Tuesday, January 02, 2018
Owning a Land Rover Discovery Sport HSE Black - Day 1 / Personal_Finance / Motoring
By: N_Walayat
Thinking of buying an Approved Used Land rover? Well here in this series I cover the real customer experience of what to expect. In this video shot on day 1 of owning an approved used 15 month only Discovery Sport HSE Black we take a look at it's nicley polished bright and shiny exterior.
Tuesday, January 02, 2018
Copper Outlook at Critical Juncture and Implications for the Silver Price / Commodities / Copper
By: Metals_Report
Technical analyst Clive Maund delves into the reasons behind copper's recent rise and what that could mean for silver.
We have seen an unusually steady uptrend in copper this month that has resulted in it appreciating by about 10%, which might not sound like much, but makes a big difference if you are a producer with fixed costs. What is remarkable about this uptrend is not only that it came hard on the heels of a high volume smackdown in the early days of the month that at the time looked bearish, but that we have seen 16 days trading days in a row of higher closes as of the close of trading on Thursday, as can be seen on the 3-month chart for copper shown below. After doing some extensive research it has been discovered that the fundamental reason for this day after day seemingly interminable uptrend was that a prominent Chinese buyer, who has an old fashioned way of doing things, was walking over to the London Metals Exchange every day for weeks with his black briefcase in hand and buying roughly the same amount of copper.
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Tuesday, January 02, 2018
Gold, Silver Predictions 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Michael_J_Kosares
A major shift in sentiment will drive prices in the new year
With such a solid end to 2017, it prompts the question what we might expect of gold in 2018. The most immediate question is whether or not it will pick up where it left off 2017 and continue its climb into the New Year, or fizzle and spend the year going sideways or worse, down. I have refrained from the perennial turn of the year prediction sweepstakes for a number years, but I will venture out on the limb this year to say a price in the mid-$1500s looks achievable in 2018.
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Tuesday, January 02, 2018
International Forex Trading Would be Interesting / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Kavinesh_A
The national forex trading would be bored for most of the present day people. Because, all these people expected the growth of a few companies and these companies fails in the trade and the forex shows red signal for these companies, this makes the shares to undersell from the purchased sale. At the same time, when a person is investing his money for international forex trading he would be feeling happy and sad frequently with the share market movement. The highly reputed company would be growing its share and the company just upcoming would be on the growth path, at the same time, fails in many hours. So a person is keenly watching the international forex trading would be enjoying because the bad company would be in top position in some time. The leading company would be in down ward at some time, but all the investor would be feeling happy because he is investing not with one country and he is investing his money with many countries. That is the reason he would be happy and watching the share market interestingly.
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Monday, January 01, 2018
Longer Cycles for Gold and the US Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: SurfCity
By now you know that my swing trading approach is to focus on the 5-6 Month Intermediate Cycle Low (ICL) to establish positions. It seem’s that everything that I track has the 5-6 month low to low cycle. Sometimes the ICLs come sooner at 4 months or later at 7+ months but the average is 5-6 months.
Everything also has a Yearly Cycle Low (YCL) which is nothing more than two 5-6 mont ICLs. Cycles longer than one year, however, vary by asset. The USD and Bonds have a 3 Year Cycle low to low and Stocks have a 7 Year Cycle low to low. Gold’s longer Cycles include a 4 Year Cycle and an 8 Year Cycle, which is simply two 4 Year Cycles back to back. Remember that longer cycles typically dominate shorter ones, meaning that if the longer cycle is in a bullish phase, most of its 5-6 month Intermediate Cycles will be right translated in terms of Time while making a higher high and a higher low (i.e. stair stepping up so to speak).
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Monday, January 01, 2018
Gold Achieves $1375 Target 20167, $1500 Expected for 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Bullish commodity traders and investors in the likes of oil and gold also saw strong positive returns for the year as Oil ended at its high for the year of $60 and Gold at $1310 both inline with my bullish expectations for these commodities for 2017.
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Monday, January 01, 2018
Crude Oil Achieves $60 Forecast Expectations for 2017, $80 Next? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Bullish commodity traders and investors in the likes of oil and gold also saw strong positive returns for the year as Oil ended at its high for the year of $60 and Gold at $1310 both inline with my bullish expectations for these commodities for 2017.
