Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Smarter Stock Market Investing in Defensive Stocks for Profits in 2010 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: For U.S. investors looking to profit in the near term, the best offense may be a good defense.
"Defensive investing" becomes a mantra for investors who are seeking to navigate periods dominated by high risk, slow growth or excessive uncertainty. Given that the current market outlook probably contains an element of each of those scenarios, a strategy that includes elements of care and caution will make for a wise course of action.
Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Stock Market Pullback, Are the Bulls Afraid? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Welcome to Lynn T's 1-2-3 PLUS Alert.It would seem that the bears have crept out of hibernation and stunned the bulls. Now, I don't think the startling will curb the advance for long. It might just be a cure to the bull's hiccups. So, are the bulls afraid? Not at all.
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Monday, January 18, 2010
Financial Markets, Economic Forecasts and Investing Strategies for 2010, What to Buy and Sell / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment ideas, all of which were profitable by the end of the year. It is not unusual for Gary to give us over 75 charts and tables in his monthly letters along with his commentary, which makes his thinking unusually clear and accessible. Gary was among the first to point out the problems with the subprime market and predict the housing and credit crises. His track record in this decade has been quite good. I want to thank Gary and his associate Fred Rossi for allowing us to view this smaller version of his latest letter.
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Monday, January 18, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Rally Topping Action Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that lower prices lie ahead. As illustrated by the current market performance, this will not be a straight-down decline, but will consist of a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.
Monday, January 18, 2010
Stock Market SPY Index Trading Buy Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Current Positioning: SPY: Long 50%
General Commentary: The system for the SPY is on a Buy signal
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Sunday, January 17, 2010
Dow Jones (YM, CBOT) Options Trade Alert / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
Welcome to The J.E.D.I. Way.
The J.E.D.I. Way will be buying the following call option on the MINI-SIZED DOW JONES (YM, CBOT) at the Market:
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Sunday, January 17, 2010
Stock Market Uptrend Remains Intact / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market finished last Friday on a decidedly bearish note – big drop on heavy volume. The question for this week is whether this was simply an aberration attributable to an options expiration day or the beginning of some kind of market correction.
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Sunday, January 17, 2010
Stocks and Gold and Commodity Trends Impacted by China Inflation Worries / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The big news this week was that China’s Central Bank – the People’s Bank of China (BOC), raised the reserve deposit rate on funds held under account by 50 basis points, starting Jan. 18. So, why did the BOC feel the need to raise the rate?
Well, let’s take a look at China’s recent credit reports, and see what’s been going on. In November of 2009, China’s banks lent out 295 billion Yuan in total. Last week, the banks lent about 100 billion Yuan ($14.6 billion) PER DAY – EVERY DAY.
Sunday, January 17, 2010
They Don't Ring A Bell At The Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
There are two kinds of bulls: 1) there are those bulls who are intent on squeezing every last percentage point from this rally and who believe they can find the exits when the music finally stops; and 2) then there are those bulls who continue to have high expectations that the current market environment will yield strong returns. The latter type of bulls are unlikely to realize strong gains without a significant pullback, and by significant I mean that the pullback should get investors to think that the market is rolling over to such a degree that the current cyclical highs will never be revisited. The former type of bulls are likely overestimating their ability to get to the exits or identify the top before the next trader. Either way, complacency reigns as they don't ring a bell at the top.
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Sunday, January 17, 2010
NDX, S&P 500 Trading, Exciting Options Expiry Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
What a week!
This was one of most exciting OpEx weeks that I remember for months – all sorts of crazy price actions on and off hours.
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Sunday, January 17, 2010
This Could Crush Stock Market Valuations / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Porter Stansberry writes: By now, most every DailyWealth reader knows the argument for higher interest rates.
Simply put, the U.S. government is facing a staggering amount of unfunded liabilities in 2010... around $3.5 trillion to be exact. As I described in my commentary on the Greenspan/Guidotti rule, the only way the government can make the interest payments on this debt (a good deal of which has been acquired in the past 12 months) is by printing money.
