Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, January 01, 2015
Food Stamps, Subprime and Hyperinflation / Stock-Markets / HyperInflation
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
The next generation will look back at the current period with utter astonishment. The archives will be riddled with debates and all manner of euphemisms for what led to the collapse of the world’s first and last fiat reserve currency.
It is a process well underway. Take a look at two seemingly unrelated, though current, economic-financial trends: Food stamps and subprime.
The case of spending compared with risk. Food assistance is but a tiny tributary broken off from a massive river of denial.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 01, 2015
Stock Market 2014 Review ...Froth The Real Story / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
There is only one real story for 2014. FROTH! Unprecedented levels in terms of time. Since February we have been on a sell-signal with regard to the bull-bear spread. Low rates and liquidity from the Fed here and abroad have allowed that signal to be ignored for the most part other that two quick pullback's of 5.1% and 9.9%. They were painful but healed up quite rapidly. There were decent gains for the year across the board with the Nasdaq 100 leading early, the S&P 500 and Dow catching up as the year moved on, but the small- and mid-cap stocks were the big gainers late in the year. Froth prevailing in those areas, even with the high levels of bulls to bears. Froth is greatest in those small-cap risky companies, but that didn't stop the bulls from running there late in the year.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 31, 2014
Stock Market Pop-n-drop or Just Drop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX futures added to the retracement by rising near 2085.00, but are coming back down as I write. The Premarket is up about 2 points, but seems to be losing ground.
Jobless claims went up today for the month of December. ZeroHedge reports that it is the highest monthly rise in jobless claims since the polar vortex last year. Chicago PMI is being reported at 9:45 and is not likely to be good. Today may not be a good day for stocks.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 31, 2014
Stock Market Yen Carry Trade is Unravelling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has completed a small impulse down and has made a 29.3% correction so far. It may go as far as 2086.54 (50%) or to 2088.20 (61.8% retracement) before it is over. However, the institutional investors may be coming in and if they start selling, SPX may be on its way to Intermediate-term support at 2053.01 or even the 50-day Moving Average at 2028.51 by tomorrow. The odds favor adding an additional layer of short positions at this time.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 30, 2014
Is Now the Time to Buy Small Cap Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: Investment_U
Matthew Carr writes: There are a number of misconceptions that are perpetually parroted as truth.
For example...
Albert Einstein did not fail mathematics... In fact, he mastered higher forms of calculus (which most of us don’t see until college) before he was 15.
You can’t see the Great Wall of China from space... It is barely visible from low Earth orbit. Even then, you need binoculars.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 30, 2014
Stock Market Tradeable Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ed_Carlson
Counts are lining up for the next tradable top in the Dow near Dec 29. Let’s call it sometime this week. The forecast involves several of the models developed by George Lindsay but one easy-to-grasp reason is the chart below. In the past I’ve shown my own discovery of centering a middle section forecast on the high of the previous multiple cycle to forecast the high of the current multiple cycle. Previous forecasts this year using this model have all resulted in significant (tradable) corrections in the Dow.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 30, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Nearly Six Years In And Plenty of Upside Remains / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: It's got to be time to sell, right?
After all, stocks have been going up for nearly six years now – they've got to be near the end of their run... Right?
I disagree...
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 29, 2014
Stock Market Master Cycle Top May Have Extended to Mid-January / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
On Friday, SPX closed beneath its hourly ending Diagonal formation. As I write, the SPX Premarket is down another 6 points. This doesn’t guarantee that it will open there, but it means that the market will bear watching this morning.
Monday, December 29, 2014
Broad Stock Market At New Highs – Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, December 29, 2014
2015 - A Great Investment Year Ahead! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: George_R_Harrison
In these closing days of 2014, I’d like to thank you all, (Clients, Students and readers alike), for an exciting year of discovery, teaching and market predictions.
The Holidays are a useful time to reassess the year past and place emphasis on the positive events and how they have brought us to today. The Year 2014 offered lots of positive market surprises. Positive, that is, for those who saw them coming and made plans to accommodate the change.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 27, 2014
Stock Market Happy Holidays / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started at SPX 2071. On Monday the market rallied to the previous all time high at SPX 2079. Then on Tuesday, Wednesday and Friday it made higher highs, reaching SPX 2093. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.15%, the NDX/NAZ gained 0.85%, and the DJ World index gained 0.80%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the uptick: Q3 GDP, personal income/spending, the FHFA index and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: existing/new home sales, consumer sentiment, durable goods, and the WLEI. Next week, another holiday shortened week, there are only two reports scheduled: ISM manufacturing and Construction spending, both on Friday.
