Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, May 11, 2010
Agri-Food Food Trends, Volcano Atmospheric Ash and China 21st Century Demand Miracle / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Our gloom was lifted this past weekend with news that the Icelandic volcano was still pumping away. Got to admire the way it keeps trying, just like the little engine. Ash is now in the skies from near Greenland to Spain, across North Africa, and as far east as Turkey.
Per Associated Press as reported by ksdk.com, 9 May,“The bulk of the cloud, measuring 2,100 miles long and 1,400 miles wide (3,400 kilometers by 2,200 kilometers), stretched over the North Atlantic, according to the Irish Aviation Authority.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
Gold Hits New USD High as Europe's "Bail-Out Bounce" Fails / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF GOLD hit a new record high against the US Dollar at Tuesday's PM Fix in London, surging more than 3% from yesterday's low as world stock markets fell once again with commodities.
The Euro dropped 4¢ from yesterday's "bail-out bounce", giving back most of Monday's gain to trade below $1.27.
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
Gold Miners GDX ETF on the Move / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) emerged from a 5-month accumulation pattern today, as it gapped-up above 51.10/20, and has continued to an intraday high at 52.75 so far. Let's notice, however, that the 5 month accumulation pattern fits into a much larger potential accumulation pattern that spans back to March 2008.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
Gold And Silver’s Big Move And The Very Special Circumstances That Causes It / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
From October 2008 to date the gold price has performed rather well. It is up 77.6% from the intraday low of $682 on 24 October 2008. It is of course not the only good up since then; in fact most goods are quite well up in nominal dollar terms.If a good is up in price 77% in a period of about 1.5 years it would probably be reasonable to expect at least a slowdown in the pace of price growth or even a gradual decrease. Unless, there are very special circumstances present, such as one could probably have in a case of hyperinflation or say an extreme sudden shortage of that good which cannot be immediately replenished etc. one would certainly not expect it to accelerate further at an even faster rate as before. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
How to Make Money Trading the Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Perhaps no other market in the world elicits such emotion and passion than the world's gold market. One only has to mention gold, and theories just come out of the woodwork in regards to conspiracy, market manipulation, and a host of other less than savory subjects.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
Gold Tests Record Highs as Euphoria on Short Covering Rally Fades / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold has recovered from the slight sell off seen yesterday and stayed above $1,200/oz in Asian trading before rallying in early European trading. The initial euphoria that saw stocks and the euro surge yesterday has quickly dissipated with the euro giving up most of yesterday's gains and stocks coming under pressure this morning.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
Gold And The Myth Of Free Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Some conspire to take power; others conspire to keep it
What we don’t know explains what we don’t understand. This is why the work of the Gold Anti-Trust Action committee, GATA, is to be admired. Much of the exposure of the US government’s hidden hand in the manipulation of the gold markets is due to GATA’s work. What most still do not understand is the extent of that hidden hand and its effect on America, a nation many believe to be free.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 10, 2010
CRU's Helen O'Malley Speaks Manganese / Commodities / Metals & Mining
"The price for manganese ore has recovered a lot more swiftly and strongly than we anticipated," explains Helen O'Malley, a bulk manganese specialist with London-based CRU, adding: "The price bottomed out last year to about $3.50 per dry metric ton unit (DMTU) and now it's up to about $8.00." In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, O'Malley sheds some light on the seldom-discussed metal and its supply and demand fundamentals. She also explains how the market is really being driven by China and even lists several junior mining companies who are actively exploring manganese properties.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 10, 2010
Greenland Proceeds with Plans for Offshore Drilling in Arctic Waters / Commodities / Crude Oil
While the oil spill from a sunken drilling rig in the Gulf of Mexico threatens to become an environmental disaster, plans are proceeding for opening up new drilling territories in the iceberg-infested waters off Greenland.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 10, 2010
Increasing Sovereign Bailouts and Worsening Economy Boost Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
More than the perception increasing sovereign bailouts in a worsening economy around the world will bolster precious metals moving forward, countries that are still paying their bills will need to have greater percentages of gold in reserve in order to maintain any semblance of currency stability in what might escalate into quasi-hyperinflation despite what faulty money supply measures will have the consensus believe. This is why gold is rising in the collective faces of the deflationists, and why it will continue to confound such views. It’s because the gold is gone and in short supply in a world that will need it to facilitate currency stability and trade increasingly; this, as confidence in governments and bureaucracies around the world are called into question.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 10, 2010
Gold "Calms" as Stocks, Euro Leap on Brussels' €750bn "Shock & Awe" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF GOLD fell hard from last week's record-high finish on Monday morning, losing 2% vs. the Dollar as commodities and global equities jumped on news of the European Union's new €750 billion "Stabilization Mechanism" plan.