Sunday, January 17, 2010
Stocks Plunge as Investors Hopes of Economic Recovery Might Have Got Ahead of Reality / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“Words from the Wise” this week comes to you in a somewhat shorter format as I do not have access to all my normal research resources while spending a few days with the gnomes in Geneva (also see my post “Blogging gone AWOL - to Switzerland“). Although the commentary is not as comprehensive as usual, a full dose of excerpts from interesting news items and quotes from market commentators is included.
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Saturday, January 16, 2010
Marc Faber Flips from Bullish to Bearish on Stock Markets, Says SELL / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
A few weeks ago Marc Faber was bullish on stock markets for 2010 but after participating in Barron's round-table discussion this week he has now turned bearish due to too much bullish sentiment, "Everybody was looking for further gains in stocks," he said.
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Saturday, January 16, 2010
What Stock Market Crash History Tells Us To Expect For 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Many have wondered why the 10-year cycle peak in late September/early October didn’t produce a more meaningful correction in the broad market. Instead, the 10-year cycle peak produced only a marginal six percent pullback in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) instead of the much deeper one usually associated with the 10-year peak.A look at the past reveals why: the first full year following a crash low has never produced a sizable correction in the stock market. That historical truism certainly proved itself out in 2009. But what of the second year after a crash? What can we expect in the coming year based on market history? We’ll be taking up this question in the commentary that follows.
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Saturday, January 16, 2010
Where Jim Rogers is Investing His Money in 2010 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Investment Guru Jim Rogers says the Indian stock market has run up a lot. "I won't buy shares at these levels." He has a similar view on emerging markets, except China.
Though he currently owns Chinese shares, he is a tad negative on the economy. "The Chinese economy needs to cool." He feels real estate in China is getting into a bubble zone.
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Saturday, January 16, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Rally Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Not much has changed of late, but I do see change on the horizon for 2010. From a Dow theory perspective, the bullish trend confirmation that occurred in 2009 remains intact. From a cyclical perspective, the higher degree low that began at the March low remains intact as well. Longer-term, my opinion has not changed in that based on my data, I continue to believe that in spite of the now 11 month rally this is nonetheless a counter-trend advance within the context of a much longer-term secular bear market.
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Saturday, January 16, 2010
Financial Markets Marching Towards Inflation and Interest Rate Hikes During 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
This weeks devastating Haiti earthquake illustrates that no matter how bad our financial and economic problems are they are nothing, a mere inconvenience when compared against how bad things truly could be as we continue to live protected, sheltered and privileged lives some distance from the difficult existence that nature has to offer.
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Saturday, January 16, 2010
Stock Market Sentiment Needs Correcting... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
This is what likely needs to happen. I have talked about the short-term risk for some days with the primary trend still being higher. Within those primary trends there comes a time when markets need to pull back lower. That needs to take place when sentiment gets too heavy on the bullish side of things. We now see sentiment readings very close to levels that have caused pullbacks in bull markets just about every time although timing it is virtually impossible. A 37.5% spread as of the week of January 4th and this isn't great news for the bulls although far from a death knell. 37.5% more bulls equals a top soon to come and its possible the top was put in yesterday given some weekly engulfing candles on our Nasdaq/NDX charts (non confirmed on the Dow/S&P 500/Wilshire 5000).
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Saturday, January 16, 2010
Stock Market Crash 2010, History Repeating? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Consumers aren’t that confident. - Confidence among U.S. consumers rose less than forecast in January, signaling a lack of hiring will restrain spending. The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment increased to 72.8 from 72.5 in December. The gauge averaged 66.3 last year after reaching a record 28-year low of 55.3 in November 2008. Unemployment, close to a 26-year high and projected to average 10 percent this year, remains a hurdle for the recovery. Gains in confidence and spending, which makes up 70 percent of the economy, will depend on sustained job growth that hasn’t happened since the recession started two years ago.
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Friday, January 15, 2010
The Most Important Investment Report You'll Read in 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Free 13-page Report: Robert Prechter's firm Elliott Wave International has just released its annual "Most Important Report of 2010." Inside, Prechter delivers hard facts, eye-opening charts and straightforward commentary to help you take advantage of the opportunities – and avoid the dangerous pitfalls – that you will face in 2010. You'll get analysis and forecasts you can act on, and you'll learn what the government's unprecedented involvement in the financial markets will mean for your portfolio in 2010 and beyond. Learn more and download your free report now..Read full article... Read full article...