Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, November 09, 2015
It’s Now, or Never for Yellen, Impact on Gold and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Bob_Kirtley
It has been seven years in the making, but now the Federal Reserve may be finally ready to lift interest rates from zero. There has been a myriad of reasons to not hike, multiple false starts and huge ongoing debates on what the right course of US monetary policy is, but from the Fed’s point of view the time is at last right to increase rates.
Yellen had said just this week that the Fed meeting in December would be live if the data supports a move, that the Fed is monitoring the data, and that the Fed thought it could be appropriate to move in December. Then, a +271k NFP print is released to all but seal the deal.
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Sunday, November 08, 2015
Fed December Interest Rate Hike Stock Market Panic Trigger For New All Time High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Flip, flop, flip, the bulk of 'market analysts' that populate the mainstream media (sales) have once more flopped in favour of a December US Fed interest rate hike with some giving the odds at 100% ! (Bill Gross), which reminds me of just a few weeks ago when analysts were typically coming out with near certain statements that stocks were now definitely in a bear market i.e. giving it a 99.7% chance ! (money morning).
Sunday, November 08, 2015
Stock Market Continued Correction Possible / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend – SPX has resumed its uptrend in order to complete the last phase of the bull market.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses longer market trends.
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Sunday, November 08, 2015
Stock Market Major Wave 4 Underway, or Underway Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2079. After a gap up opening on Monday the market rallied to SPX 2116, a new uptrend high, Tuesday afternoon. After that it pulled back for the rest of the week, hitting SPX 2084 on Friday, and closing at 2099. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.20%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.60%, and the DJ World index rose 0.10%. On the economic front positive reports out numbered negative ones. On the uptick: construction spending, auto sales, ISM services, monthly payrolls, the MMIS, the GDPn, consumer credit, plus the unemployment rates and trade balance improved. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing, factory orders, the ADP, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. After the close Friday FED governor Brainard gave this speech: http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/brainard20151106a.htm. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Retail sales, the PPI, and Export/Import prices.
Saturday, November 07, 2015
Hot Jobs....Improving Services.... Stock Market Pulling Back 2052 To 2134 The Range.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
A lot of anticipation was out there ahead of the big Jobs Report out this morning before trading began. Expectations of approximately 180,000 jobs created was the name of the game, but there were other numbers out there as well. A range of 150K to 240K. The report pulled a shocker. 271K jobs created. Even better than even the highest predictions of optimism. The futures fell very hard on the news as it would now be a lock for the Fed to raise rates by a whole .25 BP come their December meeting. Of course, you can understand my sarcasm.
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Saturday, November 07, 2015
Stock Market Clear Separation From the Pennant / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We can see that there is separation from the Pennant formation even on the daily chart. There also appears to be a single impulse (5 waves) from the top with a partial retracement from today’s low at 2083.74.
There’s no telling what may happen over the weekend or whether the retracement may go higher. TNX has not yet reversed and the VIX and Hi-Lo Indexes have not given any indication of an imminent decline. Given all that, the situation may turn on a dime, so make your own call on what the SPX has to offer.
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Friday, November 06, 2015
Stocks Bull Market Printing Press / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Gary_Savage
Amazing what can be created with a printing press. They will need to turn the presses back on if they want it to continue higher. I do think they want it higher, and I do think they have turned the presses back on.
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Friday, November 06, 2015
Stock Market 6-7% Pull Back Likely, Gold Still Going Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The stock market's recent advance has been nothing less than spectacular. Caveat emptor: the rally was mainly in the large cap stocks. The FED's determination to raise interest rates in December is predicated on the upcoming economic data. One of the most important releases comes out on November 6th, the jobs report.
Friday, November 06, 2015
Asian-Pacific Markets Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Asian Economies
By: EWI
Analyst Spotlight: Mark Galasiewski
Learn a bit about EWI's big-picture from our Asian-Pacific markets expert
Mark Galasiewski is the editor of our monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast. Mark's a big-picture guy -- he loves analyzing the longer-term chart patterns, because they have the most significance to human social history.
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Friday, November 06, 2015
Stock Market Dow Set to Defy Naysayers and Trend Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Sol_Palha
Being ignorant is not so much a shame as being unwilling to learn. - Benjamin Franklin
Fear sells, and like misery it demands company. The so-called crash in August triggered dozens of hibernating bears to emerge from the woodwork. Rested from the last severe beating they took, they are ready for another healthy dose of pain. In their quest to push the fear factor a notch higher, celebrity perma-bears such as David Tice are brought out confirm that all is not well. If the markets were destined to sink into the gutter, David Tice would not have sold his Prudent Bear fund at the peak of the 2008-2009 financial crisis.
