Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, October 17, 2009
Stock Market Hits New 2009 High, Some Negative Divergence... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
We finally made the move over the 1080 level on the SP 500. It took quite a long time with lots of close calls that teased the bulls and gave the bears reason to wipe their brows in relief. The gap was on huge volume back in October 2008 thus it really came as no surprise that we failed the first tests up there. With the bears never really able to sell things off, the bulls finally found a way to get the job done. At the same time we cleared 1080 on the Sp, the Dow made a run and cleared 10,000. It felt really good to anyone who has a bullish slant. The real question that's being asked is whether or not we can hold over Dow 10k and above Sp 1080. There are some signs that short term, it will be tough for the bulls here.
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Will Earnings Reports Support the Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The rally off the March low has been remarkable. The market plunged too far to its March low, on fears about the economy that had not been seen since the Great Depression. So a substantial rally off that low was to be expected.
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Dow 10,000 Stock Market Euphoria May be Shortlived / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
U.S. Michigan Sentiment Index Decreased to 69.4. - Confidence among U.S. consumers fell more than forecast in October, a reminder that households remain nervous about the strength of the emerging economic recovery. The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment decreased to 69.4 from 73.5 in September, which was the highest in more than a year. Measures of expectations for six months ahead and current conditions both fell. The index averaged 87.3 in 12 months leading to December 2007, when the recession began.
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Friday, October 16, 2009
No Financial Armageddon... Yet! Gaining From Time / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The Litany of Negatives which, some days, seems to overwhelm honest observers of the Economy and Markets, should be counterbalanced by consideration of certain Positive Realities.
While these Positive Realities will likely not endure for more than a few months, or a very few years, their existence now can be used to enhance gains and protect against future adversities.
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Recovery Rally in China Stocks Short ETF / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
My near- and intermediate-term work in the ProShares UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Stock Index (NYSE: FXP) argues that this week’s low at 8.21, which incidentally created a big positive momentum divergence compared with the Sep 17 low at 8.44, ended the downleg off of the Oct 2 high at 10.69. If my work is correct, then today’s up-gap open, followed by strong continuation, inaugurated a powerful new recovery rally period that projects initially towards a test of the prior rally peak at 9.05. Only a decline that breaks 8.38 will begin to compromise my current outlook.
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Does the Stock Market S&P Remain Good Value? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
The Technical Trader’s view:
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Stocks Primary Bear Trend About to Resume? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The chart below looks like it’s headed for overbought territory on the RSI and it the falling tops on the MACD seem to be signaling that the ratio might be about to pull back. By implication, either the Dow can be expected to pull back or the dollar index can be expected to rise, or both.
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Stock Market Rally, Doing the Maths / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
The early part of the rally in the US began with a "Hope" that things will get better as days progress. In the subsequent days/months, almost all of the media, news channels and websites were inundated with news such as "Better than expected" which drove and is still driving the market higher. What is this "better than expected" and the math beyond this is what we intend to analyze here. You will be really surprised to see "The Math".
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Reflation Supported By Stocks, Commodities, and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Last week in Gold, Recessions, Bonds, and 1987, we stated the following:
- A major objective of all the money printing, government intervention, and low interest rates is to create positive inflation, which includes asset price inflation.
- Asset inflation helps heal sick balance sheets and repairs a portion of the lost "wealth effect".
- When gold lies dormant, it means reflation is not working all that well in the minds of market participants. Gold’s recent breakout may indicate that in the minds of market particiapants reflation of assets is working. That mind set results from the fear of future inflation caused by money printing, intervention, etc.
Friday, October 16, 2009
Stock Market Breakout Holds.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The bears tried this morning to take things lower after yesterday's clean breakout over S&P 1080. The futures were down pre-market but worsened once the earnings came out from Goldman Sachs Group (GS) and Citigroup, Inc. (C). The numbers from GS were solid but it had been straight up and needed a pause in the action. It certainly got that refresher pre-market as it was down about 5$. Citigroup, Inc. (C) was awful. Less of a loss than expected but they're still bleeding out badly and this hit the market even harder.