The Euro currency leapt 2.6% during Asian trade, rising back above $1.30 – a level first broken in late 2004 – for the first time in five sessions.
Monday, May 10, 2010
The Gold Bull Market Ratio, Paperbugs Don't Understand How Far We Have to Go / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The value of common stocks relative to Gold is about to accelerate in the opposite direction the Larry Kudlow and Jimmy Jack Cramer crowd are expecting. The concept of relative wealth is an important one for Gold bulls to comprehend and embrace, as it allows them to calculate gains in something besides unstable paper debt-backed fiat currency, which is a worthless measure of value. In other words, it negates the need to worry about the inflation-deflation debate.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 09, 2010
Optimizing Your Gold Investment Vehicle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Sam Kirtley writes: There are many different investment vehicles one can use to invest in gold. The key aspects that we as investors and traders look for are the vehicles relationship and correlation with gold prices, and how much that correlation is or isn’t leveraged to the gold price. More leverage is not always the objective of an investor, one may be looking for less sensitivity to the gold price, or simply to match gold’s performance.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 09, 2010
Gold Targets New All Time High Whilst Gold Stocks Avoid Market Crash / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold ended last week very close to new highs against the dollar, which was a remarkable achievement given that the dollar soared and that the stockmarket fell heavily. The NYSE tried to explain away the near 1000 point drop in the DJIA intraday on Thursday as being due to some sort of technical glitch, but the more plausible explanation for us is that it was occasioned by temporary blind panic, which should it recur would have rather unfortunate consequences, to put it mildly. The implications of this formidable strength in gold are immense, for what this means is that it has arrived at the point where it no longer matters much what the dollar and stockmarkets do - it's going up anyway. The reason for this is that we are now advancing rapidly into the endgame of the global fiat experiment, which is concluding as it inevitably must with mess and mayhem.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 09, 2010
Gold Latest Activity Looks Too Good To Be True / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The saying “looks too good to be true” just seems to fit the latest gold activity. I like the action but something just doesn’t jive. Maybe it’s that (lack of) momentum (strength) behind the recent stock price action. Love it while it’s there but always be on guard.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 08, 2010
The No. 1 Reason Gold Could Enter Mania Phase Soon / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
On February 18, 2009 the Financial Times published one of the most important articles nobody read.
The article's headline was Gold primed to become "mania asset."
Saturday, May 08, 2010
The Coming Oil Price Shock / Commodities / Crude Oil
Fatal Difference - Fatal Indifference - We need only to recap the experience of the 1970s and 1980s to understand why massive public national deficit financing of Keynesian-type spending to restore global economic growth will almost surely end with a 1970s style oil shock. That is oil price explosion, falling consumer confidence and corporate investment, falling economic growth, finance sector panic, competitive devaluation of world moneys and a catastrophic slump back into recession. Like the 1970s experience, the recession will be very inflationary.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 08, 2010
Silver's Plunge, Last Chance to Sell or Buying Opportunity? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Thursday saw a huge reversal in the general stock market accompanied by huge volume. There seemed to be a selling mood, which accelerated for several hours though the mid-day period. Is this a beginning of a severe plunge or are we likely to see at least a small move higher - and what does this mean for silver? These are the questions that we will deal with in the following part of this essay.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 08, 2010
Crude Oil Plunges as Turbulence Rocks Financial Markets / Commodities / Crude Oil
In a week of market turmoil resulting from Greece’s fiscal crisis, oil went from an intraday high above $87 on Monday – its highest point in more than a year and a half – to plunge briefly below $75 on Friday.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 08, 2010
Gazprom vs Shalegas: The victory of the energy colossus / Commodities / Natural Gas
Maninder Batra writes: Shale gas has been touted by the western media as a savior for the West and a silver bullet against Gazprom .In the past few years, due to extreme increase in prices of natural gas prices and betterment of Hydraulic fracturing ,Shale gas became economical .If we were to believe the western media hype and propaganda ,Shale Gas would ruin Gazprom ,a scenario which the anti-russian western media loves to drool over.
Read full article... Read full article...