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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, November 15, 2013

Stock Markets Set Another All-Time High - Thank You, Janet Yellen! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: The S&P 500 posted another all-time high with a closing gain of 0.48%. The popular financial press (e.g., CNBC, Bloomberg and Reuters) attributes the market’s merry mood to Janet Yellen’s congressional testimony before the Senate Banking Committee, where she has underscored her support for the Fed’s policy of Quantitative Easing.

Meanwhile, key segments of the real economy, represented by the likes of Cisco (down 13% after revenue warning) and Wal-Mart (forecasting a disappointing profit for the holiday season), are sending less happy signals.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 15, 2013

VIX Appears Finished, is the SPX Too? Black Friday? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Earlier I suggested that the SPX would probably stay glued to the top at least throughout the morning.  The fact is, it lasted all day.  The head fake usually stops at or very near the Cycle Top.  In this case, it turned 5 waves into 9 waves through the extension of the rally.

Tomorrow is day 262 in a very mature Master Cycle and a Cycle Pivot day, to boot.  The last time this happened was in July 21, 2011, when the indexes peaked, then proceeded to decline impulsively for 19 calendar days (12.9 market days).  A similar decline starting tomorrow would go to December 3.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 15, 2013

QE - Fed Official Admits Failure / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Clif_Droke

Apologies are becoming increasingly common these days. From the ubiquitous “Twitter apologies” of celebrities to the mea culpas of scandalized politicians, the public has become used to hearing them on a daily basis. It came as a surprise, however, when a former Federal Reserve official apologized for the part he played in the ultra-loose monetary policy known as QE.

“Confessions of a Quantitative Easer,” the Wall Street Journal published the public apology by former Fed official Andrew Huszar. The gist of the piece can be summarized in Huszar’s words: “We went on a bond-buying spree that was supposed to help Main Street. Instead, it was a feast for Wall Street.”

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 14, 2013

Stock Market Forecast 2014 - Crash or Rally? Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock markets continue to close at a series of new all time highs, all the whilst met with a continuation of bearish commentary not only that for an imminent bear market but even a stock market crash as illustrated by John P Hussman's highly regurgitated article warning of a 40-55% crash.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 14, 2013

Deflation, A Stock Market Crash And Then Christmas / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying things will happen in this order and timeframe. Just that they're going to if central banks and treasury departments don't up the ante. But they will. The question becomes more important now whether it'll be enough to continue keeping their - presumed - demons at bay. They can't go on forever. You can inflate asset price bubbles only so much. And then people will lose faith. So the order and timeframe is definitely an option.

Deflation is already here. Everyone's talking about lower inflation numbers than expected everywhere, but prices have been pushed up artificially in so many ways and in so many places that, even given the fact that they all ignore what inflation really is, it's getting profoundly absurd. Ironically, a few interesting lines this week came from an unexpected corner, the Telegraph editorial staff:

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 14, 2013

Deflation Is Coming (and It's Not What You Think) / Stock-Markets / Deflation

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Be careful out there.

The stock market rally that started in March 2009... The one that's taken us out of the Great Recession and to new highs... The rally that's driving sentiment indicators of people who benefit from rising financial assets directly, peripherally, or because they hope all boats rise with the market...

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 14, 2013

Why I’m Still Skeptical on Key Stock Stock Market Indices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: DailyGainsLetter

Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: The companies on key stock indices are showing very troubling trends, which can cause them to slide lower and generate losses in investors’ portfolios. Don’t just look at the number on the surface.

As of November 8, 446 companies on the S&P 500 have reported their corporate earnings and 73% of them were able to show earnings above estimates. The corporate earnings growth rate was 3.4%. (Source: “Earnings Insight,” FactSet web site, November 8, 2013.)

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 14, 2013

Chart Shows Stock Market Investor Sentiment Out of Touch with Reality / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: InvestmentContrarian

Sasha Cekerevac writes: To some people in the mainstream media, last week’s advance estimate on U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) growth was seen as a positive surprise.

According to the U.S. Department of Commerce, the advance estimate on U.S. GDP growth for the third quarter of 2013 was an annual rate of 2.8%. In the second quarter, real GDP growth was 2.5%. (Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, November 7, 2013.)

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

Too Many Stock Market Dummies are Getting Rich... Huge Top Forming / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Clive_Maund

We know that the Fed and other Central Banks are printing money like there's no tomorrow to stop the fragile system from imploding, but the Little Guy is not seeing any benefit from it, instead the banks and elites are making even more money out of that which is spirited into existence and then handed to them on a platter by driving asset prices higher and higher. The Little Guy instead gets stuck with the bill as he becomes a victim of the inflation that results.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

Stock Market Wednesday Worries – Fed Speak Not Helping? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Good golly, what a mess!

As you can see from Dave Fry's S&P chart, even yesterday's PATHETIC volume was too much for the bulls to maintain the illusion of strength. What little volume there was had 50% more decliners than advancers on the NYSE, led lower by energy stocks (as we expected) as oil collapses below that $95 line (as we expected).

