Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, March 01, 2013
A Close Encounter With Zombiedom / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
Ben Bernanke spoke out on Tuesday, leaving no doubt where he stands on the QE issue. To print or not to print? He hardly seemed to think about it. Instead, he announced himself four-square in favor. If there is to be any prudence or propriety at America's central bank, it won't be on his watch!
This seemed to put some starch into investors' nerves. After a big sell-off on Monday... and a bounce on Tuesday... they went back into the markets yesterday with a single-minded command: "Buy!"
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Friday, March 01, 2013
Stocks, Bonds and Dollar Markets Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
According to our methodology, Wall Street is currently in correction mode and this is not the time to invest fresh capital in stocks. It is notable that although major US indices advanced on Tuesday and Wednesday, volume was very low and this warrants caution. Moreover, volume picked up during Thursday's late stage sell-off and this negative action suggests that the ongoing stock market pullback may continue.
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Friday, March 01, 2013
The Recent Fed FOMC Minutes Should Anger Every Investor / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
With gold dropping nearly 3% on February 20, we at Casey Research had to look closely at the FOMC minutes, which were partially responsible for that movement. Since there are quite a few highlights, I have split this analysis into three sections: the confusion over the minutes in the market; the ambiguous language hinting at deep problems; and a few quotes to make your blood boil.
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Thursday, February 28, 2013
How to Trade Stock Market POMO Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
This week I talked about how the uptrend is to be the focus of trading positions until a down trend is actually confirmed via price and volume action. The SP500 was very close to reversing down this week but with the POMO’s (permanent open market operations) scheduled largest injection of money for February of over $5 billion dollars sent stocks soaring jamming stocks back up into its uptrend.
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Thursday, February 28, 2013
Warning: Stock Market Likely to Crash From Here, 50% Drop! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
I don't relish the job of constantly pointing out the risks to the equity markets. But since few on Wall Street seem willing (or able) to do this, I'm "making the call" for a market correction, as enough variables have aligned to indicate a high likelihood of stocks heading downwards from here.
I've only given one other such warning about equities before, and that was in March of 2008, when I warned of the possibility of a 40% to 60% decline in stock prices by Fall. I am making a similar call today, with the understanding that I am usually a bit early to the game with my views.
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Thursday, February 28, 2013
Cash Alternatives: Making Money Work for You / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
Just what are "cash" and "cash options?" Some of us take those terms for granted, but after a recent article on sector allocation, one of our subscribers wrote in asking for clarification. Money Forever recommends holding approximately one-third of your portfolio in cash or cash options, but what does that really mean?
To clear up any confusion, "cash options" are not publicly traded options. "Cash alternative" is probably a more appropriate phrase.
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Thursday, February 28, 2013
Stock Market Rally is Over, Time to be Short / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The rally is over. It took the form of an ending diagonal, which implies a complete breakdown from the rally. Time to be short.
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Wednesday, February 27, 2013
Historic Collapse of Corrupt Monetary System Gritty Questions / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
The typical articles over the last many years have featured a particular theme. In the last few months, the central theme in Jackass articles has been the isolation and demise of the USDollar, how it is happening, why it must happen, and its importance in the restoration of the global financial structure. But this week, a sudden urge has come to address an overwhelming list of critical gritty questions. They crop up with clients, colleagues, and friends. More than a crisis, it is more accurately described as a collapse of a corrupt inequitable monetary system, and a desperate defense by the major Western bankers to preserve their power over nations and their governments, alongside a vile vicious violent attempt by the United States to maintain its privilege as owner of the vast USDollar counterfeit machinery, as controller of vast banking pillars of paper columns, and as commander of a vast military. The current monetary system has a debt foundation, which is collapsing in lockstep with the rapid breakdown in the sovereign bond market. The last four years have seen a long drawn-out unstoppable process, where the collapse cannot be avoided and must happen. The pathogenesis is obvious to those in the Sound Money camp. The blossom of corruption and complete banker criminal immunity has only hastened the urgent need for the collapse. The cadaver in Intensive Care cannot be revived with more intravenous applications of contaminated money, the body dead since September 2008. Insolvent systems rush to the crash zone, where efforts can only delay the outcome.
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Wednesday, February 27, 2013
Good News Only Goes So Far, Stock Market Should Reverse Hard / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Here are two different takes on the Durable Goods Report:
(Bloomberg) Orders for U.S. durable goods excluding transportation equipment climbed in January by the most in a year, indicating business investment is holding up.
(ZeroHedge) As expected, the January Durable Goods was a big miss to expectations, printing at -5.2% on an anticipated plunge in aircraft orders, worse than the expected -4.8%, and a plunge from the downward revised 4.3% in December. However, where there was a glimmer of hope, was the ex-transportation number, which rose modestly from 1.0% to 1.9%, on expectations of a 0.2% flat print.
