Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Ray Dalio: This Debt Cycle Will End Soon - John_Mauldin
2.Stock Market Dow Plunge Following Fake US - China Trade War Truce - Nadeem_Walayat
3.UK House Prices 2019 No Deal BrExit 30% Crash Warning! - Nadeem_Walayat
4.What the Oil Short-sellers and OPEC Don’t Know about Peak Shale - Andrew_Butter
5.Stock Market Crashed While the Yield Curve Inverted - Troy_Bombardia
6.More Late-cycle Signs for the Stock Market and What’s Next - Troy_Bombardia
7.US Economy Will Deteriorate Over Next Half Year. What this Means for Stocks - Troy_Bombardia
8.TICK TOCK, Counting Down to the Next Recession - James_Quinn
9.How Theresa May Put Britain on the Path Towards BrExit Civil War - Nadeem_Walayat
10.This Is the End of Trump’s Economic Sugar High - Patrick_Watson
Last 7 days
Jeff Gundlach thinks that a Stocks Bear Market has started. Is he Right? - 18th Dec 18
Gold’s Not An Investment – You Won’t Get Rich - 17th Dec 18
Stock Market At Medium-Term Lows, Which Direction is Next? - 17th Dec 18
This Stock Will Drive America’s 5G Buildout - 17th Dec 18
Stock Market Turn In The Tide - Have a Happy Bear Market! - 17th Dec 18
How A NASA Scientist Could Trigger The Next Cannabis Boom - 17th Dec 18
iShares Russell 2000 IWM Leading Stock Market Decline - 17th Dec 18
Where is the Dow Stock Market Santa Rally? - 17th Dec 18
With Weaker Climate Consensus, Expect Elevated Climate Change - 16th Dec 18
SMIGGLE Advent Calendar 2018 UK Contents - What You Get Look Inside Review - 16th Dec 18
Is there a Lump of Coal in Santa's Stock Market Bag? - 16th Dec 18
This Market Will Drive Gold in 2019… - 16th Dec 18
Gerald Celente:Central Banks Can’t Stop a 2019 Debt Disaster - 16th Dec 18
Gold Stocks Triple Breakout - 15th Dec 18
The stock market fails to rally each day. What’s next for stocks - 14th Dec 18
How Low Could the S&P 500 Go? - 14th Dec 18
An Industrial to Stock Trade: Is Boeing a BUY Here? - 14th Dec 18
Will the Arrest of Huawei Executive Derail Trade War Truce? - 14th Dec 18
Trump vs the Fed: Who Wins? - 13th Dec 18
Expect Gold & Silver to Pullback Before the Next Move Higher - 13th Dec 18
Dollar Index Trends, USDJPY Setting Up - 13th Dec 18
While The Stocks Bulls Fiddle With The 'Fundamentals,' Rome Burns - 13th Dec 18
The Historic Role of Silver - 13th Dec 18
Natural Gas Price Setup for a Big Move Lower - 13th Dec 18
How to Get 20% Off Morrisons Weekly Supermarket Shopping - 13th Dec 18
Gold Price Analysis: Closer To A Significant Monetary Event - 13th Dec 18
Where is the Stock Market Santa Claus Rally? - 12th Dec 18
Politics and Economics in Times of Crisis - 12th Dec 18
Owning Precious Metals in an IRA - 12th Dec 18
Ways to Improve the Value of Your Home - 12th Dec 18
Theresa May No Confidence Vote, Next Tory Leader Betting Market Analysis and Forecasts - 12th Dec 18
Gold & Global Financial Crisis Redux - 12th Dec 18
Wow Your Neighbours With the Best Christmas Projector Lights for Holidays 2018! - 12th Dec 18
Stock Market Topping Formation as Risks Rise Around the World - 11th Dec 18
The Amazing Story of Gold to Gold Stocks Ratios - 11th Dec 18
Stock Market Medium term Bullish, But Long Term Risk:Reward is Bearish - 11th Dec 18
Is a Deleveraging Event about to Unfold in the Stock Market? - 11th Dec 18
Making Money through Property Investment - 11th Dec 18
Brexit: What Will it Mean for Exchange Rates? - 11th Dec 18
United States Facing Climate Change Severe Water Stress - 10th Dec 18
Waiting for Gold Price to Erupt - 10th Dec 18
Stock Market Key Support Being Re-Tested - 10th Dec 18
May BrExit Deal Tory MP Votes Forecast, Betting Market Analysis - 10th Dec 18
Listen to What Gold is Telling You - 10th Dec 18
The Stock Market’s Long Term Outlook is Changing - 10th Dec 18
Palladium Shortages Expose Broken Futures Markets for Precious Metals - 9th Dec 18
Is an Inverted Yield Curve Bullish for Gold? - 9th Dec 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 04, 2018

