
Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, September 06, 2013
Gold and Silver Stocks No Retest of June Lows / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
 Recently I’ve received some emails from those who are concerned about a retest of the June low in the precious metals complex. That prompted me to look at how rebounds develop from significant bottoms. In recent months we focused on historical bottoms in gold stocks and it helped us to pinpoint the best buying opportunities. In this editorial we broaden the scope and examine how certain bottoms play out and why they play out in a particular manner. The length and depth of the preceding bear market helps us to understand how the ensuing bull market evolves during its initial rebound.
Recently I’ve received some emails from those who are concerned about a retest of the June low in the precious metals complex. That prompted me to look at how rebounds develop from significant bottoms. In recent months we focused on historical bottoms in gold stocks and it helped us to pinpoint the best buying opportunities. In this editorial we broaden the scope and examine how certain bottoms play out and why they play out in a particular manner. The length and depth of the preceding bear market helps us to understand how the ensuing bull market evolves during its initial rebound.
Thursday, September 05, 2013
Gold Price, What Can We Infer From Copper and Palladium? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: P_Radomski_CFA
 According to Reuters, gold rose after  President Barack Obama won the backing of key figures in the U.S. Congress,  including Republicans, in his call for limited strikes on Syria to punish the  government for its suspected use of chemical weapons against civilians. Earlier  on Tuesday, a missile test by Israeli forces training in the Mediterranean with  the U.S. Navy set nerves on edge. These circumstances stimulated safe-haven  buying in the gold market and resulted in an increase in price to above $1,416  an ounce.
According to Reuters, gold rose after  President Barack Obama won the backing of key figures in the U.S. Congress,  including Republicans, in his call for limited strikes on Syria to punish the  government for its suspected use of chemical weapons against civilians. Earlier  on Tuesday, a missile test by Israeli forces training in the Mediterranean with  the U.S. Navy set nerves on edge. These circumstances stimulated safe-haven  buying in the gold market and resulted in an increase in price to above $1,416  an ounce.
Thursday, September 05, 2013
Top 10 Reasons To Buy Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: hiddensecretsofmoney
  Mike Maloney writes: As I have said many times before, the economic crisis of 2008 was   only a speed bump on the way to the main event.  I believe that before   the end of this decade there will be an economic crisis so historic that   it will eclipse the crash of 29 and the subsequent great depression.  I   also believe it is both unavoidable and inevitable, because it is   merely the free market releasing the stored up energy from decades of   economic manipulation.  Yes… bad things are going to happen, but it   could be the best thing that ever happened to you.
Mike Maloney writes: As I have said many times before, the economic crisis of 2008 was   only a speed bump on the way to the main event.  I believe that before   the end of this decade there will be an economic crisis so historic that   it will eclipse the crash of 29 and the subsequent great depression.  I   also believe it is both unavoidable and inevitable, because it is   merely the free market releasing the stored up energy from decades of   economic manipulation.  Yes… bad things are going to happen, but it   could be the best thing that ever happened to you.
Wednesday, September 04, 2013
Gold Drops with Oil as US & Russia Argue Over Syria Ahead of G20 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Adrian_Ash
 WHOLESALE GOLD fell back below $1400 per ounce for the third day running Wednesday lunchtime in London, dropping to $1393 and trading 1.7% below yesterday's high as crude oil and world stock markets both fell 0.5%.
WHOLESALE GOLD fell back below $1400 per ounce for the third day running Wednesday lunchtime in London, dropping to $1393 and trading 1.7% below yesterday's high as crude oil and world stock markets both fell 0.5%.
Silver dropped to $23.53 per ounce, some 4.0% below Tuesday's top.
  
  Major government bonds edged higher, nudging interest rates down, while weaker Eurozone debt fell in price.
Wednesday, September 04, 2013
Gold Looks Good Here; Gold Miners Look Even Better / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes: When gold bullion prices fell just below $1,200 an ounce on June 28 of this year, the general consensus was that buyers had run out. After all, why would someone buy an asset that was declining in value so fast? That line of thinking, which I pointed out many times in this column as ridiculous, didn’t pan out.
