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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 18, 2007

Small Caps Should Continue to Trail Blue ChipsŠwhile Nasdaq Q's Have Short-term Upside / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWell, time to dust off the daily QQQQ chart again, which shows the major channel the Q's carved out from the July 2006 low to the October 2007 high. My preferred scenario argues (still) that the November 12 low at 48.75 ended the first portion of an intermediate-term correction that eventually will resume its decline towards a test of the lower channel support line, now in the vicinity of 47.30.

"Eventually?" Yes, because from the November 12 low, both my pattern and oscillator work indicate that the initial rally to the December 11 peak at 52.84 represented the first phase of an "intervening recovery rally" that has unfinished business on the upside into the 53.00 area prior to the plunge towards the lower channel support line.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 17, 2007

EWI view on the FTSE, Interest Rates and the Super SIV Subprime Rescue Fund / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

Hey, Buddy, Can You Spare a Dime for the SIV Superfund? 12/7/2007 2:33:58 PM  "  Strange to see that Wall Street, which had no trouble raising money before the subprime mess and the ensuing credit crunch, is now scraping for 'spare change.' Here's why the superfund is a good idea for a few people but a bad idea in general. Read More

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 17, 2007

Hyper-inflationary Paper Promises Poised On Precarious Perch / Stock-Markets / Inflation

By: Captain_Hook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhether it be due to a global currency crisis , it's effects , or because worse is yet to come , no matter, the ever-growing hyperinflationary mountain of paper promises is precariously perched on the edge of a precipice ready to fall, and in doing so; such an event would accelerate the end of the US Dollar ($) empire, along with its dominance in world affairs and trade . And no amount of fairy tales or interventions will be able to halt the $'s slide from prominence – nothing. This is becoming more evident in the fact the credit crisis is now spreading to Asia , where the stock markets have become destabilized.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 17, 2007

Confusion in The Markets - What Could it Mean? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrom close up, there is no making sense of what is happening in the markets today. Certainly, in all the years of my involvement in and around the markets I have never seen such confusion at the coalface.

One reason, I suspect, is that there are broadly based vested interests at work which are battling for all they are worth to ensure that the infrastructure doesn't unravel.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 17, 2007

Stock Markets Consolidating Towards a Cycle Bottom by Christmas / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Andre_Gratian

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCurrent Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - The 12-yr cycle is nearing its mid-point and some of its dominant components may already be restraining the bullish effect of the 4.5-yr cycle. 2008 should see a period of correction into the late summer or Fall, followed by an eventual bull market top in 2009-10.

SPX: Intermediate trend - an extended intermediate-term consolidation is in process.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 16, 2007

FTSE 100 Index UK Stock Market Forecast Into End December 2007 / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhilst focusing primarily on the US stock markets during the past 2 to 3 months i.e. Dow Jones and S&P Index, the other western markets have been expected to follow the same or very similar trends which includes the UK's FTSE 100 Index. A recap of the anticipated trend has been for a rally into early October 2007, followed by a corrective decline into November and a strong rally into the new year to new highs for the year. The details of this analysis are contained within the archives. Accompanied by the scenario for the relative under performance of the asian markets as of late October and into the new year, which continues to be borne out by actual price action.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 16, 2007

Fed Fumbling in The Dark; Investors Hold Anti-Recession Stocks In Uncertain Times / Stock-Markets / US Economy

By: Money_and_Markets

Mike Larson writes: I don't know if you're a fan of the Benny Hill Show or if you've ever watched those old Keystone Cops films, but they both featured madcap comedy skits, with a bunch of people running around, often at cross-purposes, and ultimately accomplishing nothing.

And I was reminded of them this week by the Federal Reserve's latest actions. To recap:

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 16, 2007

Dow Theory Stocks Primary Bear Market Confirmation / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory

By: Tim_Wood

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe primary bear market confirmation that occurred on November 21 st when the Industrials confirmed the Transport's break below the August closing low remains in place in spite of the recent rally. In fact, the rally that began out of the November 26th low was anticipated and I stated before this rally began that it was going to cause many to question the integrity surrounding the November 21st Dow Theory primary bear market confirmation. That has definitely proven correct.

Robert Rhea, who was the leading Dow theorist in the late 1920's and 1930's stated: “Charles H. Dow never intended his theory of price movements to be construed as being a method whereby the royal road to riches could be found. While the principles laid down by him and developed by William Peter Hamilton may assist us in understanding something of security price trends, it would nevertheless be a fallacy to undertake any discussion of the subject without making the point very clear that no dependable method of beating the market has yet been discovered. Intelligent observation and study of the ever-recurring formations in the averages which Dow and Hamilton noted can, however, prove invaluable to both investors and speculators.”

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 16, 2007

Stock Market Update: Stop the Insanity! / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Dominick

After a rollercoaster week, the S&P closed Friday on the lows of the week with a head and shoulders pattern looming in the 15-minute and hourly charts. Monday morning will have to decide if this bearish pattern gets played out, but it's also up against our bullish setup, so only the trader prepared for either outcome is truly prepared!

