Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, August 10, 2016

Wake Up and Smell the Stocks Bull Trap! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We are currently experiencing a “Kondratiev Winter” stage in this stock market which is at its’ “tipping” point.  This is where nominal to incremental highs on the SPX can be exceeded by 2%, but, by no more than 4%.  I am observing a “MARKET FAILURE” right here and now. This is a BULL TRAP!

Last Fridays’, August 5^th, 2016 rally in the SPX big price move, on low volume, resulted in no trend change to the larger BEARISH patterns. It does not change the Bearish pattern, but it probably does mean that the current rally will last for at least a few more days.  There are multiple times in which rallies are reversed during the early part of the following week after a strong jobs report.

Wednesday, August 10, 2016

Stock Market August 5-8 High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

The July 25 Market Update shared an interesting 60-day cycle which was due on July 22. That cycle scored a direct hit even if the pullback was not as dramatic as in past episodes. On Monday, another, shorter cycle was due. It has averaged about 42 days but has stretched to as long as 47. Either way, this cycle points to a high this week matching our Hybrid Lindsay forecast. The Hybrid forecast is detailed below.

Tuesday, August 09, 2016

Why Won’t this Damn Stocks Bull Market Crash & Burn? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

A man makes inferiors his superiors by heat; self-control is the rule. - Ralph Waldo Emerson

Central bankers are declaring war on cash for one reason only; they want to punish savers and reward speculators and in the process destroy the middle class. The only way to maintain the illusion that all is well is to get the average Joe to embrace this illusory economic recovery and what better way to achieve this then by forcing them to speculate in the markets.   The best way to force savers to speculate is to punish them for saving, and that is exactly what central bankers have been doing, and the outlook will only worsen as central banks worldwide embrace negative rates.  Those calling for higher interest rates or hoping for them are living on another planet; higher rates are history. The new trend is negative rates and investors need to adapt or die; there is no middle ground here.

Tuesday, August 09, 2016

SPX at the Edge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The SPX Premarket is only a point higher after a failed ramp attempt. A decline beneath yesterday’s low at 2177.85 breaks the first support line. The second is also at Short-term support at 2168.39. Both VIX and the Hi-Lo are far enough away from their triggers that it is likely that the second break may also correspond with their trigger levels.

Yesterday’s trading had the lowest volume of the year.

Tuesday, August 09, 2016

Stock Market Low VIX...Low Volume....Disconnect Widens...Negative Divergences On Daily Charts... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market is getting more and more boring as volatility gets lower and lower. This is due to complacency setting, which is causing the VIX to drop while volatility falls off the earth. This can play on the emotions of traders as things barely move, and they get bored, which causes over playing and more poor choices for their trading portfolio. The market grinds higher as a bull market gets more mature due to the bears leaving the game for the most part. All that is left are the bulls. But let's face it, most are in the game. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise. With the bulls in and the bears gone, there's not much to move the averages one way or the other, so the market trades in very thin ranges for most of the day and most of the time as well.

Tuesday, August 09, 2016

Stock Market Narrowly Mixed Consolidation Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a down day today, but they did come back in the last half hour. The day started out down, they went down sharply, then bounced off support, retested in the afternoon, held, and then came on strong, but did not manage to get back in the plus column.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 14.24 at 18,529.29, 27 points off the low. The S&P 500 was down 1.98 at 2180.89, 3 points off its low. The Nasdaq 100 was down 6.47 at 4784.74, 14 points off its low.

Monday, August 08, 2016

Markets: Understand the Present to Forecast the Future (Part 2) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: EWI

Knowing where you are within a trend helps you see around the next corner

In part 2 of our in-depth interview with Steve Hochberg, Steve explains what else makes Elliott wave analysis so useful and practical.

Monday, August 08, 2016

Financial Fire Hoses and Helicopters / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

“The U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at no cost.” – Ben Bernanke

Modern finance ultimately comes down to managing serious crises and transitions in a way that is profitable for policy makers and elite. The inevitable chaos, like the death of a fiat currency and the return to a real market price equilibrium, is much more dramatic.

Monday, August 08, 2016

FTSE Possible Double Top Before Lengthy PBrexit Consolidation / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Ken_Ticehurst

The FTSE has had a dramatic run since Brexit and appears on a short term basis to be overbought, our current forecast is for a high over the coming weeks at or about 7,000, this short term top remains likely as long as the 10, 20 and 50 day moving averages remain in positive alignment.

You will notice the 300 day moving average beginning to turn up in a positive fashion in our forecast whilst price becomes weak, that is a perfectly reasonable part of a consolidation process. The 50 day moving average should act as support if we get a mini consolidation before we get to 7,000.

