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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, April 01, 2023

Crude Oil: Will "Banking Crisis Send Prices Even Lower"? Ha! / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI


SVB failed in March. Oil was destined to fall as early as February – here’s why;

The failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate Bank and Signature Bank have prompted a lot of discussion about the potential of a domino effect. People are wondering "what's next?"

The financial press is linking just about every downward price move in just about every financial market to the woes in the banking sector.

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 29, 2023

China’s Gold Gambit: Outfoxing America on the World Stage? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: Submissions

By Jon Forrest Little, Unless you live under a rock (and some days I wish I did), all eyes are on which bank will fail next.

We knew this was coming. Decades of Zero Interest Rate Policy, QE, and risky fractional reserve practices have consequences.

Superpowers like Russia and China are eyeing America’s financial vulnerabilities while the Fed, Congress, Treasury, and Wall Street play musical chairs and trip over each other like Keystone cops.

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 29, 2023

The last time this happened, Gold Price Soared for 10 years / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2023

By: Submissions

Justin Spittler : 615% gains the last time this was triggered… “This is incredibly bullish”… “Someone big” is loading up… I’m no gold bug, but…

  1. Gold is closing in on its all-time highs.

On Monday, gold broke above $2,000 per ounce—the highest it’s been in over a year:

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Commodities

Friday, March 24, 2023

Battle Line Drawn: Gold Bulls Look to Push through $2,000 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: MoneyMetals

Gold prices surged to test the $2,000/oz level early this week before retreating ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.

Fed policymakers opted for another 25 basis-point hike -- disappointing investors who had hoped for a pause in the wake of high-profile bank runs.

Stocks sold off in post-Fed trading on Wednesday afternoon. Precious metals markets, however, managed to record gains for the day.

Fed chairman Jerome Powell signaled that the central bank would likely hike one more time.

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Commodities

Monday, March 06, 2023

Silver’s Subtle Indication / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Namely, while the GDXJ (upper part of the chart) moved only a little above its recent high, silver has pretty much doubled its previous short-term upswing.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 26, 2023

Gold Price Is ALMOST Ready to Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: P_Radomski_CFA


Enough is enough. No market can decline without correcting every now and then. And both gold and the USDX point to an upcoming reversal.

Let’s start with gold.

Is It Over?

Looking at its price from a short-term point of view, we see that it paused for a brief moment at its 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
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Commodities

Sunday, February 26, 2023

Oil Price Rises Despite Larger US Crude Stocks. Russian Production Worries / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Submissions

The two global crude benchmarks are still enjoying momentum that began on Thursday – despite larger-than-expected US crude inventories – following reports from the financial press that Russia will cut oil exports from its western ports by 25% per month in March compared to February in response to Western sanctions.

These claims, however, have not yet been confirmed by the Russian Ministry of Energy.

The western ports of Primorsk, Ust-Luga, and Novorossiysk export around 2.5 million barrels of crude a day. Therefore, a 25% reduction would imply a reduction in exports of 625,000 barrels per day, or about 0.6% of the world oil supply.

This contraction would thus exceed that announced by the Russian Deputy Prime Minister in charge of Energy, Alexander Novak, earlier in February by 500,000 barrels per day.

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Commodities

Thursday, February 23, 2023

Gold: What "Colossal" Central Bank Buying May Mean / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: EWI


"Central banks are so confident that gold prices will continue rising that they are..."

Central banks have been scooping up gold with a vengeance.

Here's a Jan. 31 Financial Times headline:

'Colossal' central bank buying drives gold demand to decade high

Interestingly, just a few days later on Feb. 3, the precious metal dropped by more than 2%. But setting aside near-term price moves in gold, what you need to know is that government is nearly always the last to act on a financial trend. In other words, when government acts, a financial trend is either nearly or already over.

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Commodities

Monday, February 20, 2023

Inflation & Commodities / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Gary_Tanashian

The news is full of articles now discussing how food (Staples) producer prices are going to continue rising, how warehouse and distribution channels are pushing “inflation” higher, how charges to use cargo containers and transportation are all pushing “inflation” higher.

The inflationary acts were committed in 2020 and 2021. The inflation was inflicted then and is now history. What is happening now is a plethora of knock-on effects from the inflation. It’s lagging, sticky and in some cases opportunistic and greedy stuff that is not inflation but instead, the predictable after-effects of it.

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Commodities

Monday, February 20, 2023

More Headwinds for Commodity Market Bulls / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Donald_W_Dony

Commodity bulls are facing a challenging year ahead.
Some natural resources were benefiting and riding on the coattails of mounting inflationary pressure in 2020 through to mid-2022, such as oil and Natural gas, while others (gold and silver) were still prospering from the low US dollar and near zero Fed interest rates in 2019.

However, conditions started to change for most commodities in mid-2022 (Chart 1).

