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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Monday, October 31, 2011

U.S. Treasury Bond Weakness in Synch With Stocks / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ETF (TBT) remains directly related to the direction of the stock indices. The correction off of last Thursday's high in the emini S&P 500 has been accompanied by a correction in the TBT.

This reflects a flight out of risk into the relative safety of the bond market, which in turn compromises the price structure of the TBT, as it represents longer-term rates.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 31, 2011

Foreign Borrowing Poses An Imminent Threat to the U.S. Dollar and U.S. Financial System / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Janet_Tavakoli

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe United States is the largest debtor nation in the history of the world, and our borrowing is increasing. In 1950 spending for social programs was only one percent of the total Federal Budget. As the economy grew, social programs expanded to include Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, Food Stamps, Unemployment Compensation, Supplemental Security for the Disabled, and educational programs. In 1983 as the United States pulled out of an ugly recession and brought inflation under control, social programs consumed 26% of the budget. In fiscal year 2012, they’ll eat up an estimated 57% of the budget.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, October 30, 2011

European Debt Crisis Summit: A Definite Plan But with No Details / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhere is the peace dividend that was supposed to come after the end of the Cold War? Where are the fruits of the amazing gains in efficiency that technology has afforded? It has been eaten by the bureaucracy that manages our every move on this earth. The voracious and insatiable monster here is called the Federal Code that calls on thousands of agencies to exercise the police power to prevent us from living free lives.

It is as Bastiat said: the real cost of the state is the prosperity we do not see, the jobs that don't exist, the technologies to which we do not have access, the businesses that do not come into existence, and the bright future that is stolen from us. The state has looted us just as surely as a robber who enters our home at night and steals all that we love. - William "Bill" Bonner

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 29, 2011

U.S. Fed Operation Twist – Unmet Goal, For Now / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

The Fed put in place “Operation Twist” on September 21, 2011 with the goal of guiding long rates to a lower level. The 10-year Treasury note yield closed at a low of 1.72% on the day after the new policy was instituted. As of this writing, it is trading at 2.33%. The 30-year mortgage rate dropped briefly to 3.94% but is back up at levels seen just prior to the announcement (4.10%).

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 28, 2011

How You Can Make Yourself a Better Trader / Interest-Rates / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

The idea of being a successful trader is exciting. The reality of becoming one is another thing. You need to understand more than the markets -- you need to understand yourself.

EWI's Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy knows what it takes. He has analyzed and traded the markets for over 15 years. Jeffrey has learned what it takes to be successful, and he has the discipline to apply that knowledge. Enjoy this excerpt from his free Club EWI eBook Best of Traders Classroom, in which he answers: What kind of trader am I?

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 28, 2011

So How Do These Sorts of Crises End? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Paul_Tustain

However this crisis is resolved, guess who'll be footing the bill...

The World has endured these sorts of crises before. Somehow they come to an end. What happens?

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 28, 2011

“Standard” Credit Default Swaps on Greece Are a Sham and It’s Not a Surprise / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Janet_Tavakoli

At least it’s not a surprise to any financial professional that has paid attention to the false reassurances that the International Swaps and Derivatives Association, Inc. (ISDA) has given over the years to naïve participants in the credit derivatives market. 

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 28, 2011

Greece 50% Debt Default, Greek Bondholders at a Loss / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Peter_Schiff

Michael Finger writes: In an agreement announced overnight, the European Union offered $100 billion to stem an imminent Greek debt default in exchange for a 50% haircut to Greek bondholders. This is a bittersweet victory for those of us who believe in the power of the free market.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 28, 2011

Money, Credit and the Federal Reserve Banking System, Robert Prechter Explains The Fed, Part III / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis is Part III, the final part of our series "Robert Prechter Explains The Fed." (Here are Part I and Part II.)

Money, Credit and the Federal Reserve Banking System
Conquer the Crash, Chapter 10
By Robert Prechter

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Foreigners Losing Confidence in Holding U.S. Treasury and Agency Debt / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Casey_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBud Conrad, Casey Research writes: Foreign central banks buy US Treasury and Agency debt through accounts at the Federal Reserve, where it is held in custody. Without these central banks buying our debt, the US federal government would have to find a new source of funds or the result could be higher interest rates. Looking at the data on a monthly basis (and then multiplied by 12 to give the annual rate), here is the dramatic picture of how foreign central-bank purchases of our debt have shifted, from buying $500 billion to selling off $1 trillion.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Beware of Floating Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Neeraj_Chaudhary

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAccording to US government figures, the yield on the 10-Year US Treasury note reached a record low of 1.72% last month. Thus, despite the fact that government debt has exploded at a rate of more than $1 trillion per year, and the fact that S&P recently downgraded US debt, it appears that market demand for long-term US debt is nearly insatiable.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 26, 2011

The Treasury Investment That's WAY Better Than Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: I've made no secret of my aversion to Treasury bonds. Yields right now are irrationally low, and thus do not accurately reflect U.S. credit risk.

