Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, June 09, 2009
Suspicious Late Day Spike Pushes Stocks Flat / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Some very strange price (and some would say suspicious) action around 20.15 last night saw the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones spike sharply to close flat having been under water to the tune of 130+ points earlier in the session. Despite sluggish sales from McDonalds and news that Apple was cutting the price of its iPhones, traders cited “programme buying” from JP Morgan and UBS for the late rally. After the bell Texas Instruments increased their 2nd quarter forecasts while self appointed Mr Know ALL Nobel prize winner (and boy has it gone to his head) Paul Krugman opined that the Great Recession with end for the U.S. by September.
Monday, June 08, 2009
Volatile Stock Market Session Closes Flat / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
The indices had a very interesting and volatile session, but closed near the zero line and narrowly mixed.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 08, 2009
Stock Market Summer Trend Into a Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: David_Petch
The daily chart of the S&P 500 Index is shown below, with upper 21 and 34 MA Bollinger bands riding the index higher while lower BB’s continue to rise alongside the index, along with a potential Elliott Wave count displayed (which has a lower probability of occurrence compared to the other displayed patterns. Full stochastics 1, 2 and 3 are shown below in order of descent, with the %K above the %D in stochastics 1 and 3. If the %K can manage to remain hooked up and cross the %D in stochastic 2, it increases the likelihood that the continued price movement in the S&P 500 index drifts between 900-1000 over the course of the next 1-2 weeks at a minimum before topping out. As the Captain noted and as Elliott Wave charts will later show, there is a chance the markets simply go sideways for the summer before having a fall crash…to risky for most to even attempt playing, so use risk capital and no more than 5% on any given market trade.
Monday, June 08, 2009
Bull and Bear Market Moves / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Money_Morning
With Oversized Deficits Almost Certain to Persist, an Investment In America's Future is One Very Tough Sell - Peter Schiff writes: Just last week, Team Obama took its financial-crisis dog-and-pony show on the road. U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner went to China. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke visited Capitol Hill. And President Barack Obama, himself, embarked on a Mideast tour that started in Saudi Arabia.
Monday, June 08, 2009
Summer Of Stock Market Discontent as Capital Flees to Precious Metals / Stock-Markets / Gold & Silver 2009
By: Captain_Hook
The following study comparing the pattern in today’s Dow to the post crash Nikki, similar to our own findings, does a good job of talking about both near term and extended possibilities within a predominantly deflationary environment that would sponsor such an outcome. Within the context of this discussion, and again, a topic we have been focusing on in attempting to identify the eventual turn back down in the broad markets, in the above Sarel Oberholster correctly points out that although the Dow has almost achieved the same percentage gain witnessed in the Nikki’s post crash bounce (31% compared to 34%), timing wise, if the patterning is to be a closer match, stocks could remain buoyant for up to another four months. You will remember we cited an extended rally as a distinct possibility within the context of a ‘seasonal inversion’ up until last week when probabilities associated with the 1929 to 1932 sequence remaining dominant shot up with a collapse in US index open interest put / call ratios.
Monday, June 08, 2009
Stock Markets End Week Higher Despite U.S. Unemployment Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
While the U.S. unemployment rated jumper to 9.4% (a high since August 1983), the markets chose to focus on the welcome fall in the numbers actually losing their jobs (-345k versus consensus -520k). They concluded that despite the negative revisions to previous numbers that the pace of decline may be slowing and that elusive bottom may be in sight. As a result stocks finished higher for the third straight week.
Sunday, June 07, 2009
Stock Market S&P500 Index At a Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Submissions
MarketTimingCycles write: For almost everything in nature you will find Fibonacci relationships. Also in the stock market which is governed by natural cycles we can find (double) Fibonacci relationships between significant highs (highest high/close) and lows(lowest low/close).
Sunday, June 07, 2009
Stock Market Extreme Bullish Sentiment / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Guy_Lerner
As you would expect from the bullish price action last week, the "Dumb Money" indicator is moving to new extreme highs. Since 1991, this has been the 8th most extreme reading out of the 42 unique times the indicator went above the bullish extreme line (i.e., bear signal). Extreme readings, such as the current one, are generally associated with strong bull markets like those seen from 1995 to 1998 and from 2003 to 2004. The only real failure was in 2002, and this led to the flush into the July, 2002 lows.
