Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, April 09, 2008
Where Is Gold Going? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: David_Vaughn
Though many of you may find this hard to believe but I believe gold is preparing to take out new highs. Nothing has changed concerning the fundamentals and the Federal Reserve is not going to be successful in fixing the many problems at the moment. Oil will continue to stabilize and find its own price platform. The housing mess has not finished yet. There are still so many adjustable rate mortgages that have not been triggered as of yet.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 09, 2008
Gold and Silver, Preparing for the Next Launch to Greater Heights / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Peter_Degraaf
Normally when a commodity rises in price, the supply increases, as producers put their product on the market to take advantage of the higher price. In the case of gold, we see the opposite to that trend. In the year 2000, just before the current bull market in gold began, the world's mines produced 2,573 tonnes. (Some sources quote 2,604 tonnes). In 2007, after gold increased in price from $260.00 to $900.00, the supply of new gold actually DECLINED by 129 tonnes, to 2,444 tonnes. South Africa , historically the world's largest supplier of gold, is now producing the lowest number of ounces in 84 years, and has been overtaken for first place by Red China. (Source www.goldsheetlinks.com ). Gold is scarce, and getting scarcer! Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 09, 2008
Gold Weakens Ahead of Central Bank Meeting / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold is down some 1% in early trading in London this morning. Gold was down $11.10 to $914.00 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was down 41 cents to $17.68 per ounce. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $906.75, £460.40 and €576.56 (from $921.00, £465.95 €584.65 yesterday).Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 09, 2008
Turning up the Heat on Coal Investing / Commodities / Coal
By: Roger_Conrad
Opponents of coal use are turning up the heat. This week, protests turned violent against a coal-fired plant being built in North Carolina by a unit of DUKE ENERGY.
Eight demonstrators from a group called “Rising Tide” were arrested after chaining themselves to construction equipment at the Cliffside facility. Others were stunned with Tasers and charged with trespassing, as police cleared the facility so work could resume.
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Wednesday, April 09, 2008
Gold Correction Presents Opportunity for Investors to Accumulate Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
Two sets of forces work on market prices. Internal factors, or market's technical conditions, can in some periods dominate all others. Second set of forces are fundamental factors. Latter is that which is happening in world that might influence market. The much enjoyed rally from last summer's lows to the joyous move above US$1,000 was driven by latter. Investors wanted to protect their purchasing power from collapse of purveyors of paper assets. Internal factors seem now to be more important at the present time. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 09, 2008
An "ABCs of Gold Investing" Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Michael_J_Kosares
"F" is for "Fundamentals"
Golden Gut Check - Why gold is likely to keep moving higher over the long run
"Gentlemen, this is a football." -
Coach Vince Lombardi at the start of Green Bay Packer football camp
Tuesday, April 08, 2008
Gold Little Moved by IMF's Planned Sale Inside Existing Central-Bank Quotas / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
SPOT MARKET GOLD PRICES slipped south of an 0.8% trading range as the US open drew near on Tuesday, falling to $915 per ounce – a little more than $1 higher for the week so far – after the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a decision to start selling 400 tonnes of its bullion reserve.Crude oil dipped 0.3% to $108.74 per barrel; Treasury yields ticked lower as bond prices rose; world stock markets fell around 1% across the board.
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Tuesday, April 08, 2008
Gold Weakens on Rumours of IMF Gold Sales / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold is down slightly in early trading in London this morning. Gold was up $13.80 to $923.10 per ounce in trading in New York Friday and silver was up 38 cents to $18.09 per ounce. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $921.00, £465.95 €584.65 (from $914.70, £460.27 and €582.17 yesterday.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 07, 2008
Silver Expected to Hold Support for Resumption of Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Clive_Maund
Although silver dropped back quite sharply last week as expected, in tune with gold, it was interesting to observe that the decline halted EXACTLY at its channel support line shown on our 1-year chart, and that it did not drop below its mid-March low on a closing basis. These are signs that it may just have bottomed, especially as it is now noticeably outperforming gold. What this means is that even if gold goes on to drop towards our intermediate maximum downside target in the $830 - $850 zone, silver may not react much further and might hold above last week's low. Traders should be remain aware of this and depending on how it pans out in the near future could aim to buy close to last week's lows with a tight stop, possibly re-entering the position in the event of being shaken out by a short-lived drop to lower levels, on subsequent strength.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 07, 2008
Gold Correction Targeting Move to $850-$830 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Clive_Maund
Gold's uptrend channel from its August low failed last week as predicted, leading to an immediate plunge to $875, from which point it bounced. The failure of the uptrend and the drop well below the 50-day moving average, now way above the 200-day, are events that together typically lead to a prolonged period of consolidation/reaction. This fits with the fundamentals where there is likely to be a significant easing of concerns about the potential insolvency of major banking and mortgage corporations and institutions as the US Fed and Treasury organize an effective taxpayer funded bailout to get them off the hook. Even though the implications of this are hyperinflationary, the general relief resulting from the aversion of immediate crisis is likely to fuel a strong rally in the broad stockmarket, as already set out in detail last week on www.clivemaund.com Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 07, 2008
Gold Rallies As Weak US Economy Puts Dollar Under Pressure / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold is up in Asian and early trading in London this morning. Gold was up $3.60 to $909.30 per ounce in trading in New York Friday and silver was up 32 cents to $17.71 per ounce. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $914.70, £460.27 and €582.17 .Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 07, 2008
Gold Correction or Price Collapse? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Darryl_R_Schoon
Conduct your victory as a funeral - Tao Te Ching , Lao-tzu
Gold's recent sell-off from a high of $1033 has sent once jubilant gold investors to the sidelines to reassess gold's present malaise. Rest assured, gold is going higher, much higher. While there will be corrections along the way, gold will someday break out and explode upwards towards yet to be reached heights.
