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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 16, 2015

Will Ever More Boomers Selling Retirement Assets Change Investment Prices For Decades? / Stock-Markets / Demographics

By: Dan_Amerman

When investors pour cash into a market, all else being equal – prices rise.  And when investors pull cash from a market – prices fall.

If we accept that simple relationship, and agree that the basic laws of supply and demand apply to investments just like they do to the rest of economics, this could mean that we are in the early stages of a tidal reversal in the investment markets – which just may change everything when it comes to our future income and standards of living.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 16, 2015

Won't Be Contagion with 'Grexit' Greece Euro-zone Exit / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Bloomberg

Stan Druckenmiller, the Chairman and CEO of Duquesne Family Office, sat down with Bloomberg Television's Stephanie Ruhle to discuss China's economy and stock market, Greece possibly exiting the euro and the concern over a contagion in the region.

On an interest rate increase, Druckenmiller said: "My fear is we’re not going to see anything for a year-and-a-half because they set up metrics eight or nine months ago…I have no confidence whatsoever that you’re going to see rate hikes in September or December or whenever because when they lay out metrics and then they change, and then they change again, and then they change again, who knows where -- when they’re going to go."

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 16, 2015

A Secular look at USD and USB / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

A look at the monthly chart of USD reveals the backdrop for my analysis and conclusions.

First, the rally may be seen as a Cycle degree Wave II.

Second, the 50% Fibonacci retracement value of Cycle Wave I happens to be 100.87. Note how close the high came to this.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 16, 2015

Stock Market Boom and Crash: Cause and Effect / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Wim_Grommen

This article explains, based on transition properties, why a stock market boom occurs during the acceleration phase of a transition, inevitably followed by a stock market crash in the stabilization phase of a transition.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 16, 2015

US Stock Market Will Likely Drop 5% by Next Week! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last weekend, I expected the US stock market to drop suddenly from Monday into Tuesday. While I expected about close to a 2% drop, we got closer to a 1% drop instead (I give myself a C grade there). Out of this cycle low Tuesday (Gann 4/8/12 and Wall Cycle 22.5 TD low), we rallied 1.3%. I also talked about the prevailing 32 TD top due Thursday this week, which I believe came a day early on April 15th. There has been much talk about Lindsay's methods, and his method agrees with me that we made an important top on April 15th.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 16, 2015

Stock Market Getting Overbought Short Term Again Near The Breakout..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

Overall, the action was solid today. It approached the breakout as the S&P 500 neared 2119, but it wasn't meant to be. The sixty-minute short-term index charts hit 70 RSI, and that was the end of the rally for the day. The market pulled back some over the last twenty minutes. No breakout today, but that doesn't mean it won't happen as the daily-index charts are looking better. Nothing bearish in terms of the oscillators. They are confirming price. This is on the daily charts.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

What's going on with the Dow Jones Transportation Index? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Marty_Chenard

The best way we can describe the Dow Jones Transportation Index is that it is a little higher than than last week at this time, but it is still at the lower end of its trading range.

The Transportation Index has been in a trading range since the end of last October. The Index is not very strong at this time, so it is in a higher-risk condition.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

It Takes a Different Breed to Be Contrarian / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: Casey_Research

By Justin Spittler

The most memorable scene in the film adaptation of Glengarry Glen Ross is when Alec Baldwin’s character—a hotshot real estate broker from the prestigious Mitch and Murray agency—tells a group of struggling real estate agents that it takes “brass balls to sell real estate.” There’s probably some truth to that, but it takes bigger cojones to buy what everyone else hates.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

Stock Market Poised for a Flash Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

My earlier thesis of an unfinished retracement in SPX hit the nail on the head. Note that it didn’t go above the March 23 high, verifying the weakening uptrend. I recalibrated the Megaphone formation and verified it as an Orthodox Broadening top rather than a Broadening wedge. The formation may be triggered at 2103.00, so this is where I expect a Flash Crash to begin.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

China Finally Stops Fighting the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Peter_Schiff

Although China's economy has been leading the world in annualized growth since the days that mobile phones had retractable antennas, there have always been some aspects of the country's commercial and financial system that loudly broadcast the underlying illogic of a Communist Party's firm control of burgeoning capitalism. China's stock markets were one such venue where things just didn't add up...literally.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Hybrid Lindsay Stock Market Forecast for a Top Near April 15 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

