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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 29, 2016

Stock Market 13-14 Month Cycle Low / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Ed_Carlson

The 20th century market guru, George Lindsay, explained that, no matter how long a bear market lasts, there is usually an obvious low 13 to 14 months after the previous bull market high (in this case, May 2015). This 13-14 month low is important even though it may not be the low of the Basic Cycle. 13-14 months is the time span of a long Basic Decline.

"Not just any secondary top or bottom. But the secondary high or low, the one that fairly jumps out at you from a bar chart."

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Brexit Vote and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Savage

The Brexit vote has triggered an intermediate cycle decline in the stock market. I’m expecting a bear flag and then a final drop into the bottom, but traders also have to be wary of an intervention that could terminate the rest of the decline prematurely. We may have gotten the bottom yesterday. This is why I don’t sell short. You are fighting an opponent with a printing press.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Stock Market Bounce May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

It appears that SPX has retraced to the 2-hour Cycle Bottom in the Premarket. The bounce may be over. We’ll know more after the open.

ZeroHedge reports, “After a historic two-day selloff, which as shown yesterday slammed European banks by the most on record...

... the wildly oversold conditions, coupled with hopes for yet another global, coordinated central bank intervention, coupled with modest hope that David Cameron's trip to Brussels today may resolve some of the Article 50 gridlock, have been sufficient to prompt a modest buying scramble among European stocks in early trading, with the pound and commodities all gaining for the first time since the shock Brexit vote.”

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Stock Market Meltdown Likely to Drive Gold Towards $1,500 ) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Michael_Swanson

I'm sure you are well aware of the big stock market drop that hit the US stock market on Friday as the DOW fell over 600 points following the UK BREXIT vote.

Almost every sector of the stock market fell except for gold and Treasury bonds.

I believe that what we saw on Friday was the simple start of a big drop that is going to turn into a total stock market meltdown in the coming weeks.

In fact the whole drop may not end for a few months.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Not a Pretty Day for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices certainly suffered a downside, follow-through today, and a sharp one. The indices plunged early on and kept on going. At midmorning they reached an important low near 4180 Nasdaq 100 and 1991 S&P 500. They traveled into midday, came back in the afternoon, retested the lows, held it, and in the last half hour they bounced a pretty significant one, but I’m not sure what that means. The bottom line is they closed sharply lower.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Stock Market SPY Kiss of Death ? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Joseph_VanDerveer

Everyone wants to now what that market is going to do next.  Most technicians I talk to are Bullish and that makes me nervous.

But not really, since I have had these dates for a while using my own proprietary cycle analysis.

 It plain old sucks being on the wrong side of the trade, that is for sure. 

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Tomorrow may tell us what kind of Stock Market Decline we Face / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Let’s put this decline into perspective for a minute. The 2113.32 high is the equivalent of the December 29 high at 2081.56. In the first two days of that decline (12-29 to 31-2015) SPX declined to 2043.62, a 37.94 point drop. Today we have completed the second day of the decline from 2113.32 and have travelled 121.60 points, 3.2 times the distance of the December-January decline. Wave [iii] of C in January declined by 269.27 points. Do the math. This is huge.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Stock Market 200-Day Goes Away...Bears Get The Follow-Through Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The bears have watched the exponential moving averages hold all pullbacks since the February lows of this year. No matter which moving average was on top, and which was on the bottom, the bottom moving average held each and every pullback, if it got that far. Most pullbacks contained by the first, and at the most, the second moving average off the top. Things got so bullish that the moving averages were aligned bullish as well with the 20's on the top, the 50's in the middle and the 200's on the bottom. Several weeks back the bears did attempt a move to that last moving average, or the 200-day, but it held very easily. We made our second attempt on the S&P 500 today, and it was lights out. The bulls didn't even put up a fight.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Brexit Psyop: Greenspan Falsely Blames the Brits for the Crash and Chaos to Follow / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

This Jubilee Year is advancing just as I have predicted, with all the major elements of a worldwide catastrophe now in place.

On Monday, the markets continued to collapse, with every major European stock market down 2-3% and the Dow currently down 300 points following Black Friday which, we now know, was the worst sell-off in worldwide stock markets in history, losing a combined $2 trillion.

The previous largest sell-off in history occurred 7 years, 7 months, 7 weeks and 7 days prior, on the Shemitah end day of September 29, 2008, when $1.9 trillion was erased in one day.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

BREXIT “Yes”, Now What for Stocks and Gold? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

I was one of the few last week who said the stock market would fall on Friday.  It has also fallen farther than even I expected.  So what’s next?  The chart below shows a counter trend rally likely on Tuesday, perhaps back to 2049/50 SPX and then one more drop into June 30 to around 1926/27, for about a 9% total decline.

