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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 27, 2011

US Public Debt Grows to World War II Level / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Pravda

In early December the ratio of public debt of the United States to GDP has reached 99.5%, which is the highest number since World War II. After placing another portion of the bonds at $160 billion, the U.S. will exceed this significant number. Rating agencies are willing to revise the U.S. credit scores.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, December 23, 2011

Should Definition of Central Bank Lender of Last Resort Function Be Expanded? / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA fractional-reserve banking system is susceptible to bouts of liquidity stringencies that, if left unchecked, can result in serial bank failures and an abrupt contraction in bank credit. The sine qua non of central banking is to act as a lender of last resort to otherwise solvent but temporarily illiquid banks so as to prevent their temporary illiquidity from deteriorating into insolvency, which would result in the aforementioned contraction in bank credit. This "narrow" interpretation of the lender-of-last resort function was the catalyst for the Federal Reserve Act of 1913. After the Banking Crisis of 1907, Congress believed that it was necessary to re-establish a central bank lender of last resort so as to prevent temporary financial market liquidity stringencies from deteriorating into severe economy-wide recessions.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, December 23, 2011

Robert Prechter Explains The Fed, Money, Credit and the Federal Reserve Banking System / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis is Part III, the final part of our series "Robert Prechter Explains The Fed." (Here are Part I and Part II.)

Money, Credit and the Federal Reserve Banking System

Conquer the Crash, Chapter 10 By Robert Prechter

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 22, 2011

Market Manipulation Is Not Why Most Traders Lose / Interest-Rates / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHow often have you heard analysts refer to a down day on Wall Street as "traders taking profits"? Sounds great, but the sobering fact is that most traders -- in futures, commodities, or forex -- lose money.

Any book on trading will list for you the many reasons why most traders lose. Yet some traders do win; some even set records. In 1984, Elliott Wave International's founder and president Robert Prechter won the U.S. Trading Championship, setting a new all-time profit record of 444.4% in a monitored real-money options account. Later in his monthly Elliott Wave Theorist, Prechter published a Special Report "What A Trader Really Needs To Be Successful" with 5 important insights for would-be market speculators (including the explanation of why "market manipulation" is not why most traders lose.)

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 22, 2011

ECB Rhetoric versus Reality on Money Printing / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Ben_Traynor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week, the gap between what the European Central Bank says and what it does became very noticeable indeed...

I know they're stolen, but I don't feel bad. 
I take that money, buy you things you never had. 
'Free Money', from the album 'Horses' by Patti Smith

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 21, 2011

ECB Stealth QE Euro 489 Billion Money Printing to Prevent Eurozone Banking System Collapse / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe ECB's first ever long term Refinancing Operation (LTRO) that had been estimated to provide upto Euro 350 billion to Europe's bankrupt banks in the form of cheap 1% 3 year loans, instead a huge Euro 489 billion was borrowed by 523 banks in a rush to grab cheap money that amounts to QE in all but name regardless of ECB propaganda.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 21, 2011

European Credit Crunch – Another Excuse For Silver Downdraft? / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

It's clear that Europe's debt problems can now be wrapped up into the term credit crunch.  In light of operations by the Federal Reserve, the amount of money available for credit appears to be shrinking, while risk premiums demanded by banks are thickening.

On Monday, the 3-month LIBOR-OIS spread rose to a record of .49%, a gain of nearly 11% in just one trading day.  This important measurement shows the universal health of the banking system as determined by the LIBOR rate and the overnight indexed swap.  The OIS rate is a generally strong indication of money market interest (investors who want little risk, but also little reward) and their favor or disfavor for particular investments.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 19, 2011

European Debt Crisis Explained, the Back Door Bazooka Solution / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe concept of a “back-door bazooka” is based on a recent policy change made by the European Central Bank (ECB). Reuters summed up the pros and cons of the stealth bazooka concept this way:

Instead of unlimited bond buying, the ECB will offer banks this week an opportunity to borrow money for three years for the first time, extending the current one year maximum ceiling for refinancing. France hopes banks will use the money to buy euro zone bonds, and ease the upward pressure on yields, but Italy’s Unicredit bank said last week this “wouldn’t be logical” for banks under pressure to reduce risk and rebuild capital.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 19, 2011

The Status Of QE3 / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Tony_Pallotta

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAside from countless banks calling for QE3 which one has to wonder if their analysis may be slightly biased for personal gain the question remains will we see QE3.

The November 2010 FOMC statement which launched QE2 made it clear why the Fed was expanding their balance sheet by $600 billion.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, December 17, 2011

EU Banking Crisis: Towards the "Leveraged Breakup" of Euroland? / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed’s third quarter audit data shows a total system debt of 355% and of GDP, in spite of so-called de-leveraging. It is down from the second quarter’s 375% of GDP, but up from 264% a dozen years ago. Financial sector borrowing fell almost 50% in the quarter but non-financial debt increased while financial debt fell – a push so to speak. Unfortunately most of the debt growth emanated from Washington. That growth was $557 billion, of at a 14.1% annualized rate. Of course, what the federal government is doing is the antithesis of what they should be doing. Will these borrowings and debt continue, of course they will.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, December 16, 2011

France Triple A Debt Rating Downgrade, G7 Government Debt Facts and Projections / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe possibility of Standard &Poors downgrading France’s triple A debt rating is the latest source of market anxiety among several other factors. Standard &Poors put 14 eurozone countries on negative watch earlier in the month. Today, Christian Noyer, the head of the central bank of France, expressed strong reservations about ratings agencies. It is helpful in this context to look at recent trends of government debt as a percent of GDP of major advanced nations.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, December 16, 2011

European Banks are 'Insolvent' Amid Euro-zone Debt Crisis / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Bloomberg

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMichael Platt, founder of the $30 billion hedge fund BlueCrest Capital, spoke to Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle in his first-ever live TV interview.

