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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 21, 2016

European Financials take a Hit / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This is the longest-term USD chart that I can find. The structure leads me to believe that it is on a giant retracement pattern that may have an ultimate target of 131.00 at a 61.8% retracement of the decline starting in 1984. I will be making minor revisions in my daily and weekly charts to reflect that outlook.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 21, 2016

Why Are Pakistan’s Stock and Financial Markets Soaring, Really?  / Stock-Markets / Pakistan

By: Dan_Steinbock

During six decades of US aid, Pakistan’s living standards plunged. But in the past year, Asia’s largest frontier market delivered foretaste of its promise – with China’s support.

Recently, Pakistan’s stock market crossed the 46,000 point milestone. Investor sentiment is increasingly bullish. In the past year, Pakistan’s equity markets beat those of China and India by a wide margin. The former was up 16%, whereas the latter were in negative for the year.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 21, 2016

5 Investment Tips for Investors In 2017 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017

By: InvestingHaven

We often get questions from readers about the criteria we use when considering positions in a market. Because of that, we decided to release our best insights in this article.

The reason we mention 2017 is that market conditions tend to change over time, and so do our criteria. The investment tips in this article are up-to-date, in line with what we believe are actual market conditions. To illustrate that, we have included recent charts and data points.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 21, 2016

Eight Ball Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

Cycles are shaping up for an important high just before (or just after) Christmas (It is decidedly so). In addition, the Bradley model shows a high in mid-late December (You may rely on it). If you feel like turning to this popular children’s’ toy for advice, it is understandable if not advisable. The Trump Rally has left many reliable indicators in the dirt but remember… To everything there is a season, and a time to every purpose under the heaven.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 21, 2016

Not a Gold Bull in Sight / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Bob_Loukas

In last weekend’s report, we covered how the Daily Cycle count was stretching too far, so marking a Nov 15th Daily Cycle Low (DCL) made sense.  Doing so means that another DC began on Nov 16, and that puts today’s date in the normal timing band for a new DCL.  So with another DCL fast approaching, the capitulation decline we saw this week fits perfectly with expectations.

The large drops in Silver and the Miners are strong indications that the final capitulation for the current Daily and Investor Cycles is at hand.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 21, 2016

This Blow-Off Trump Stock Market Rally Certainly Looks Real  / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Dent

Between late 2014 and November 2016, the markets went nowhere. They made no more than a few, very minor, new highs. It looked like a classic head-and-shoulders, rounded-top pattern, with a break of 1,800 sounding the death knell.

All of my research pointed to signs that the end was near. The Dow was set to shed thousands of points in short order.

How much has changed since November 8…

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 20, 2016

Financial Markets on the Edge / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I begin the day by discussing an error in my Elliott Wave structure and how it was remedied. You may recall that on a larger scale, the USD is in some type of Broadening Formation. I figured that Wave (C) of [4] hadn’t completed yet and I had calculated the structure in a way that still gave me upper limits on how far it could go.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 20, 2016

Stock Market Up Day, But Substantially Off the Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices started out the week with a pop to the upside, a very strong rally ensued, the Nasdaq 100 jumped from 4912 to 4963 to a new all-time high. The S&P 500 popped, but couldn’t get anywhere near the highs, reaching up to 2267.47, only 9 points off the lows, and then they backed off. In the afternoon, the Nasdaq 100 came down in a strong 3-wave decline, taking it from 4963 1/2 to 4926. It bounced at 4933 at the close, and managed to close positive on the day, but substantially off the highs.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 20, 2016

Stock Market Doesn't Look Right... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX emerged under the trendline again, after another rally attempt. The reason I am discussing this is that the next three days in a row have the potential for a large decline. No promises, just the potential. Technically we should be under the lower channel trendline to get a confirmed sell signal. The problem is, the potential for a panic decline right off the top is very high…and this may be the first time in market history for this to happen.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 19, 2016

SPX may be hit by a double whammy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

While the SPX Premarket is slightly positive it has a cluster of Primary Cycle turns starting last Friday and lasting through this week that suggest something remarkable may happen. Friday morning was the terminus of an irregular (truncated) Wave (c) correction. The decline afterwards wasn’t very deep, but enough to cross beneath the trading channel trendline and become trapped beneath it at the close,

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 19, 2016

Bail-Ins Coming To Italy? World's Oldest Bank "Survival Rests On Savers" / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: GoldCore

The world’s oldest bank and Italy’s third biggest bank, Monte dei Paschi di Siena (MPS), is making a last-ditch emergency attempt as the year ends to convince tens of thousands of ordinary Italian savers to help it escape state hands.