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Thursday, November 05, 2015
The Stocks Bear Indicator Never Lies / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
In the September 10 column entitled, "The bear makes a welcome return", we discussed the return of the infamous bear image on the front cover of several news magazines and newspapers. The most conspicuous example of the bear could be seen on the front cover of Businessweek magazine, shown below.
Thursday, November 05, 2015
Stock Market Overbought Daily Charts...Monthly's Awful...Short Term Still Ok.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
There's a nasty combination out there that says things won't be all that easy for a while, but still nothing in the moment that says the bad-news bear is about to get rocking. I still think that's a bit out there, although not too far out there. The daily index charts hit 70 RSI for a few days. Fortunately, they didn't get too overbought, thus, some selling makes sense at some point soon.
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Thursday, November 05, 2015
Stocks Bull Market Trending Towards New All Time High Before End 2015 - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Barely a couple of months ago the overwhelming consensus view that FOLLOWED the August plunge were expectations that the 6 years stocks bull market was finally over, killed off by the China crash, and prospects for Fed tightening. Nevertheless the 'End Times' Apocalypse was Now, and such bearishness was not just being voiced by the usual suspects i.e. the crash is always coming Perma crowd, but even included those who may have been mostly bullish from time to time with statements such as there was now a 99.7% probability that stocks were in a bear market.
Wednesday, November 04, 2015
3 Reasons to Get Excited about Japanese Stocks / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
Is this sleeping giant ready to offer opportunities for investors?
Anyone investing since the 1980s knows the boom and bust story of Japan and its Nikkei stock index. The Nikkei peaked just below 39,000 in 1989. Once known as a leading economic power, Japan's "bubble economy" burst, and for the last 25 years it has been in and out of recession and suffered a gut-wrenching deflationary environment. The Nikkei spent several years below 10,000, dashing any hope for investors.
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Wednesday, November 04, 2015
Stocks Bear Market Resolving Towards New All Time High Before End of 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Back track barely a month ago and the overwhelming consensus view FOLLOWING the August plunge into September was firmly become fixated on the expectations that after 6 years of a raging stocks bull market (that most had missed hence why I coined the phrase from the start of a stocks STEALTH bull market). Nevertheless the 'End Time' was apparently (again) NOW as apocalyptic doom and gloom once more prevailed following, and this not just voiced by the usual suspects i.e. the crash is always coming perma bear crowd, but even included those who may have been mostly bullish with statements such as there was now a 99.7% probability that stocks were in a bear market.
Wednesday, November 04, 2015
The Stocks Bear Market Meter is Running / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
Taxicab medallions and margin debt: A similar reversal in the making
As a native New Yorker, I can say with complete confidence: It's true; there's no place on earth like The Big Apple. It's also true that, until recently, most New Yorkers would trip a nun if it meant hailing a Yellow cab first.
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Tuesday, November 03, 2015
Stock Market Three Peaks and a Domed House / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
Point 27
A six-month cycle pointed to an important low in Sept/Oct this year. A low then matches seasonal expectations for equities. If that low was point 26 on Lindsay’s template, then the rally into point 27 will be short as the right shoulder after the cupola (point 27) usually occurs at about five months or less after the cupola (point 23). From 1901 through 2011 there have been only three instances of a longer time frame between points 23 and 27.
Tuesday, November 03, 2015
The Stock Market Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is down, but around 8:30 a rally has been launched to attempt to take SPX higher. How far the central banks and primary dealer banks can push it is yet to be determined. I recalculated the targets for the three formations and was surprised at how closely they all agree.
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Tuesday, November 03, 2015
Stock Market Pushing Up...How High Can We Go?...ISM Nearing Recession... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market futures were quite a bit lower last night ahead of today's very important ISM Manufacturing Report due out thirty minutes into the trading day. As the night wore on, the European markets started to bid, and, thus, our futures bid up as well. We were green by the time the day started, and as the day wore on the market rose further and further leaving the bears scratching their heads in wonder.
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Monday, November 02, 2015
Dow Death Cross is Not a Bearish Signal for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Sol_Palha
People who cannot recognize a palpable absurdity are very much in the way of civilization.- Agnes RepplierOne of the common themes we have spotted it that many of the readily available tools don’t provide their users with any meaningful edge. If the indicator is easy to use and easy to master, that means a plethora of individuals will be relying on it to give them some edge over the masses. What they fail to understand is that they are the part of the mass, they are trying to outwit. A lot of chatter has sprung about lately regarding the death cross. First it was the Dow, and now there is talk about the U.S dollar. This indicator like the “Hindenburg Omen” is far from perfect and could lead to more harm than good if utilized consistently, other than the cool names they carry, they offer little in terms of value: they are both easy to master and understand and this, in essence, renders them useless.
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