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Wednesday, February 27, 2013
Don’t Be Fooled by Multi-Year Stock Market Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
George Leong writes: The equities market continues to hover near its multi-year highs. There are still many Wall Street analysts who suggest that the bulls are in full control and will drive stocks higher.
Investor sentiment had been extremely bullish in each session since the start of the year, but a neutral rating was reported on February 21–22, as shown in the chart below.
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Wednesday, February 27, 2013
Gold, Copper, and Crude Oil Forecast Recent Stock Market Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
For the past several weeks, everywhere I looked all I could find was bullish articles. After the fiscal cliff was patched at the last second, prices surged into the 2013 and have since climbed higher all the way into late February.
I warned members of my service that this runaway move to the upside which was characterized by a slow grinding move higher on excessively low volume and low volatility would eventually end violently. I do not have a crystal ball, this is just based on my experience as a trader over the years.
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Wednesday, February 27, 2013
Mergers and Stock Market Tops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
A prominent feature of the stock market recovery since 2009 has been the declining trading volume trend. NYSE trading volume has visibly diminished over the last four years after reaching a climax in March 2009 (see below chart).
To many savvy investors this is a negative sign which forebodes disaster. A declining volume trend suggests a lack of broad-based participation; and while it's true that this is detrimental to the market's long-term health, the dynamics of today's market have changed from that of yesteryear. A market can rally on declining volume for weeks, months or even year at a time without seriously jeopardizing the market's forward momentum. What's the reason for this anomaly?
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Tuesday, February 26, 2013
Stock Market Pop-n-Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
It appears that we may be in for a “pop-n-drop” move this morning as an effort is made to kick the market higher. However, it appears that Intermediate-term resistance at 1494.11 and/or Cycle Bottom resistance at 1495.62 may hold and propel SPX lower.
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Tuesday, February 26, 2013
The Money in Your Savings Accounts Doesn't Really Exist! / Stock-Markets / Fiat Currency
Best selling author Mike Maloney is launching a new video series on gold and silver, airing on YouTube starting February26th
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Tuesday, February 26, 2013
Stock Market Big Reversal Off The Gap Up... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
And that's normally how tops are put in for the short-term. It doesn't mean the market will get killed from here. It shouldn't, but it should drift lower for a while with plenty of up days. The key here for the day is the fact that we had a strong reversal off the gap-up tops, closing well below the opening prints. Based on some negative divergences around just about everywhere, it does mean we should go lower, still, in time before finding solid footing for more upside action. When markets back test off the top you want to see how that back test gets handled. We saw near equal highs today, but with those nasty oscillators abounding, the back test failed as it should have.
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Tuesday, February 26, 2013
Italian Election Concerns Torpedo the Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short. The US indexes rose at the open on optimism from Europe, with all eyes on the big vote in Italy. The benchmark S&P 500 hit its intraday high about 30 minutes into trading and then began pulling back as post-election concerns began circulating. The index appeared to stabilize later in the morning around the opening price, but the afternoon witnessed an accelerating selloff to the worst daily decline since 2.37% swan-dive the day after the US Presidential election. The index closed at its intraday low, probably not a good sign for tomorrow, off 1.83%.
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Monday, February 25, 2013
The Fed Has Set Us Up For the Stock Market Crash of 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Having pumped the system with liquidity non-stop since the Crash of 2008, the Fed now realizes it’s in big trouble and needs to manage down expectations of further stimulus.
As we noted earlier this year, the Fed, while attempting to appear committed to endless money printing via its QE 3 and QE 4 programs, was in fact decidedly split on whether to commit to more as well as the risks inherent to additional QE. Indeed, the Fed FOMC minutes indicate that some Fed members were concerned about whether QE even worked as a monetary policy.
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Monday, February 25, 2013
Overpriced Assets Reaching Their Peak / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
START WITH SOVEREIGN DEBT
Leading financial and economic statistics for major nations tell us all we need to know: zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2013/01/20130201_Macro.jpg
As a direct result there is no way QE or quantitative easing can end, despite anything that might have been said, implied or read into the minutes from the most recent 30 January meeting of the US Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee. federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20130130a.htm
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Monday, February 25, 2013
DOWNLOAD - Stocks Stealth Bull Market Ebook for 2013 and Beyond / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Dear Reader
The New 71 page Stocks Stealth Bull market Ebook for 2013 and Beyond is NOW available for FREE Download.
This ebook follows on from the 10th of February publication of the time critical analysis and concluding trend forecast for the DJIA stock index for 2013, which comprised approx 28% of the ebook's content (Part2) as illustrated by the contents list below.
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Monday, February 25, 2013
Stock Market Calls it Quits... Short-term Top in Place, Gold Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the severe correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
Intermediate trend - It is probable that the intermediate correction ended at 1398 and that a new uptrend is in progress which could carry a little further after a correction.
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