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

When Inflation Strikes Back / Stock-Markets / Inflation

By: Clif_Droke

Is there such thing as too little inflation? To listen to some economists the answer is an emphatic “no!” Fed chief Ben Bernanke certainly doesn’t believe in the concept of low inflation. Neither does ECB president Mari Draghi. But the question must be asked: with so much official opposition to low inflation, how will America’s middle class ever fully recover from its current malaise?

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

Bankrupting America When Leverage Fails - The Policies of Insolvency / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Ty_Andros

Rarely, if ever, have I seen this level of INSANITY UNFOLDING in over 30 years watching and analyzing GLOBAL macroeconomics, politics and markets. To say it is frightening is to understate the combustible nature of the world economy and its ability to generate future growth and prosperity.

It can't and won't grow without massive reform of governments and their policies, which contrary to public opinion are deepening this MAN-MADE disaster. Conversely, times of great danger and risk offer the most outstanding investment opportunities if you can SEE IT and prepare yourself properly.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 12, 2013

Stock Market Meandering Along.....No Big Sellers Yet...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

Since I wrote Friday's letter, we have had one single day of trading. That was today. So what great wisdom can I impart on you that's different from Friday. To be blunt, there is none other than to repeat what we already know to be true. We have two great forces at work against each other, and the market behaved in perfect step with that reality today. The Fed will continue to print seemingly forever, as he is very unhappy thus far with the economic recovery, if left to its own devices. He feels the need to throw endless dollars at the economy, while keeping short-term rates at zero. He doesn't see commodity inflation, so why not keep it going for now, until he does. Then it'll be Janet Yellen's problem anyway, and he can blame it on her. He's gone in January, so he will likely say little when he speaks Wednesday evening.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 11, 2013

Cyprus Crisis Stock Market Investing in Action / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets

By: Casey_Research

By Nick Giambruno, Senior Editor, International Man

Stocks in Cyprus Are Down 98%—Time to Start Edging In?

Readers who have been with us for a while know that I've been hinting at the project Doug Casey and I have been working on in Cyprus for a while now. It's a project that dovetails perfectly with Doug's unique expertise. Now is the time to reveal what we have been up to.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 11, 2013

Get Ready for a Major Stock Market Pivot Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The Pre-Market is losing what little gain that it had over the weekend. All of the analysts that I have reviewed this morning are looking for (at least) one more push higher. Despite all that, Elliott Wave analysis suggests the surge is over.

Admittedly, the decline so far is unimpressive. One of the results of the shallow decline is that it allowed the support levels to move higher, making it easier to break them. For example, the 50-day moving average is at 1709.70, less than 4% from the closing price on SPX.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 11, 2013

Stock Market Forecast 2014 Crash or Rally? Drone Wars and the Nuclear Apocalypse / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Dow stocks index last closed at a new all time high of 15,762. Many in the press and blogosfear immediately explained away the rise on the U.S. Non farm payrolls data, apparently blind to the fact that the stock market has been in a powerful upswing since the Mid October correction low, since which probability strongly favours stocks rising on any given day, and especially more so after a down closing day as was the case for last Thursday, and THAT Is why stocks rose Friday! MOMENTUMN and Upswing Probability.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 11, 2013

Stock Market Top Are We There Yet? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - Important top formation is in the making.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 10, 2013

Are Investors Too Bullish on Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Clif_Droke

Just how far has the bullish sentiment of independent investors recovered since the 2009 bottom? Pretty far indeed.

Below is a chart showing the cumulative AAII investor sentiment going back to 2006. As you can see, the typical small investor had a mostly bearish outlook on stocks from late 2007 through the end of 2009. The small traders then turned slowly bullish on equities in 2010 and have been increasingly more enthusiastic about stocks ever since. As of last week, this indicator made a new multi-year high which shows you just how much investor sentiment has rebounded. This has caused many to wonder if investors have become too bullish on stocks.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 09, 2013

Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Caldaro

After a rally Monday, pullback Tuesday, the market rallied back to the SPX 1775 all time high Thursday morning. Then the market had its biggest one day reversal in quite a while hitting SPX 1746 just before the close. Friday, however, the market completely reversed recovering all of Thursday’s loss ending the week at SPX 1771. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.70%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.25%, and the DJ World index lost 0.4%. On the economic front nearly all the reports were positive. On the uptick: factory orders, leading indicators, ISM services, Q3 GDP, consumer credit, nonfarm payrolls, personal income/spending, PCE prices, the M1 multiplier, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims declined. On the downtick: consumer sentiment and the unemployment rate rose. Next week we get reports Industrial production, the twin deficits and the NY FED.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 09, 2013

Financials Suggest No Stock Market Correction Yet...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

When a market is getting ready to correct for whatever reason, the financial stocks would be one of the leaders to the down side. Yesterday surely looked as if that was the case not only for the financial stocks, but for the entire stock market. Today, we saw exactly what we shouldn't see if that correction was upon us. Lost key moving averages were taken right back and in many cases, on large volume. Some of the financial stocks had huge ramps higher. Best candles in many months.

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