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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Monday, April 18, 2016

Helicopter Money to the Rescue / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Frank_Hollenbeck

Following the unconventional monetary policy of negative interest rates, central banks are now considering an even more desperate measure: “helicopter money.” Milton Friedman is credited with this idea:

Let us suppose now that one day a helicopter flies over this community and drops an additional $1,000 in bills from the sky, which is, of course, hastily collected by members of the community. Let us suppose further that everyone is convinced that this is a unique event which will never be repeated.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 13, 2016

Janet Yellen Meets With Obama In Emergency Meetings As Crises Erupt Worldwide / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

The Credit Suisse Fear Barometer just hit an all-time high as reports circulated through the alternative media that Barack Obama discussed the imposition of martial law when he and Vice President Joe Biden met with Yellen on Monday in an “emergency meeting.”

The reports may be exaggerated but not the crisis-like feel of the meetings. This was reportedly a first: having the president and VP meeting directly with the Fed head. Does it have something to do with the “survival of the government” at a time when the US banking system may be facing a general default? According to some reports: “Members of the House and Senate are said to have been ‘up all night’ in discussions and meetings; with floods of phone calls back and forth. ”

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Panama Papers and the War on Savings, Bail-Ins, Push to Go Cashless / Interest-Rates / War on Cash

By: Ellen_Brown

Exposing tax dodgers is a worthy endeavor, but the "limited hangout" of the Panama Papers may have less noble ends, dovetailing with the War on Cash and the imminent threat of massive bail-ins of depositor funds.

The bombshell publication of the "Panama Papers," leaked from a Panama law firm specializing in shell companies, has triggered both outrage and skepticism. In an April 3 article titled "Corporate Media Gatekeepers Protect Western 1% From Panama Leak," UK blogger Craig Murray writes that the whistleblower no doubt had good intentions; but he made the mistake of leaking his 11.5 million documents to the corporate-controlled Western media, which released only those few documents incriminating opponents of Western financial interests. Murray writes:

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

One Chart Reveals Fed's True Intent; Wreck Havoc on The Middle Class / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Sol_Palha

"Crises refine life. In them, you discover what you are." ~ Allan K. Chalmers

What strikes one immediately is that the Fed has been creating money hand over fist; one hand they create money, with the other hand they buy assets and put it on their books, all looks well until you realize this is something called monetization of debt. Paper buying more paper and in most nations this leads to hyperinflation and a currency collapse. However as the Dollar is the world reserve currency. The Fed can magically create money out of thin air and use this newly created money to pay bills and or prop up markets as is currently the case.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 11, 2016

Subprime Debt Makes a Comeback; Auto Loan Crisis is Here / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016

By: Sol_Palha

"A great calamity is as old as the trilobites an hour after it has happened." ~ Oliver Wendell Holmes

Greed and recklessness continue to govern the markets; nothing was learned from the 2008 financial crisis. Hence, history is destined to repeat itself, and this might occur a lot faster than most anticipate. Fitch states that Subprime Auto bond delinquencies are at a 20 year high.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 07, 2016

Bullard - Fed Reserves the Right to Change U.S. Interest Rate Policy at Any Time / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Bloomberg

St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard spoke with Bloomberg Radio's Kathleen Hays today on Bloomberg Radio & Television. While Bullard said he "didn't want to prejudge" whether the committee could act in April, the St. Louis Fed official said last month's employment report showed "continuing improvement" in the labor market.

Bullard said the Fed reserves the right to change policy at any time: "Not only have we moved at all kinds of different meetings, we've actually had inter-meeting meetings, special meetings, and moved at those meetings. So you can do a lot of things. You know, I'm not saying we're I'm planning on that or anything, but the Committee certainly reserves the right to make a move at any time... We debate at all meetings. I think all meetings are live meetings. There's no other way to think about it."

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, April 02, 2016

Wall Street is Coo-Coo for CoCo Bonds - Learn why these new bonds are such risky instruments / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: EWI

The co-editor of our monthly Elliott Wave Financial Forecast newsletter tells you about the emergence of the so-called CoCo bonds, one of the hottest new derivative-backed instruments on Wall Street.

Listen as Peter explains what differentiates them from regular bonds -- and why they're so risky to own.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, April 01, 2016

Fed Watchers April Fools in March / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Peter_Schiff

It may be almost impossible to underestimate the gullibility of professional Fed watchers. At least Lucy van Pelt needed to place an actual football on the ground to fool poor Charlie Brown. But in today's high stakes game of Federal Reserve mind reading, the Fed doesn't even have to make a halfway convincing bluff to make the markets look foolish.

Just two weeks ago, the release of the Fed's March policy statement and the subsequent press conference by Chairwoman Janet Yellen should have made it abundantly clear that the Central Bank policy had retreated substantially from the territory it had previously staked out for itself. In December it had anticipated four rate hikes in 2016, but suddenly those had been pared down to two. Based on the conclusion that the era of easy money had been extended for at least a few more innings, the dollar sold off and stocks and commodities rallied.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, April 01, 2016

A Visual Look At The Fed Decision From A Retirement Investor's Perspective / Interest-Rates / Pensions & Retirement

By: Dan_Amerman

Below is the transcript for the video. While the images are included below, the motion graphics and use of a pointer are quite helpful for conveying the information, and these can only be seen by watching the video.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

Fed Will Be Forced to Lower Interest Rates and Declare War on Cash / Interest-Rates / War on Cash

