Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, February 10, 2014
Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - The next week should decide if SPX has completed its correction, or if more time - and possibly new lows - is required.
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Sunday, February 09, 2014
Financial, Gold, Stocks Markets Manipulation's Becoming More Extreme, More Desperate / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
In two recent articles we explained the hows and whys of gold price manipulation. The manipulations are becoming more and more blatant. On February 6 the prices of gold and stock market futures were simultaneously manipulated.
On several recent occasions gold has attempted to push through the $1,270 per ounce price. If the gold price rises beyond this level, it would trigger a flood of short-covering by the hedge funds who are “piggy-backing” on the bullion banks’ manipulation of gold. The purchases by the hedge funds in order to cover their short positions would drive the gold price higher.
Sunday, February 09, 2014
Stock Market Back Testing...Now What.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The market fell quite a bit from the first day of January and kept going pretty much until midweek this week. The market oscillators got very compressed lower, while the Dow was testing its 200-day exponential moving average. It told me that the market should be done selling for a while, and that a rally should take place, thus, the Spy long that was taken. The real question is once we tested the 20- and 50-day exponential moving averages from underneath, something that basically occurred today, would the market just quit, or would it surprise, take them out and go higher?
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Sunday, February 09, 2014
Dow Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Another wild week volatile week that started off quite choppy to the downside. Then ended with a strong rally to the upside. After closing last week at SPX 1783, the market dropped to 1738 by Wednesday morning. Next it rallied, over the next two days, to end the week at SPX 1797. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.7%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.8%, and the DJ World index gained 0.7%. Economic reports for the week were slightly to the downside: 7 to 6. On the uptick: construction spending, ISM services, monthly payrolls, consumer credit, plus both the unemployment rate and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing, monthly auto sales, factory orders, the ADP index, the WLEI, the monetary base, and the trade deficit worsened. Next week we get a look at Industrial production and Retail sales.
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Sunday, February 09, 2014
Stocks and Commodities Great Inflation of 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
For over a year now I've been expecting 2014 to be the year when the unintended consequences of five years of QE come home to roost. By the end of the year we are going to have a massive inflationary spike in commodity prices that will collapse the global economy. It's all going to start with a final manic melt up phase in the stock market over the next 3-4 months. Make no mistake this bull market will not be over until the NASDAQ tests it's all time high above 5000.
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Saturday, February 08, 2014
Stock Market Napalm - Can You Hear the Popping Sounds? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Once again the smell of NAPALM is in the air. Reversals in liquidity and Massive markets reaction to PUNY emerging market outflows PROBABLY signals the next waves of insolvencies are STRIKING as I write this. Most main stream economists, banksters, brokers, governments and public servants are calling for continued recovery in developed world economies; to me it APPEARS we just saw the PEAK.
As Warren Buffet once said “When the tides go out we find out who has been swimming naked” and we are about to see this statement in ACTION!!!
Saturday, February 08, 2014
As Sochi Starts, 1929 Stock Market Crash Warnings Accelerate / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
"Good evening. This is an extraordinary period for America's economy. Over the past few weeks, many Americans have felt anxiety about their finances and their future. I understand their worry and their frustration. We've seen triple-digit swings in the stock market. Major financial institutions have teetered on the edge of collapse, and some have failed. As uncertainty has grown, many banks have restricted lending. Credit markets have frozen. And families and businesses have found it harder to borrow money.
We're in the midst of a serious financial crisis, and the federal government is responding with decisive action....
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Saturday, February 08, 2014
Will Stock Market 2014 be Like 2008? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
One of the biggest problems for the stock market entering 2014 was the near unanimous belief on Wall Street that stock prices would only go higher this year. Indeed, you had to look a long way to find even a hint of bearishness at the start of the year.
Just how bullish were investors before the decline began? According to Bloomberg Businessweek, advisers surveyed by the National Association of Active Investment Managers had 98.3 percent of their clients' portfolios allocated to stocks in January before the decline began. By comparison, exposure to equities averaged 72 percent during 2013. It's easy to see from this near-unanimity of belief in equities why the correction was bound to occur.
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Saturday, February 08, 2014
Stock Market Sell-Off Gives Us “Miracle Material” Bargain Of The Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Michael A. Robinson writes: I was one of the first analysts to pronounce this as the “Golden Age of Materials Science.”
You know what I’m talking about – all those “Miracle Materials” that are changing our lives: There are the advanced composites that lighten our airliners; the great plastics that increase the “cool factor” of today’s cars – while also making them safer and more economical. It’s one of earth’s more abundant resources; and the new discoveries, such as graphene, which promise to revolutionize biotechnology, computers and industry.
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Friday, February 07, 2014
Stock Market Selloff Starts, New Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Selling has finally returned to the US stock markets, short-circuiting their year-old levitation. This new downside action of the last couple weeks looks very different from anything witnessed in 2013. Is it just another minor and short-lived pullback, the vanguard of a full-blown correction, or the dawn of a new cyclical bear market? The prudent strategy for traders varies greatly with this selloff’s likely magnitude.
