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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 03, 2014

Stock Market Rally - It’s Not As It Appears! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tim_Wood

As equities continued to rise during the advance into the 2007 top, I screamed from the roof tops that it was a bear market advance and that the efforts to prop the markets up only served to make matters worse.  That certainly proved to be the case as those efforts resulted in the worst financial crisis since The Great Depression.   Yet, as a result of the worst financial crisis since The Great Depression, the response to that event was the massive bailouts and even more of the same things that created that event in the first place.    Seriously, think about it.  Is it remotely reasonable to respond to the worst financial crisis since the 1930’s with more of the same actions that created that crisis in the first place?  Does this really make sense?  Ever since the rally out of the 2009 low began, I have explained that it is a bear market advance and that the longer the rally extends, the more dangerous it will become.   The rally out of the 2009 low has now extended to the point that it is the longest cyclical advance since the inception of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 1896.   

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 03, 2014

Threading the Needle of Silver Price Discovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Price discovery in all commodities is an electronic paper affair. While the macro-economy and the geopolitical provide a distant framework, they do not wield significant direct influence. The "discovery issue" occurs across the board, but is nowhere more evident than in the precious metals futures markets and, most notably, silver. A look under the hood at the most recent rally confirms that we are nowhere close to the point of return to equilibrium price.
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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 03, 2014

Capital in the Twenty-First Century Flawed Theory That's Torching the Best-Seller List / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: I really do hate to say this, but the government threat to your assets is growing... again.

We've seen it happen in Cyprus, where bank accounts were "raided" to bail-in the country.

We've seen it in Argentina, Poland, Hungary, and other nations where private pensions were nationalized to help the countries' ballooning debts and deteriorating sovereign credit ratings.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 02, 2014

Inevitability of Financial Bubbles / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: BATR

Financial instruments are inventions of gnomes from investment houses and exchanges. There is nothing intrinsic about profitability or guarantee that over time such transactions will be rewarding. Much like the games played at a casino, the baccarat banks that run the betting sport and wheel of fortune, are running the odds in their favor. If only the payoff was similar to the gambling den probability, the consistency of indulgence might be worth the risk. However, the systemic incentivisations within the markets themselves are designed to reflect little of economic proportion to actual trading results. Just look how the financial firms compensate their traders to substantiate that the underlying security of the "so called" investment, which bears little resemblance to quoted pricing.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 02, 2014

Will Overseas Stock Market Volatility Hit U.S. Shores? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Clif_Droke

While the U.S. indices have been mostly upbeat, most of the action has been in Europe.

Stocks across several European exchanges were hard hit last week as investors overseas panicked over a slate of negative news – the same news, ironically, that investors in the U.S. blithely ignored. Adding to the dramatic reversal in sentiment, the European Commission reported on Friday an unexpected drop in household and business economic confidence. Economists are also concerned about the threat of deflation since the euro zone inflation rate remains stubbornly below 1%.
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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 01, 2014

Islamic Extremism and Emerging Market Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: EWI

By By Mark Galasiewski,

We have for many years observed a relationship between extremism and bear markets in the stock markets of Muslim nations. For example, this chart shows the deadliest Islamic terrorist attacks graphed against the MSCI Emerging Markets Index since the start of the index on December 31, 1987. Notice that many the attacks occurred near lows in the index.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 01, 2014

U.S. Dollar, Gold and Stocks Most Important Market Analysis Update Ever! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: David_Petch

A few notes first off...the US Dollar Index has broken below 80.0, but for this to mean anything, the US Dollar must close below 79.40 on a weekly basis. The critical levels of upper support and resistance are so tight right now, that the volatility we have seen has caused many players to go long when its wrong and go short when they should abort. The trend finally does "appear" as if the 79.40 level will break, but nothing is better than waiting for confirmation than speculation.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 01, 2014

The Stock Market is Overvalued, Caution is Warranted / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Christopher_Quigley

Back in 2001 Buffett said in an interview with Fortune Magazine that “the single best measure” of stock market valuation is by taking the total market cap (TMC) and dividing it by the total gross domestic product (GDP). Today TMC is equal to 114.5% of total GDP.
At the market top in 2007, just prior to a -54% crash in stocks, TMC was equal to 104.9%. According to Buffett’s “favorite” market timing indicator stocks are more overvalued today than in 2007.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 01, 2014