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Monday, April 07, 2008
Gold Rises to 4 Session High as Global Equities Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
GOLD PRICES jumped to a four-session high above $918 per ounce in London trade early Monday, rising 0.5% from last week's close as crude oil rose 1% and world stock markets ticked higher.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 07, 2008
Gold and Silver Trend Still Unstable / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Joe_Nicholson
“With a potential negative crossover in the MACD possible for next week, gold could face increased selling pressure if it cannot clear the 5-week sma in short order. The long term prospects for precious metals continue to be favorable, but a little patience now could prevent a lot of frustration later.” ~ Precious Points: Dear Prudence, March 29, 2008Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 06, 2008
Gold Lower Highs and Lows Signals Bearish Trend / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Merv_Burak
Although the week started horrible it ended on an up note. Now the question is, “will the up note continue”? The step manner of the recent decline should be fodder for Elliott Wave analysts but I'll just keep it simple.
GOLD : LONG TERM
Well, the long term P&F chart has been bullish for some time now and finally is in a precarious position. It has not yet given a reversal signal to the bear but is getting close. For those of you who do not know my criteria for the issuance of a P&F reversal signal it's quite simple. In this case, to give a bear signal the chart must break below the established up trend line and below two previous lows. Well, it had broken below two previous lows earlier (at $900) but had not moved below the up trend line.
Sunday, April 06, 2008
Elliott Wave on Crude Oil and the US Dollar / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Dan_Stinson
Short Term ForecastThe USD and Crude appear to be in triangle patterns, currently in wave (D). (The Euro also appears as a triangle in wave (D).)
The action has been very corrective for the USD and Crude indicating that a brief new high for Crude and a brief new low for the USD is expected. We can confirm that a triangle pattern is in play if we see a bounce off the trendlines at the wave (D) intercepts.
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Sunday, April 06, 2008
Gold and Silver Set to Soar in Euros! / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
The focus in the gold market has always been on the $ price of gold and yet we have ample evidence of why we should not price gold in the US $, just as the oil price should not be priced in the US $. The fall of the $ has clouded the state of the global economy, its monetary system, as well as most of its markets. The gold and silver price has moved fairly closely with the € in the opposite direction to the $. But should it be attached so faithfully to the €? Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 05, 2008
Commodities 2008: Record Year in the Making / Commodities / CRB Index
By: Donald_W_Dony
KEY POINTS:• Declining U.S. dollar set for sub-$0.70 prices by mid-year; this is fuel for commodities
• Short-term pullback expected for most raw material prices in April and May
• Up too far, too fast within bull market for CRB index; support at 370
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Friday, April 04, 2008
HUI Gold Bugs Stock Index Big Daily Moves Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: Zeal_LLC
For precious-metals stock traders, weathering outsized volatility is a fact of life. Yet again over the last few weeks this truth was really driven home. The flagship HUI gold-stock index experienced some neck-snapping swings. And this generated much angst for those not yet steeled against such extreme volatility.
While long-term investors shouldn't care one bit, big swings can be very perilous for speculators. These big daily moves tend to generate intense levels of greed or fear. And these emotions are the mortal enemies of all speculators, the primary challenge that must be overcome if one is to succeed in trading.
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Friday, April 04, 2008
Gold Prices Wrong-Footed as US Payrolls Sink / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
SPOT GOLD PRICES dipped, bounced and then fell back again from a four-day high early Friday on news that US job losses exceeded expectations last month.Non-Farm Payrolls for March showed a loss of 80,000 jobs vs. Wall Street forecasts of 50,000 cuts. Even the ever-bearish Briefing.com had penciled in only a 70,000 fall.
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