Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, January 05, 2010
2010 Financial Markets and Economic Tipping Point Forecast / Stock-Markets / Great Depression II
For the last week or two “experts” and pundits have been making their forecasts for 2010. I always take these forecasts with a grain of salt. The people making the forecasts generally have some skin in the game and will tailor their forecast to benefit their particular agenda or investment portfolio. I pride myself on dishing out punishment to both political parties and most investment shills. I will take on the thankless task of predicting the future. Below are my prognostications in the areas of the economy, domestic politics, global geopolitics, and the investment markets.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
The Most Proftiable Investment Themes for 2010 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Shah Gilani writes: If the crippling financial events of 2008 and 2009 proved one thing, it's that investors need to rethink the entire philosophy of "portfolio management."
Today, the best-performing managers around the world manage their portfolios based on broad-and-potent market themes. And with good reason.
Tuesday, January 05, 2010
Byron Wien's 10 Financial Markets and Economic Surprises for 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Pretty straight forward... Byron Wien has been doing "10 Surprises" for a quarter century - some years very good, some years not so much; but always good fodder. 2009's surprises looked awful on March 1st, 2009 - but mostly looked brilliant by Dec 31st. Below is his 2010 list in full much of it based on a very bullish economic outlook for the year.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
S&P Stock Market Outlook Going into 2010 for Jan 4-8 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In the final week of the year we saw the market continue to break to new (recent) highs above the former range highs, but volume was very light. Thursday, the final trading day of 2009 for stocks, saw aggressive selling into the close with the S&P falling 7 points in the final 25 minutes of trading after another very sedate afternoon. The S&P closed back within the old range.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 05, 2010
Billionaire Predictions for 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
There was an interesting article online of Forbes discussing Billionaire predictions that I glanced through this morning. My immediate thought was..Do these Billionaires know something that we don’t? They know better than us? What I expected was they had a variance of opinions as we all do…as well as they are optimistic.. Really they are no different than us mortals…Maybe they were at the right time at the right place… worked extremely hard to earn their status as a billionaire… but they are no soothsayer…
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
Global Stocks Bear Market Rally Will End with Japan as Hyperinflation Rips Economy to Pieces / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
Let me welcome you to a new year of Outside the Box. I doubt we will have trouble finding interesting commentary this year, as there are many things that could happen that demand our attention. We start with a short column by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard of the London Telegraph giving us a quick run down of the problems faced around the globe. He thinks the #1 problem is Japan, and I more or less agree.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
S&P 500, NDX Range Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Well, Holidays are over.
I think I left my readers in a very good shape with a very valid and solid setup.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
Stock Market On Breakout... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Friday was ugly and certainly well within normal behavior when you consider just how overbought those daily charts had been. Some unwinding was needed thus that selling couldn't be unexpected. You would think that the market would spend some time unwinding further but not this market apparently. The futures shot up overnight. The dollar fell and that was the perfect tonic for the market. It seems a falling dollar is still the best medicine for this market, although we have seen the market stay resilient when the dollar sells. Seems the bears can't get it right on either side of that trade these days.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
Stock Market Divergences Spread And Grow More Profound / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Divergences in various markets, indicators, and data continue to grow across the gambit, with patterns indicating some sort of resolution is set for as early as next week – as discussed previously. A diamond is forming in the widely followed S&P 500 (SPX) (and other broads) due to pinnacle next week, which as suspected for some time now, should keep equities buoyant until the New Year.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
Stock Index Traders Protect Profits Here / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Hello Everybody
Trade Actions: None at this time Tighten up stops on positions
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
Stocks, Bonds and Commodities Trading Opportunities for 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Welcome to The J.E.D.I. Way.
In 2010, The J.E.D.I. Way will attempt to build its equity from one or more trades on the following: (1) Mini-Sized Dow Jones [YM, CBOT]) Futures Options, and/or (2) Gold (Gold 100 oz [GC, COMEX]) Futures Options, and/or (3) ETF's (specifically ticker symbols: SIJ, SRS, SKF, QID, GLL, IYJ, URE, UYG, QLD, and UGL)
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
What Institutional Stock Market Investors Did Last Week... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
If you recall last Wednesday, we discussed the trending action on the "core holdings" held by Institutional Investors.
That was an important discussion for two reasons: 1. Because Institutional Investors represent over 50% of the daily trading volume. 2. Because our 60 minute Institutional Index chart was in a "megaphone pattern".
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Monday, January 04, 2010
Stock Market SPY Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Positioning: SPY: Short 75%
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Monday, January 04, 2010
Which Sectors Will Lead the Stocks Bull Market During 2010 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: Digging beneath the surface of the late 2009 market for clues, we find that some measures of breadth continue to deteriorate even as the major indices continue to float near their highs. For example, the percentage of stocks above their 10-day moving average has gone from 81% on Christmas Eve to 71% now. This is an indication that buyers have become more selective.
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Monday, January 04, 2010
Stock Market 2003 and 2009 Rallies Hard Facts! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We have been hearing about the similarity between 2003 and 2009 rallies. I decided to look at some hard facts and see if there was a correlation at least visually speaking that is.
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Monday, January 04, 2010
New Year ETF Trading for Stocks, Gold, Crude Oil and Natural Gas / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Welcome back everyone! It’s time to buckle up and get ready for another exciting year of trading.
When the market is moving on light volume I tend to focus on very short term plays to minimize my exposure to volatility. The past couple of weeks have been great for day traders and futures trades as we took advantage of the short term seasonal holiday rally in the broad market and also by shorting gold when bounces reached resistance levels.
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Sunday, January 03, 2010
Stock Market Short-term Correction in a Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that lower prices lie ahead. As illustrated by the current market performance, this will not be a straight-down decline, but will consist of a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The SPX reached its 1130-35 projection on 12/28 and had a sharp sell-off at the close of 12/31. This is a reversal which is more likely to be of short-term nature than of intermediate proportion, but could develop into one over the next few weeks.
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Sunday, January 03, 2010
Twenty Five Financial Market Forecasts and Investment Trends for 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Happy New Year!
2009, the year of the stealth stocks bull market has ended and now we enter 2010, the year of the stealth economic boom (above trend growth), despite having been a busy bee these past few weeks, so far I have managed to complete in-depth analysis for just 2 out of 5 forecast trends for 2010, UK inflation and economy with Interest rates, housing and stock market to now complete during January as well as the Inflation mega-trend Ebook.
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Sunday, January 03, 2010
Stock Market Bullish Investor Sentiment At Tipping Point? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
From an investor sentiment perspective there is very little to like about the current US equity market. The "dumb money" continues to be bullish to an extreme. The "smart money" is neutral to bearish. Company insiders continue to be relentless in their selling. The Rydex market timers are their most bullish since mid August. With most investors in the bullish camp, at some point the market will reach its tipping point, and it is my expectation that this will be sooner than later. After all, who is left to buy if everyone is so bullish?
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Sunday, January 03, 2010
Is the Fed Juicing the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Is the Fed manipulating the stock market? TrimTabs CEO Charles Biderman seems to think so, and he makes a strong case for his theory in an article at zerohedge.com.
Biderman focuses his attention on the mystery surrounding the stock market's 9-month rally and asks, "Where is the money coming from?" After all, the market cap has increased by more than $6 trillion since March 9. That amount of money should be fairly easy to trace; right?