Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, July 08, 2008
Bernanke, Paulson, FDIC Eye Taxpayer Bailouts, More Power / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Even as PDCF use is waning, Bernanke Says Fed May Continue Lending Into Next Year ."The Federal Reserve is strongly committed" to financial stability and is "considering several options, including extending the duration of our facilities for primary dealers beyond year-end," Bernanke said in a speech to a conference in Arlington, Virginia.
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Monday, July 07, 2008
BIS Plan to Save the Western World By Ending Free Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Welcome to the weekly report. This week we look at the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) latest utterances and look at the chart of a hedge Fund showing unusual price action. We start with a look at some "suggestions" made by the BIS in its 78th annual report. This is probably the most important global macro-economic pointer you will see this year that shows the way ahead:Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 07, 2008
Central Planners Trying to Mask Imploding Credit Cycle / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
With a collapsing credit cycle unfolding before our very eyes, central planners believe they must paint a picture that what's happening is ‘normal' and ‘ordinary', where in the end all will be well. And in spite of evidence this time around things are different, the media would like us to believe that the public thinks this is the case. What's more, the media, led by central planners , would like us to believe the investing public also thinks everything is ‘just fine', with exploding unemployment , collapsing consumer confidence , and an imploding credit cycle nothing to worry about longer-term. All this while problems associated with a collapsing credit cycle are multiplying , with new problems hitting the fan more and more all the time.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 07, 2008
How to Survive and Profit From the NEXT Financial Markets Panic / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Martin Weiss writes: Dad was probably the only advisor who helped his clients make a fortune in the great bear market of the 1930s ... and then lived to do it again in the Crash of '87. Before he passed away, he walked me through some of the darkest lessons of America's financial history. And he gave me some valuable advice to share with you when the next financial panic is near.
"When another collapse is about to begin," he warned, "they're not going to ring any bells. Few investors will see it coming, fewer still will take protective action, and almost everyone will get caught in the melee. Don't let that happen to our subscribers!"
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Monday, July 07, 2008
The 20% Rule and Stocks Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
From its July intraday low to its October 9, 2007 intraday high the DOW has fallen 20.5%. A lot of commentators on television and the Internet are making note of the fact that the DOW is down 20% and saying that this is "bear market territory." Some are saying that this means it is the time to buy, while others are saying this is proof that we are now in a bear market.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 07, 2008
Stock Market Had Worst Half Year Since 1970 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The half year report card for global stock markets was not one to be proud of. The first half of 2008 was the worst first half to a year for the Dow Jones Industrial Average since 1970, when the index was down 14.60%. The 14.44% decline of 2008 is actually the tenth worse performance since 1900. July hasn't exactly started off with a bang and US traders may be thankful for the long weekend last week. The S&P 500 closed the week down 1.19%, registering its lowest daily close for almost two years. June was especially hard for US markets with a drop of 8.55% for the S&P 500, and a 10.19% collapse on the Dow, making up most of the years losses to date.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 06, 2008
Stocks at Extreme Oversold Levels / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: The market is very oversold and likely to bounce (No change).
Short Term Overbought - oversold is a description of a price move within a given time frame. Currently the market is oversold by virtually any measure over any time frame.
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Friday, July 04, 2008
Recent Hindenburg Stock Market Crash Omen / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
So what is a Hindenburg Omen? It is the alignment of several technical factors that measure the underlying condition of the stock market — specifically the NYSE — such that the probability that a stock market crash occurs is higher than normal , and the probability of a severe decline is quite high. This Omen has appeared before all of the stock market crashes, or panic events, of the past 22 years. All of them. No panic sell-off occurred over the past 22 years without the presence of a Hindenburg Omen. Another way of looking at it is, without a confirmed Hindenburg Omen, we are pretty safe . But we have one as of June 16th, 2008.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 03, 2008
US Economy and Financial Markets Mid-Year Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
I would say that things are downright scary, but I am afraid that would be a colossal understatement at this point. 2008 has been pretty much what we expected and then some. A couple of themes have emerged during the first half of this year that require our attention and careful consideration as we gear up for the second half of the year.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 03, 2008
Secrets to Succeeding at Stocks Bear Market Investing / Stock-Markets / Learning to Invest
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is already in the bear's grasp. And the U.S. economy may well be headed for a recession. But here's the ultimate irony: Bear-market investing offers a direct pathway to the biggest profit opportunities most investors will ever see.
History shows time and again that the worst returns come to those who buy at - or even near - market peaks, like those of 1928, 1969, 1999 and 2007, when Price/Earnings (P/E) ratios are typically higher than “normal.”
