Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, December 15, 2016
FOMC Raises US Interest Rates, Market Reacts in Mood Swings / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a topsy-turvy day with the FOMC meeting taking place as they raised interest rates. The day started out with a move to the upside, they met resistance, backed off to test support, held, and although the S&P 500 made lower lows, the Nasdaq 100 did not. They then ran up into the FOMC. At that point, they made a little bit of a pop, and then went down in a steep slide, a big rally ensued, they went down in another steep slide, held support on the Nasdaq 100, but not on the S&P 500. A very sharp rally took them back almost near the rally highs, and then in the last 20-25 minutes they took a plunge into the close, and finished very ugly on the day.
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Monday, December 12, 2016
The Yield That Breaks the Trump Rally's Back / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Michael_Pento
In 2012 I wrote a book called "The Coming Bond Market Collapse", in that book I predicted that the bond market would begin to collapse by the end of 2016. Clearly, this prediction has started to come true. However, in all candor, I never dreamed that the Ten-year Treasury yield would plummet to 1.3%. Neither did I ever imagine that over thirteen trillion dollars' worth of global sovereign bonds would have a negative yield, as was the case this past summer.
Friday, December 09, 2016
US Interest Rates and the Toughest Man Who Ever Lived / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: David_Galland
Dear Paraders,
I begin this week sitting at our dining room table here in Cafayate, Argentina. Out the window, the vista is brimming with sunshine, vineyards, lovely houses, and lovelier mountains across the valley.
My wife is off working out at the Athletic Club & Spa. I would be too, were I not laid up by my recent hernia operation.
Later today, I’ll be playing a demonstration game of the ancient Chinese game of Go with a fellow resident and master of the game from California. Then we’ll dine at Bad Brothers Wine Experience with freshly returned owners from South Africa and my friend, former partner, and now closest neighbor Doug Casey.
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Thursday, December 08, 2016
How Trump Can Bring Outside-the-Box Thinking to Bear on the Fed / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: MoneyMetals
President-elect Donald Trump will soon have the opportunity to put his stamp on the Federal Reserve. And that is making the elite body of central bankers nervous.
On the campaign trail, Trump harangued Fed chair Janet Yellen for pumping up financial markets with cheap money – accusing the Obama appointee of being politically motivated.
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Thursday, December 08, 2016
Violent US Bond Market Selloff: An Eye-Opening Perspective / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: EWI
In Elliott wave terms, bond investors have transitioned from extreme optimism to extreme pessimism
[Editor's Note: The text version of the story is below.]
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Wednesday, December 07, 2016
Cracks In US Treasury Bond Market, The Japanese Factor / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Jim_Willie_CB
Foreign USTreasury Bond dumping continues, and even accelerates. China and the Saudis are selling USTreasurys in a near panic. Foreign central banks liquidated a record $375 billion in USGovt debt in the last 12 months. An American disaster lies in the making from debt saturation, debt overload, and debt dumping. It is all denied by the Washington mouthpieces and the Wall Street handlers, as they lie. The USGovt debt default is within view, dead ahead.
Wednesday, December 07, 2016
Bonds: 90% of You Are Herding / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Gary_Tanashian
90% (my low-balled estimate) of you, the investing public, are herding when it comes to the bond market. You may not know it because the overwhelming psychological atmosphere is to reaffirm, not question peoples’ behavior. That is what herding is; a comforting feeling of going with the flow and being at one with your environment and the greater zeitgeist.
Now, please don’t be offended by the title; you dear reader may well be one of the 10%. But out there in the financial investment realm, they are herding, BIG time, as bond yields are expected to continue rising, because… media; because… “Great Rotation, part 2” and because… the story of epic secular changes and the chance to be early and clued in to a great new market phase are so alluring.
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Monday, December 05, 2016
The Bond Bubble / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Gary_Savage
Is the bubble in the bond market about to burst? Even a move back to the 38% retracement level over the next several weeks would cause chaos in the global financial markets.
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Friday, December 02, 2016
Is Japan About to Implode the $10T $USD Carry Trade? / Interest-Rates / Global Financial System
By: Graham_Summers
It is said that history has a sense of irony. The latest US election is not an exception.
Consider the following…
- Donald Trump campaigned aggressively on trade… particularly his opposing of the fact that the US gets taken advantage of by foreign nations via bad trade deals.
- Trump wins the Presidency on November 8, 2016.
- US trade gets royally screwed in the currency markets.
Wednesday, November 30, 2016
The Federal Reserve And Interest Rates: Definitely NOT What You Think / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Kelsey_Williams
Where we are today is the culmination of decades of irresponsible financial/fiscal policies and a complete abdication of fundamental economics. But that should not be a surprise. The self-proclaimed purpose of the Federal Reserve Bank is to manage the economic cycles; an impossibly presumptive task and a violation of fundamental economic theory.