Platt said that most of the banks in Europe are insolvent and the situation in the region is "completely unstable." On investing in illiquid assets, Platt said he "would not touch them with a barge pole" and that "the major opportunities will come post-blowout."

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 12, 2011

Latest Eurozone Debt Crisis Plan "Another Grand Illusion" / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Zeiler writes: As European leaders celebrated a tentative agreement to accept tougher budgetary rules among its members, critics expressed doubts the plan would cure the two-year-old Eurozone debt crisis.

Last week's highly anticipated two-day summit resulted in 26 of the 27 European Union (EU) nations - the United Kingdom objected - agreeing to create a new treaty that would require members to keep budget deficits to within 0.5% of gross domestic product (GDP) in good economic times and within 3% of GDP in bad times.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 12, 2011

Another Euro Zone Crisis, Another Backdoor Taxpayer Bailout? / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: EconMatters

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleExactly 20 years to the day after the creation of the European Union (EU) and the Euro currency, German Chancellor Angela Merkel successfully secured an historic agreement from all 27 current members of the EU, except Britain, forging a deeper economic integration in the euro zone on Friday, 9 Dec.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, December 11, 2011

The U.S Debt Crisis, A Look Beyond the Paradigms / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Andy_Sutton

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCo-Authored by Gregory Olson, CEO – GRO Enterprises : One of the traps all analysts fall into from time to time is their inability to see the forest through the trees. We are all guilty of this from time to time, and those who would deny this simple reality only set themselves up to miss important changes in the paradigms in which they operate.  Perhaps the most famous example of this happened in the life and times of Christopher Columbus. We’re sure you recall the mental model of that time; that the Earth was flat. Many very wise people in Columbus’ day felt he was going to sail the Nina, the Pinta, and the Santa Maria right off the edge of the Earth. And there are many other classic examples as well.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, December 09, 2011

Stop Hyperventilating about Federal Debt: USA Is Heading for Party-Time Again / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAn interesting component of the current atmosphere of angst in America is collective amnesia. Everyone seems to forget:

1: There was a very expensive war. Whether the war was in fact “necessary” so as to Keep America Safe, is debatable. But putting that to one side, it most certainly did not generate a return on investment in the form of looting and pillaging…which always used to be the main justification for going to war in the old days, and that in the cold light of debt servitude, arguably remains the only fiscally-responsible reason for going to war…ever…so long as you win!

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Interest-Rates

Friday, December 09, 2011

The European Central Bank Provides Temporary Support to Banks / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Asha_Bangalore

The European Central Bank (ECB) provides temporary support to the economic bloc with its actions today. The ECB lowered the policy rate 25bps to 1.00%, expanded the range of eligible collateral for loans extended to banks, increased the maturity of loans to 3 years from the current maturity of 13 months to alleviate funding problems, and lowered reserve requirements to 1.0% from 2.0%. These steps are necessary measures to ease pressures in the banking sector and prevent a severe credit crunch.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 08, 2011

U.S. Twin Deficits, Phony Money for Worthless Promises / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere are two deficits that we hear about most: the federal government's deficit and the balance of payments of the United States. They are linked, but they are very different in their effects.

The federal deficit is seen by Keynesians as mostly a benefit and by Austrians as mostly a liability, and for the same reason: higher government spending.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 07, 2011

The Risk of Sovereign Debt / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: David_Howden

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith a 50 percent haircut recently given on the Greek sovereign-debt question, investors are increasingly asking what the real risk of sovereign debt is. It would appear that investors underpriced the risk inherent in sovereign debt, especially that of Europe's periphery. One might even go so far as to say that investors made foolish choices in the past and are now getting their just deserts.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 06, 2011

Quantitative Easing by the European Central Bank - A Matter of Time? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGerman Chancellor Merkel and French President Sarkozy announced a “comprehensive” agreement today pertaining to new rules to enforce fiscal discipline among members of the eurozone. Essentially, elements of the Maastricht economic criteria (3.0% budget deficit and 60% debt-to-GDP ratio) that had to be met in order to belong to the Euro Club are being enforced once again under new guidelines. An active audit committee to monitor national budgets to prevent profligacy is not part of the agreement, instead member states will be responsible and each will have to enshrine debt limits in their constitution. The European Court of Justice will have the authority to rule if members are not compliant and sanctions will be put in place by a vote of the European Council if members do not meet the fiscal thresholds. Giving new life to old rules, is that a big step?

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