Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, September 19, 2011
Are $1.4 Trillion ETFs The New WMDs? Anatomy Of Highly Toxic UBS Scandal / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
By: DK_Matai
We have mounted an investigation into the role of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) linked to the $2 billion black hole at UBS. We have uncovered a complex entangled world wide web of $1.4 trillion including derivative exposures and counterparty risks.
Sunday, September 18, 2011
Stock Market Intermediate Support Is Holding / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014 after this bull market has run its course.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The market strength which was experienced last week attests to the seemingly impregnable support which exists in the low 1100's. With the market volatility being what it is, the market profile may change again, but it has become doubtful that the bottoming 3-yr cycle will cause the index to make a new low.
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Sunday, September 18, 2011
Tick Tock, Tick Tock Goes Nasty New Cyclical Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Adam_Brochert
I remain convinced that a nasty new cyclical bear market in common equities has begun. Now that Germany's stock market ($DAX) has dropped 35% from its May peak, there is little point in Wall Street trying to pretend that this is "just another correction/buying opportunity." The US stock markets have held up better than most, but this is about to change in my opinion. In fact, it was Germany that held up much better than the US in late 2007/early 2008, only to play catch-up later once the bear market really got rolling. Now, the crisis is centered in Europe (for now), so Germany and the US get to reverse their roles relative to the prior cyclical bear market of 2007-9.
Sunday, September 18, 2011
Stock Market, this is Not 2008 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
It was a wild week for sure. The SPX started the week by declining about 1.5% to 1136 and ended the week hitting 1220 for a 5.4% gain. The Central Banks announced three separate USD swap programs mid-week, to increase liquidity in Europe. There was also lots of talk of an ECB TALF program. In the mean time, in the US, economic reports were decidedly negative. On the plus side: business inventories improved, along with, the current account deficit, consumer sentiment, the Philly FED, and the M-1 multiplier rose. On the negative side: import/export prices declined, along with, retails sales, the CPI/PPI, the NY FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, the monetary base and the WLEI. The budget deficit increased, as did weekly jobless claims. If you are counting that’s five positives and twelve negatives. Nevertheless, the SPX/DOW were +5.05%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 6.45%. Asian markets lost 0.4%, European markets gained 4.2%, the Commodity equity group 0.3%, and the DJ World index gained 2.9%. Next week we have the much awaited FOMC meeting, the yet to be interesting Housing reports, and Leading indicators.
Saturday, September 17, 2011
Why This Popular Investment Strategy Will Not Save Your Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: EWI
So what is this popular investment approach?
You've heard the answer before: Diversification.
You probably know that the purpose of diversification is to spread risk across asset classes. The assumption is that if one asset goes down, the others will be stable or perhaps even move up.
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Saturday, September 17, 2011
Stock Market Where We're At... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
This is the bigger picture question we have to deal with. It's always fun to look only at the little picture, because most people are so short-term oriented these days, and really, who can blame them with how fast the markets move. They want to know what's going to happen today, and who cares about tomorrow. Who cares about months from now!! I do, and so should all of you. For this reason, I thought we'd take a look at things the way they are now, and then decide what's around the corner for us all.
Saturday, September 17, 2011
China Market Action Question Stock Rally’s Staying Power / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Regardless of what happens in Europe, stocks are not the place to be if a recession is around the corner. The odds of a recession are increasing. A bearish economic outlook is supported in Friday’s Wall Street Journal:
Read full article... Read full article...“It feels like a recessionary environment. What they call it later on I can’t tell you,” says Bart van Ark, chief economist of the Conference Board, who put the odds of recession at 45%. Since 1988, every time the Conference Board’s estimate of the probability of recession topped 40%, a downturn followed shortly thereafter.
Friday, September 16, 2011
Triple Top Forming in U.S. Stock Market, Robert Prechter Explains / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
This excerpt from the special video issue of the August Elliott Wave Theorist brings you Bob Prechter’s analysis of the triple top that has been forming in the U.S. stock market over the past 12 years. Watch as Bob himself explains what this pattern means for you and the markets.
Friday, September 16, 2011
Europe's Stock Market Panic / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: Zeal_LLC
Europe has become something of a four-letter word among American investors and speculators lately. Weak European stock action has been mesmerizing stock-index-futures traders here in the States. They dump US stock-index futures in sympathy whenever Europe is selling off. This in turn spawns bearish sentiment and weak opens in the US markets. Europe is the epicenter of US stock fears these days.
Friday, September 16, 2011
Gold, Stocks, Dollar and Oil Technical Analysis Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
- The dollar index had been moving in our favour in premarket and we should see UUP gap up at the open.
- SP500 is overbought and trading near key resistance. We may be taking a short position (SDS) today or Monday there.