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Tuesday, November 29, 2016
Could a “Greek-Style” Carry Tax on Cash Come to the US? / Interest-Rates / War on Cash
By: Graham_Summers
As we keep warning, India is not the “last stop” in the global financial elites’ war on cash.
Indeed, as ZeroHedge noted earlier today, officials are proposing a tax on cash withdrawals in Greece. They’re also proposing only permitting digital cash or cards for various transactions.
The claim behind this policy is that it would stop cash being used in the black market. This is similar to other claims that implementing a carry tax on physical cash or banning it altogether would stop money laundering or other illicit activities.
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Tuesday, November 29, 2016
The US Bond Bear Market Has Begun! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : It’s almost as if I can see the future.
In the September 22 issue of The 10th Man, I went through the math of how people would get screwed in a bond bear market.
I gave some concrete examples of what would happen if rates backed up 100 basis points. And sure enough, since the election, rates have backed up about 40 basis points.
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Monday, November 28, 2016
This Looming Debt Crisis Could Ruin Many / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016
By: John_Mauldin
We must deal with the debt if we are going to survive . We have two options: Simply stop spending or grow the economy. “Stop spending” is easier said than done. And boosting growth is going to be difficult too.
Total debt this year rose by 6.8%, almost double our growth rate. Not the right direction. After eight years of the slowest economic recovery in history, growing our debt dramatically faster than we are growing our country—even when we include inflation.
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Sunday, November 27, 2016
Europe Will Devalue Or Dissolve - Welcome To The Currency War / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: John_Rubino
No rest for the wicked. With the shockwaves from Brexit and President Trump still reverberating around the world, the established order is bracing for more bad news. Next up is a December 4 Italian constitutional referendum that might end the reign of centrist prime minister Matteo Renzi and replace him with a bunch of anti-euro iconoclasts from the Brexit/Trump part of the spectrum.
Sunday, November 27, 2016
Italian Bank Collapse European Sovereign Bond Carnage, Criss-Crossed Fuses & Lit Bonfire / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Jim_Willie_CB
Many are the potential fuses to be lit, which would create the conflagration, the massive bonfire of the bond vanities and bank charades. Many are the fuses lying around, all criss-crossed, all exposed, all overlapping each other in highly dangerous manner. If any single fuse is lit, then several will light and the detonation arrives. It is unavoidable since the financial world is so deeply interwoven. Never in modern history has the global financial structure been so badly weakened, so totally corrupted, so thoroughly undermined by control mechanisms, so intensely defended by sanctions even war. In 2007 and early 2008, the Jackass warned of a mortgage bust that would alter the global system forever. It happened with far reaching consequences which endure to this day.
Thursday, November 24, 2016
War On Cash Goes Global – India and Citibank In Australia / Interest-Rates / War on Cash
By: GoldCore
- War On Cash Goes Global – India, Australia and Citibank
- India shock cancellation of nation’s two highest-denomination notes
- India effectively invalidates & removes 86% of cash from circulation
- India sees “runs on banks” & severe financial difficulties
- Citi to makes all Australian branches cashless
- Australian pilot programme restricts 80% of payments on card
- UBS proposes Australia eliminates $100 and $50 bills
- What can we do about this?
- Conclusion
Wednesday, November 23, 2016
Post-election Debt Mathematics / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: DeviantInvestor
The U.S. Presidential election is over. One candidate won, one lost, but the mathematics did not change.
Mathematics of What?
- US government debt has grown far more rapidly than GDP for decades. This is unsustainable.
- US government revenues increase about 4% per year while the official debt has grown at 9% per year, on average, since 1913. Official debt doubles in eight years regardless of which borrow and spend party and politicians are supposedly running the country and that is unsustainable.
- Official debt is currently about $20 trillion. Does $40 trillion in official debt sound plausible in the year 2024?
- How about $80 trillion in the year 2032?
- Worse, the debt goes astronomical if the financial and political elite choose hyperinflation.
Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Stock Market New All Tiime Highs & the Election Buried This HUGE Story / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: EWI
Stock Market Highs & the Election Buried This HUGE Story
Chart of the Day
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Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Reversal Interest Rates Are the Next Big Challenge for Central Banks / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: John_Mauldin
BY SAMUEL RINES : Negative and ultra-low interest rates have become the norm for the developed world. The phrases “lower for longer” and “new normal” are now accepted as facts rather than predictions. But, how low is too low?
For many developed world economies, rates remain low in order to combat stagnation as growth slows. Negative rates are a side effect of these deep, fundamental economic issues.
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Saturday, November 19, 2016
Trump Prepares to Takeover Fed / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Mike_Whitney
In Donald Trump’s first four years as president, he will not only choose three judges for the Supreme Court, he’ll also pick five of the seven members on the Fed Board of Governors. It would be impossible to overstate the effect this is going to have on the nation’s economic future. With both houses of Congress firmly in the GOP’s grip, we could see the most powerful central bank in the world transformed into a purely political institution that follows the diktats of one man.