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Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 13, 2011

Robert Prechter Explains The Fed, Part I / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe ongoing economic problems have made the central bank's decisions -- interest rates, quantitative easing, monetary stimulus, etc. -- a permanent fixture on six-o'clock news.

Yet many of us don't truly understand the role of the Federal Reserve.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 13, 2011

FOMC Meeting: QE3 is Likely, if Economy Slips / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Asha_Bangalore

The minutes of the September 20-21 FOMC meeting indicate that several members see significant downside risks to economic growth. They do not project a decline in GDP, but noted that the economy was “vulnerable to adverse shocks.” In this context, the sources of adverse shocks included “pronounced or more protracted deleveraging by households, the chance of a large-than-expected near-term fiscal tightening, and potential spillovers to the United States if the financial situation in Europe were to worsen appreciably.”

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

Adjusted U.S. Monetary Base Less Excess Bank Reserves / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Jesse

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThanks to my friend Gary at NowandFutures.com for this chart.

I like to think of the expansion of the monetary base as it has been implemented this time, versus 1933 , as a large animal passing through the body of a python.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, October 09, 2011

An Irish Debt Haircut / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJust as only four short years ago it was All Subprime, All the Time, and then it was the Credit Crisis, now it is Europe. (When) will Greece default and which banks will implode as a result? Is there another banking crisis in our future? I just came back from a whirlwind four-country visit to Europe, and I will try to offer a few insights. This week we start with Ireland, move to the problem of Europe at large and, if we're not out of space (and your patience!), we'll visit some last-minute data points. There is a lot to cover, so let's jump right in.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 07, 2011

Mervyn's Pringle Problem / Interest-Rates / UK Debt

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBank to Treasury: Forget credit easing. It's your debt that needs queasing...

UNLIKE PRINGLES tasty potato snacks, quantitative easing doesn't come with a resealable lid. So the famous sales line is only more true for central bankers:

"Once you pop, you can't stop!"

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 07, 2011

Financial Debt Destroyed Our Economy / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Barry_Elias

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe financial industry had few assets to market in the past three decades.

As such, they fervently pursued the marketing of debt. In many instances, it appears this methodology was a sustained, premeditated, and deceitful endeavor).

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 07, 2011

Navigating the Eurozone Debt Crisis and Preparing for Greeceā€™s Failure / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFolks, you hear a lot about the eurozone crisis, but what you don't run across very often is a coherent idea on how to move forward. My friends at STRATFOR, a private intelligence company, have done us all the courtesy of saying out loud what everyone else shies away from: Eject Greece from the eurozone.

It's not pretty. It belies the lovely concept of a unified and prosperous Europe. And the worst part: it comes with a big fat price tag, of the 2-trillion-euro variety. But it may be the only way to steer the train before it derails completely.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 06, 2011

How Ben Bernanke "F*d" the Banks and Fixed Income Savers at the Same Time / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHello Ben. It seems your ploy to hold interest rates at preposterously low levels has backfired into a run on Bank of America assets.

Bank of America Customer Frustration Grows

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 06, 2011

What's Next on the Fed's Plate? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

It's safe to say that the Fed's latest announcement won't be enough to get Wall Street fired up.  In a decision designed to minimize the long run cost of money, the Fed's so-called "Operation Twist" has been a nonstarter for Wall Street.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 06, 2011

5 Ways You Can Use Trendlines to Improve Your Trading Decisions / Interest-Rates / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGreetings Trader,

Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave International (EWI) has just released a free 14-page trading eBook: Trading the Line – 5 Ways You Can Use Trendlines to Improve Your Trading Decisions, by Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 05, 2011

Will the Hawks of the FOMC Have to Reconsider? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

The Bernanke Fed is currently divided about its view of the pace of future economic activity.  The vote at the August and September meetings included three dissents.  The dissenters held the view that additional monetary policy support is uncalled for and they remain concerned about future inflationary pressures. Charts 2-4 are telling exhibits that represent market assessment of future economic conditions. 

