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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

ECB Expected to Unleash QE Money Printing after Launching of Euro-Bonds / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHardly a week goes by, without a major summit between German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy, trying to devise another clever scheme to save the Euro. Yet after 1-½ years of trying to contain the wildfire, - the Euro-zone's debt crisis is more dangerous than ever. The collapse of Greece's €360-billion bond market, now trading at 26% of face value, has triggered contagion sales from periphery of the Euro-zone - Greece, Ireland and Portugal, and into the next upper tier of the Euro-zone, namely, the bond markets of Spain and Italy, which together owe €3-trillion of debt.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 28, 2011

Eurozone Being Swallowed by Expanding Debt Black Holes, Mega Bond Market Profits and Default Booms / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe stock markets plunged last week and euro-zone bond market volatility increased with PIIGS yields spiking to new Euro highs as pressure mounts on the ECB to start printing money to monetize bankrupting PIIGS debt that effectively act as expanding debt black holes that threaten to swallow first the whole of the Eurozone and soon after collapse the worlds financial system.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, November 27, 2011

When Even Germany Fails, Europe's Inverted Yield Curves / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAngela Merkel is leading the call for a rule change, a rewiring of the basic treaty that binds the EU. But is it both too much and too late? The market action suggests that time is indeed running out, and so we’ll look at the likely consequences. Then I glance over the other way and take notice of news out of China that may be of import. Plus a few links for your weekend listening “pleasure.” There is lots to cover, so let’s get started.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 24, 2011

Has the Fed Run Out of Ammo? / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Ben_Traynor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Federal Reserve has become more in interested in what it says about policy than policy itself...

IS THIS a sign the Federal Reserve has run out of ammo?

The latest Federal Open Market Committee minutes contain a whole section on 'Monetary Policy Strategies and Communication' (the FOMC had a presentation on the subject – to have been a fly on the wall...)

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 24, 2011

Run Eurozone Banking System and Debt Markets has Started / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI remain in "awe" of the amazing arrogance of politicians and news writers who simply cannot take "no" for answer no matter how many times it is spelled out. The horrendous "eurobond" idea simply will not go away, even though Merkel and the German supreme court buried it long ago.

Even if Merkel was willing to give in on the idea, Finland and Austria wouldn't, and more importantly neither would the German supreme court.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 24, 2011

What is Good for EU is Bad for Germany? Euro-zone Debt Crisis Intermarket Views / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Capital3X

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat was good for EU was always bad for Germany and what was good for Germany was bad for other EU countries. This could not have been more pronounced than yesterday Nov 23 2011 as Germany yields rose 11.3% and now are up another 4% for the day as Bond markets take a disliking to the German paper or rather the attitude. But what is interesting is that as the German yields rise, Italy and France continue to be falling in terms of spread. Is this why they say :Germany is the crux of the problem?

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 24, 2011

Big Banks, Big Governments, Big Debts, Let the Sucker Go Down / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleConclusion: Europe is in bad shape. This is hedge fund manager Kyle Bass's assessment of the situation in Europe. He stated this in a rousing interview on the BBC's TV network. Here is the segment.

He made two crucial points – points that stock market investors are ignoring. First, over the last nine years, there has been an increase of world debt from $80 trillion to $210 trillion. These numbers are staggering. Global debt over the last nine years has grown at 12% per year, while GDP has grown at 4% per year.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

Manipulated U.S. Interest Rates Seesaw Gold Prices / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: John_Browne

This week, world attention finally shifted away from debt problems in Europe to the unresolved and worsening debt crisis here in the United States. The Congressional Super Committee, which had been created over the summer to postpone making tough cuts, chose to avoid responsibility itself. In so doing, the Committee has followed the path of least resistance and maximum irresponsibility. Given the likely after-effects, the outcome should be judged as criminal dereliction of duty. It should now be crystal clear to even the most casual observer that a solution to the U.S. debt crisis will not come from within, but will be imposed, perhaps brutally, from without.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

David Cameron Says UK Plan to Cut Debt is Failing / Interest-Rates / UK Debt

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePlans to cut debt have failed nearly everywhere I look.

  • Greece is obvious enough and a government collapsed over it.
  • Spain is obvious enough and a government collapsed over it.
  • Italy is obvious enough and a government collapsed over it.
  • Portugal is obvious enough and a government collapsed over it.
  • US is obvious enough and the failure of the super-committee to come to agreement is proof enough
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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Greece High Flying Drachma / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe worst-case scenario for Greece, should it be unable to secure further bailouts, might be that it would have to live within its means. Presently, spending only the money coming in is considered unbearably brutal. If Greece could only leave the euro, it could install its own printing press, inflating its sorrows away. Any economist will object: it’s complicated. But it isn’t: Greece could introduce a high-flying New Drachma, quite literally.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Financial System Doomsday, What Happens If the Eurozone Breaks Up? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: The time has come to confront an ugly truth: The possibility that the Eurozone will break up, or rather fall apart, is growing increasingly likely.