The whole pattern is bullish, once resolved.  So now, when everyone is getting bearish, I’m starting to get bullish, but like I said, not just yet. I still see new highs by early Autumn of 2016 and then a late Fall decline of about 22%.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 27, 2016

Greenspan Calls Brexit a ‘Terrible Outcome’ as Euro Area Tested / Stock-Markets / EU_Referendum

By: Bloomberg

- Former Fed chair has no sympathy for view U.K. better alone

- Scotland, N. Ireland may now choose independence from Britain

By Victoria Stilwell and Lisa Du

(Bloomberg) -- U.K. policy makers miscalculated and made a “terrible mistake” in holding a referendum on whether to quit the European Union, in which voters opted to leave the bloc, former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said.

That decision led to a “terrible outcome in all respects,” Greenspan said in an interview with Bloomberg Surveillance on Monday in Washington. “It didn’t have to happen.”

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 27, 2016

Stock Market SPX Below Mid-Cycle Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket fell beneath mid-Cycle support/resistance this morning at 2026.59. As I write, it has bounced to retest the resistance. It appears likely that it may hold.

ZeroHedge reports, “US equity futures are tumbling at the open following Cable and USDJPY's dive. Dow futures dropped 100 points (down 900 points from pre-Brexit highs) and broke below Friday's early crash lows...”

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 27, 2016

Stock Market: Thirteen Months Down, And Now... Brexit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Steve_Selengut

I prepared this article on the 13th month anniversary of the last S & P 500 all time high... the market has been down for over a year, but MCIM portfolios continue to grow in both working capital and realized base income. Income CEFs continue to rally.

I'm confident, regardless of where "Brexit" takes us in the financial markets, that the scenario Friday, and any continued downturn, will prove to be yet another investment opportunity that we will be able to take advantage of.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 27, 2016

More Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Stocks Extend Their Two-Month Long Consolidation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 27, 2016

Another Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: A lengthy correction is most likely underway!

SPX Intermediate trend: Brexit has most likely initiated a decline of intermediate nature.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 26, 2016

Investors Map Post-Brexit Strategies Amid Global Market Upheaval / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Bloomberg

Pulling data and information from around the globe, this is a nice round up story from Bloomberg about how Credit Suisse Group AG, Morgan Stanley, Charles Schwab & Co, Deutsche Bank AG and others are starting to map post-Brexit strategies around stocks, currencies, bonds, emerging markets, corporate debt.

  • Flummoxed investors seek havens, bargains in uncharted waters
  • History suggests more losses, months before a full recovery
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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 26, 2016

Weekly Nasdaq NDX Chart / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Joseph_VanDerveer

Here is a basic chart of Nasdaq-100 ticket symbol NDX showing a few different techniques used.  This shows about 5% of what I use in determining my decisions trading the market. 

First you may notice the down channel trendlines with 2 consolidation periods.  We are currently breaking out of the second one.
Breaking out from a large ascending wedge, and consolidation channel shown on the chart.  Looks very similar to the last one.  Take notice of the violated trendline on the wedge with a backtest in both.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 26, 2016

The Stock Market is Not Topping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Stocks may move down into an intermediate cycle low over the next 15 trading days. If they do we will again hear the perma bears calling a new bear market. They will be wrong again as they continue to be wrong over and over.

The S&P has tested the 2100 level 9 times. There is no such thing as nonuple top. Heck there’s really no such thing as a triple top. When a resistance zone gets tested this many times it’s a consolidation before a breakout, not a top.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 26, 2016

Stocks Bear Market Resumes or Just More Noise / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started this volatile week at SPX 2071. After a gap up opening on Monday to SPX 2101 the market pulled back until Wednesday when it hit SPX 2084. Another gap up opening on Thursday carried the market to SPX 2113. Then Brexit was confirmed and markets worldwide plunged on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.6%, and the NDX/NAZ were -2.0%. Economic reports were biased negative for the first time in quite a while. On the downtick: new home sales, durable goods, consumer sentiment and the Q2 GDP estimate. On the uptick: FHFA housing, existing home sales and weekly jobless claims declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q1 GDP, PCE prices and the Chicago PMI.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 25, 2016

Dow, Euro & Brexit Recap / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Austin_Galt

What a day! Some extremely volatile action took place that will live on in the memories of all those that witnessed it.

So, what to make of it all?

Well, this analysis will focus on the Dow and Euro and quite frankly there is nothing out of the ordinary to report which may sound strange. Today did nothing to alter what has been outlined in previous analysis. In fact, it played right into my forecasts which are for the Dow to head down to set up a higher low and the Euro to also head further down a bit more and set up its own higher low.

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