerating away which means more uncertainty that the stock markets are likely to seek to discount as the markets are seeking numbers that are first stabilising in the rate of increase and then to start decreasing on a daily basis, instead were still in the DOUBLING ever 2 to 3 days phase!

This implies to continue expect a bearish trend trajectory despite Fed panic actions, and the US sending $1200 checks to every american who earns under $75,000 per year, with likely several more payments over the coming months. Though Dr Fauci putting a number of 100k to 200k deaths may shock americans and the markets, especially given Trump's ramblings of how it will all be over by Easter. Nevertheless gives a number against which the general public and markets will be measuring relative strength and weakness. For instance the US is currently trending towards 38,000 deaths by the end April in the face of which the markets could out perform if the number of deaths is seen to far under achieve the bottom figure of 100k.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 19, 2020

Stock Market Range-bound Price Action Awaiting Resolution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Ricky_Wen

Wednesday's session played out as a range day. Most of the downside action occurred during Tuesday night, and Wednesday’s regular trading hours were spent bouncing from our key support zone in the 2750 area back to the middle of the range towards 2785/2800 on the Emini S&P 500 (ES). As we demonstrated in real-time in our ES Trading Room at ElliottWaveTrader, it was just a textbook feedback loop squeeze setup given that bears/sellers kept failing to breakdown below our key 2750's support.

The main takeaway remains the same: Price action is still battling between our 4-hour white line and red line price projections. Price action is inside a range of 2840-2750 for the time being and trapping both sides, so traders need to be more patient in this area and wait for additional clues/edges.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 18, 2020

In Every Stock Bear Market, One Asset Always Surges in Value / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: EWI


"The relative value of cash will necessarily zoom higher when stocks plunge."

A negative sentiment toward cash had been in place for quite some time.

Let's go back a little more than a year when our Feb. 2019 Elliott Wave Theorist showed this chart and said:

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 18, 2020

Could This Be a “Suckers” Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Everyone I know who is not involved in the stock market or has little knowledge about it is calling me and asking what stocks, indexes, and commodities to buy because everything is so cheap and dividends are juicy again.

Just look at the market sentiment chart, and price cycles that the stock market goes through, and listen to my talk below while reviewing these to images. It’s not rocket science, but the lack of education on the financial markets coupled with the force of greed to make money and miss out on the next big bull market has everyone getting suckered into this dead-cat bounce, also known as a bear trap, bear market rally.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 16, 2020

This 6-Week Stocks Bear Market May Be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Avi_Gilburt

So, if you are like most market participants, there are many fallacies which you have likely accepted of late.

First, you are likely viewing this “bear market” as having begun 6 weeks ago. Yet, if you actually understood the broader market in a bit more depth and better context, you would actually be viewing this “bear market” as having begun in early 2018. This is actually supported by the great majority of the stocks underlying the market. So, while the SPX rallied much higher than its 2018 highs, most stocks as well as many other indices did not. So, much of the evidence suggests this “bear market” has lasted over 2 years at this point in time, and is likely closer to its conclusion than just beginning.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 16, 2020

Downside Market Tradining Opportunities Everywhere – Watch These Symbols / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As the global markets enter the Q1 earnings season where a host of new data and expectations will flood the markets over the next 30+ days, skilled traders should put these three symbols on their watch-list over the next few days and weeks.

We’ve been writing about how we believe the downside risks within the US and global stock markets are still very real.  Many industry analysts believe the bottom has set up in the US stock market already – we don’t believe this is the case.  Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system continues to suggest a deeper downside move is in the works and we believe this potential retest of recent lows will setup another incredible opportunity for skilled traders.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 15, 2020

Fibonacci AI Trading System Forecasts Future Gold, Silver & Stock prices / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As we’ve attempted to illustrate the intuitive nature of the Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system we as one of the tools to help us understand the markets and price setups, we now want to more clearly illustrate other components of the current global economic environment.  We want to illustrate just how deep the current price move resonates against historical price norms.

In Part I of this article, we highlighted the Fibonacci system running on the ES (S&P 500) charts.  The point of this example was to show that a new price low had already been established and a recent new price high (the all-time high peak) was now acting as a critical price peak.  This suggests we are in the process of establishing a much deeper price low (bottom) that may come over the next few weeks as price attempts to “revalue” current economic expectations.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 13, 2020

AI Fibonacci Trading System Predicts Next Stock Market Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Now that you’ve learned about Fibonacci Price Theory Part I and how major and minor Fibonacci Price Pivots help to map out true price structure Part II, we’ll continue our research article illustrating why we believe a deeper price low should take place before a true bottoms sets up in the US and global markets.

Our researchers use a host of available tools and proprietary price modeling systems in an attempt to identify the most likely outcome of future price activity.  Within this article, we’re focusing on the Fibonacci Price Theory and our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system.  We just taught you about Fibonacci Price Pivots and how to use them.  Now, we are going to go into a detailed analysis of deeper Fibonacci price theory with the NQ (NASDAQ)

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 12, 2020

Can the S&P 500 Bulls Sound the All Clear Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The buyers repelled the opening selling pressure, and gradually made their way higher. While it wasn’t smooth sailing throughout the whole session, they overcame every attempt of the sellers. Closing near the daily highs, and with futures little changed during the premarket session, can the buyers repeat their performance later today as well?

In the search for answers, let’s check the daily chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 11, 2020

Our Fib Trading System is Telling Us Where The Stock Market Is Headed Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

In this section of our multi-part research post centered around our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system’s expectations, we are focusing on the NQ (NASDAQ futures) and the future expected price rotations. As we discussed earlier, in Part I, Fibonacci price theory teaches us that price must always attempt to establish new price highs or new price lows within a trend.  Reversals happen when price fails to continue establishing new price highs or new price lows and breaks above or below a recent critical price level.

First, we’ll focus on the major Fibonacci Price Pivots and how to identify and use them with the Fibonacci Price Theory.  Major Price Pivots are points in time where a major new High or Low price is established that becomes a critical price top or bottom.  Often, within extended trending, a minor price pivot will become a major price pivot simply because the price trend has extended for many weeks or months without establishing any type of moderate price rotation.  The reason we could consider a minor price pivot as a major price pivot is that, within the extended trend, we attempt to identify where price setup a “unique low” or “unique high” as a point of support or resistance within the trend.

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