Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, August 22, 2016
Stock Market Top Forming, but Slowly / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues. It could soon enter a corrective phase.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, August 21, 2016
Will the Stock Market Bubble Pop Regardless if the FED Never Raises Rates? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The current overall SPX pattern is a broadening top, which is usually a very reliable pattern. The market continues to look as though it wants to go even lower. The momentum shift, which I have been expecting, has been slow to start, however one should be prepared for this occurrence ahead of time.
Nevertheless, the large divergences which I have been viewing, in my proprietary oscillators, are most real, and, once the selling starts, the momentum should quickly move to the downside.
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Sunday, August 21, 2016
Nasdaq Short Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
Nasdaq Weekly Chart with Fib. Spiral @ Week 34
Many traders are frustrated with the current market, sideways to slow melt up process. I will reserve some info. for paid subscribers only. Arguments can be made for the Bull's or Bear's but honestly the bottom line is to make money, period. Money is all that matters, that IS the bottom line.
Below is a current chart of the Nasdaq Composite, using weekly candlesticks. Note the breakout and upcoming backtest.
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Saturday, August 20, 2016
SPX New Highs, Correction Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The market started the week at SPX 2184, rallied to 2194 on Monday, pulled back to 2169 by Wednesday, then rallied to end the week back at 2184. For the week the SPX/DOW slipped 0.05%, and the NDX/NAZ were mixed. On the economic front positive reports continued to outpace negative ones. On the downtick: the NY FED and building permits. On the uptick: the NAHB, housing starts, industrial production, capacity utilization, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the Q3 GDP estimate, plus weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports are highlighted by the Q2 GDP, durable goods and more housing reports. Best to your week!
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Saturday, August 20, 2016
Stock Market Meandering.... Bulls Still In Control.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
There is very little to talk about this evening that I haven't discussed over and over for many weeks prior. The market is meandering around with a slight upward bias. No grand explosion since the July 11 breakout over S&P 500 2134. The grand explosion is what normally occurs once a major breakout level has been taken out.
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Friday, August 19, 2016
Brazil's Rio Olympic Games' "Disastrous" Preparedness: What If?s - Free Report / Stock-Markets / Olympics
Dear reader,
Our partners at Elliott Wave International have just released a new, free report, titled: "Brazil's Olympic Games 'Disastrous' Preparedness: What if?"
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Friday, August 19, 2016
Mass Media Too Bullish: Stock Market Correction Likely? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
"Have patience. All things are difficult before they become easy." ~ Saadi
For the past few months, we continued to Google the Term, Dow 19K, Dow 20K and Dow 21K. We got the most hits on the search term Dow 20,000, but the noise was not enough for us to take these developments too seriously. However, when we noticed that CNBC published two similar titled articles within a time span of 30 days, it was time to take note.
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Friday, August 19, 2016
Surprise! It's the Greenspan Era Blueprint on Inflation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
I realize Gomer Pyle was way before the time of much of my reading audience, but for the last few weeks I’ve been hearing him in my head as not only NFTRH, but now the wider financial media get on the idea that things are not as bad as had been generally perceived going into the hype fest known as Brexit. Most recently, a writer who always keeps an even keel, Chris Ciovacco, has summarized the situation nicely (as posted at Biiwii).
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Friday, August 19, 2016
Stock Market Volatile Session Ends on Positive Note / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had a very interesting, volatile day. They opened lower, rallied to resistance, rolled over very sharply to secondary support, held, and then rallied back at the end of the day, closing slightly upward.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 22.56 at 18,595.50. The S&P 500 was up 4.69 at 2186.92. The Nasdaq 100 was up 3.23 at 4808.68.
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Thursday, August 18, 2016
SPX Easing Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The SPX Premarket has gone from flat to lower this morning. Should the decline continue, the key level is the combination trendline/Short-term support at 2175.24.
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Thursday, August 18, 2016
Stock Market Turn-Down Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had an interesting down day, and then up day, finishing in the plus column after the FOMC announcement indicating no interest-rate rising. The day started out with a move to the downside, they formed bear wedges, went lower, and by midday they were at their session lows. They rallied during the noon hour, and when the FOMC announcement came, they spiked up, and after pulling down briefly, they pulled back and spiked up again, and closed near the highs for the day.