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Wednesday, September 04, 2013
An American Energy Revolution / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: Frank_Holmes
   In Texas  these days, there’s a feeling of absolute and unwavering confidence in the  concept of an American energy revolution. From the depths of reserves to the  richness of the energy, an incredible transformation is taking place.
In Texas  these days, there’s a feeling of absolute and unwavering confidence in the  concept of an American energy revolution. From the depths of reserves to the  richness of the energy, an incredible transformation is taking place.
  We’ve been talking about the significant impact of the U.S.’s oil production for a while now, but the buzz about shale oil and gas is only getting louder.  At Morgan Stanley’s energy forum in Houston  in August, Director of Research John Derrick and Portfolio Manager Evan Smith  said shale was the prevailing topic.
Tuesday, September 03, 2013
Gold and Silver Off to the Races / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Peter_Schiff
 Summer is traditionally a slow season for precious metals, but this   summer started with a rout. In the last week of June, gold and silver   hit 2-year lows of $1,192 and $18.61 respectively.
Summer is traditionally a slow season for precious metals, but this   summer started with a rout. In the last week of June, gold and silver   hit 2-year lows of $1,192 and $18.61 respectively.
  
  Fortunately,   after staggering along the lows, the precious metals are off to the   races once more - with gold rallying more than 18% and silver 31%. This   remarkable performance continues even in the face of the Fed's sustained   tapering threats.
Tuesday, September 03, 2013
Dave Forest: How to Play the Looming Platinum Supply Crisis / Commodities / Platinum
By: Metals_Report
 South Africa, platinum mining giant, is about to fall off the investment map, says Dave Forest of Pierce Points. Until the country sorts out its labor politics, there is a real need to establish alternative sources of platinum group metals, vanadium and manganese. In other words, while it's a bad time to be a miner in South Africa, it's a good time to hold in-ground reserves. In this interview with The Metals Report, Forest names deposits in the Americas and elsewhere in Africa with the potential to meet global platinum needs. But he's choosing carefully, because even in times of scarcity, Forest argues, it just won't do to develop anything other than the best, most economic mining projects.
South Africa, platinum mining giant, is about to fall off the investment map, says Dave Forest of Pierce Points. Until the country sorts out its labor politics, there is a real need to establish alternative sources of platinum group metals, vanadium and manganese. In other words, while it's a bad time to be a miner in South Africa, it's a good time to hold in-ground reserves. In this interview with The Metals Report, Forest names deposits in the Americas and elsewhere in Africa with the potential to meet global platinum needs. But he's choosing carefully, because even in times of scarcity, Forest argues, it just won't do to develop anything other than the best, most economic mining projects.
Tuesday, September 03, 2013
Gold Touches $1400 as "High Syria Risks" Meet "Price-Sensitive" Asian Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Adrian_Ash
WHOLESALE London prices for physical gold jumped $15 from a drop to $1384 per ounce Tuesday morning, gaining after the Interfax news agency in Russia – political ally of Syria's President Assad – reported two "objects" being fired in the Mediterranean, towards the sea's eastern coast.
  
  The gold price then fell back only to rise and touch $1400 for the first time this week – 2.5% below last Wednesday's 3-month high – as Israel confirmed the launch, saying it was done to test what Reuters calls a "US-funded" anti-missile system.  
Monday, September 02, 2013
Drums Of War Spark Rally In Gold, Silver and Energy Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Hubert_Moolman
 A potential bull market in commodities, precious metals and  miners could accelerate higher if Congress gives Obama the approval to attack  Syria based on the use of chemical weapons of mass destruction against innocent  civilians. Commodities, energy, gold and silver are safe havens that usually  rise in value during international conflicts and war. Remember the major  breakout in gold after September 11th in 2001 and the invasion of Iraq in 2003.  The ramifications of increased involvement in the Middle East could have a  major impact on global trade. The tensions with Russia is increasing as Putin  supports Assad.
A potential bull market in commodities, precious metals and  miners could accelerate higher if Congress gives Obama the approval to attack  Syria based on the use of chemical weapons of mass destruction against innocent  civilians. Commodities, energy, gold and silver are safe havens that usually  rise in value during international conflicts and war. Remember the major  breakout in gold after September 11th in 2001 and the invasion of Iraq in 2003.  The ramifications of increased involvement in the Middle East could have a  major impact on global trade. The tensions with Russia is increasing as Putin  supports Assad.