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Wither the U.S. Dollar, Gold and Dow in Transition Mode / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Now that the credit/bank crisis is two years old, and the Dow around 10,000, gold is at highs over $1000. One would think that with $3 trillion of direct US Fed bailout cash, plus $17 trillion of various guarantees and singlehanded support for the US mortgage/financial markets would do something.
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Thursday, October 15, 2009
How to Prepare for the Coming Crash and Preserve Your Wealth / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
New Edition of Conquer the Crash to Be Released in Late October
Bob Prechter first released Conquer the Crash: You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression during a stock-market high in 2002, and it quickly became a New York Times–bestseller. Now he has updated the book with 188 new pages for a second edition, and it looks like it, too, will be published near a stock-market high. John Wiley & Sons plans to publish the new edition in late October. Visit Elliott Wave International for information on how to pre-order the new edition from major online retailers.
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Thursday, October 15, 2009
Deepening Financial Crisis As Stock Market Heads for a Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Our view is that the elitists are currently buying time for the dollar, and stalling the rally in precious metals, by weakening other currencies until they are ready for the big stock takedown/correction. This process of supporting the dollar is becoming extremely expensive and difficult, so they had to take the Dow down 200 points on Thursday to start some stock contagion in Asia and Europe to flush some money into dollars and treasuries.
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Thursday, October 15, 2009
Two Reasons the Dow’s Rally to 10,000 Will Keep Moving Higher / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Jason Simpkins writes: The last time Dow Jones Industrial Average hit the 10,000 mark, it was plummeting from an all-time high of 14,163.53 as shell-shocked investors sought shelter from the worst financial crisis since The Great Depression. But this time around the blue chip index was on the upswing, surging 1.4% yesterday (Wednesday) to a close of 10,015.86.
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Thursday, October 15, 2009
Dow 10,000 Not a Bubble, Time to Abandon Old Stock Market Valuation Ideas? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
One of my favorite comments on an article I posted on Seeking Alpha was on something I wrote in May earlier this year, it went like this:
"Wow...the more I look at this the more I think this is the worst piece of work I have seen in a long time…..big mistake, my friend…The baseline is just so wrong it screams! Ouch!”
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Thursday, October 15, 2009
U.S. Stock Markets Disconnected from Reality / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Earlier this year, I predicted that the 2009 rally in U.S. stocks could bring the Dow Jones Index as high as 10,000. It looks like that level has been achieved. If, at this point, the index reverses course, I would have made a fairly good prediction.
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Thursday, October 15, 2009
Stock Market Breakout! / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
So we finally said goodbye to 1080 S&P 500 after trading in between the gap for a month or so. One break down below along the way that was quickly recovered. You had to figure it would take time to get through since the gap down from 1080 to 1060 in October 2008 was on massive volume and started another strong leg lower. Lots of willing sellers at that magical 1080 level.
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Wednesday, October 14, 2009
Financial and Economic Collapse, The Crime of Our Time / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Reviewing Danny Schechter's The Crime of Our Time - Danny Schechter is a media activist, critic, independent filmmaker, and TV producer as well as an author of 10 books and lecturer on media issues. Some call him "The News Dissector," and that's the name of his popular blog on media issues. He's also the co-founder of Media Channel.org that covers the "political, cultural and social impacts of the media," and provides information unavailable in the mainstream.
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Wednesday, October 14, 2009
How to Prepare for the Coming Crash and Preserve Your Wealth / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
New Edition of Conquer the Crash to Be Released in Late OctoberBob Prechter first released Conquer the Crash: You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression during a stock-market high in 2002, and it quickly became a New York Times–bestseller. Now he has updated the book with 188 new pages for a second edition, and it looks like it, too, will be published near a stock-market high. John Wiley & Sons plans to publish the new edition in late October. Visit Elliott Wave International for information on how to pre-order the new edition from major online retailers.
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Wednesday, October 14, 2009
Global Financial Crisis Polarising Market Perspectives- Credit and Credibility Chapter3 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Chapter 3: “May you live in interesting times”
The global financial crisis has wrought such extensive damage that it has polarized market perspectives like nothing in our experience. The two prevailing camps may be categorized as those subscribing to variations on either the ‘green shoots’ or the ‘Dawning of the Asian Century’ themes and those believing the lull that has existed since early March is but the calm during the eye of the storm and global markets are in for a fresh, possibly more severe battering.
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