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Wednesday, August 17, 2016
SPX Completes Wave 1 Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX appears to have completed a Wave 1 decline, or nearly so. It still has a bounce higher after that in wave 2. It may try to “fill the gap” up to 2190.00 in the process. There is no signal, yet.
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Wednesday, August 17, 2016
Kondratiev Wave - The Financial Winter Is Nearing! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Nature functions in cycles. Each 24-hour period can be divided into smaller cycles of morning, afternoon, evening, and night. The whole year can be divided into seasonal cycles. Similarly, one’s life can also be divided into cycles. Cycles are abundant in nature – we just have to spot them, understand them, and be prepared for them, because they happen whether we like it or not. Likewise, economic experts have noticed that the world also follows different cycles. An important pioneer in this field was the Russian social economist, Nikolai Kondratiev, also called Nikolai Kondratieff, a relatively unknown genius.
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Wednesday, August 17, 2016
The Lurking Disaster Germany and Saudi Arabia Have in Common / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016
The global exporters’ crisis is intensifying (read my free special report on Germany’s inevitable crisis).
Germany’s largest bank said it is deeply concerned about stagnation in the United States. Separately, Saudi Arabia’s central bank gave $4 billion to the country’s banks to help them deal with liquidity issues.
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Wednesday, August 17, 2016
Rio Olympics like the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Olympic host, Rio de Janeiro, is getting a lot of coverage in the media and not all of it good. Much of the news is very bad and yet the games go on… similar to the equity market.
Lindsay’s Three Peaks/Domed House pattern has passed point 21 (July 20) and the question becomes ‘is the Dow headed into the final top at point 23 - or is it engaged in the typical 3-5 wave correction seen most of the time at this point in the pattern?’ An example can be seen in March 2015 (lower case roman numerals in green).
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Tuesday, August 16, 2016
Deutsche Bank Analyst Says a Stock Market Shock Is the Only Way Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
We don’t know if the internet is just enabling us to hear things we previously didn’t hear… of if this is the most predicted stock-market crash in history!
It seems barely a day goes by now where someone hasn’t jumped on our bandwagon and is predicting, or calling for, a major crash.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2016
Stocks Bulls Relentless... No Thrust...Grinding Higher... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
You have to hand it to the bulls. They are a relentless group that never wants to throw those bears a bone. They're getting a bit selfish aren't they? I mean, come on, every once in a while, the bears have to get some love. Don't they?! The news overseas on the economic front over the weekend wasn't good, yet, even though some foreign markets were down, our futures seem to know of only one direction. The low of the day was the open, but overall the S&P 500 traded in only a seven-point range for the entire day. When the VIX gets this low it's harder for the market to flash major-league volatility. It gets a bit boring, for sure, but that's the price you pay for increasing froth, which is clearly what's taking place here.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2016
Even Hedge Funds Can’t Understand Today’s Manipulated Markets / Stock-Markets / Hedge Funds
One of the big surprises of the past few years is the number of brand-name hedge funds reporting terrible results. Their customers are not amused:
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Tuesday, August 16, 2016
Stock Market S&P 500 Down 10% into Early September? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The chart below shows the weekly SPX since late 2008 to the current. According to my calculations, Wave Y of a WXY “Y” of B WAVE terminated at 2168/69 on July 14. Everything after that has been irregular and part of wave X of “Z” into November 21. Wave X is being subdivided xyz and y of that wave terminated today at 2193/94.
My down side target is near 1970 by Sept 9, with the big wave down “c”of Z from the solar/new moon eclipse top of Sept 1 to the expected ten week low of September 9. After that, a new high around October 17 near 2241 and then down into the November 21 expected low near 1638.
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Monday, August 15, 2016
Stock Market Bears Turning Bullish At New All Time Highs - Time to Get Worried? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The relentlessly bullish grind higher in the face of year long mantra of perma-doom, collapse, crash or worse is once more seeing stocks setting a series of new all time highs. Even today, as I write the Dow is trading AT a new all time high of 18,665! So what is it that could derail the mother of all stocks bull markets? Or at least suggest a significant correction was just around the corner?
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