Monday, September 02, 2013
Crude Oil Price No Breakout But the Trend Remains in Place / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
 From  today’s point of view, it seems that the situation hasn’t changed much since  our last Oil Update, because light crude is trading between $105 and $107 per  barrel once again - just like it did a week ago. However, last week was very  interesting and brought a significant improvement in the oil market – a  positive change which, eventually, turned out to be only temporary.
From  today’s point of view, it seems that the situation hasn’t changed much since  our last Oil Update, because light crude is trading between $105 and $107 per  barrel once again - just like it did a week ago. However, last week was very  interesting and brought a significant improvement in the oil market – a  positive change which, eventually, turned out to be only temporary. 
The crude market is always sensitive to Middle East conflict. As you remember, prices rose to $115 on the unrest in Libya two years ago and to $110 on Iran’s nuclear program. In the previous week we saw similar price action.
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Monday, September 02, 2013
Gold Slips in Thin Holiday Trade, But Hedge Funds "Wary of Being Short" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Adrian_Ash
 The PRICE of gold bullion bars slipped Monday morning, recovering early $25 drop in quiet dealing as Asian and European stock markets rose following strong manufacturing data.
The PRICE of gold bullion bars slipped Monday morning, recovering early $25 drop in quiet dealing as Asian and European stock markets rose following strong manufacturing data.
  
  With the US markets closed for the end-of-summer holiday, gold edged down to $1389 per ounce by lunchtime in London, just over 3% below last week's three-month high.
Monday, September 02, 2013
Massive Debt Levels Will Push Silver Price To Beyond $150 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Hubert_Moolman
The massive debt bubble created by our monetary system is about to burst. The demonetization of gold and silver, has over the years diverted value from these metals, to all paper assets (such as bonds) linked to the debt-based monetary system.
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Sunday, September 01, 2013
Gold And Silver Market Says 1 -2 Years Sideways, Not Up / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Michael_Noonan
 Re 1 - 2 years of potentially moving sideways, we would be happy to be wrong.
Re 1 - 2 years of potentially moving sideways, we would be happy to be wrong. 
In a week of no news relevant to gold and silver, gold slipped under the 1400 level, for some "unknown" reason, while silver just slipped a little. Friday marked the close of the week and month, for charting purposes. A look at the Quarterly, in progress, seemed a good idea, as well.
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Sunday, September 01, 2013
Gold Price Trend - Time for a Brief Pause / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Toby_Connor
  Now that gold has broken its daily cycle trend line I think we can assume that the daily cycle decline has probably begun. My best guess is that we will see gold drop into next week's employment report and test the support zone and intermediate trend line between $1340-$1350.
Now that gold has broken its daily cycle trend line I think we can assume that the daily cycle decline has probably begun. My best guess is that we will see gold drop into next week's employment report and test the support zone and intermediate trend line between $1340-$1350.
Saturday, August 31, 2013
Bombed Out Gold Market is Bottoming / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Aden_Forecast
 The war drums are beating. This has driven gold higher and the June lows look   like a classic bottom.
The war drums are beating. This has driven gold higher and the June lows look   like a classic bottom.
Think about it. Gold had been dribbling down all year, but when the Fed began its tapering talk in mid-June, it pushed gold down to new lows.
The already bruised gold price broke down, plunging to the $1200 area in late June, only to zip back up above $1300 four weeks later.
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Saturday, August 31, 2013
China Loves West’s 99 Fine Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Richard_Mills
 According to Bloomberg, whose calculations were based on Hong Kong customs   data, net gold imports into China more than doubled in the first half of 2013 to   493 metric tons, up from roughly 239 tons over the same period in 2012.
According to Bloomberg, whose calculations were based on Hong Kong customs   data, net gold imports into China more than doubled in the first half of 2013 to   493 metric tons, up from roughly 239 tons over the same period in 2012.
The China Gold Association said gold consumption in China jumped 54 percent to 706.36 metric tons in the first six months of 2013.