US Bond Yields Positioned for Upside Acceleration / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Ten-year Yield has climbed to a new post-July 2016 (1.32%) high at 3.17%, the highest yield since July 2011, over 7 years ago!

From a technical perspective, today's surge above May-Oct 2018 resistance at 3.11% is a reaction to very strong recent data showing strong ADP Payrolls for September (230,000 vs. 185,000 expected), and impressive ISM Non-manufacturing data across the Headline data (61.6 vs. 58 expected), as well as the sub-surveys in Business Activity, Prices, Orders and Employment for September.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 02, 2018

Global Central Banks Enter the Danger Zone / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Michael_Pento

Investors are experiencing huge moves in commodities, currencies, equities and in sovereign debt across the globe. And now the fall has arrived. Expect the volatility currently witnessed in markets to only surge.

This is because global central banks have overwhelmingly turned hawkish in a vain attempt to gradually let the air out of the massive bubbles they have spent the last decade recreating. Unfortunately, that is not the nature of asset bubbles—they don’t end with a whimper--and they are about to burst in violent fashion.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Whose Trillion is it Anyway? US Federal Government Shocker! / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Andy_Sutton

The headline reads ‘Trump adds a trillion dollars to the national debt in 14 months’. Before you stop reading, give us a minute; this isn’t an article about Trump or politics for that matter. It’s about a process, a series of policies, and an approach that has been in place for decades now, irrespective of political parties. What we are going to give you are facts, not opinions. Those of you who read regularly should know us well enough to understand that we have no use for the ‘lesser of two evils / left-right paradigm’ approach to our Republic. Or what is left of it to be accurate.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Sunday, September 02, 2018

How Much does the UK Really Owe in Debt? / Interest-Rates / UK Debt

By: Dylan_Moran

We all hear horror stories about debt and how it’s piling up, but few people know the actual numbers. They’re left wondering how much the UK really owes in debt. Those figures don’t look good. In fact, it’s fair to say that the average Brit owes more than they ever have.

British households were spending around an average of £900 more than they earned during 2017, pushing personal debt into a deficit not seen since the credit boom of the 1980s.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 01, 2018

US Interest Rates - A Pound of Cure / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Peter_Schiff

This week, as investors and economists fixate on record highs set by major stock market indices, they have ignored much more significant developments that emerged from the Federal Reserve's annual meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell delivered a speech that somehow was almost universally interpreted as a reiteration of his commitment to continue to raise rates throughout the next few years. "Steady as she goes" was the takeaway from just about any news outlet. But the Chairman's actual message was essentially the opposite of what the media reported. From my perspective, it provided evidence that President Trump has succeeded in getting Powell's mind right on the need for the Fed to continue to stimulate the economy, no matter how much evidence emerges that it is already over-stimulated.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Friday, August 31, 2018

Recommendation for Bond Investors: Don’t Fight Financial Repression / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: F_F_Wiley

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released two supplemental reports this month—the first reveals budget scenarios it “did not have enough time” to include in June’s 2018 Long-Term Budget Outlook, and the second shows what needs to happen for policy makers to reach certain government debt targets.

