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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, July 01, 2013

The Bell Just Rang On Gold Stocks - The Lows Are In! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: David_Banister

As they say on Wall Street, “They don’t ring bells at the top” and for sure they usually don’t give you a phone call at the bottom either. Many heads have rolled trying to call this recent near 2 year downdraft in Gold in terms of bottom callers, me included. I thought we would never get much below 1440 or so from the 1923 highs, but alas we all know we did.

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Commodities

Monday, July 01, 2013

The Golden Gold Price Cycle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Peter_Schiff

The New York Times had the definitive take on the vicious sell off in gold. To summarize one of their articles:

Two years ago gold bugs ran wild as the price of gold rose nearly six times. But since cresting two years ago it has steadily declined, almost by half, putting the gold bugs in flight.  The most recent advisory from a leading Wall Street firm suggests that the price will continue to drift downward, and may ultimately settle 40% below current levels.

The rout says a lot about consumer confidence in the worldwide recovery. The sharply reduced rates of inflation combined with resurgence of other, more economically productive investments, such as stocks, real estate, and bank savings have combined to eliminate gold's allure.

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Commodities

Monday, July 01, 2013

Gold Price Rally Only Technical Bounce / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The PRICE of gold rose hard in Asian trade Monday morning, extending Friday's strong rally, but slipped back in London to start the third quarter of 2013 with an AM Fix of $1243.50 per ounce.

That was 26% below New Year for US Dollar investors, 21% down in Sterling, and 25% lower in Euros.

Silver also spiked before pulling back, dropping below Friday's finish at $19.69 per ounce.

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Commodities

Monday, July 01, 2013

Russia and China Building Their Gold Reserves / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Chairman Mao Western economic commentary on China and Russia is usually coloured by monetarist assumptions not necessarily shared in Moscow and Beijing. For this reason, Russian and Chinese fiscal and monetary policies are misunderstood in financial markets, as well as the reasons their governments buy gold.

China has been notably relaxed about her own people acquiring gold, and the government itself appears to be absorbing all of China’s mine output. Russia is also building her official reserves from her own mine supply. The result over time has been the transfer of aboveground gold stocks towards these countries and their allies. The geo-political implications are highly important, but have been ignored by western governments.

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Commodities

Monday, July 01, 2013

Is the Gold Bubble Phase About to Begin? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Toby_Connor

I think the manipulation after QE4 has accelerated the bull market. We now have the necessary conditions for the bubble phase in gold to begin. I was expecting the second phase correction (the correction that separates the second phase of the bull market from the bubble phase) to occur at the next 8 year cycle low due in 2016. However I think the manipulation of the precious metals markets over the last 8 months has probably shortened the bull market.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 30, 2013

Gold Stocks Low? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: WavePatternTraders

I have been tracking a potential 5 wave decline in Gold stocks to help me also find a low in Gold.

Fridays reversal in both the $HUI and Gold was an encouraging sign for the bulls and whilst its only a 1 day move, it has the potential for something much more.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 30, 2013

Time To Buy Gold Again? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Brian_Bloom

The following interview with Jim Sinclair is highly significant in my view. (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GNjAg9x1_s8)

I find myself respecting what this man says and I think he is reading the gold market situation substantially correctly. He made four salient points in the first half of the talk (the second half was elaboration)

1.    When the bordello is raided, even the piano may need to be sold by the owners so that they may survive in the immediate future. Thereafter, the facts of life re-establish themselves and they regroup. The gold price has been falling for various reasons, including a raid by the authorities. It will bottom when weak holders are forced to sell the piano. Thereafter, it will rise.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Has Gold Lost Its Shine For Good? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

George Leong writes: Back in April, I said gold was looking bad on the chart and that as long as the stock market continued to advance higher, the prospects for gold were dim. (Read “Is Gold’s Near-Death Crisis Over-Exaggerated? Concerns of a Market Meltdown May Not Be.”)

Fast-forward two months, and while stocks have been in a minor correction, there continues to be distaste for holding gold.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

The Misunderstood Link Between Crude Oil, Natural Gas and Inflation / Commodities / Inflation

By: Money_Morning

Dr Kent Moors writes: According to conventional wisdom, there can't be a significant rise in inflation without a corresponding, and usually preceding, jump in energy prices.

In fact, the correlation between energy prices and inflation has become almost a mantra among some market pundits.

Unfortunately, the reality is somewhat different than what's portrayed by talking heads in thirty- second sound bites.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Gold And Silver Don't Blink! Purely A Mental Game Right Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

"Water, water everywhere, nor any drop to drink."

There is a similar situation with regard to fiat paper everywhere, but not a gold delivery to be made. The delirium cast by central bankers issuing unlimited fiat has kept so many people in a fiat-induced fog, unable to see clearly. The fog has lifted. It is all a game. See the fraudulent scheme for what it is and then fear no more. It is just a matter of time before everything unravels, as it surely is.

The price of gold and silver are closer to a bottom than a top. The QE-Infinity is closer to a top and will collapse under its own "goldless" weight. The PM holders are on the correct side of history. Understand that it has been one of the bigger world scams played by the central bankers, the illuminati who believed themselves untouchable, beyond the scope of comprehension by the non-banking world.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Defying Gold and Silver Bulls Optimism / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: EWI

Gold and silver have been all over the financial news.