And since inflation is already running higher than bond yields - and is likely to rise even further - Treasuries offer an inadequate return at best, and at worst, a capital loss if sold before maturity.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 24, 2011

Another U.S. Sovereign Downgrade Likely By 2011 Year End, Says Merrill / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: EconMatters

While some of us are still recovering from the first ever U.S. sovereign credit downgrade from S&P in August, BofA Merrill dropped another bomb.  From Reuters,

"The United States will likely suffer the loss of its triple-A credit rating from another major rating agency by the end of this year due to concerns over the deficit, Bank of America Merrill Lynch forecasts.   

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 24, 2011

Assessing the Damage of the European Banking Crisis / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: STRATFOR

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEurope faces a banking crisis it has not wanted to admit even exists.

The formal authority on financial stability, International Monetary Fund (IMF) chief Christine Lagarde, made her institution’s opinion on European banking known back in August when she prompted the European Union to engage in an immediate 200 billion-euro bank recapitalization effort. The response was broad-based derision from Europeans at the local, national and EU bureaucratic levels. The vehemence directed at Lagarde was particularly notable as Lagarde is certainly in a position to know what she was talking about: Until July 5, her title was not IMF chief, but French finance minister. She has seen the books, and the books are bad. Due to European inaction, the IMF on Oct. 18 raised its estimate for recapitalization needs from 200 billion euros to 300 billion euros ($274 billion to $410 billion).

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, October 23, 2011

What Quantitative Easing Really Means / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Global_Research

Prof. Ismael Hossein-zadeh writes: Stripped from the fancy (and mystifying) jargon, quantitative easing (QE) simply means increasing the quantity of money supply, or easing credit conditions—in the hope of stimulating thestagnant economy. This is usually done byhaving central banks inject a pre-determined quantity of money into the coffers of commercial banksin return for the purchase of their financial assets, which consist largely of government bonds. Although it is typically done electronically, or on paper, its practical effect is the same as printing money.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, October 23, 2011

Fed Officials Offer Broad Hints That QE3 is Likely if Soft Patch Persists / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

Vice-Chair Janet Yellen, Fed Governor Tarullo and Boston Fed President Rosengren have in the past two days voiced their support for more Fed action to support economic activity. Governor Tarullo indicated that there is “ample room” for the Fed to consider buying mortgage back securities. Two rounds of quantitative easing have helped to bring down mortgage rates, with QE1 (quantitative easing) appearing to have been the more successful (see Chart 1) program of the two programs.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 21, 2011

QE4, Wall Street and Student Debt Foregiveness / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Ellen_Brown

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAmong the demands of the Wall Street protesters is student debt forgiveness—a debt “jubilee.” Occupy Philly has a “Student Loan Jubilee Working Group,” and other groups are studying the issue.  Commentators say debt forgiveness is impossible.  Who would foot the bill?  But there is one deep pocket that could pull it off—the Federal Reserve.  In its first quantitative easing program (QE1), the Fed removed $1.3 trillion in toxic assets from the books of Wall Street banks.  For QE4, it could remove $1 trillion in toxic debt from the backs of millions of students. 

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 21, 2011

Six Layers Of Deficits Mean Debt Retirement Disaster / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dan_Amerman

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is a common but mistaken belief that the children and grandchildren of older Americans will be the ones who will be paying for today's massive government deficits.  In this article we will look at six different layers of the deficit and unfunded government promises and put them into personal, per household terms in order to get to the truth of the matter.  This truth is that the deficits are far too large to be repaid by taxpayers decades from now, but will be instead effectively repaid through the destruction of retiree savings and retirement investment portfolios in the coming years.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

Robert Prechter Goes "behind the scenes" on the Federal Reserve / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis is Part II of our three-part series, "Robert Prechter Explains The Fed." You can read Part I here.

Money, Credit and the Federal Reserve Banking System

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

The Day the U.S. Treasury Doomed America / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: In the mid 1990s, when I was working as a U.S. Treasury advisor to Croatia, I met with the managers of the U.S. Treasury's debt.

In what would turn out to be terrific advice, the Treasury officials suggested that we extend Croatia's debt maturities so the Central European country wouldn't have to refinance too often.

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