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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

More Important Than Gold’s Bottoming Price  / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Time is more important than price. That’s what we – investors – are often made to believe regarding the future price movement. And rightfully so. The price could reach a bottom several dollars ahead of the predicted price target or it could break through it, leaving investors wondering, if there was a breakdown and thus they should expect to see another big downswing shortly. With time, things are clearer. The time for a given move is up and the price reverses. When is gold likely to finally bottom?

Between August and October 2018. That’s the most up-to-date estimate based on the data that we have right now. Here’s why (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

Getting Bullish on Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, discuss gold's recent moves and potential signs of a bull market.

Gold is up nine of the last 12 Januaries with an average gain of over 4%, and the trend has continued in 2018 with gold reaching an intraday high of $1,327 so far this year. From December 19 of last year, gold rose 10 trading days in a row. Is this another rally destined to disappoint investors or the resumption of the gold bull market?

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Commodities

Monday, January 08, 2018

Gold – What Are We Waiting For? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Kelsey_Williams

The other shoe to drop? The next big move? Up or down?

Gold’s reign as the “next big thing” ended seven years ago. Too many people don’t want to admit that, but its true. Those who are ‘bullish’ on gold cannot let go.

Their behavior is typical of those who have missed the boat. And they don’t want to admit it, or believe it. And their problem is compounded by the fact that they originally viewed gold as a quality investment. Now they continue to point out all of the fundamental reasons gold should go much higher. We are told it is undervalued, unappreciated, unloved. And, of course, the price is manipulated, too.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 07, 2018

Commodities the Return To Inflation? / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: WMA

The headline in this Thursday’s Financial Times reads: “Commodities prices hit highest point since 2014”.

The FT article begins: “The Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index, which tracks price of 22 raw materials, has hit its highest level since 2014 when the oil market price crash started.”

A small problem might be that the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index does not include Energy or Precious Metals, which are in other Bloomberg indexes. In fact, in the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index is a grouping of Raw Industrials and Food Stuffs. The Raw Industrials includes burlap, copper scrap, cotton, hides, lead scrap, print cloth, rosin, rubber, steel scrap, tallow, tin, wool tops, and zinc. Foodstuffs include butter, cocoa beans, corn, cottonseed oil, hogs, lard, steers, sugar, and wheat. 

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Commodities

Sunday, January 07, 2018

Natural Gas Got Bomb Cyclone in the New Year / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: EconMatters

Natural gas is the dog that got its day in the New Year trading at $175/MMBtu spot in New York. Less than a month ago, Gas Exporting Countries Forum expected lower natural gas prices “over the next two decades” mostly due to a surge in supplies from unconventional sources.

With the sever winter storm hitting much of North America, temperatures have been tumbling since the start of the New Year. Meteorologists dubbed this arctic winter storm "bomb cyclone" because of the extreme drops in pressure over a short period of time. This unusual freezing cold weather has also had a major impact on U.S. commodity markets, natural gas, in particular.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 06, 2018

Gold Stocks Upside Huge 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks have huge upside potential in 2018, likely the best among stock-market sectors.  They really lagged gold last year, so a major mean-reversion catch-up rally is coming.  The gold miners are universally ignored and deeply undervalued relative to the metal which drives their profits.  And gold itself is likely to power dramatically higher this year as euphoric record-high stock markets inevitably start to falter.

Gold has always been the leading contrarian investment, tending to move counter to stock markets.  So not surprisingly investment demand stalled last year as the extreme taxphoria-fueled stock surge blasted relentlessly higher.  When stock markets apparently do nothing but rally indefinitely, investors feel no need to prudently diversify their portfolios with the anti-stock trade gold.  So they ignored the yellow metal in 2017.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 06, 2018

Four Commodity Charts For the “There is No Inflation” Crowd / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Graham_Summers

I keep reading articles claiming that inflation is nowhere to be found.

If that is true, explain the following four charts.

Copper has broken out of a 10-year downtrend.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 06, 2018

Precious Metals Markets Outlook 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

The first trading days of 2018 are confirming signs of renewed investor interest in the precious metals sector after a long period of malaise.

Gold and silver markets entered the year with some stealth momentum after quietly posting gains late in 2017. Gold finished the year above $1,300/oz. – its best yearly close since 2012.

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Commodities

Friday, January 05, 2018

The Gold Market in 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

So another year has passed. How quickly it happened! But we hope that you did not get bored, and instead took time to learn more about the fascinating gold market. At first glance, 2017 seems to be a dull period for the yellow metal, as it was traded within a narrow range of $1,200-$1,300 for most of the year.

However, all that glitters is not gold, and all that does not fluctuate like Bitcoin is not uninteresting. Actually, the price of bullion gained more than 12 percent, as one can see in the chart below.