On Thursday, June 20, silver fell below $20 (-60% from 2011 high), and gold fell below $1300 (-30% from 2011 high).

We first published the chart below after metals plunged in mid-April. It shows EWI's forecasts not only leading up to those big moves ... but during the past three years of opportunity.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Gold and Silver Ground Floor Investor Opportunity In Next Super-Cycle? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jeb_Handwerger

The gold (GDX) and silver (SIL) miners have been hammered down to historic 1999 lows, while the U.S. banks (XLF) and U.S. dollar (UUP) reach new heights.  This is a great opportunity for value investors to enter the mining sector at possibly the ground floor of a commodity supercycle. 

Many amateur investors may be prematurely assuming that all is well with the global economic picture.  The fine tuning of the economy by the Central Banks and specifically Ben Bernanke appears to have been a major success to the masses.  On the other hand, astute investors who have learned from history and are aware of the financial risks stemming from currency devaluation.  Could this really be an illusion?  Could the dollar be on the verge of a collapse?  Is The Fed losing control of interest rates that could spike higher? 

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Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Are Gold and Silver Now Zombie Metals? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Investment_U

Sean Brodrick writes: The action in the gold and silver markets is enough to drive precious metals traders crazy, and in some cases, I think it has.

Analysts who once talked up the metals are now saying gold will slump to $900 an ounce… or lower. Investors who once loved mining stocks now loathe them. And on the other side, you have respectable people, furious over gold’s decline, talking about the metal going to “infinity.”

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Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Epic Investor Opportunity in Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

First, let me say I've been way too early on this call. I've been wrong and don't deny it. You have to own up to mistakes, learn from them and be humble. Moving along, the precious metals sector is likely days or potentially hours away from a bottom. With respect to Gold, we are targeting $1180 or slightly below with $1080 as a worst-case scenario. The stocks are a bit more instructive for several reasons. First, they have a more consistent history and second, the stocks bottomed ahead of Gold (using daily closing prices) at the major lows in 2000-2001 and 2008. Using data from the Barron's Gold Mining Index (BGMI) and the HUI Gold Bugs Index (HUI) we put together a chart of all of the major declines in gold stocks. We also annotated the ensuing recoveries.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Junior Gold Mining Stocks Cleansing / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

There’s not much arguing against gold stocks being the most hated sector in the markets these days.  And with such a loathing, you can only imagine the visceral disdain towards the more risky juniors.

Provocatively it wasn’t too long ago that the junior subsector was a speculators’ paradise that offered legendary gains.  These small companies are of course a vital component of the gold ecosystem.  And the quality ones that made solid discoveries while skillfully advancing their projects towards development would righteously see their stocks soar.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Uranium, Cobalt and Silver - Recognizing Investor Opportunity In Difficulty / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Richard_Mills

Right now I’m a big fan of uranium, cobalt and silver. Here’s why…

Uranium

In 2012 world consumption of uranium was 165 million pounds versus 152 million pounds of mined uranium production. Globally there are 434 nuclear reactors operable, 67 reactors are under construction, 159 are on order or planned and 318 are proposed.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Where is the Gold Price Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Without a doubt, this was a week of strong declines for the yellow metal. What could we read in newspapers and see on TV? The big banks were falling over each other in their scramble to get on the bear bandwagon. Here are some sample headlines:

Morgan Stanley to Goldman Cut Gold Forecasts on Fed Outlook

"'Paradigm shift' to send gold sliding to $1,200 an ounce: SocGen"

"Gold to Drop Even Further as Fed Increases Real Rates: Goldman Sachs"

"Deutsche Bank cuts gold, silver forecast for 2013"

"Credit Suisse cuts gold, silver, Brent forecasts"

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, June 28, 2013

Gold Price Fresh Technical Damage, Mining Industry Faces Losing Money / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

GOLD and SILVER both bounced in London trade Friday, only to slip back again after recording new 34-month lows overnight.

Asian stock markets closed higher but European equities slipped.

The major currencies held steady, and government bonds were flat overall, as were commodities.

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Commodities

Friday, June 28, 2013

Blood In The Streets Of Gold Market. Repeat Of 1970s Bull Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,203.25, EUR 921.89 and GBP 789.33 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,232.00, EUR 945.51 and GBP 806.07 per ounce.

Gold fell $25.00 or 2.04% yesterday and closed at $1,199.10/oz. Silver finished the day with a slight loss of 0.11% at $18.50/oz.

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Commodities

Friday, June 28, 2013

Crude Oil is the Next Major Commodity to Crash / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EconMatters

We have seen how Gold and Silver were viciously attacked by the shorts this past week, and surprisingly Oil escaped the carnage which is interesting because in April Oil was taken down to the $86 level during the last attack on the Gold and Silver markets. This is even stranger considering the fundamentals for the Oil market are even more bearish than they were in April from a supply standpoint as exemplified by the latest EIA report on Wednesday on this week. There is little doubt however that since the easy money is gleaned from the Gold attack, the Feral Hogs will start looking for their next target, and the Oil market will be high on their list in the upcoming months as the summer driving season winds down, and bulging supplies start to weigh on trader`s sentiments.

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