In fact, I'd say given recent developments in Italy the probability of a breakup is as high as 40%.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Paper Banknotes and the Indebting Of Nations, Banking, War And Bankruptcy / Interest-Rates / Fiat Currency

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn April 3, 1024, “the imperial Sung Dynasty began to print and circulate chiao-tzu notes [paper money] in the province of Szechwan”.

p. 11 Ralph Foster, Fiat Paper Money: the History and Evolution of Our Currency, 2nd ed., 2008

In China, paper money was a monetary form of ‘Hamburger Helper’, an addition to the royal treasury that allowed Chinese dynasties to stretch their budgets by allowing them to spend what they didn’t have.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Italy Proves Simplest Reform Most Difficult to Pass / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Never mind Berlusconi's resignation.  The story coming from the European Debt Crisis is hardly fixated around one leader of one country.  Instead, the biggest story should be that even the most simple measures of government reform continue to be the most impossible to pass.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 21, 2011

European ERM 1992 Currency Crisis Replay, Government Bond Interest Rates Come Full Circle / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTonight I received a thoughtful email from reader Rick Cameron who made some observations and notes way back in 1992 and recently went back to review those notes.

His notes are regarding the European ERM, the Exchange Rate Mechanism, that was supposed to reduce exchange rate variability and achieve monetary stability in Europe.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, November 20, 2011

The European Bank Run Downward Spiral, Final Phase Of Goldman’s World Domination Plan / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: PhilStockWorld

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCourtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here. Submitted by Tyler Durden.

"Nervous investors around the globe are accelerating their exit from the debt of European governments and banks, increasing the risk of a credit squeeze that could set off a downward spiral. Financial institutions are dumping their vast holdings of European government debt and spurning new bond issues by countries like Spain and Italy. And many have decided not to renew short-term loans to European banks, which are needed to finance day-to-day operations. "

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, November 20, 2011

Euro-zone Will Print or Perish / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEurope is again at center stage. At conferences and meetings and in private conversations, it is the topic of the hour. I have thought a lot this week about Europe and its impact, so once again we delve into what is an evolving situation. This time, we look at possible impacts on the markets, as we ponder the questions, “Are we back to 2008?” and “Is there a Lehman in our future?” and I try once again to keep from making this a book-length letter. And I close with some brief thoughts I brought back from DC on the Super Committee and the deficit cuts.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 18, 2011

The Mother of All Dreads, Global Economy on the Brink / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRamy Saadeh writes: The World is on the brink of a cataclysmic spiral that could make the Greek crisis look like a walk in the park. Interestingly, markets still seem very hushed about the emerging risks ahead; the final bell hasn’t rung yet, can this be it?

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 18, 2011

Rising Government Bond Yields Push Eurozone Debt Crisis to the Precipice of Collapse / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Zeiler writes: Rising government bond rates are making it increasingly costly for several key Eurozone nations to borrow money, stoking fears that the sovereign debt crisis has reached a critical stage.

Yields on 10-year Spanish Treasury bonds rose to 6.8% during yesterday's (Thursday's) auction - uncomfortably close to the 7% level at which many experts feel is unsustainable. When the 10-year bond yields of Portugal, Ireland, and Greece passed 7%, each was forced to seek a bailout.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 17, 2011

Spain Debt Crisis Bailout Imminent as Spanish Bond Auction Hits 6.975% Yield on 10-Year Debt / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe ECB stepped into the fray once again today but the the results of the Spanish debt auction today speak for themselves. The rate on 10-year bonds is close to touching the 7% mark.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 17, 2011

Credit Storm Batters Europe / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSo, how bad will the EU credit crunch get?

Credit conditions in the eurozone continue to deteriorate while yields on French, Spanish, Belgian and Italian bonds move higher. Italy’s 10-year yield increased 19 basis points to 6.89 percent on Tuesday, just a stone’s throw from the “unsustainable” 7 percent. French debt is also under increasing pressure. The spread between France’s 10-year debt and German bund hit a new high on Tuesday, widening by 174 basis points. If yields continue to rise,  European Central Bank (ECB) chief Mario Draghi will be forced to either expand his bond buying program (Securities Markets Programme) or watch while defaulting sovereigns domino through the south taking most of the EU banking system along with them.

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