Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, December 06, 2016
THE Gold Play for 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
I'll keep this short...
The Trump gold rally begins on January 20th, 2017.
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Tuesday, December 06, 2016
Crude Oil Price New Highs Ahead Us? / Commodities / Crude Oil
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Friday, crude oil gained 1.21% as OPEC deal continued to support the price of the commodity. In this environment, light crude re-approached the Oct high. Will we see fresh 2016 peak in the coming week?
Let's take a look at the charts below to find out (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Tuesday, December 06, 2016
Trump Sets The Stage For A Huge Gold Rally In 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Global political tensions have not been this palpable since 9/11, when gold prices jumped 32.87% in a single day, and the amount of uncertainty being ushered in for 2017 promises to be great for the precious metal—our age-hold hedge against chaos and instability.
For a fully-funded junior gold miner backed by heavy hitters in one of the world’s hottest venues--Fiore Exploration Ltd (TSXV–F.V) the timing is brilliant, the production costs fantastic, and the future golden.
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Monday, December 05, 2016
Crude Oil Prices: "Random"? Hardly / Commodities / Crude Oil
The more emotional the market, the more predictable it is.
Last week's shocking spike in crude oil prices is +12% and counting, the biggest one-week gain in five years. Media stories blame one culprit: the November 30 OPEC agreement to cut production.
In absolute terms, the agreed-to cut is small: 1.2 million barrels a day, less than 2% of daily global oil production. Given the existing supply glut, that's a drop in the bucket (no pun intended). Yet, it was a bigger cut than the market expected; plus, the fact that OPEC members came to an agreement at all was enough to play a role in soaring prices.
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Monday, December 05, 2016
This Past Week in Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.
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Monday, December 05, 2016
Gold Relief Rally Coming and in Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Last week we wrote that Gold was broken but noted the oversold condition in the precious metals sector as well as the relative strength in the gold stocks. At one moment last week, the gold stocks were trading above where they were in mid-November when Gold was trading some $60/oz higher. In other words, Gold plummeted $60/oz and made a new low yet the gold stocks did not. It took a bit longer than we expected but Gold and gold mining stocks may have started their rebound at the end of last week.
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Sunday, December 04, 2016
Gold and Silver Bullion Buying Opportunity for 2017? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Gold and Silver prices have recently taken quite a battering with the price having fallen form a 2016 high of $1378 to its last close of $1178 which is not far from the low for 2016 of $1071 set early on in the year which is perking my interest on whether it could now be time to accumulate some more of the shiny precious metals that mankind has been obsessed with ever since we sought out the gold / silver shimmering signs of water on the horizon of the sun baked parched east african savanna as has been imprinted into our very DNA.
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Saturday, December 03, 2016
Gold And Silver – Do Not Expect Much Difference With Trump Compared To Obama / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Obama was the “Yes, we can!” hope and change candidate that become the deep state elite’s presidential lackey. It was Obama’s choice to sell his political and personal soul in serving the globalists.
History has been somewhat hidden from the public but still in the open for those who take the time to look. The US went bankrupt in 1933 when Roosevelt declared the Bank Holiday. Its purpose was to eliminate any and all banking independence and give all control over to the Federal Reserve cartel. Every bankrupt entity has a bankruptcy judge to oversee the bankruptcy. That job went to the Secretary of the Treasury as agent for the globalists that took control over the United States.
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Friday, December 02, 2016
Gold, Currencies and Markets Critical 61.8% Retracements / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
As it is quite often said (but just as often forgotten when things get volatile), no market can move up or down in a straight line. There have to be corrections along the way as some traders cash in their profits, others get scared out of their positions etc. The question is – where (at what price) is such a reversal likely to take place. Focusing on news and fundamental analysis alone will not provide you with an answer here, simply because the markets are not logical in the short term, but emotional (it is also the case in the medium term, but to a smaller extent). Consequently, we need to apply technical tools to determine what is the most likely level at which the price will reverse.
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Friday, December 02, 2016
Gold Junior Stocks Q3’16 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The junior gold miners’ and explorers’ stocks have been crushed in recent months, collateral damage from enormous gold-futures selling. That’s naturally left investors and speculators extremely bearish on gold juniors. But lost in all this technical and sentimental tumult are important fundamentals from the juniors’ recently-reported third-quarter financial and operational results, which proved quite strong and bullish.
The junior gold stocks are rightfully considered the Wild West of the gold sector. Most of the hundreds and hundreds of these small companies won’t prove successful. They won’t be able to secure funding to explore sufficiently, won’t be fortunate enough to find an economic deposit of gold to mine, or won’t be able to make the herculean leap from explorer to miner. The odds are stacked heavily against the gold juniors.