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Commodities

Saturday, February 18, 2023

Gold Price REALly Declines and That’s Just the Start / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: P_Radomski_CFA

In all likelihood – yes. Then it’s likely to slide more – much more. With this pace (chart courtesy of GoldPriceForecast.com), gold could move below $1,800 in no time.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 08, 2023

Today’s Best Commodity Market Trading Setups / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

Hi,

You're invited to a free commodity-trading webinar!

Join Elliott Wave International's Chief Commodity Analyst, Jim Martens, this Thursday, Feb. 9 at 1 p.m. Eastern time for a special, live webinar: Today's Best Commodity Setups.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 07, 2023

Gold Price Trend Forecast 2023 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

And similar trend for the Gold price, also attempting to break out higher off the October - November base that is likely to Gold target a trend to between $2000 and $2100 during 2023 vs the last close of $1804.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 07, 2023

Could Silver Price Outperform Gold Again? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: Richard_Mills

Gold sold off following the US Federal Reserve’s Feb. 1 decision to raise interest rates another 25 basis points. The federal funds rate now sits at between 4.50 and 4.75%.

Spot gold at first gained about $20 to $1,956, within $80 of the all-time high of $2,034, reached in August, 2020. The dollar fell Wednesday along with bond yields.

The market’s initial take was that the Fed is nearly finished raising rates. A senior investment strategist from Allianz Investment Management told CNBC that the messaging leaned “slightly dovish”, with the lack of clarity signaling that the Fed is nearing the end of its rate tightening cycle.  

After hikes end, Charlie Ripley said the central bank will likely “sit tight while the economic data catches up to the policy.”

“The Fed is essentially speaking out of both sides of the mouth as they signaled further increases are appropriate, but also acknowledged they will consider the cumulative amount of tightening in future policy decisions,” he said.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 07, 2023

Silver ‘Sediment’ – Encore For Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: Kelsey_Williams

SILVER SEDIMENT

 “Sediment is solid material that is moved and deposited in a new location. Sediment can consist of rocks and minerals…” and “matter that settles to the bottom…”

The silver price closed on Friday at $22.30 oz., down $1.15 from its closing price the day before.

What is worse, though, is that it follows a drop of $.50 oz. on Thursday. And, on both Thursday and Friday, the silver price collapsed early in the day,  found the bottom level and stayed there.

From its intraday peak on Thursday morning in New York to the closing price Friday, silver declined $2.30 oz., or more than nine percent.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 07, 2023

SILVER CRACKUP BOOM! Price Trend Forecast 2023 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My last look at the prospects for SIlver of early May 2022 warned to expect the inflationary crack up boom to eventually make it's way to the precious metals complex - The CRACK UP BOOM! Implications for Stocks, Housing. and Commodities, Silver Potential

Silver is at the opportune level of $22 for long-term accumulation that first targets the top of the range at $28 and then on a breakout higher to ultimately target the previous all time high of $50.

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Commodities

Saturday, February 04, 2023

Gold and Inflation: Here's a Market Myth / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: EWI

"If you believe in Gold as a consumer price inflation hedge then..."

Back in the days of the Roman Empire, an ounce of gold could buy a Roman a well-made toga, belt and finely crafted sandals.

In modern day Rome, lo and behold, a businessman can become sharply dressed via the value of that same ounce of gold.

So, yes, gold has maintained its store of value over the centuries.

However, in the relative short term -- which can last years -- gold may not be the inflation hedge that gold bugs believe it to be.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 31, 2023

6 Trends to Watch in the CBD Market / Commodities / Cannabis

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

The CBD market is growing rapidly, making it challenging to stay on top of the latest trends. With consumer demand on the rise and more products than ever hitting shelves, it's essential to know what changes and innovations are happening in this exciting industry. In this post, we'll dive into key trends that entrepreneurs, retailers, and customers need to be aware of when navigating the world of CBD. From product diversification to new global regulations, these trends will provide insight into an evolving landscape, allowing you to capitalize on opportunities and make informed decisions about your journey into cannabinoids.

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Commodities

Friday, January 27, 2023

Natural Gas: Here's What Happened After a "Double Top" / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: EWI

A key technical pattern warns of a reversal

It probably won't be a surprise to you that Elliott Wave International is an advocate of technical analysis. After all, the Elliott wave method is a form of technical analysis.

You probably know that the term "technical analysis" refers to analyzing the behavior of financial markets themselves -- generally by studying charts -- as opposed to "fundamental" analysis, which is based on news and events outside of financial markets.

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Commodities

Friday, January 27, 2023

Anti-Gold Bias: The Big Secret Wall Street DOESN'T Want You to Know / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: MoneyMetals

By Stefan Gleason, Last year was one of the worst on record for a conventional stock and bond portfolio. The major stock and bond market indexes both fell by double digits.

Investors who were diversified into physical precious metals fared much better. While it wasn't a banner year for gold and silver markets, they eked out slight gains – which translated into a massive outperformance versus conventional financial assets.

Unfortunately, conventional financial advice continues to keep most investors 100% allocated to financial assets with zero diversification into hard assets.

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