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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, May 02, 2008

The Death Of Gold and Lessons from History / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Roland_Watson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA couple of weeks back I put out an article saying that "The Shoeshine Boy" principle may have flagged a major top in the gold market. The Times cover trumpeting gold was published one trading day before gold's $1030 top and is shown below.

Not surprisingly this generated a number of emails from gold bulls which with one exception disagreed to the point of employing four letter words you would not even use against alleged members of a gold cartel. Let me clarify one point, the use of the phrase "Death of Gold" was a play on the phrase "Death of Equities" though some readers thought this meant gold going back to $300 for the next 20 years.

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Commodities

Friday, May 02, 2008

Gold Holds Above Four Month Lows Against Increasingly Bullish US Dollar / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES ticked higher from a four-month low early Friday, adding 0.9% to $855.90 per ounce before giving back $3 in London as world stock markets rose sharply and bond yields fell.

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Commodities

Friday, May 02, 2008

Precious Metals Tumble Ahead of Today's US Non-Farm Payrolls / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

The sharp sell off in the precious metal markets continued yesterday with gold down $13.80 to $848.90 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was down 38 cents to $16.12 per ounce. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $854.25, £429.92  and €551.31  (from $863.50, £434.64  €556.74).

Should there be a continuance of the recent trend of dollar strength and oil weakness today then we could see gold test the 200 day moving average at $823.

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Commodities

Friday, May 02, 2008

Rice Prices Fall Sharply After Food Crisis Rally on Government Export Controls / Commodities / Food Crisis

By: Jason_Simpkins

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe price of rice finally started to moderate this week, with rice futures sinking for a fifth straight day. Rice has retreated 11.6% on the Chicago Board of Trade since hitting an all-time high last Thursday.

But this decline is likely just the start for rice prices, which have been artificially inflated by government controls and may continue to plummet by as much as 20%.

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Commodities

Friday, May 02, 2008

Gold Stocks- Time to Buy? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrom a trading perspective, the charts are showing that it might be “buying time” in gold shares.

Let's look at three relationships:

  1. The relationship of the speculative $HUI to the less speculative $XAU
  2. The relationship of the $HUI to the gold price
  3. The relationship of the $XAU to the gold price
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Commodities

Friday, May 02, 2008

Uranium Stocks Index Trend Still Bearish / Commodities / Uranium

By: Merv_Burak

I keep looking at the chart to see if there is something bright to write about but nothing, at least nothing of any real significance. There are some signs that things might be getting brighter but they would be signs mostly in my mind rather than anything concrete. I guess the most positive action one can grab on to is the fact that once the Index fell below that “box” that it was in for so long, that the Index hasn't yet dropped like a rock, as might have been expected. I'm hoping things do perk up soon because as long as things remain bearish readers start to lose interest and sooner or later I'll end up writing these commentaries only for myself.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 01, 2008

What's behind the Sharp Slide in Gold and Silver? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gary_Dorsch

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter watching the price of silver soar to as high as $15 /ounce in May 2006, Warren Buffet, the “Oracle of Omaha” offered some sagely words of wisdom. “What the wise man does at the beginning, the fool does at the end. At the start of the party, the punch is flowing and everything's going well, but you know at midnight, it's all going to turn into pumpkins and mice. People think they'll be able to get out just before midnight, but everyone else thinks that too. The problem is that, in commodities there are no clocks on the wall,” Buffet warned.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 01, 2008

Bear Stearns Rescue Reversed Gold Trend / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Christopher_Laird

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold rallied a great deal, way beyond anything in recent years, as the 07 credit crisis began and spread. Since the explosion of the credit crisis around August 07, gold exploded from the $670s to a $1020s peak mid March. The Fed/Morgan Bear Stearns bailout occurred at that time. Right after, the financials rallied (XLF Spider) and gold has been selling off since. Other commodities also are following. The credit crisis caused a gold and commodity bubble.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 01, 2008

Gold Tumbles After Fed Interest Rate Cut / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES continued to slide early Thursday, falling below Wednesday's 13-week low to trade at $862.40 per ounce as bond yields ticked higher following yesterday's "baby-step" rate cut from the Federal Reserve in Washington .

