Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, July 25, 2014
Stock Market Early Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
VIX has completed its pullback to the declining trading channel trendline. This morning it has crossed above the 50-day Moving Average and is on an SPX aggressive sell signal. This would be confirmed above mid-Cycle resistance at 13.54.
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Friday, July 25, 2014
Why the Stock Market Is Heading For A Fall - This Time Is Not Different / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
David Stockman writes: The 2008 Wall Street meltdown is long forgotten, having been washed away by a tsunami of central bank liquidity. Indeed, the S&P closed yesterday at 1,983—or up by nearly 200% from its March 2009 low. Yet four cardinal measures of Main Street economic health convey nothing like a 2X pick-up from the post-crisis bottom.
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Thursday, July 24, 2014
Where to Invest: With Macroinvestors or Macroeconomists / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
Stanley Druckenmiller, the justly renowned investor, spoke at the Delivering Alpha conference on Wednesday, July 16, 2014. Quoting Druckenmiller: "As a macro investor, my job for 30 years was to anticipate changes in the economic trends that were not expected by others - and therefore not yet reflected in securities prices. I certainly made my share of mistakes over the years, but I was fortunate enough to make outsized gains a number of times when we had different views from various central banks."
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Thursday, July 24, 2014
Stock Market Clear and Present Danger Zone / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Ding, Ding, Ding! The bell tolls, not for the 1%, but for the remaining 99% in Europe, the UK, Japan, and the US.
What Danger Zone? The powers-that-be must find a way to keep the masses under control, raise taxes, enrich themselves and monetize the debt. The result will be currency devaluations, blood, inflation, distractions (such as downed airliners and new wars), banker bonuses, continued payoffs to politicians, and so much more.
Thursday, July 24, 2014
Instability is the New Normal? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Once upon a time, there were safe havens in this world, places where investors could hide when the going got rough. If you believe this fairy tale world will persist, pinch yourself. In our assessment, not only are there no safe havens left, but instability may be the new normal. Is your portfolio ready?
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Thursday, July 24, 2014
S&P 500 Record Intraday and Closing Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short. Key indexes around the globe are exhibiting little volatility in the wake global conflict. The Nikkei and Dow closed the day down 0.10% and 0.16%, respectively. The Eurozone’s STOXX 50 was up 0.12%.
The S&P 500 took center stage for US indexes, setting new intraday and closing records despite ongoing tensions in Europe and the Middle East. The index opened higher, quickly sold off to its -0.05% intraday low and then rallied to a record intraday high, up 0.29%. After a minor lunch-hour dip, it spent the afternoon in a narrow trading range to its 0.18% gain for a record close.
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Thursday, July 24, 2014
S&P Stock Market Breakout...Barely... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Which means it's not really officially on breakout in my world. I want a breakout at least half, if not a full, percent above the necessary price. That said, it's so impressive that this market could break out on any level considering the global tensions we're facing, along with the insane amount of froth that's out there. Shows you just how strong bull markets can be. They don't need much, if any, excuses to try higher. They simply go on their merry way as the bears know the odds are usually stacked against them, especially when the Ms. Yellen has had her say about rates and where they're going.
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Wednesday, July 23, 2014
A Big Stock Market Investment Mistake You Don't Know You're Making / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
Dr. David Eifrig writes: Buy American.
It's a patriotic investment idea.
After all, you keep your money invested in American businesses. And many of the best companies in the world are based in the United States.
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Wednesday, July 23, 2014
Stock Market Final Thrust Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Good Morning!
Yesterday I commented that the final Wave needed to have 5 lesser waves in the last thrust. This appears to be it. The target for this wavelet is 2000.00 in the SPX. Round numbers appear to have a psychological attraction and this is no different.
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Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Will Argentina’s Debt Crisis Rock the Global Financial Markets? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
One of the recurring headlines adding to the “wall of worry” is the battle between U.S. hedge funds and the Argentina government over payment of the country’s bond debt stemming from the country’s 1998-2002 economic crisis. Pundits worry that a default is imminent and that the country faces a bleak future if fails to pay hedge fund managers $1.3 billion by a court-mandated July 30 deadline.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Stock Market VIX Analysis / Stock-Markets / Volatility
The CBOE Market Volatility index, or VIX, is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices. The VIX moves inversely with equities so that when equities are rising, the VIX is falling and vice versa.
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Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Enough With The Stock Market Bubble Talk Already / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
So much analysis we see and hear lately is concerned with whether the stock market is in a bubble or not. A sampling of headlines in the last month or so:
‘It’s Time to Worry About a Stock Market Bubble.’
‘Five Warning Signs of a Stock Market Bubble’
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Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Stock Market Bears Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
So maybe that means we gap up tomorrow, or maybe someone will finally the initiative and run this thing one way or the other. It is absolutely ridiculous how this market is gapping up, literally, every day. Yet the market goes nowhere as the trend is your turn, and then my turn. Each side is having their single day of action, and then forfeiting it over to the other side the very next day. Unusual to say the least. This type of behavior is often seen at major tops, but you can't be sure if that's what's happening here.
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Monday, July 21, 2014
Stock Market One More Pull Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - One final high needed to produce the start of an intermediate correction.
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Monday, July 21, 2014
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Monday, July 21, 2014
Stock Market Crash Nightmare! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
My yesterdays article painted a picture of a stock market that has failed to correct the consequences of which were for sowing the seeds for a more violent future correction that could even risk triggering an end to the 5.5 year stocks bull market that began in March 2009 -
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Monday, July 21, 2014
Why the Stock Market Is STILL Cheap / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: People think U.S. stocks are expensive...
Yes, they have gone up a lot... But according to our favorite measure of stock market value, stocks are NOT expensive.
It's a simple indicator, but it encompasses the important stuff. And right now, it's telling us you could make double-digit profits in stocks over the next 12 months...
Sunday, July 20, 2014
Investment Lessons From the Portuguese Bank Panic / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
Shah Gilani writes: So what if there was some momentary panic over some bank in Portugal last week?
So what if contagion fears spilled out across the globe and markets tanked?
It's all better now. Everything has been cleared up. Really, it was nothing.
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Sunday, July 20, 2014
Stock Market in DANGER of Strangling the Bears to Death / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The 5+ year stocks bull market continues to tighten its noose around the bears throats, though despite reddening faces and bulging eyes this has not halted the increasingly exasperated calls for the stocks bull markets always imminent end to definitely end this time.
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Saturday, July 19, 2014
Nothing Can Stop this Stock Market, Until it Does / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
"Government is, or ought to be instituted for the common benefit, protection, and security of the people, nation, or community; of all the various modes and forms of government, that is best which is capable of producing the greatest degree of happiness and safety, and is most effectually secured against the danger of maladministration." George Mason
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