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Friday, February 07, 2014
Housing Crisis Was Just the Start, Staggering Numbers Your Bank Doesn't Want You to See / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
Shah Gilani writes: Many of us may have a small share of the country's largest banks in our wallet: a debit card, a credit card, or for the old-schoolers, a checkbook.
And each month we get a statement showing our account activity, not the banks'...
That's because there's a staggering number that the banks will never show you, or even reference, on the statement...
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Friday, February 07, 2014
How to Profit from the Economic Turmoil in Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
John Paul Whitefoot writes: The long-expected hit to the emerging markets is finally upon us. The fact that the emerging markets are taking a beating isn’t a total surprise; on the other hand, everyone running for the exits is.
But as physics proves, for every action there’s an equal and opposite reaction—nothing can escape physics; not even Wall Street or the emerging markets.
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Friday, February 07, 2014
February to Be a Repeat of January’s Stock Market Losses? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: Since the beginning of the year, key stock indices have fallen, and this is making investors nervous. They are asking what will happen next. The first month of the year is usually good for the stock market, but that wasn’t the case this year. The S&P 500 fell more than three percent and other key stock indices showed the same, if not worse, returns.
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Friday, February 07, 2014
Many Are Betting on a Calm Stock Market. We're Not / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Here's one good reason why: a historic market sentiment extremeThe DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ are struggling to bounce. Yet the bullish convictions remain high. Says a February 5 Investor's Business Daily headline:
"Why Mutual Fund Investors Need Not Panic After January Sell-Off"
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Friday, February 07, 2014
Stock Market Rally Before the Big Jobs Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short: Before the market opened, the latest new jobless claims report was a bit better than expected and European markets were rallying. The S&P 500 followed suit, rallying at the open and trading higher through the day to its 1.24% close, just fractionally off its 1.28% intraday high shortly before the bell. Today’s rally comes in advance of tomorrow’s big employment report for January. The mainstream consensus is for 175K-185K new nonfarm jobs. My forecast? A beat will be good news, and a miss will probably be dismissed as weather related.
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Thursday, February 06, 2014
Global Stock Markets Throw a Taper Tantrum / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
A sharp sell-off in the global stock markets so far this year has left many small investors a bit puzzled and panicky, and unsure how to react. Retail investors in the US, who watched the from the sidelines in a state of disbelief, as the “Least Loved” Bull market on Wall Street, continued to climb to new all-time highs, - finally decided to throw in the towel in the second half of 2013, and jumped aboard the Bullish bandwagon. The late converts plowed $175-billion of their savings into US-equity funds, helping to push the S&P-500 Index to an all-time high at the 1,850-level. They gave little thought that maybe, the “Least Loved” Bull had climbed “too far and too fast” after gaining +175% from the Great Recession low.
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Thursday, February 06, 2014
Stock Market Bottoms Have Two Elements: We’re Still Missing One / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short: Monday’s ISM wipeout pushed the stock market into deeply oversold territory as fear levels in the market began to surge. The ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 51.3 versus the estimated 56.0 reading and down from 57.0 for December 2013 and was the biggest miss in years, elevating growth fears. However, while many bears will dismiss pundits blaming the cold weather and see the miss as a sign of things to come, the ISM national PMI is just one survey and it moved opposite to many of the regional Fed manufacturing surveys for January. In fact, when reviewing various PMI readings across the country there were more positive improvements than negative with the average among surveys increasing during the month, as shown below. Note the positive changes in the Austin PMI (+9.4) and the Empire Manufacturing Survey (+10.3) were greater in size than the negative declines. Another encouraging development was a slight uptick in the JP Morgan Global Composite PMI.
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Thursday, February 06, 2014
Why Emerging Markets Are Heading for Falling Over the Cliff / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
In countries such as Turkey and Argentina a tighter stance implemented by central banks has set in motion an economic bust. In Turkey the central bank has raised the one week repo rate to 10 percent from 4.5 percent while in Argentina the 3-month Treasury bill rate climbed to 25.89 percent from 16 percent in early January. In Argentina an increase in rates took place once the central bank aggressively curbed its monetary pumping, while in Turkey the central bank raised its policy rate.
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Thursday, February 06, 2014
Why I Wouldn’t Give Up on This Stock Market Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
George Leong writes: Another day and another 300-point decline in the Dow Jones Industrial Average—that seems to be the norm right now. But despite my assurances that things will inevitably get better, I continue to see extreme nervousness out there.
Now it’s probably time for more hand-holding as we move along during this mini crisis in the markets.
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Thursday, February 06, 2014
Steps to Overcoming Losses in a Falling Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: “What should you do when the house isn’t in order?”
A good friend of mine asked this question back in 2011. At that time, key stock indices were plunging lower due to issues regarding the U.S. debt ceiling. There was uncertainty, and many wondered what would happen next. I remember this question now because the key stock indices nowadays are falling due to troubles in the emerging markets and there seems to be panic—similar to what we were experiencing when I first heard this question.
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