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Thursday, July 03, 2008
Stock Market Forecast- How Low Can the Dow Go? - Yorba TV Show / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
The theme of today's show is, “How low can the Dow go?” I have attached a chart of the DJIA that is looking more probable than when I first made this chart several months ago. When this pattern first became evident, I set it aside as a novelty rather than take it seriously. Today, I am looking at a much higher probability of this chart being fulfilled .Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 03, 2008
Global Stock Markets Technicals Dangerous / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
White knuckles and shaky knees abound as the bear's growl grows louder.
While on the road in Switzerland (where even the gnomes are gloomy), I have put together a table of global stock markets' performance – over various measurement periods and in both local currency and US dollar terms. The numbers speak for themselves and can best be summarized in a single sentence: “Nowhere to hide.” The Wall Street “leash effect” remained paramount, and decoupling nothing more than a theoretical myth.
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Thursday, July 03, 2008
Paulson Statement Warns of Imminent Failure of Large Financial Institutions / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
The July 2nd Remarks of Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson , on the World Economy and Markets before the Chatham House were quite remarkable. Let's have a look at a few of them.Whether it was Long Term Capital Management in 1998 or Bear Stearns this year, it is clear that Americans have come to expect the Federal Reserve to step in to avert events that pose unacceptable systemic risk. But, as we noted in our Blueprint, the Fed has neither the clear statutory authority nor the mandate to attempt to anticipate and prevent risks across our entire financial system.
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Thursday, July 03, 2008
Stock Market Oversold But Threatening Critical Support Level / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Originally written 30th June 2008 - Following the market trend is a proven way for investors to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Basic technical analysis provides the tools to identify and follow the trends of the market as determined by the S&P 500.
It is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart. This is a normal part of the technical analysis.
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Tuesday, July 01, 2008
China Stock Market Primed for Red Hot Mergers & Acquisitions Boom / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Tony Sagami writes: One of the first books I read as an economics major at the University of Washington was Adam Smith's Wealth of Nations. It was then that I first learned about what he called the 'invisible hand of capitalism.'
Smith believed that an individual pursuing his or her own self-interest tends also to promote the good of their community as a whole. To paraphrase Gordon Gecko, it's the notion that "Greed is good."
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Tuesday, July 01, 2008
When All Stocks Are Value Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Think QDI - Value stocks are those that tend to trade at lower prices relative to their fundamental characteristics than their more speculative cousins, the growth stocks; they have higher than usual dividend yields and lower P/E and P/B ratios. So when all stock prices are down significantly, have they all become value stocks? Or, based on the panicky fear that tends to overwhelm media and financial experts alike, haven't they all taken on the speculative characteristics of growth stocks?Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 01, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Insanity / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
As we forecast last month in our Investment Analysis Report, the regional banks have quickly brought about the next round of financial troubles. We expect a large decline in the broader stock market to be the next major issue. The Royal Bank of Scotland , Morgan Stanley , Barclays , and even the Bank of International Settlements (the central bank's central bank) have issued financial storm warnings. We referenced the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) last July in warning of the credit crunch last year . According to the Telegraph , they are now specifically warning of deflation. The BIS states:Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 01, 2008
Stocks Down, Gold and Crude Oil Up / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
Financial markets were a sea of red numbers last week as the classic ‘Fade the Fed' trade played out. The initial reaction to Wednesday's US interest rate decision was neutral to positive, then the selling set in and hardly stopped. Thursday's mini rally did a very poor job of papering over the cracks in the global economy.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 30, 2008
Worst June for the Dow Jones Since 1930s Deflationary Depression / Stock-Markets / Deflation
With but one day left of trading to the half-way point of the year, it is becoming more clear that this will not be an ordinary year. Unless today's market rallies something fierce, this will be the worst June for the averages since the Depression. On a less ominous note, the Fed met last week and decided that inflation was more an issue for the economy than growth, however left rates unchanged and likely spurred the latest round of selling. In what could be deemed a rush to call out their brethren, brokerage firms downgraded each other citing additional capital needs in the months ahead. If that weren't enough, oil prices continued their drive higher, altering many 4th of July vacation plans (on a 3-day weekend no less).Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 30, 2008
Sell, Hedge your Stock Market Investments.. or Be Prepared to Lose! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Martin Weiss writes: The stock market is falling swiftly, and you don't have the luxury of time. So I'll get straight to the point:
If you haven't done so already in response to our many earlier warnings, you'd better sell or hedge your vulnerable investments now . If you don't, be prepared to suffer far deeper losses in the bear market of 2008 and beyond.
But beware: Most brokers will try to talk you out of it. They have a hidden agenda. They want to keep you as a customer; and they know that, once customers sell their stocks, they often close their brokerage accounts.
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