I plan to post a few charts summarizing the new reports, but because I’m sounding off on bonds for now (or in a moment) and don’t need all the detail to support my argument, I’ll share only a short summary of the first report.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Sunday, August 26, 2018

How The Credit Market Is Doing in 2018 / Interest-Rates / Financial Markets 2018

By: Dylan_Moran

The credit market is one of the most significant markers of the global economy, to that point that many investors call it a figurative “canary in the mine.” In other words, when the credit market struggles, it means the rest of the economy is about to struggle as well.

Since the performance of the credit market can be a helpful guide in helping determining the health of other aspects of the economy, it's important to understand what it is--and how it's doing. To learn more about how the credit market is doing now, let's take a closer look at what the credit market is and how it is doing in 2018.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 21, 2018

US Treasury Bonds $TNX Curveball Update / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Rambus_Chartology

Over the last several months or so I’ve been writing about the bond market throwing us a possible curveball. Instead of continuing rising interest rate we may see falling rates. Today the $TNX, 10 year treasury yield finally broke below the neckline we’ve been following that started to developing back in January of this year. I’ve labeled the H&S top as an unbalanced H&S top as the price action formed a second right shoulder that was a small H&S top. A backtest to the neckline would now come into play around the 28.65 area.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Monday, August 20, 2018

Turkey Debt Crisis is Not Contained / Interest-Rates / Turkey

By: Michael_Pento

During my last appearance on CNBC, before I was banned several years ago, I warned that the removal of massive and unprecedented monetary stimuli from global central banks would have to be done in a coordinated fashion. Otherwise, there would be the very real risk of currency and debt crises around the world.  

However, coordination among central banks is not what is happening. The Fed is miles ahead in its reversal of monetary stimulus, as it has already raised rates seven times; with two more 25bps rate hikes in the pipeline scheduled for later this year. It has also avowed to sell off two trillion dollars’ worth of debt off its balance sheet--while the rest of the world’s central banks are far behind in this monetary tightening course. This has led to a significant increase in the value of the US dollar.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

A Bullish Bond Argument That Hides in Plain Sight / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: F_F_Wiley

It’s been awhile since I advised anyone to load up on long Treasuries. The bearish bond narrative has been too strong for that, thanks largely to fiscal policy but also to near-4% unemployment rates, quantitative tightening and—maybe most threatening of all—tit-for-tat tariffs.

In fact, I challenge anyone to think of a time during the past two decades when bond bears (read: most mainstream commentators) have possessed a more compelling Powerpoint pack.

But maybe the powerful bear story has become overplayed, maybe it was fully or almost fully priced in by mid-May, when the 10-year Treasury yield reached a six-year high of 3.11%. If so, it might be a good time to revisit the argument that the secular bull is still intact, a time for contrarians to speak up.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 14, 2018

The Federal Reserve: Secretly Sticking It to Americans for Over 100 Years / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MoneyMetals

In the aftermath of the 2008 Financial Crisis, the private Federal Reserve bank cartel was front and center as a target for public outrage.

Former U.S. Congressman Ron Paul’s "End the Fed" message suddenly resonated. Americans hated Fed officials bailing out the banksters – richly rewarding them for crooked and irresponsible behavior which helped create the crisis.

But years have passed. Americans have been enjoying the expansion stage of the next great bubble. The central planners at the Fed and their colleagues at the nation’s largest banks have been busy stimulating the real estate, equity, and bond markets.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Monday, August 13, 2018

72% of the Base Interest Rate Rise Already Factored into Mortgage Fixed Rates / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Moneyfacts UK Mortgage Trends Treasury Report data, not yet published, highlights that two-year fixed rates were already on the rise before the Bank of England’s announcement earlier this month, with the average two-year fixed rate having risen by 0.18% since January 2018.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Saturday, August 11, 2018

Greek Debt Tragedy is Far From Over / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Rodney_Johnson

Last week, Greece received $17 billion from its creditors, representing the final installment of the country’s third bailout since 2010.

This is the last one.

Really. Stop laughing.

There’s no doubt the Southern Mediterranean country has endured a lot of pain over the last eight years.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Monday, August 06, 2018

Technical Analysis and Interest Rates Unchanged – Here We Go / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The US Federal Reserve is one of the only central banks to attempt to raise rates consistently over the past few years, has possibly learned a very valuable lesson – no good comes from raising rates to the point of causing another market collapse.  The news that the US Fed will leave interest rates where they are, temporarily, is good news for a number of reasons.