With Friday’s breakout from the symmetrical triangle (formed during March and early April) equities should be off to the races and on their way to the triangle’s target of 2,175, right? While there is no reason to doubt the breakout or the target, “off to the races” may be too strong of term for now as there is a Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a high near April 15.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

All Indicators Are on an Aggressive Stock Market Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

As SPX approaches the 2-hour mid-Cycle support at 2082.30 and the 50-day Moving Average at 2079.52 we are likely to see a bounce. However, all indications are that it will be short-lived. SPX will be on a confirmed sell signal beneath the 50-day Moving Average.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

The Ball is in the Stock Market Bulls Court / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: WavePatternTraders

SPX

We went into last week with two ideas, with the bearish crowd proclaiming a crash was due once 2040SPX had been broken, it seems the majority of traders were just too bearish, low and behold as if by magic the magic hand comes to the rescue and supports the market in Globex. The move last week supports the idea now that the market is likely going to make a new all time highs for wave 5 of an ending diagonal, that's the preferred idea now, although we could see a small pullback, staying above 2060SPX helps the bullish case and target new highs towards 2125-40SPX.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Do We Now Have a Stocks Bull or Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Marty_Chenard

If you have gone to StockTiming.net (.net) in the past, you have seen the formula for creating a Monthly, long term Bull/Bear market chart.

This morning, I would like to post the chart and make a few comments.

The chart is below and under a lot of stress. There is a Federal Reserve impact going on because of the Inflowing Liquidity levels.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Tech Stocks Bubble: Different this time? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: EWI

Editor's note: This article is from Elliott Wave International's brand-new investment report, "U.S. Investors Face a Giant, Historic Bubble." It originally appeared in the April issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, published March 27, 2015. For a limited-time, EWI has agreed to give our readers exclusive free access to the full report. Please click here to read it now.

In March, we covered the return to a popular fascination with technology.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Stock Market Sixth Sense / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Austin_Galt

The argument between fundamental and technical analysis is an old one and is unlikely to be resolved any time soon. I generally find those that bash technical analysis just don't understand the whole concept of it. Many snub their noses at it, perhaps dismissing it because they don't understand it. Perhaps they are too brainwashed or lazy to even bother trying to understand. That's fine.

Some ask sneeringly, how does technical analysis predict a black swan event? It doesn't. Neither does fundamental analysis. However, the advantage of technical analysis over fundamental analysis is that it provides clues that something may be about to happen.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 13, 2015

Daggers for this Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Michael_Pento

The recent stock market volatility has caused the major averages to lose nearly all their gains for 2015. However, it is clear stock prices are still extremely overvalued by virtually every metric, especially when viewed in the absence of GDP and earnings growth.

For starters, the Cyclically Adjusted PE Ratio on the S&P 500 is currently 27, whereas the normal level for this longer-term valuation metric is just 15. Also, the ratio of Total Market Cap to GDP is currently at 125%. This reading, which measures the value of all stock prices in relation to the economy, is the second highest in history outside of the tech bubble and is far above the 110% level witnessed in 2007. And with a median PE ratio of all NYSE stocks at a record-high 22, there can''t be any doubt that stock prices are at extreme valuations.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 13, 2015

Why Markets Ignored Weaker Payrolls / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Sam_Kirtley

For so many years markets have been used to focusing overwhelmingly on US employment, with the Fed emphasizing that return to full employment was key to their monetary policy plans. However, with employment data printing strongly for some time now the focus has shifted away from employment, meaning that the monthly NFP print that traders had been living and dying by is no longer as relevant. The disinflationary impact of lower energy prices and the lack of wage inflation is now the main focus for the Fed, and therefore those factors have replaced NFP as the key metrics that set market tone.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 13, 2015

Stock Market Printing False Hope in a False Reality  / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Western, especially U.S., equities have become the leading sentiment indicator for the masses. And while the masses are not necessarily participating, a closer look at this false dawn reveals that the rise of equity buying panic may actually be the leading negative sentiment indicator. 

Still buying into the market are only those who still have a job with a matching 401K, and a greater proportion of these individuals are just collecting the match and holding it in "safe" mode.  

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 13, 2015

Stocks Extended Short-Term Uptrend - New All-Time Highs Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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