Friday, September 16, 2011
Did US Dollar Injection Alter the Dominent Crisis Market Trends? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Capital3X
This is part of the premium analysis for Captial3x subscribers. It was a tough trading day across desks as SNB/ECB combine once again caught almost every trader that I know off, napping by “injecting USD liquidity”. This is the second time SNB has found itself leading an operation involving non conventional methods and therefore reflects an increasing ability to preempt crisis. Left to the markets, dollar scarcity would have result the exact of not worse situation seen in 2008. Dollar liquidity was the first step in calming the markets but we need to understand how long will this last as Central banks do not have infinite resources. While there are many who will be increasingly vocal about the ethos of providing such operation instead of letting institutions/countries to fail, we disagree and believe if there is a problem we need to first treat the pain and then go to treat the real problem. If one has headache we do not think of cutting the head off, do we? Therefore CBs are in their right to deploy such measures if they see pain in the markets. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 16, 2011
Why Has the Stock Market Yet to Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Joseph_Russo
An Old Type of Business-As-Usual
One could easily misperceive the 17-years of “entitlement” rally from 1982 through 1999 as normal and representative of the type of “certainty” necessary to carry out business as usual.
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Friday, September 16, 2011
Investor Prosperity and Protection in this Era of Concatenating Crises / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Let’s face it; many of the world’s ‘developed’ nations are insolvent … Either (they) will default or they will try and inflate their currencies into oblivion. Politicians can lie all they want, but the truth is that the debt obligations of these European nations are simply too large relative to the size of their economies.”
“In Greece, government debt now represents almost 160% of GDP and the average yield on Greek debt is around 15%. Thus, if Greece’s debt is rolled over without restructuring, its interest costs alone will amount to approximately 24% of GDP. In other words, if debt pardoning does not occur, nearly a quarter of Greece’s economic output will be gobbled up by interest repayments!”
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Thursday, September 15, 2011
SPXU Still in Play / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: George_Maniere
Pro Shares Ultra Pro S&P 500 (UPRO) is a triple leveraged fund that seeks a 300% return on the performance of the S&P for a single day. Conversely, The Pro Shares Ultra Pro Short S&P 500 (SPXU) seeks a triple leverage or 300% return on the inverse performance of the S&P 500. If you believe as I do that we are setting up for a leg down on the S&P then SPXU is the best way to profit from this trade.
Wednesday, September 14, 2011
Dangerous Stock Market VIX Circle Pattern / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Marty_Chenard
Every couple of years, this "Circular VIX Pattern" has been showing up. It is a pattern where you can draw a circle off the VIX lows, and once you move to the half way point past the middle of the circle ... the support starts to move up which means the market moves down.
We posted this pattern for readers in July but some readers never heard of such a thing so they ignored it. But, for those who didn't, it sent ample warnings to become more and more cautious as the market became more and more dangerous.
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Wednesday, September 14, 2011
As Greek Debt Default Nears, Investors Need to Take Cover / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
By: Money_Morning
David Zeiler writes:
At this point a Greek debt default is virtually unavoidable, and it could happen in a matter of weeks.
The ensuing chain reaction will upend markets around the world and will almost surely lead to more defaults among the European Union's (EU) other debt-plagued nations, collectively known as the PIIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain).
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Wednesday, September 14, 2011
S&P 500 Relative to Europe is Raising Red Flags for Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
The S&P 500 has been regarded as a relative “safe haven” given:
- The high probability of a default by Greece.
- Concerns debt markets will focus on Italy next.
- Weakening economic data in Europe.
Tuesday, September 13, 2011
How to Beat the Stock Market Mania of Pessimism / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Investment_U
Two weeks ago, I opined that the biggest obstacle a stock market investor faces today is “headline risk.”
That is, relentless media negativity.
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Tuesday, September 13, 2011
Germany Becomes an Appealing Investment / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: Trader_Mark
While we've had a quite serious correction in domestic markets, Europe has been crushed the past few months - for obvious reason. As I was looking over the charts last night, it was stunning to see a country like Germany, the fourth largest economy in the world, mangled to the tune of a 33%+ loss in under two months. No matter the outcome of this crisis (and fact the Eurozone is probably headed for recession anew), this is a very dynamic economy which has probably melded the best parts of 'capitalism' and 'socialism' (I hate the labels) to create an export machine with a high standard of living.
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Tuesday, September 13, 2011
The Collapse Of Europe's Top Stock Market / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: DailyWealth
The euro crisis isn't just hammering Germany's banks... it's hammering the "DAX" as well. And that's very, very bad...
You can think of the "DAX" as the Dow Jones Industrial Average of Germany. It consists of the biggest blue-chip German companies. Names you'll recognize here include BMW, Merck, Bayer, Adidas, Daimler, BASF, and Volkswagen. As you can see from today's chart, these blue chips are in crash mode. The DAX has fallen 31% in the past two months. This type of move is the mark of a region in crisis.