First, this allows the markets to shake out weaker players and weaker components of the corporate world.  Where corporate debt levels are concerned, interest rates are tied to debt repayment liabilities and refinancing costs.  Firms that are unable to manage at current interest rates certainly would not be happy about rising rates.  This allows these corporations to either struggle to resolve their debt issues or collapse under the weight of their own debt.  This will also play out in the foreign markets as well.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Saturday, August 04, 2018

Breaking Down the US Budget Deficit / Interest-Rates / Government Spending

By: Rodney_Johnson

Second-quarter U.S. GDP jumped by an annualized 4.1%, putting a spring in the step of the Trump administration and the congressional leadership.

And why not?

Those two groups are responsible for turbo-charging the U.S. economy through tax reform, which cut taxes by more than $1 trillion, putting a ton of cash in the hands of corporations and consumers.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 02, 2018

Bank of England Base Rate Increases to 0.75% / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: MoneyFacts

The Bank of England’s decision to increase interest rates from 0.50% to 0.75% marks the first time the base rate has risen above 0.50% in almost 10 years. But what does this latest increase mean to the average person on the street?

Charlotte Nelson, Finance Expert at Moneyfacts.co.uk, said:

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 01, 2018

Trump Declares War on the Fed / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Michael_Pento

It appears when it comes to fighting the old Washington establishment---comprised of the deep state and the Federal Reserve--Mr. Trump is getting sucked into the vortex of the D.C. swamp rather than draining it. The hope was for our “Disrupter in Chief” to be more concerned about our children’s future than his own; and for his focus to span beyond the next election cycle. Instead of allowing consumers to finally receive a real return on their savings; and to let asset bubbles seek a level that can be supported by the free market, Trump has chosen to breach a boundary that has been essential to providing hope for the future solvency of our nation.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 19, 2018

The Fonzie–Ponzi Theory of Government Debt: An Update / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2018

By: F_F_Wiley

This post is excerpted from my book Economics for Independent Thinkers, although with some updating. It seems relevant after the CBO’s latest long-term budget outlook, which in its optimistic “baseline scenario” called for America’s net federal debt to double over the next 30 years, rising from 76% of GDP in 2017 to 152% in 2048.

Before reaching this chapter or even picking up this book, I imagine many of you were already loosely divided into the two major camps of the public debt debate. The first camp is already concerned and doesn’t need my research to form an opinion. These people stress the math involved in borrowing—the idea that you get do extra stuff today, but you have to somehow pay for it in the future. Meanwhile, those in the other camp ask, “So what?” They might argue that America will make good on its debt because “it always does.” Or they’ll point confidently to America’s unique advantages as a military superpower, paragon of political stability, and steward of the world’s predominant reserve currency. Confronted with the lessons of history, they’ll say, “This time is different.”

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Saturday, July 14, 2018

Uncle Sam’s Debt-Money System Is Immoral, Tantamount to Theft / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Keith Weiner, CEO and Founder of Monetary Metals, and President of the Gold Standard Institute USA. Keith is a hard money advocate who has been an outspoken proponent for the gold standard and restoring sound money to our nation's monetary system. Keith has a PhD from the New Austrian School of Economics, and his articles have appeared in numerous publications on Internet sites throughout the globe, and it's a real pleasure to have him on with us today.

Keith, thanks so much for taking the time, and welcome.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Friday, July 13, 2018

How International Observers Undervalue the Chinese Bond Market / Interest-Rates / China

By: Dan_Steinbock

Criticism is typical of vibrant international media. Yet, prejudiced biases in financial matters have the potential to harm investors worldwide. The Chinese bond market is a case in point.

Not only is China’s bond market growing explosively, but it has become diversified and provides broad investment options to both Chinese and foreign investors.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Page << | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 50 | 60 | 70 | 80 | 90 | 100 | 110 | 120 | 130 | 140 | 150 | 160 | 170 | >>