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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, September 07, 2018

The Most Important Chart To Explain Why Stock Market Bears Lose Money / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

I have spoken about this many times in the past, but the fact is that very few understand our financial markets. While no one is perfect when it comes to being able to identify turning points in the market, I think we all know that there has been a significant increase in that lack of perfection when it comes to the US stock market over the last three years.

You see, many focus on the wrong factors when making decisions about the stock market. While events such as Brexit, Frexit, Grexit, rise in interest rates, cessation of QE, terrorist attacks, Crimea, Trump, Syrian missile attack, North Korea, record hurricane damage in Houston, Florida, and Puerto Rico, quantitative tightening, trade wars, and many more have scared investors into believing the bull market will come to an end, none of these events have even put a dent in this bull market as it has rallied 50% during this period.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 06, 2018

Mixed Stock Market, Topping Pattern or Just Pause Within a Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Stocks were mixed on Wednesday, as investors continued to take profits off the table following the recent rally. The broad stock market remains relatively close to  its new record high. Is this a topping pattern or just pause before another leg up?

The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between -1.2% and +0.1% on Wednesday, as investors hesitated following the recent record-breaking rally.  The S&P 500 index has reached the record high of 2,916.50 last week. It currently trades below 2,900 mark. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.1% and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 1.2% yesterday.

The nearest important level of support of the S&P 500 index is at 2,875-2,885, marked by last week's Monday's daily gap up of 2,876.16-2,884.69 and yesterday's daily low of around 2,877. The support level is also at 2,860-2,865. On the other hand, the nearest important level of resistance is at 2,900. The next resistance level is at 2,910-2,915, marked by the mentioned last Wednesday's record high.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 06, 2018

China Contagion Risk is Now Spreading, And US Stock Market is NOT Immune / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Graham_Summers

As we noted yesterday, the global financial system is beginning to experience its first taste of “contagion” risk in years.

US stocks remains clueless to this… but it’s doubtful that will continue

China (black line in chart below) has imploded and is in a full-blown bear market. The odds that the US stock market (blue line in charts below) can avoid what’s affecting China are low.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 06, 2018

China Economy Sneezed… Will the World Catch Cold? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Graham_Summers

The markets are getting downright ugly. If things don’t turn up soon we could be at the point at which the Everything Bubble begins to burst.

While US stocks have performed relatively well recently, globally things are looking worse and worse.

Germany’s DAX never reclaimed its former high established back in January. Instead it’s been carving out a massive Head and Shoulders pattern. Germany is the fourth largest economy in the world and heavily reliant on exports for growth. This chart pattern doesn’t bode well for global trade or growth.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 05, 2018

S&P Made a New Stock Market High in August. Pullback in September? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500 made a monthly closing all-time high in August. This is uncommon, because the U.S. stock market is usually more volatile from May – September.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 04, 2018

Stock Market VIX & S&P: This Bearish Study isn’t as Bad as You Think / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

VIX and the S&P trend higher together during the final innings of a bull market.

Here’s VIX and the S&P 500 before the stock market’s top in 2007.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 04, 2018

We Have Had 9 Years To 'Prepare For The Stock Market Crash,' So Are We There Yet? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Avi_Gilburt

This past week, I read an article entitled “When Will S&P 500 Valuations Matter Again?,” written by Gary Gordon.

And, in his first bullet point, he said “truth be told, valuations have not mattered for the public markets for three-and-a-half years.” He then goes on to state that “on virtually any methodology one employs, the U.S. stock market is extremely overpriced.”

In coming to this conclusion, he has reviewed price-to-free-cash-flow, price-to-sales, market-cap-to-GDP, and other valuation matrices. Yet, as he noted in his bullet point, these valuations have not mattered for the three and half years where the market added 50% to its price. Yes, that is a 50% return which cannot be supported by traditional valuation methodologies.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 04, 2018

Financial Crisis 10 Years Later – No Lessons Learned / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: James_Quinn

“A variety of investors provided capital to financial companies, with which they made irresponsible loans and took excessive risks. These activities resulted in real losses, which have largely wiped out the shareholder equity of the companies. But behind that shareholder equity is bondholder money, and so much of it that neither depositors of the institution nor the public ever need to take a penny of losses. Citigroup, for example, has $2 trillion in assets, but also has $600 billion owed to its own bondholders. From an ethical perspective, the lenders who took the risk to finance the activities of these companies are the ones that should directly bear the cost of the losses.”John Hussman – May 2009