Sunday, June 07, 2009
The S&P 500 Stock Market Index Trend Momentum Conundrum / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: INO
A conundrum wrapped in an enigma… that’s the S&P 500 index.
I was just looking at the S&P 500 index as we come to a close for the week of June 6th. While the market appears to be higher for week, it also appears that we’re losing momentum on the upside.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 07, 2009
Financial Markets React to Growing Signs of Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Ups and downs on financial markets were plentiful during the past week, but investor sentiment, on balance, brightened on the back of constructive financial and economic data - capped by a better-than-expected US non-farm payrolls report on Friday.
“It appears that the global economy has finally found the ripcord,” said Rebecca Wilder (News N Economics) in her weekly review of global economic reports.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 07, 2009
Financial Markets Schizophrenia and Madness / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: While stocks have been rising, bonds have been plunging.
Rarely in my lifetime have I seen these suffer from a more extreme case of schizophrenia!
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 06, 2009
Investing in the Transportation System of the Future / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Uncommon_Wisdom
Sean Brodrick writes: President Obama’s chief-of-staff says …“You never want a serious crisis to go to waste. What I mean by that is it’s an opportunity to do things you think you could not do before.” —Rahm Emanuel, November 19, 2008
Saturday, June 06, 2009
The Great Crash Not Over, Stocks Bear Market Rally Built on Sand / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Global_Research
A recovery is supposed to be in the works in the midst of increased savings, declining debt balances on credit cards, more bankruptcies, higher unemployment and new wave of foreclosures. Consumer participation in GDP is down from 72% to 70.4%. Bank and other financial firms’ balance sheets are what they say they are and we have a stock market bear rally built on sand just as we had in 1931. And, lest we forget, bogus government statistics calculated to confuse professionals and investors alike.
Saturday, June 06, 2009
Stock Market Hesitation at Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jack_Steiman
So is the market done here? We gapped over the 200 day exponential moving average on the S&P 500 at 943. Last night I talked about how I felt we would likely gap up and over that level today based on how we closed yesterday. It didn't matter it almost seemed like what the news was going to be from the jobs report. The news was bad. 9.4% unemployment versus 9.2% expected. The market somehow didn't care and flew higher on the report. Slow erosion began just before the market opened but we still gapped up nicely.
Saturday, June 06, 2009
U.S. Employment Downtrend Continues, Recession Not Over Yet / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Nonfarm payroll employment fell by 345,000 in May, about half the average monthly decline for the prior 6 months, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The unemployment rate continued to rise, increasing from 8.9 to 9.4 percent. Steep job losses continued in manufacturing, while declines moderated in construction and several service-providing industries.
Friday, June 05, 2009
MSCI Japan Index Fund EWJ and the US Dollar Japanese Yen Relationship / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
By: Guy_Lerner
I would like to explore the relationship between the i-Shares MSCI Japan Index Fund (symbol: EWJ) and the US Dollar Japanese Yen (symbol: USDJPY) cross match. What piques my interest is that the Dollar is up almost 2% today against the Yen. Furthermore, the "next big thing" indicator suggests that both assets have a high likelihood of undergoing secular trend reversal.
Friday, June 05, 2009
Period of Recovery for the Stock Market UltraShort SPY (SDS) / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The one salient feature of the enclosed hourly chart of the ProShares UltraShort SPY (NYSE: SDS) is the series of lower highs and lower lows, which represents a powerful downtrend. However, after this morning’s new low at 51.47 and upside reversal to a high of 54.17, I have to consider that “something” ended on the downside and that a period of recovery rally already has started.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 05, 2009
Stock and Bond Market Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
Last week we compared bonds and thought that T Notes were a good sell. They have fallen further - are they still a good sell? Some doubts have arisen…
Friday, June 05, 2009
Stocks Modest Boost Ahead of US Jobs Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Stocks got a modest boost from a upward revision to Q1 US productivity data (which was corrected to double the initial estimate) and a stabilization in continuing jobless claims. The number of people who have been claiming social security for a number of weeks which fell for the first time since early January.
Thursday, June 04, 2009
Thursday Stock Market Snap Back Rally Session / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Harry_Boxer
The indices had a real good snapback session after yesterday's losses, moving higher from the get-go, consolidating all morning, and then moving higher mid-day. A subsequent mid-afternoon consolidation held support, and they came back up in the last hour to close near the session highs.
Read full article... Read full article...