Stock Market Grinder... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

The market wants to correct. You can feel it. It has a pulse. It has an energy. The problem thus far has been the constant burn the bears have felt every time they've tried to front run. You can see the market struggle for every point as the daily chart oscillators are starting to weaken as we grind higher. As the market moves up, the MACD is not. The RSI and stochastics aren't forceful, but the MACD is the real problem child in the world of momentum oscillators. They are screaming for a pullback of some kind, but it'll take something to kick start the event. Maybe it'll be tomorrow's ISM Manufacturing Report.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 30, 2014

Dirt Cheap Global Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: You probably haven't noticed, but boring government bonds are up double digits this year...

U.S. stocks continue to push to all-time highs as well... even Europe is soaring to multiyear highs.

Today, we've got uptrends around the globe. The big question is... after so many investments have run up so high, where is the value in the world today? Is there any left out there?

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 30, 2014

Why You Shouldn’t Sell This Dull Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: The Dow hasn't done much this year, meandering up and down and delivering a low single-digit return year-to-date.

Stocks look boring to investors. So many are selling them for alternative investments.

This is almost certainly making a mistake.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 30, 2014

Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Investors Await Quarter's End, Economic Data Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral, following last Tuesday's intraday reversal:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 30, 2014

Stock Market Bearish Indexes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - The DOW may be tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 30, 2014

US Stock Markets Can’t Get No Respect ..BUT… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

In this Weekend Report I’d like to show you some charts on the different US stock markets and some of the stronger sectors within the US markets. It seems like no one believes this rally taking place in the US stock markets and many stock markets abroad. The mantra is we have to have a correction because markets can’t keep going up like this , which is true , but the stock markets will let us know when it’s time for a correction. Right now most of the charts are looking positive with no sign of a top in place yet. This could all change next week but right now things are looking much more bullish than bearish.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 29, 2014

Stocks - What to Do When Interest Rates Will Rise / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Most experts don't want to admit it... but there's actually plenty of room for stocks to go much higher from here – even through the end of 2016.

We certainly have some signs of a market top out there... But before you sell everything, I urge you to seriously consider today's essay.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 29, 2014

Central Bank Stocks Buying Binge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Mike_Whitney

Central banks have shifted into stocks and are buying up everything that isn’t bolted to the floor.

That’s the gist of the story that breathlessly appeared in the Financial Times about a week ago and swept across the blogosphere like a Santa Anna brushfire. And there’s some truth to it too, if taken with a large grain of salt. Here’s a clip from the Omfif’s report the FT’s cites in the article:

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 28, 2014

Stock Market Bouncing Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jesse

We don't need no stinkin' recovery.

Stocks just need the easy money Fed.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 28, 2014

Stock Market Getting Frothy ? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Tony_Caldaro

The general market made a new bull market high on Tuesday at SPX 1968, dropped to 1945 by Thursday, and then rallied to 1961 to end the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.35%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.90%, and the DJ World index was -0.25%. Economic reports for the week were slightly positive. On the uptick: existing/new home sales, personal income/spending, consumer confidence/sentiment and PCE prices. On the downtick: Q1 GDP, Case-Shiller, durable goods orders, the LEI and the monetary base. Next week we get reports on Nonfarm payrolls, ISM and the Chicago PMI.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 28, 2014

Stock Market Bullish Until Proven Otherwise..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

We were gapping down once again this Friday morning. It wasn't a massive gap down, but it had potential. A five handle on the S&P 500 isn't major, but it is something the bears can work with. Within minutes their dream was gone. Once again the bears refused to get in front of the selling out of the gate, thus, the bulls were able to keep things going albeit slowly as the day moved along. A nice rush very late in the day gave the market a push to the green. Once again, the bears have to be shaking their heads wondering what it'll take to sell a market that has everything going against it.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 27, 2014

Nothing Threatens This Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Money_Morning

Michael A. Robinson Writes: With U.S. stocks at all-time highs, folks are wondering where prices can go from here. After all, U.S. growth is still anemic, the Federal Reserve is rolling back its market assistance and corporate profits aren’t all they could be.

Granted, there will be periodic corrections and unpleasant events that will “shock” the markets into temporary downturns.

But I believe the conditions now in place could foster a bull market that could last 18 to 20 years.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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