With continental Europe closed for May Day, the London stock market was little changed in thin trade, while the British Pound held onto its overnight gains vs. the Dollar above $1.9850.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 01, 2008

Leveraged Gold ETF's Signal the End for Gold Stock Investments? / Commodities / Exchange Traded Funds

By: Bob_Kirtley

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDuring the last major rally in gold prices, gold stocks made some great gains and investors such as yours truly were happy to take good profits on the gold mining companies we had bought over the summer doldrums . However we should have seen a much better performance.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 01, 2008

If Investors Were Smart They'd be bidding up Gold and Silver Instead of Oil! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Alex_Wallenwein

If traders and investors were smart, they would bid up the price of gold instead of oil. Likewise, if governments and central banks were smart, they would take the lid off the gold price and actively encourage investment in that most precious of all commodities.

Why?

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Gold Plunges Ahead of Fed Interest Rate Decision / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD BULLION continued to slide early Wednesday, avoiding the collapse forecast by many analysts after dropping through $875 per ounce but reaching a series of fresh 3-month lows as the US Dollar rallied against the Euro, crude oil and the value of world stock markets.

"The previous low [of April 1st] has been taken out and the technicals now quickly point to $850," says today's Gold Market note from Mitsui, the precious metals dealer.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Gold Breaks Below Technical Support Ahead of Fed Interest Rate Meeting / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold was down $18.20 to $874.70 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was down 45 cents to $16.57 per ounce. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $867.75 £440.77 and €557.72 (from $886.00, £447.50 and €569.23).

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Agri-Foods Investment Boom Continues / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Hard to miss a news story on global situation in rice. More has been written on rice in past month than probably occurs in a year. At the same time, the price of oil was bid to an all time high. All that action fed the interest in gra ins, especially those t hat might be converted to biofuel. This headline attention on Agri-Food also fed investor interest. As this week's chart shows, Agri-Food stocks have been having a very good time.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Will the US Fed Create More Inflation in Commodities? / Commodities / Inflation

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInflation has been investors' main focus lately. A commonly held assumption is that the Fed's aggressive lowering of interest rates will only result in more inflation and an even bigger bulge in commodities prices. Is this a necessary outcome of increased liquidity and lower rates?

Let's examine this belief. Historically, we find that Inflation basically occurs in three situations:

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 30, 2008

The Mysterious Case of the Commodity Conundrum, Securitization of Commodities, and Systemic Concerns (Part 3) / Commodities / Derivatives

By: Mack_Frankfurter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePart 1 , Part 2
"The theories which I have expressed there, and which appear to you to be so chimerical, are really extremely practical—so practical that I depend upon them for my bread and cheese."
— Sherlock Holmes, A Study in Scarlet (1888)

The mysterious case of the commodity conundrum is sure to elicit passionate debate on either side of the equation—is the commodity boom due to speculation or fundamentals? By the time you read this, a battle in this dispute will have taken place on April 22, 2008 with the CFTC roundtable on agricultural markets.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Natural Gas ETF Points to Down Trend / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Yesterday's up-gap spike to new highs above 55.00 in the U.S. Natural Gas Fund ETF (AMEX: UNG) followed by a close near the low of the session, which then was followed by a gap down opening this morning and a plunge to the 52.00 area, not only satisfied a multi-month upside swing target off of the Sept-Dec '07 base formation but it also left behind (for now) an exhaustion Island Reversal at the very top of the advance. Usually, such an exhaustion signal identifies a significant price peak and a near-term reversal in trend direction. Such is the case in the UNG, which now points lower towards 50.00 next, on the way to 48.00 thereafter.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Invest in Silver or Silver Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Bob_Kirtley

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn May 2006 silver spiked at fifteen dollars and the HUI Index also spiked at 400, today we have silver trading at seventeen dollars, having been as high as twenty dollars, and the HUI Index stands at 406!

This raises the question of whether it is better to invest in the metal itself or to invest in silver stocks?

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Gold Follows Oil and Euro Lower Ahead of FOMC Meeting / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF PHYSICAL GOLD fell back in Asian and early London trade on Tuesday, undoing Monday's 1.1% gain as crude oil fell, stock markets were mixed, and government bonds ticked higher after the worst two weeks for US Treasuries since 1982.

"Everybody is waiting for the Fed," notes Ronald Leung of Lee Cheong Gold Dealers in Hong Kong . "I think Gold has to stay above these levels before it can charge higher again.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Can You Profit From The Rice Shortage? / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: George_Kleinman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHow do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values?--Alan Greenspan, 1996

Rice was in the limelight this past week. Costco and Sam's Club limited the amount of rice customers could buy because of the irrational exuberance of its rice customers. The rice chart below (this is a fairly thin market that's not too actively traded in the futures) looks like an accelerated rocket ride to the moon. Historically, these kinds of moves always seem to end poorly.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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