This month marks the 10th anniversary of the Wall Street/Fed/Treasury created financial disaster of 2008/2009. What should have happened was an orderly liquidation of the criminal Wall Street banks who committed the greatest control fraud in world history and the disposition of their good assets to non-criminal banks who did not recklessly leverage their assets by 30 to 1, while fraudulently issuing worthless loans to deadbeats and criminals. But we know that did not happen.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 03, 2018

Dow Secondary Stock Market High Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Austin_Galt

Previous analysis updated – price as traded as outlined, rising to levels where a secondary is likely to form. However, there is a change to the longer term outlook in that I now favour a more substantial correction to take place before the overall bull market resumes.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 03, 2018

The S&P has become overbought for the first time in 7 months. What’s next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The U.S. stock market (S&P 500) has become overbought for the first time in a long time. It’s 14 daily RSI has reached 70 for the first time since late-January 2018 while it remains above its 200 daily moving average.

In other words, momentum has returned to the stock market.

When momentum returns to the stock market, its forward returns over the next year are very bullish. Don’t turn bearish just because the stock market is overbought.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 02, 2018

Financial Markets Are Nearing the Line in the Sand / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018

By: Harry_Dent

Most of the classic technical indicators favor a continued rally in stocks into 2019.

And that’s still my preferred scenario for a final peak. One that happens in late 2019, coming off of this Trump rally that started in late 2016.

It could be near its peak growth rate after the 4.1% GDP report.

But it’s not likely to be sustainable for long given that we are running out of workers to rehire, and the real estate bubble seems to be finally be running out of steam due to such high prices making homes and rentals unaffordable.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 01, 2018

S&P Makes 4 Consecutive All-time Highs in August. Like 1987? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

New-all time highs in August for the U.S. stock market are rare because the stock market’s seasonality in August isn’t particularly bullish. But you know what’s even rarer? 4 consecutive all-time highs in August.

As of yesterday, the S&P made 4 consecutive all-time highs (CLOSE $) in August.

The last time this happened was in August 1987, just before the S&P made a “big correction”.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 31, 2018

Dow How Much Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: readtheticker

Lucifer was loved in heaven the day before he fell.

Reference: SP500 Cycle Review

The angels today are: Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), NetFlix (NFLX) and Google (GOOGL). These stocks are loved by the masses, so much so there is a sellers strike. There is no supply of stock float, as no one is selling hence prices rises month after month.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 30, 2018

Stock Market Trend Forecast Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's now over 1 month since I published my stock market trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018 on the 21st of July 2018 which was first made available to Patrons who support my work. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 29, 2018

Here Are Top Market Predictions from Camp Kotok / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: John_Mauldin

I’m back from Camp Kotok. As always, it was both rejuvenating and enlightening.

This year, I quickly sensed a more upbeat mood. There were not that many that were wildly bullish, but most were positive or at least neutral. There weren’t nearly as many bears as I expected. “Cautious optimism” seemed to be the theme.

That led me to refine my own views with a wide variety of participants. Today, I’ll do the same for you.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 29, 2018

Elliott Wave Analysis of TWM (ProShares UltraShort Russell 2000) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: WavePatternTraders

The recent gyrations between Jun – Aug 2018 appear to count well enough as a running triangle. For those readers that have some knowledge of Elliott Wave, will note that a triangle is a very common pattern for a 4th wave of an impulse wave. I am counting the current decline from April 2018 as a 5th wave of a larger impulse wave that started from the 2016 highs (2016 lows on the Russell 2000).

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's now over 1 month since I published my stock market trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018 on the 21st of July 2018 which was first made available to Patrons who support my work. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

S&P, Russell 2000, and NASDAQ all made new highs together. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500, Russell 2000 (small caps), and NASDAQ all closed at all-time highs together last Friday for the first time since January 2018.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

Semi Conductor Stocks Sector Warning or a Buy? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

We began tracking this negative divergence in NFTRH last year as the leadership of two premier Semi Equipment companies began to decelerate vs. the broad sector.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 27, 2018

SPX Making New Highs, But Nearing a Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is making even newer all-time highs, so it’s time to get out the calculator to find what new targets there may be. The next Pivot date is Wednesday, which is day 266 in the Master Cycle, 8 days beyond the mean. It is also a Primary Cycle pivot, which is often associated with Cyclical strength leading up to it. The two red Fibonacci calculations appear to be the most likely, given the short time available to make that high. However, we cannot rule out the top calculation at 2948.70, should there be a panic buying period.

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