Bloomberg reported takeovers and asset purchases by China's gold mining companies reached a record $2.24 billion this year, up considerably from 2012's record of $1.96 billion worth of M&A activity.
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Saturday, August 31, 2013
Gold and the Return of Global Turmoil / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Clif_Droke
 The last several weeks have seen a return of all the ingredients for a gold   rally, from an "oversold" technical condition which sparked a short-covering   rally to a spike in Treasury yields which caused investors to look for safe   haven investments. Gold has benefited from the rising interest rates as well as   the weakness in the U.S. dollar. Now a new set of factors is playing into gold's   favor....
The last several weeks have seen a return of all the ingredients for a gold   rally, from an "oversold" technical condition which sparked a short-covering   rally to a spike in Treasury yields which caused investors to look for safe   haven investments. Gold has benefited from the rising interest rates as well as   the weakness in the U.S. dollar. Now a new set of factors is playing into gold's   favor....
Saturday, August 31, 2013
Emergency Crisis - First Finance, Then Debt, What Next? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Adrian_Ash
 If  Syria is to blame for this run, then the world's in very big trouble...
If  Syria is to blame for this run, then the world's in very big trouble...
SO JUST like that, there were no sellers in the gold or silver markets. It's been buyers only amongst BullionVault users this week.
New account openings were strong this week too, the greatest number since the April price crash in fact. Cash deposits were also sharply higher, the heaviest since end-June – the week gold and silver hit their second big slump, and bargain hunters on BullionVault got just the crash they wanted.
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Saturday, August 31, 2013
Syria Attack, Pipeline Politics, OPEC & the U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Jim_Willie_CB
 Syria is about the last gasp for the Petro-Dollar, the emergence of  energy pipeline geopolitics, the rise of the NatGas Coop, the new dominance of  Russian Gazprom, the eclipse of OPEC, the fall of the house of Saud, and a  grand adjustment process in global commerce and banking. Refer to trade  settlement outside the USDollar and diversification away from USTreasury Bond  reserves management. It took some time to realize it, but the Cyprus bank  incident was a misdirected attack against Gazprom. It failed. The entire Arab  Spring movement, an ambitious disruptive project waged with foolhardy ambitions,  has turned on itself. Egypt  fell, its US  puppet discharged. The entire North African region will be in flames soon. The  USGovt interfered with a grand industrialization project for European industry,  to be placed on North Africa intended to take  advantage of cheaper labor, available minerals, nearby resources, and easy  shipping. The resentment of Europe will show  up in the future. The Middle East and Persian Gulf region is shifting its  salute to Russia & China, as the  noisy sectarian battles have been a common fixture since long ago. Bahrain has  erupted. Saudi is clamping down and converting into an Islamic police state to  create the Iran-Saudi repressive bobsey twins. Chaos is the longstanding  objective of the USGovt in foreign policy infection, no change in decades.
Syria is about the last gasp for the Petro-Dollar, the emergence of  energy pipeline geopolitics, the rise of the NatGas Coop, the new dominance of  Russian Gazprom, the eclipse of OPEC, the fall of the house of Saud, and a  grand adjustment process in global commerce and banking. Refer to trade  settlement outside the USDollar and diversification away from USTreasury Bond  reserves management. It took some time to realize it, but the Cyprus bank  incident was a misdirected attack against Gazprom. It failed. The entire Arab  Spring movement, an ambitious disruptive project waged with foolhardy ambitions,  has turned on itself. Egypt  fell, its US  puppet discharged. The entire North African region will be in flames soon. The  USGovt interfered with a grand industrialization project for European industry,  to be placed on North Africa intended to take  advantage of cheaper labor, available minerals, nearby resources, and easy  shipping. The resentment of Europe will show  up in the future. The Middle East and Persian Gulf region is shifting its  salute to Russia & China, as the  noisy sectarian battles have been a common fixture since long ago. Bahrain has  erupted. Saudi is clamping down and converting into an Islamic police state to  create the Iran-Saudi repressive bobsey twins. Chaos is the longstanding  objective of the USGovt in foreign policy infection, no change in decades. 