By: Sol_Palha

"No great genius has ever existed without some touch of madness." ~ Aristotle

The simple and easy to understand chart shown below quite clearly illustrates why the Fed has no option but to lower interest rates. Central bankers worldwide have already embraced negative rates, so it is just a matter of time before our central bankers are forced to walk down the same path. The Fed is trying to put on a brave act, but you can already see them backtracking from the strong stance they took last year. Now they are stating that all is not well, and the economic outlook is weaker than expected. Rubbish we already stated in several articles that they would take this path and that the only reason they even raised interest rates was so that they could come out with an excuse to lower them again.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

New Zealand’s Surprise Interest Rate Cut Highlights Concern Of A Global Currency War / Interest-Rates / Currency War

By: Nicholas_Kitonyi

On Wednesday March 9th the Reserve Bank of New Zealand announced a surprise cut in New Zealand’s benchmark interest rate by 25bps to 2.25%. That is the fifth rate cut by the RBNZ since June in the hope to spur economic growth and to boost exports by weakening the New Zealand dollar. This is a historic low for New Zealand’s interest rate.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Federal Reserve's Policy Forecasts Two Down - Two to Go / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Peter_Schiff

The Federal Reserve's years-long campaign to sheepishly back away from its own policy forecasts continued in earnest last week when it officially reduced the four expected 2016 quarter point hikes, suggested back in December, to just two. Given the deteriorating economic outlook, I believe there can be little doubt that the Fed will soon complete the capitulation process and remove all expectations for additional hikes this year. Even before that happens, savvy observers should have already concluded that the Federal Reserve is stuck in the monetary mud just as firmly now as it has been since the dawn of the financial crisis back in 2008.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Yellen, Draghi, Kuroda: Deranged Lab Rats / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: James_Quinn

The stock market has regained all of its loses year to date as economic indicators continue to flash red, corporate profits continue to plunge, consumers continue to spend less at retailers, real wages continue to fall, and housing sales continue to decline. The entire dead cat bounce has been generated through corporate stock buybacks, Wall Street lemmings trying to make up for their terrible year to date investing performance, and central bankers who will stop at nothing to verbally manipulate markets higher - since their monetary machinations over the last seven years have been a miserable failure in reviving the real economy.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Subprime Auto Loans: the Next Financial Crisis Shoe to Drop? / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Mike_Whitney

Booming auto sales have more to do with low rates and easy financing than they do with the urge to buy a new vehicle.  In the last few years, car buyers have borrowed nearly $1 trillion to finance new and used autos.  Unfortunately, much of that money was lent to borrowers who have less-than-perfect credit and who might not be able to repay the debt. Recently there has been a surge in delinquencies among subprime borrowers whose loans were packaged into bonds and sold to investors. The situation is similar to the trouble that preceded the Crash of 2008 when prices on subprime mortgage-backed securities (MBS) suddenly collapsed sending the global financial system off a cliff.  No one expects that to happen with auto bonds, but story does help to illustrate that the regulatory problems still haven’t been fixed.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

U.S. Monetary Policy Kaleidoscopic Context / Interest-Rates / Money Supply

By: Mike_Shedlock

Dennis Lockhart, Atlanta Fed president, made a speech today trumping up the possibility rate hikes as soon as April.

In his speech, Lockhart cited "sufficient momentum evidenced by the economic data to justify a further step at one of the coming meetings, possibly as early as the meeting scheduled for end of April."

Let's dive into his speech and also put a spotlight on his claim of "sufficient momentum."

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, March 20, 2016

Fed Clown Show Has Come and Gone / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Gary_Tanashian

The opening segment from this week’s edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole has a little fun with the post-FOMC market situation.  Unfortunately, there is all too much reality in this clowning around.  From NFTRH 387:

Our main theme has been that the ironclad post-2011 confidence in the Federal Reserve among conventional market participants would slowly but surely start to fade because macro parlor tricks, so vigorously employed by the Bernanke Fed, were only tricks or in some cases (Operation Twist) borderline magic, after all.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, March 19, 2016

BoJ and ECB Bond Buying - Well That Didn’t Work / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2016

By: John_Rubino

The Bank of Japan and European Central Bank eased recently, which is to say they stepped up their bond buying and/or pushed interest rates further into negative territory. These kinds of things are proxies for currency devaluation in the sense that money printing and lower interest rates generally cause the offending country’s currency to be seen as less valuable by traders and savers, sending its exchange rate down versus those of its trading partners.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 18, 2016

Junk Bonds... Here we go again! / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

MUT is making all-time new highs as this rally sucks in more gullible investors into junk bonds. As I have said before, MUT is the “cream of the crop.” Investors in this index have fared better than in most junk bond funds.

The sad part about this is that MUT is on a similar Cycle pattern as SPX. In other words, it may be about to join SPX in a panic Cycle decline next week.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 18, 2016

Is This The Debt Jubilee? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016

By: John_Rubino

Not so long ago the financial world viewed certain numbers as limits beyond which lay trouble. Interest rates near zero, for instance, were thought to risk destabilizing the banking system. And government fiscal deficits above 3% were considered so dangerous that exceeding this level was prohibited by the Maastricht treaty that all euorzone members were required to sign.

Those numbers -- 0% and 3% -- are still considered bad. But now for the opposite reason: They're insufficiently aggressive.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

FOMC Statement - Backing Off On the Rate Increases, Lowering Forecasts / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Jesse

The Fed recognized that growth is slow, and that inflation remains subdued.

I include a chart of the real median household income to demonstrate why the recovery is so wobbly.  Demand and investment are weak because people have less money to spend.  Wow, what a surprise.

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