MPS shares fell 8.5% in early trading this morning as the bank began its attempt to entice institutional and retail investors to snap up fresh shares. The bank wants 40,000 retail investors and savers to take part in a complex €5 billion (£4.18bn) bailout. The Tuscan lender said it is pressing ahead with a highly-ambitious plan to persuade private investors to convert their bonds into shares. This process must be completed in the next two weeks – by the end of the year.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 19, 2016

Stock Market More Short-Term Fluctuations Along Record Highs - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 18, 2016

Stock Market Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.

SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to 2270 has now been met, but there are higher counts that could still be filled before a serious reversal take place.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 18, 2016

Santa Claus to Extend Trump Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

In this article, I’m going to point to reasons why I believe this rally has some more juice left in it.  I also want to warn that early next year, what I thought would happen in November 2016 should happen in March/April 2017, and that is a 14+% drop.

The Trump phenomenon seems to have caused the normal cycles to misbehave and extend. After further examination into Primary Wave 4, I have come to the conclusion that I need to revise the timing of the final Millennial Wave top out to a possible 3 years (that IF is Intermediate Wave Z of Primary Wave 4 extends out to the end of 2018 instead of year end 2017).

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 17, 2016

Stocks Just Triggered a Major “Topping” Signal… Next Up is the Bloodbath / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Graham_Summers

The markets are priming for a major inflection point.

I cannot remember a time when investors were more bullish. The Dow is currently more overbought (based on the 14 day relative strength index) than at any point in the last 20 years.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 17, 2016

The 70-year US Treasury Bond Market Cycle and SPX Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / US Bonds

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2260. After a slightly lower open on Monday the SPX rallied to the current uptrend high at 2278 on Tuesday. On Wednesday the FED raised rates for the first time in a year and the market pulled back to SPX 2248. Then a rally on Thursday to SPX 2272 was followed by a smaller pullback into a Friday 2258 close. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ were mixed. Economics reports were plentiful and ended the week slightly positive. On the downtick: export/import prices, industrial production, capacity utilization, housing starts, build permits, plus the treasury budget increased. On the uptick: retail sales, the CPI/PPI, NY/Philly FED, the NAHB, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q3 GDP, leading indicators and the PCE index. Best to your pre-holiday week!

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 17, 2016

Stock Market Flirts With Dow 20k New All Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Dow flirted with 20k this week, hitting a high of 19,966, literally within a few points of claiming the historic 20k level along its relentless bull market path. If one looks back to not just the start of 2016, but, well right up until AFTER the US polls closed on November 8th and beyond then its not just a case of Dow 20k could never happen but that the Dow 'should' by now be trading at well BELOW 15k. Whilst a few of the perma crowd had completely flipped imagining the Dow could trade down to as low as 6k! I suppose that's where the Dow needs to trade for some guys and gals just to BREAKEVEN after year after year of beartish rhetoric.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 17, 2016

Financial Markets Award Trump Nobel Prize in Economics / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: David_Galland

Dear Parader,

As today we are headed north to spend Christmas with the family, Jake Weber, the invaluable senior researcher of our premium Compelling Investments Quantified (CIQ) service has kindly offered to fill in for this edition.

In his article, he delves into the economic and political challenges President Trump is facing and scans for any red flags flapping in the breeze.

On the topic of CIQ, we maintain a laser-like focus on finding great companies that sell below their intrinsic value—the only proven path to successful long-term investment.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 16, 2016

The Stock Market Level To Watch / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Dana Lyons (Tumblr.com) makes an interesting observation about a little-known index known as the Value Line Geometric Composite Index. In his article, he draws a straight line (red) at 500.00. and says. “This far and no further.”

He misses several points, which I would like to address. First, by drawing a horizontal bar, he misses the fact that the XVG was 27 points under it in 2000 and 23 points above it in 2015. By drawing a line that is peak-to-peak, you get a different picture. In fact, what comes to mind is an Orthodox Broadening Top (I added the lower trendline to complete the formation). This is a slight variation of what you see in the DJIA and SPX.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 16, 2016

Trump Rally and Irrelevant Dow Theory; What’s Next Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

Uncertainty and mystery are energies of life. Don't let them scare you unduly, for they keep boredom at bay and spark creativity. R. I. Fitzhenry

In September we penned a second article in the Alternative Dow theory series, titled “Dow theory no longer relevant-Better Alternative exists where we stated that the Dow theory as it stood was no longer relevant.  Here is a brief excerpt from that article.

The transports topped out in November of 2014, and according to the Dow theory this is a big negative;  the Dow industrials should have followed suit. Instead, the Dow soared higher paying no heed to this theory proving to a large degree that this theory has lost its value. After all, it is a theory and the definition of a theory is “a supposition or a system of ideas intended to explain something, especially one based on general principles independent of the thing to be explained.”

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