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Monday, January 01, 2018
Dow Stock Market Trend Expectations into Early 2018 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
2017 surprised most by proving to be one of the greatest years of the past decade for stock investors, traders and gamblers as bull markets appeared everywhere as the financial markets basically discounted Trump as an irrelevance, a side-show for the masses to be distracted by and focus upon whilst the wealthy continued to concentrate each nations wealth into their own hands. The Dow ended the year at 24,719, up 4,957 points for an exceptionally strong 25% gain, a remarkable performance for what at the start of the year was seen as being a mature 8 year old bull market. Whilst the S&P gained 19% and the Nasdaq 29%. With the FTSE lagging behind for a 15% gain. Which given where we began the year and the chaos that the BrExit election wrought is definitely nothing to complain about for UK investors!
Monday, January 01, 2018
Sheffield Street Trees 2017 - Textbook Example of How to Wreck the Environment and Economy / Local / Sheffield
By: Nadeem_Walayat
2017 was the year when the climate change mega-trend made it's presence felt from record breaking global temperatures resulting in deductive giant storms from Hurricanes in the west to Cyclones in the east that have wreaked havoc across the planet, literally destroying every building on many of the smaller Islands hit. However, whilst most recognise the dangers of climate change and are eager to do their bit towards attempting to lessen its unfolding catastrophic consequences of. However in a small provincial corner of England, those in charge of running the city of Sheffield apparently have taken a leaf out of the 'Trumps' book of Ignorance and implemented actions that achieve the exact opposite. One of seeking to destroy the local environment through the actions of felling thousands of big street trees.
Sunday, December 31, 2017
2017 Was The Year of The Cryptocurrency! Happy Bitcoin New Year / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Jeff_Berwick
What a year for cryptos it was!
To put it in perspective, bitcoin could fall 90% from current levels and it will still have outperformed stocks, bonds, and real estate in 2017.
Bitcoin started 2017 at $960.79.
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Sunday, December 31, 2017
Stock Market Q1 2018 Outlook: We’re Gonna Need a Bigger Slide / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: F_F_Wiley
If 2018 rings in a bear market, it could look something like the Kennedy Slide of 1962.
That was my conclusion in “Riding the Slide,” published in early September, where I showed that the Kennedy Slide was unique among bear markets of the last eighty years. It was the only bear that wasn’t obviously provoked by rising inflation, tightening monetary policy, deteriorating credit markets or, less commonly, world war or depression.
Moreover, market conditions leading up to the Slide should be familiar—they’re not too far from market conditions since Donald Trump won the 2016 presidential election. In the first year after Kennedy’s election, as in the first year after Trump’s election, inflation seemed under control, interest rates were low, credit spreads were tight, and the economy was growing. And, in both cases, the stock market was booming.
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Sunday, December 31, 2017
Commodities, CRB, Oil & Gas, Gold, Silver... Markets Big Picture Update / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Gary_Tanashian
Some monthly charts of interest in the commodity sector, including precious metals.
CRB Index dwells below key resistance. A break of 200 would target around 250 in 2018.
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Sunday, December 31, 2017
National Stock Trading is Different From International / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Kavinesh_A
In this present day trading world, there are two types of trading available for the welfare of share traders. One is within the country; another one is trading with international countries. A person could trade with one thousand five hundred countries with his money and earn a lot of money. Because in a country currency value is less, when compared to US dollars at the same time, that person is high valued currency country, he would be in a position to earn more money from his country, for the earning more revenue purpose he has to register with the international trading company, which would be providing assistance to trade with all countries. In that case, a person could be in a position to invest a small amount of his country money and take back huge amount from the country which share is purchased. In general calculation is very important in investing money with the other countries. Because, in case the country is poor country will not support the trade market, and it would be taking all the share holders money for the government.
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Sunday, December 31, 2017
Bitcoin Trading Alert: Strong Correction and Possible Rebound / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Crazy week, huh? Bitcoin is firmly in the scope of mainstream media, and the recent very volatile action makes it only a better story. On Bloomberg, we read:
Bitcoin resumed its tumble on Thursday after South Korea said it was eyeing options including a potential shutdown of at least some cryptocurrency exchanges to stamp out a frenzy of speculation.