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Friday, December 02, 2016
Shale-War is over so $60 Brent Crude Oil by Christmas is highly probable: Next $85? / Commodities / Crude Oil
In April this model (http://oilpro.com/...) predicted the Saudi’s would blink in Doha and Brent would see $60 by Christmas.Well they did blink in Doha; they stopped talking about pumping an extra two-million barrels per day into the pot; incidentally that was just bravado; unless the plan was to stop using oil to make electricity...which would have been unpopular during the summer.
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Thursday, December 01, 2016
Silver Prices and Interest Rates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
“History shows the only place for interest rates to go from here is higher.”
Examine the above chart of interest rates for 200 years.
- Rates rise and fall in long cycles, 20 to 40 years from a peak to a trough.
- Important highs occurred in 1920 and 1981.
- Important lows occurred in 1946 and probably 2016.
- Current rates are the lowest in 200 years. Some analysts have said the lowest in 5,000 years.
Thursday, December 01, 2016
Gold and Silver in Review / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Gecko Research reviews the past week in gold and charts their actions.
Gold lost 1.9% or $23 last week to close on Friday at $1,184.10. Silver was, believe it or not, almost flat for the week as it closed at $16.51, down only 4c. The gold to silver ratio was 71.7 at the end of the week.
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Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Why We Haven’t Seen Gold Price Rally after Trump Victory / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Even though the markets haven’t behaved logically of late, it would have seemed a slam dunk for gold to rise if Donald Trump won. After all, we faced uncertainty around his policies, rising inflation from infrastructure spending, and higher expected growth rates.But instead, gold has headed back down more sharply. It had its initial rise in the futures market when Trump looked like he was going to win. But since then, it’s reversed course – the opposite of the stock markets.
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Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Breakdown and Slide in Crude Oil Price / Commodities / Crude Oil
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
Crude oil gained 2.21% yesterday and came back above $47, but taking a dive today, confirming that closing the long positions yesterday and taking profits off the table was a good idea. Now, the question is how much does today’s decline actually change.
Let’s take a look at the charts to find out (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
Wednesday, November 30, 2016
A 'Wicked Rally' in Gold Price Predicted / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger charts recent moves in the gold market and sees a rally in the making.
Last week I felt that IF gold broke $1,180, it could see another $140 downside, taking it to the December 2015 lows of around $1,045. I also saw that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) was at the extremely low levels usually associated with bottoms.
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Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Silver Market Sentiment Looks Golden / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Chart of the Day
Bullish sentiment among silver traders recently fell to 8 percent, the lowest reading since mid-2015. So, sentiment is in the right place for the next big leg in the price pattern.
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Wednesday, November 30, 2016
A 6 Step Plan for Trump to Make Our Money Great Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jp Cortez & Stefan Gleason : Donald Trump will be sworn in as the 45th president of the United States in January. Americans will then find out then if "Make America Great Again" is more than a campaign slogan.
It isn't going to be easy. On day one, he will inherit a $20 trillion federal deficit and a moribund economy increasingly reliant on low interest rates and central bank stimulus.
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Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Indian Demonetization Denotes Severe Stress in the Global Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
It is becoming clear that the Indian currency demonetization is actually a planned attack on Indian gold demand, launched to disrupt gold prices and discredit gold as an asset class. The attack was required to alleviate severe stress in the global gold market that is becoming increasingly difficult for the Deep State controllers to contain.
For two decades, physical gold has been migrating from the west to the east in increasing quantities. Numerous reports cross-confirm that the world’s leading refineries are operating at capacity to convert western gold into the kilo products demanded by Asian buyers. Refiners also confirm that the sourcing of western gold has become problematic, as supplies dry up in the face of voracious world, and particularly eastern demand.
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Tuesday, November 29, 2016
Owning Gold and Silver in Troubling Times / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
I am writing this article for the gold and silver bullion purchaser who wants the comfort, the insurance of owning some gold and silver in what are very troubling times.
There's a lot going on in the world - from Trump being elected in the U.S. to turmoil in the middle east, the China Sea and Turkey, Russia is flexing it's still considerable might, North Korea's flinging it's nukes helter skelter, Japan's rearming, disease runs rampant and fear escalates about virus mutation, there's shortages of fresh water with many rivers not reaching their former endpoint and of course climate change is rearing its head to destabilize natural rhythms or cycles. Add in out of control population growth, the divide between races, religion and wage inequality - the have and have not's - and a coming major economic collapse caused by interest rate increases on the trillions and trillions of dollars of global debt and it'd be hard to go back in history and pick a period of time when things weren't so combustible.
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