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 15, 2007

Bush's Housing Subprime Mortgage Bailout Plan - It's ugly, but it's all we have / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Dow Jones Industrial Averages soared 175 points on the day that the Bush Administration announced its housing bailout plan. Wall Street was wrong. It wasn't something to cheer about. The major argument against the bailout plan is that it keeps free market forces from clearing out all the toxic sludge built up in our housing and banking system. It is argued that the bailout will certainly prolong the pain and could exacerbate the housing and mortgage mess over the long haul.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 14, 2007

Worst Over for Banks, Financials and Home Builder Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Housing Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

This is a bottom-fishing expedition, but my technical work on the Home Builders ETF (AMEX: XHB), sentiment, and the relatively strong action in Citigroup (NYSE: C) today despite continued bad financial press questioning its capital base, its breakup value, and the efficacy of its new leadership team all suggest that the "worst" names within the worst sector are about to recover. Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, December 14, 2007

Sovereign Wealth Funds from China and Arab Countries Preventing Financial Crash / Stock-Markets / Sovereign Wealth Funds

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week in a Special Outside the Box good friend George Friedman of Stratfor, in an unconventional piece, addresses the conundrum that equates low interest rates with market illiquidity, postulating on what may be the underlying cause of such an event. George seems to specialize in Outside the Box thinking, and this piece is no exception.

Stratfor continues to provide insightful and pertinent research on economic and geopolitical events and their respective ramifications. Stratfor continues to generously provide significant savings to readers of Outside the Box, for further information please click here . For those like me who seek objective analysis of world affairs, Stratfor is a daily necessity.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 13, 2007

Feds Actions Delaying Stock Market Downtrend / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: Brian_Bloom

Technically, the Fed's actions are still not driving the market to the upside. The best that could be claimed is the downside is being delayed.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 13, 2007

Stock Market Investors Failing to Recognise Inevitable Credit Contraction Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Doug_Wakefield

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile observing current events through the lens of history over the last few years, there have been times in which the only conclusion I could draw was that we were beginning a bear market that would prove much more severe than the one from 2000 to 2002. As fiat currency and money supplies have exploded the world over, we have seen a proliferation of products, with varying acronyms, as the financial world tries to distance itself from the risky loans it originated. My experiences, as a researcher and investment advisor, suggest that the root of the problem is in investors' thinking. Between the fall of 2002 and the spring of 2003, multiple markets began bull runs. As 2007 comes to a close, the only lesson most investors learned from the 7 trillion dollar loss of those years is to “hang on” when the market declines.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 12, 2007

Greenspan: Housing and Stocks Bubbles Not My Fault / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Brady_Willett

In today's Wall Street Journal former Fed boss, Alan Greenspan, attempted yet again to explain why he wasn't to blame for all the ‘bubbles' that coincidentally transpired during his tenure.  In the piece Greenspan adds color to the same storylines he has harped on before, those being 1) that he took the Federal Funds rate down to 1% because he was scared of deflation, and 2) crazy investors, not him, are to blame for the euphoric booms in stocks and real estate while he was Fed boss.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 12, 2007

Markets Indicating a Freeze on Mortgage Resets is likely to Repair the Credit Narkets and Bolster Earnings Growth / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Greg_Silberman

As market practitioners we are more concerned with the markets reaction to news than the news itself. Yesterday's announcement that Variable Mortgage resets could be frozen for 5-years is telling in that regard.

During the 1980s the international community got fed up with South Africa's Apartheid policies. Their response was to punish South Africa economically through broad sweeping trade sanctions (which ultimately brought the country to its knees). One far reaching measure was to shut the South African Government and its Corporations out of the international Debt markets. No new debt could be issued internationally.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 12, 2007

Stock Market Index Ramped Higher by Vested Interests Pre Fed Rate Cut / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: Brian_Bloom

The chart below provides evidence that the industrial equity market was “ramped” by vested interests in anticipation of the Fed rate decision.

Note how, following the Fed decision, the Dow Jones fell back below the intersection of the two trendlines – which is roughly where the technical resistance was before it was ramped.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 12, 2007

Credit Bubble Bursting to Lead to Across the Board Asset Price Deflation / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Christopher_Laird

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRiding upon the greatest credit bubble in history, greater than anything ever –(my interpretation of Doug Noland) one has to wonder what the future holds, if that bubble is breaking. That bubble includes the greatest housing bubble in history, the greatest world stock and bond bubble.

Just for the US housing bubble, it is estimated that, in a mere 5 years since 2002, $5 trillion was both pulled out of US housing and also the housing stock rose that much in value. $10 trillion total.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 11, 2007

Nasdaq in Post US Rate Cut Announcement Correction / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

So far the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) are following the 25 bps script…entering a correction on expected, disappointing news from the FOMC, amidst extremely optimistic sentiment. Let's notice that the price structure is approaching a test of the Nov-Dec support line, now at 51.90, which my work argues will be violated on the way to at least 50.50 thereafter.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 11, 2007

Investor Flight to Safety is Negative for Small Cap Stocks / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe trickle down affect of the U.S. subprime debacle is more far reaching than most investors may suspect. The obvious surface reaction is the negative outcome in the financial and housing sectors. Stocks in these areas have seen their values plunge in recent months. In addition, the Fed is prepared to cut rates to help stabilize the markets and in doing so, pulls whatever frail amount of support that exists from under the U.S. dollar. This move, in turn, provides increasing upward pressure to gold. But the area that is equally important and often missed in the subprime fiasco is the reaction or need for safety from investors.

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