South Korea has been ground zero for a global surge in interest in bitcoin and other digital currencies as prices surged this year, prompting the nation’s prime minister to worry over the impact on Korean youth. While there’s no immediate indication Asia’s No. 4 economy will shutter exchanges that have accounted by some measures for more than a fifth of global trading, the news is a warning as regulators the world over express concerns about private digital currencies.
Sunday, December 31, 2017
The End of the World as We Know It - Gold Safe Haven / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Richard_Mills
Imaginations of the Misguided
It’s Christmas 2017 and North Korean Dear Leader Kim Jong-un is facing a crisis. Recently the United States, with UN approval, imposed the harshest round of economic sanctions yet on his reclusive regime.
While North Korea has been sanctioned since 2006 due to continuing attempts to develop nuclear weapons, this new provocation by its sworn nemesis is the last straw for Kim, who feels the great legacies of his father and grandfather, Kim Jong-il and Kim Il-sung, weighing more heavily each day.
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Saturday, December 30, 2017
Stock Markets Hyper Risky 2018 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
The US stock markets enjoyed an extraordinary surge in 2017, shattering all kinds of records. This was fueled by hopes for big tax cuts soon since Republicans regained control of the US government. But such relentless rallying has catapulted complacency, euphoria, and valuations to dangerous bull-slaying extremes. This has left today’s beloved and lofty stock markets hyper-risky, with serious selloffs looming large.
History proves that stock markets are forever cyclical, no trend lasts forever. Great bulls and bears alike eventually run their courses and give up their ghosts. Sooner or later every secular trend yields to extreme sentiment peaking, then the markets inevitably reverse. Popular greed late in bulls, and fear late in bears, ultimately hits unsustainable climaxes. All near-term buyers or sellers are sucked in, killing the trend.
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Saturday, December 30, 2017
Four Things We Learned About Gold in 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
2017 is almost over. What did we learn about gold during this time?
Gold May Prosper in Good Times
First, gold may shine in unpleasant macroeconomic outlook. Generally, gold performs the best during economic slowdown or turmoil. In 2017, the economic conditions were far from recessionary climate. Global economic growth accelerated and became more synchronized among countries. The U.S. economy performed well, the unemployment rate achieved a record low, while inflation remained subdued. The Fed hiked interest rates three times, while the Republicans managed to pass a tax bill. And the U.S. stock market continued its rally, while the cryptocurrencies experienced a parabolic rise at the end of a year. Does it look like a supporting environment for gold? Not really. However, the price of the yellow metal has risen more than 12 percent in 2017, as one can see in the chart below. Perhaps it’s not very impressive, but not bad given the macroeconomic environment. And much better than a savings account or Treasuries.
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Saturday, December 30, 2017
UK Markets: FTSE 100 Diverges With British Pound / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Submissions
UK markets continue to garner more of the attention in the financial media as we are now seeing a strong divergence between the activity of the FTSE 100 stock benchmark and the underlying value of the British Pound (GBP). This is significant because it ignores many of the market trends that have been place since the early parts of 2017, and so there are real concerns here for traders that might be positioned on the wrong sides of these markets.
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Saturday, December 30, 2017
Critical Impact Of US Medicare Premiums On Social Security Inflation Indexing / Politics / Inflation
By: Dan_Amerman
Medicare premiums are already eating Social Security inflation indexing from the inside, there have been effectively no real increases in net Social Security benefits for those 65 and over in recent years. And we are just getting started.
Experts agree that the Medicare program has far worse expected financial problems than Social Security over the long term. What is little understood, however, is that Medicare premiums are the back door whereby the health care expenses of an aging nation consume the individual standards of living that can be provided by Social Security. This process can entirely change our personal standards of living in retirement and needs to be fully taken into account when making financial planning decisions.
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Saturday, December 30, 2017
Why NOW is the Best Time to Buy a UK USED CAR from Dealers / Personal_Finance / Motoring
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Find out in my recent video why RIGHT NOW is probably the best time of year to buy a USED car from a UK dealer as we countdown into the end of 2017 and the start of the new year, a twilight zone for dealerships up and down the country starved of car buyer interest that for a short few weeks of the year puts the car buyers at an advantage of what usually comes to pass, and especially of during the summer months. So if you have been considering changing your old car for a newer model then watch my video for the conclusions of my extensive analysis of the UK used car market of the past year.