Monday, August 08, 2016

Today is a Stock Market Pi Date / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The SPX Premarket is marginally higher, along with the global equities markets.

ZeroHedge reports, “The meltup continues with the S&P500 set to open at new all time highs as futures rise 0.2% overnight, with European, Asian stocks higher, as job data pushed MSCI Asia Pacific Index towards highest close since Aug. 2015. Germany, U.K. economic data seen positive, with dollar, oil rising, and gold declining.”

Monday, August 08, 2016

Beware the False Stock Market Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Beware of a false breakout early week. This is how big money gets out of a position. They create a breakout and then sell to the clueless retail traders that buy the breakout. Buying breakouts rarely works in modern markets.

Monday, August 08, 2016

Stock Market Headed for 10% Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

All the cycles that I follow are topping for the stock market. In fact, ideally, the SPX should top on Monday 8/8 near 2189. I believe we see 1972 by September 1.

The week ahead should see weakness after initial strength. A rally on Thursday should be the “b” wave of an a-b-c type drop into Friday. The expected large drop on Friday could be a monetary issue as Venus squares Saturn on the 13th as Saturn turns stationary/direct. Venus rules money. Saturn also conjuncts the moon Friday (the moon in Sagittarius is often times the low of the cycle); is also an 8 TD low from the 5 week low last week on August 2.

Monday, August 08, 2016

Nasdaq Composite Cup With Handle / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Joseph_VanDerveer

I expect we will have new highs in Dow Jones, S&P 500, and the Nasdaq by next week. This is actually a better set-up to short but does not mean this trio will all make new highs next week.

The chart below is of the Comp., with a cup and handle chart pattern.  You may have to use a little imagination, but it is there.

Monday, August 08, 2016

New Stock Market Top Forming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening.  Potential final phase of bull market.

SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Monday, August 08, 2016

Now The Markets Themselves Are Too Big To Fail / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: John_Rubino

The First Rebuttal website has coined a term that gets to the heart of an increasingly dysfunctional system: The too-big-to-fail stock market. The general thesis is that most major countries are over-leveraged to that point of maybe being unable to survive a garden variety equities bear market – and are doing whatever it takes to keep that from happening. Here’s First Rebuttal on the effects of such a prop-up-asset-prices-at-any-cost policy:

Sunday, August 07, 2016

Stocks Bull Market Climbs Wall of Worry, Bubble? When Will it End? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Dow once more appears imminently ready to set a new all time high after closing Friday at 18,543, barely 50 points away from the last closing all time high of 18,595. Well given the perma-doom of not just the past year but for the duration of this bull market then it should be clear that most stock market analysts, perhaps as many as 95% just don't get it, and likely never will. Which is indicative of a systemic defective thought process which again should not be so surprising since its a case of new analysts learning from old failed analysts forced to make a living by writing and selling books on trading markets.

Sunday, August 07, 2016

Stocks will have a Waterfall Decline and Silver Price will Skyrocket in August! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

In their latest announcement, the FED attempted to prop up the stock market. They attempted to sound hawkish, however, the market paid not any heed to it.  The FED annulment was reflected in a manner that lead the way to the dollar tanking and precious metals rising. Silver has industrial uses as well as monetary ones, which will come to the forefront as the gold bull market progresses.

Sunday, August 07, 2016

SPX Interesting Stock Market Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started at SPX 2174. After making an all time high on Monday at SPX 2178 the market pulled back to 2148 on Tuesday. After that the market worked its way higher to make another new all time high on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.50%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.2%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, factory orders, consumer debt, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit rose. On the uptick: personal income/spending, PCE prices, the ADP, monthly Payrolls, and Q3 GDP estimates. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Retail sales, Business inventories and Export/Import prices. Best to your weekend and week!

Saturday, August 06, 2016

Donald Trump Warns of ‘Very Scary Scenarios’ for Stocks Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

I’m not sure Trump is aware of this Jubilee year, but he certainly understands that the stock market is at a highly dangerous level.

“Interest rates are artificially low,” Trump told Fox in an interview, HERE. “The only reason the stock market is where it is is because you get free money.”

That is absolutely true and unheard of to be acknowledged by a front-running Presidential candidate.

Saturday, August 06, 2016

Jobs Report, Stock Market Impetus To The Breakout....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

In the very recent past we experienced a poor Durable Goods Report along with a poor ISM Manufacturing Report. This put a lot of doubt in today's Jobs Report and probably explains to some degree why the market was meandering the past few days. The meandering did some good in that it allowed the oscillators to unwind quite decently on the daily index charts.