Friday, December 26, 2014
Financial Collapse - A Tale of How It All Went Down / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
“Memory is fiction. So is the future.
But there is some truth in fiction.”
When they woke Thursday morning, the banks had been closed on the east coast for 2 hours. Electronic payment systems worked select areas only, government services, food, and energy distribution.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 24, 2014
Santa Crushes Bears by Delivering Stock Market Rally to Dow 18,030 New Closing High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Barely a week ago it was beginning to appear as though both Santa had come early AND that the Dow had just missed breaking above 18k early December, before turning lower which with each 100 point Dow drop emboldened the bears to once more start fantasizing of mega-phone patterns accompanied by proclamations that the top was in and a new bear market had begun that reached maximum intensity just as the Dow put its bottom in at 17,067, doing an about turn rampage to a NEW All time high ABOVE 18,000 to close today (Christmas Eve) at 18,030. Thanks Santa!
Wednesday, December 24, 2014
Don't Let This Be the Most Wonderful Time of the Year for Uncle Sam / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Investment_U
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: Hopefully, your portfolio had a good 2014. The S&P 500 is up 12%. If you followed The Oxford Club, you likely did better. In 2014, The Oxford Club gave subscribers 122 double-digit gains and another 109 triple-digit winners.
Whatever the case may be, you likely cashed out some profits in the market this year. Those profits are classified as either long-term or short-term gains. Long-term gains are positions that were sold a year or more after you bought them. Short-term gains are positions entered and exited within one year.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 24, 2014
The Biggest Unstoppable Market Trends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Holiday markets tend to slow up a bit, and this week is proving to be no exception, so I thought we’d change things up a bit by diving into the mailbag and tackling a few of the fabulous questions you’ve asked recently.
Of course, as is our way around here, I’ll follow each answer with some actionable investment advice you can put to work right now as well as specific recommendations for your consideration.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 23, 2014
Stock Market Crash and High Yield Debt / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Harry_Dent
Since late 2008, the unprecedented quantitative easing (QE) that flooded our economy has produced another terrible consequence — the unbelievable mispricing of high-risk, high-yield bonds.
At the top of the previous boom in early 2008 high yield bonds grew to $710 billion and were yielding 10% after dropping to as low as 7.5% in early 2007.
That’s a more appropriate yield for investors taking such risks in what back then still looked like a good economy.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 23, 2014
Could an Energy Bust Trigger QE4? / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Peter_Schiff
In a normal economic times falling energy costs would be considered unadulterated good news. The facts are simple. No one buys a barrel of oil to display above the mantle. No one derives happiness from a lump of coal. Energy is simply a means to do or get the things that we want. We use it to stay warm, to move from Point A to Point B, to transport our goods, to cook our food, and to power our homes, factories, theaters, offices, and stadiums. If we could do all these things without energy, we would happily never drill a well or build a windmill. The lower the cost of energy, the cheaper and more abundant all the things we want become.
Tuesday, December 23, 2014
Patience is a Virtue: Unless you are a Central Banker / Stock-Markets / Central Banks
By: Michael_Pento
With the utterance of one word, “patience” in reference to the Fed’s anticipated lift off date from its zero bound interest rate target, Janet Yellen sent the Dow Jones soaring over 700 points in two days. It is clearly evident that our central bank is finding endless excuses not to raise interest rates in an effort to keep the equity and bond bubble rolling along. But this entrenched addiction to free money has now set the economy up for a catastrophe. The Fed’s $3.7 trillion dollars in QE and six years of ZIRP have created massive economic imbalances. When interest rate normalization eventually occurs, it will lead to wide spread insolvency.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 23, 2014
How to Play Weakness in Oil and Russian Stocks into 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DailyGainsLetter
George Leong writes: We are three days away from Christmas and just over a week from the New Year. This is the perfect time to look over your portfolio and holdings in the stock market.
To get set for trading in the stock market in 2015, take some winners if you haven’t already done so and dump some losers. Then consider what is occurring in the stock market and global economy (especially oil and Russian stocks) in relation to your economic outlook for the New Year.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 22, 2014
Stock Market Indexes Continue Their March Up As Investors' Euphoria Extends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish