Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, February 24, 2013
Stock Market Uptrend Resumes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
Market surprises with a volatile week. After hitting a new uptrend high on tuesday, the market sold off about 2% to a thursday low, before rallying to end the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ lost 1.0%. Asian markets were -0.7%, European markets were -0.2%, and the DJ World index lost 0.5%. Economic reports for the week had a negative bias for the first time in many weeks. On the uptick: building permits, the PPI, leading indicators and the monetary base. On the downtick: the NAHB, housing starts, existing home sales, the Philly FED, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get a look at Q4 GDP, (est. +0.5%), personal income/spending, PCE and the ISM.
Sunday, February 24, 2013
Some Selling Off The Stock Market Top...More To Come?..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Sy_Harding
That's the big question. Was the two-day selloff all the bears will be able to get, or will it be the beginning of deeper selling to come as the index charts unwind further off the 70-RSI tests on both the daily and weekly charts. We will have our answers soon enough. Early next week should be telling about whether we gap over gap resistance or whether the gaps just above act as a wall, thus, starting the market down on the next leg of selling. From a purely technical perspective, it would make more sense to start the next leg down as the gap down was on heavy volume, and today's buying was on much lighter volume. Gaps are very tough to take back, especially on the first try, and with both the daily and weekly charts having reached overbought, it should be tougher to make a strong move back higher.
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Saturday, February 23, 2013
Stock Market On The Precipice / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jay_DeVincentis
Here's what to expect.
Before I get into today's article, I just wanted to give you a heads up on 2 things. First, I've been asked to speak at the world money show again - 3/25. This time I'll be doing it remotely, so I'll see if there's a way to get you access to the presentation either during or after the fact. Second, next week I'll be in the Dominican (my standard February vacation to get some tan back in my skin). Sometimes the technology gods favor us, and sometimes they don't. Either way, I'll do my best to continue the advice without interruption.
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Friday, February 22, 2013
Stock Market Pop-n-Drop Possible / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
If you recall my Fibonacci analysis yesterday, I had expected to see a bounce to 1512.00 to 1515.00 before the decline resumes. The ES futures have stalled this morning precisely at the 38.2% retrace, which is the equivalent of 1511.66 in the cash market.
This morning is a “no news” morning as domestic events go. However, European news doesn’t look good, as Bankia posted the largest loss in Spanish Corporate history. In addition, Spain’s budget deficit grew from 8.9% to 10.2% despite the so-called austerity program.
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Friday, February 22, 2013
Stock and Bond Market Shock Waves! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Robert_M_Williams
Yesterday around 2 pm EST a small tremor shook Wall Street. Minutes of the Federal Reserve’s January meeting released reveal that many Fed officials are worried about the costs and risks arising from the $85 billion–per–month asset-purchase program. And they all seem to have their own ideas on how to proceed. Several Fed officials said the central bank should be prepared to vary the pace of the asset-purchase plan depending on the outlook or how the program was working. One wanted to vary it on a meeting-by-meeting basis. One new idea backed by a “number” of Fed officials would have the central bank promising markets that it will take its time when selling its massive holdings of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities.
Friday, February 22, 2013
New Low Stock Market Volatility Could Mean It's Time to Sell / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: The average daily price volatility of stocks has fallen more than 60% since the beginning of 2013. It's the biggest straight-line drop in some 82 years.
A lot of investors are rejoicing. After all, stocks have risen an average of 17% a year when volatility is as low as it is right now, Bloomberg reports.
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Friday, February 22, 2013
What This Tech Stock’s Saying About the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
We all know that corporate earnings are managed, but in a sense, it works, because an investor is better off having some ballpark earnings outlook over nothing. Earnings estimates for mature, large-cap businesses are typically more accurate over traditional growth companies, and you can use these estimates for your buy and sell decisions on the stock market.
One company that has a long history of providing decent guidance is Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (NASDAQ/ADP) out of Roseland, NJ. Automatic Data Processing (ADP) is a payroll processing and human resources outsourcing firm that is actually considered a technology stock. The company belongs to the NASDAQ 100 index, and I view it as a great barometer on the stock market, investor sentiment, and employment.
Thursday, February 21, 2013
Stock Market Healthy Pullback or THE END OF THE WORLD? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Wheeeeeee on oil!
Congrats to all who played that game with us as oil bottoms out BELOW $94 this morning (and still hasn't gotten back over the line). We took 1/2 the money and ran on our doubled-down trades on USO and SCO but $92.50 may be bust for this drop so we'll hang in and see how low we can go this week. Meanwhile, we got a short, sharp shock thanks to the Fed yesterday but it's perfect for the way we've been playing as we had a few short callers (GOOG, FAS, TSLA) that were getting away from us and Members were getting tired of my calling for patience as we've been waiting for this little correction for over a week now.
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Wednesday, February 20, 2013
Stock Market Rally - There are limits to this Nonsense! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX has developed yet another Broadening Top in the past week. It appears to be putting on the final touches today or tomorrow. It appears that the upper trendline of the latest Megaphone is at 1533 to 1535 tomorrow.
Based on my data so far, the Cycle Clock can pinpoint roughly half of the cycles within a day, while another 30-40% fall within 3-4 days. A small 10-12% fall within 9 days. I don’t have the data tabulated yet, but it seems to be working very well. Tomorrow is day 4 from the Cycle Date, so I will be watching the result along with the rest of you.
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Wednesday, February 20, 2013
Investors Scrambling for Returns in 2013 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
By: John_Mauldin
In this special edition of Outside the Box, World Money Analyst contributor Ankur Shah digs in his heels to help us all stay uphill from the slow-motion, jumbled landslide of bond yields and equity returns. Putting some solid analysis under our feet, he leads us onward and upward, dodging dislodged corporate-earnings boulders, relaying warnings shouted back by Head Sherpa Bill Gross, guiding us up the narrow but rock-solid ridge of dividend yields – and what’s that we see glimmering up there, through the swirling mists; can it be this mountain really is capped with gold? To the summit, then!
In all seriousness, Ankur gives us a somewhat technical analysis of the potential for future stock-market returns. This makes a great companion piece to the work Ed Easterling and I did a few weeks back on secular bear markets. In short, the data are not consistent with the beginning of a new secular bull market. Returns are likely to be muted over the next few years.
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Tuesday, February 19, 2013
It's Not Too Late to Japanese Stocks for 2013 / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: In November, I told you to buy Japanese stocks...
I said they were cheap, ignored, and in a new uptrend. "With these three things in place," I wrote at the time, "we have everything we look for in an investment."
Since then, we've seen a HUGE move in the Japanese stock market. It's up 30% in just three months!
Tuesday, February 19, 2013
G20 Tuesday – Nothing Ventured, Nothing Accomplished / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
OK, cheating a bit here.
I started this article on Friday and we were reviewing Anthony Mirhaydari's list as it's an excellent jumping-off point for contemplating the current market situation. I ran out of time on Friday, as I hadn't intended to get into such a major topic at first, so we're going to finish the list off this morning and discuss on this market holiday below (also, there was lots of good stuff in weekend Member Chat – see the end of Friday's comments):
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Tuesday, February 19, 2013
Capex Set to Fuel a 5-Year Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
David Zeiler writes: A rising tide of capital expenditure (capex) spending by U.S. companies will drive a stock market rally that could last as long as five years, BMO Capital Markets Chief Investment Strategist Brian Belski says.
In a message delivered to several news outlets, Belski argued that U.S. companies will soon start using their increasing cash piles to invest in their own businesses. He sees it as the next logical progression for companies with strong balance sheets.
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Tuesday, February 19, 2013
Stock Market Looks Like Forming a Double Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the market
SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the severe correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
Intermediate trend – It is probable that the intermediate correction ended at 1398 and that a new uptrend is in progress which could carry a little further after a correction.
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Monday, February 18, 2013
U.S. Stock Markets Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
While the US equity market made new uptrend highs this week, it did not do much to excite bulls nor bears. The entire range for the week was SPX 1514-1525. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ were -0.25%. On the international front. Asia gained 0.8%, Europe gained 0.3%, and the DJ World index was -0.1%. Economic reports continue to come in on positive. On the uptick: retail sales, export/import prices, business inventories, the NY FED, capacity utilization, consumer sentiment, investor sentiment, plus the budget deficit turned surplus, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: industrial production, the WLEI and the M1 – multiplier. Next week we get reports on housing, leading indicators and the FOMC minutes. Best to your week!
Monday, February 18, 2013
Calling All Stock Market Bears / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: WavePatternTraders
It’s been a few weeks since my last report so I thought I would update the ideas we have been working and what I think it’s potentially setting up going forward.
US markets
Although we have seen some great price action in other markets, the US markets have remained in a small range, and we still are waiting for a strong break, or a resolution to our current ideas I suggested to members that we go looking for other ideas.
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Sunday, February 17, 2013
The State of the Global Financial Markets 2013 Online Conference / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: EWI
The State of the Global Markets Online Conference is a weeklong event hosted by the authors of EWI's new 40-page report, The State of the Global Markets -- 2013 Edition, which has now been downloaded by more than 10,000 investors worldwide. Learn more about the event and download the 40-page report now -- both are free >>
Sunday, February 17, 2013
Investing in a Low Economic Growth World / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
By: John_Mauldin
The jury – unless you are the Fed and Ben Bernanke or the Congressional Budget Office, which cannot make lower growth assumptions without really blowing their deficit projections out of the water – is pretty well in on GDP growth: it’s going lower. Ed Easterling and I wrote a recent Thoughts from the Frontline on multiple pieces of research suggesting slower future growth. We asked the question, “So what about stock prices; will they follow suit?” Our thought was that, over time, they would.
Saturday, February 16, 2013
What Happens to a Financial System When Its Two Biggest Pillars Collapse? / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: Graham_Summers
Those EU leaders who have yet to be implicated in scandals are not faring much better than their more corrupt counterparts. In France, socialist Prime Minister Francois Hollande, has proven yet again that socialism doesn’t work by chasing after the wealthy and trying to grow France’s public sector… when the public sector already accounts for 56% of French employment.
Saturday, February 16, 2013
Stock Market Holding...Whipping Between Support And Resistance... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has had a way of holding up into multiple overbought episodes across all of the major index charts on their dailies. At some point, it will fall very hard, but for now, there is nothing indicating that this will happen now. We are not getting the type of market opening candle-stick prints that would suggest something nasty is upon us, although the market doesn't always have to be that friendly and give us a warning sign we can count on. A large gap up that closes with a black candle or worse yet, a red one, would indicate the market has topped out for the short-term, and that you should be in mostly, if not all, cash. You can even take a short or two on the indexes.
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