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Commodities

Friday, January 05, 2018

Spectre and Meltdown Highlight Online Banking and Digital Gold Risks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

– Critical hardware flaw breaks basic security: risks to online banking & digital assets
– Nearly all computers worldwide, smartphones and other devices – exposed to major security risk
– Two separate security flaws identified in devices powered by Intel, ARM and AMD chips
– Vulnerability known about for six months by tech insiders
– Cyber crime represents the biggest transfer of economic wealth in history
– Cyber crime damage costs to hit $6 trillion annually by 2021
– All digital assets and information at risk
– Crypto currencies, digital assets including gold exposed
– Physical gold’s benefits highlighted

Editor: Mark O’Byrne

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Commodities

Friday, January 05, 2018

Three Key Takeaways from December 2017 FOMC Minutes for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Yesterday, the minutes of the FOMC December meeting were released. What do they say about the Fed’s stance and what do they mean for the gold market?

The Fed Is Divided over Number of Hikes in 2018

At the December meeting, the U.S. central bank increased the federal funds rate by a quarter percentage point to a range 1.25-1.50 percent. The move was widely expected by investors, but there was no unanimity at the meeting as two FOMC members dissented. The Fed officials were also divided over the forecast of three rate hikes in 2018. The hawks noted that more hikes would be appropriate as financial conditions had not tightened since the Fed started raising rates at the end of 2015. On the other hand, the doves pointed out that too aggressive hiking might prevent a sustained return of inflation:

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Commodities

Friday, January 05, 2018

Don’t Look Now, but Gold Just Finished Its Best Year Since 2011 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Metals investors may have missed it given the gloomy sentiment that plagued markets for much of 2017, but gold just finished its best year since 2011.

Perhaps in a year like the one just passed, 13% gains are simply not inspiring. U.S. stocks finished about 25% higher for the year, and crypto-currencies including Bitcoin left all other asset classes in the dust. Bitcoin gained roughly 1,400%.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 04, 2018

The GOLD OIL Ratio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Savage

The gold:oil ratio has been trending in favor of oil for a number of months. I look for this trend to reverse soon in favor of gold.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 04, 2018

Palladium Price Surge To New All Time High Over $1,100/oz On Supply Crunch Concerns / Commodities / Palladium

By: GoldCore

– Palladium prices surge to new record high over $1,100/oz today
– Palladium surges past record nominal price seen in 2001 after 55% surge in 2017
– Best-performing precious metal and commodity of 2017 is palladium
– Palladium prices top platinum prices for first time in 16 years

– Strong Chinese car demand and switch from diesel to petrol cars sees demand surge
– Supply crunch as six year supply deficit & 2017 deficit expected to hit 83,000 ounces
– Palladium supply crunch to intensify if world’s leading producer Russia restricts supply and investors diversify into tiny palladium bullion market

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Commodities

Thursday, January 04, 2018

Chartology of the Canadian Venture Composite Index $CDNX / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Rambus_Chartology

Tonight I would like to start out by looking at the $CDNX, Canadian Venture Composite Index, which blasted higher last week and is following through this week. The reason this index is so important is because it not only has many junior precious metals stocks, but also many small cap energy related stocks as well as other speculative venture capital stocks from other sectors. This is a very good sign for the overall stock markets and commodities in general, as it shows risk capital is finding a home in which to park. This is another important clue that there is no top in the stock markets yet, because the risk on trade is still healthy.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 04, 2018

“Strength” in the Gold Miners? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold moved visibly higher during the first session of the year and this time mining stocks accompanied it. In fact, it seems that they are back on the track after a short pause. What’s the likely reason behind this year’s rally and what does it imply going forward?

Let’s jump right into the mining stock charts (chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 03, 2018

Gold Price Best Year Since 2010, Up 14%, 2018: Year of the Phoenix? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: GoldCore

Gold Bullion Prices Have Best Year Since 2010 With Near 14% Gain In 2017

– Gold posted second straight annual gain in USD in 2017
– Gold in 2017: up 13.6% USD, up 2.7% GBP, down 1.4% EUR
– 2017 is gold’s best year since 29.5% gain in 2010
– Strong performance despite rate hikes and stock bubble 
– India’s gold imports surged 67% in 2017, Turkish, Chinese demand strong
– Gold finished 2017 with longest rally since June 2016
– 2018: Currency War and The Year of the Phoenix?

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 03, 2018

Five Reasons Gold Stocks Will Breakout in 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

There are very few sellers left

There were very few sellers left in January 2016 when the devastating “forever bear” was about to end. Six months later and a 150% rebound in the large caps and 200% rise in the juniors (GDXJ) provided sellers an opportunity. They drove the miners and juniors down by 40% to 45% in less than five months. However, both GDX and GDXJ have been able to hold above that low multiple times. GDX has held $21 four times! GDXJ has held $29.50 twice in solid fashion.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 03, 2018

Precious Metals Sector is on Major Buy Signal 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest movements in the gold and silver markets, noting buy signals for both gold and silver at the close of 2017.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is up.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 03, 2018

Gold Market Themes for 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

2018 has just begun. What will a new year bring for the gold market?

Macroeconomic Outlook Will Remain Unpleasant

The current economic expansion is surprisingly durable, as it has already lasted more than 100 months. It worries many investors who are afraid of the upcoming recessions. Surely, there are many reasons to worry, and the recession will eventually come. But we are not at this point yet. The current expansion is unusually long, but it is exceptionally sluggish.

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