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 04, 2011

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Rally Strong Signal of Systemic Failure / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USTreasury Bond rally over the last few months has been celebrated. Some call it a contradiction of the Standard & Poors debt downgrade of USGovt debt. Some hail the rally as proof that the USDollar remains respected as global reserve currency. Some regard it as a sign of bond market health in general. Some claim the US remains the safe haven. These are all errant views to the extreme, comments from cheer leaders to a system in deep deterioration, distractions from reality. The United States is stuck in a powerful recession, its huge federal deficits set to expand further, the fiscal austerity to be sacrificed, the turmoil in Europe rendering the US panorama more alluring and cute.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 04, 2011

Operation Twist a Primer for QE3 Money Printing? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIs Operation Twist a failure? The stock market plunged in disappointment when it was announced. Keynesians are tearing their hair out in frustration, as it appears the Fed failed to ramp up the printing press. Free marketers are disgusted by the blatant manipulation of the yield curve. A number of Federal Reserve (Fed) President Bernanke’s colleagues dissented and/or are voicing public opposition. However, as the dust settles, it appears there is a method to the twist: Bernanke may have a plan…

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 03, 2011

PIMCO Wrong as Bond Bears Plow Into U.S. Treasuries / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Bill Gross at Pimco has had a change of heart. Bloomberg reports Bond Bears Piling Into Treasuries as Yield Forecasts Cut by Most Since ’09

Eight months ago Bill Gross, manager of the world’s biggest bond fund, said Treasuries “may need to be exorcised” and cleaned them out of his $245 billion Total Return Fund. The company then used derivatives to bet against the debt in March.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 03, 2011

If They Have a Gun To Their Heads, Do the Banks Lend? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Submissions

Sam Houston writes: Here we are three years after the financial crisis of 2008. The banks got bailed out. Their junk mortgages now sit on the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve. In exchange the Fed gave them face value in cash for their junk. Where did they get the cash? They created it out of thin air of course.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 30, 2011

Leider Mein Liebste; Its Spelt TALF Not TARP: Next ECB Will Print A Trillion Euros / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHere’s an idea, if the Euro doesn’t exist anymore then the Greeks can pay back their Euro-denominated debts in imaginary money and everyone can live happily ever after?

Meanwhile; trust the Eurocrats to come up with a mind-baffling plan to kick the can down the road. It’s written in Deutchlitz which is what you get when you use a computer to translate a document originally written in German into French and from there you use another computer to translate that into an approximation of English. The words all spell on an English spell-checker but in aggregate anyone who speaks English hasn’t got a clue what they mean. For example, from the ECB Data Warehouse we are provided with:

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 30, 2011

Don't Get Suckered by the Bond Market 'Bubbleistas' / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: To hear the "bond bubbleistas" tell it, the bond market is poised to collapse the second interest rates start to rise.

But if you're thinking about dumping all of your bonds, you should think again.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 30, 2011

Fed Officials Voice Dissenting Opinions Again / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChairman Bernanke highlighted the gravity of the unemployment problem in the Q&A session in his speech after markets closed yesterday.

“This unemployment situation we have, the jobs situation, is really a national crisis,” We’ve had close to 10 percent unemployment now for a number of years and, of the people who are unemployed, about 45 percent have been unemployed for six months or more. This is unheard of.”

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

Operation Twist, The Fed's Long Shot / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week the Fed announced "Operation Twist," in which the central bank will buy $400 billion of longer-dated Treasury securities while selling the same amount of shorter-dated Treasuries. This episode epitomizes everything that is wrong with the modern, statist view of money.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

Greece Debt Crisis Keeps Getting Worse, ECB Will Inflate / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"The politicians giveth, and the free market taketh away." ~ traditional saying that I just made up.

The Greek government is going to default on its interest payments to the bonehead European bankers and investors who thought that getting high interest rates on Greek debt was a great way to avoid suffering the low-interest rates on German government bonds. After all, Greece would pay interest in euros. No problem!

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