Best of the Week

Monday, October 27, 2008

Crude Oil Truth / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mike_Paulenoff

I am not ready to step up to add the U.S. Oil Fund ETF (AMEX: USO) to our model portfolio just yet, but I am getting much friendlier to the idea technically. Looking at the weekly crude oil chart, it's the time of truth for nearby oil prices, as the price structure pressed against its 7-year support line in the $61.60 area, which was violated marginally this morning ($61.30), but NOT by 1-1/2% ($60.60), which would have triggered another bout of weakness to $55.00-50.00 next.

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Monday, October 27, 2008

When Does Gold Trend Turn into a Bear Market? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

The action in gold on Thursday and especially on Friday was bullish, as well it might be after a near vertical drop of nearly $200 in just 2 weeks. In the article At what point does gold become a full blown bearmarket? posted on the site on 23rd it was made clear that the strong support in the $700 area needed to hold, otherwise gold would join copper and silver and many other commodities in being a bearmarket, at least as far as its paper price is concerned. Immediately after this article was posted gold dropped further to test this support, but on both Thursday and Friday it refused to close below $700, and on Friday a bullish candlestick, a long-legged doji, otherwise known as a "Rickshaw Man" showed up on the chart.

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Monday, October 27, 2008

Gold Price Performance During Recessions / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Tim_Iacono

Someone recently wrote in a dismissive, almost pompous, tone something to the effect of, "Everyone knows gold doesn't do well in recessions". But, is that true? Well, it depends...

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Monday, October 27, 2008

Gold Remains Safe Haven Amid Global Currency & Stock-Market Crash / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD BULLION sank and then bounced hard vs. the Dollar early Monday, whipping violently against all major currencies as world stock markets added to this year's 40% losses to date.

"While [the crucial Indian festival of] Diwali is just one day away in India," notes precious-metals dealer Mitsui in London today, "it is important to note that physical demand is strong globally, and this may help to support the Gold market at these levels.

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Monday, October 27, 2008

When Gold Will Bottom? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Alex_Wallenwein

In short, gold will bottom when stocks bottom and the dollar bounce falters - unless fund managers run out of gold to sell before either of the other two events occur (or unless global investors suddenly come to their senses. Good luck on that one!)

In times like these, anyone would be crazy to predict an actual time when COMEX gold will reverse itself and start rising again, and you'd be crazy to believe it if someone did. At this point, nobody can say it will be tomorrow, or next week, or whatever. On the other hand, it is indeed possible to offer some common sense, bedrock parameters that will tell you that the bottom is in for our favorite derivative to start coming back from the road kill category.

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Monday, October 27, 2008

Bear Market Deleveraging Producing Incredible Value in Agri-Foods / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

While a bear market is not fun, we should acknowledge the benefits. First, it will eliminate much of the “hedge” fund industry, those that helped create the mortgage debacle and artificially inflated so many asset prices. Investing will be so much better after they are gone. Second, incredible values are being created in markets as these leveraged funds are liquidated. Investors should be looking at these values, rather than in lemming fashion following those mistaking today for 1930. Agri-Food, for example, is not in any way in the same condition as it was in that era.

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Saturday, October 25, 2008

Gold Hits New Bear Market Low / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

New bear market lows in gold but not really confirmed by the indicators. Are we in for a rally here? One would be nuts to predict with any certainty. However, we can confirm where we are, if not where we are going.

GOLD : LONG TERM - That $750 P&F projection mentioned last week didn't stand a chance. By the end of the week the P&F chart dropped as low as the $690 unit before rebounding during Friday up to the $750 unit. Now what? The rebound is nice but at this point does not imply a rally of any significance in progress. So we still have the $630 and possibly the $480 levels to look forward to.

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Friday, October 24, 2008

Gold's Fate Linked to Euro? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Gold and the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) are having an interesting session... but their fate may be increasingingly linked to the direction of Euro/$ (or perhaps Euro/Yen these days). Let's notice that at today's low, the Euro/$ appears to have satisfied an equidistant 2-leg correction off of its July high, and is attempting to hold and to rally off of the 1.2500 equidistant support area.

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Friday, October 24, 2008

Gold Market Plunge Technical Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

It was déjà vu in the Comex gold market yesterday as the recent sharp selloff continued. Bearish sentiment remains at extreme levels and all notions of fundamental value are being thrown out the window as the financial crisis morphs into a global economic crisis. Stock, commodity and many currency markets internationally are in meltdown on panic selling.

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Friday, October 24, 2008

U.S. Dollar Driven Gold Price Crash / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Zeal_LLC

During this unprecedented month where the flagship S&P 500 has plummeted 23.0%, it isn't surprising this brutal stock-market selloff is monopolizing investors' attention. Thus gold's poor performance is largely flying under the radars. Month to date, this metal is down a massive 15.6%! This combined with the intense stock fears have led to an unthinkable 46.4% October decline in the HUI gold-stock index.

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Friday, October 24, 2008

Financial Markets Meltdown a Nightmare for Baby Boomers / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Dudley_Baker

The continuing meltdown in the financial markets has not played well for the masses of baby boomers. Their losses in 401k's and other assets are probably down on the order of 30% - 40%, minimum.

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Friday, October 24, 2008

Gold Buying Opportunity and Hedge Against Uncertainty / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joseph_Brusuelas

Perhaps the most interesting development during the intensification of the credit crisis is that the price of gold did not climb higher than it did. Upon the initiation of the crisis in August 2007, the price of gold surged reaching a high of $1002.95 on March 14, 2007. Since then the cost of the precious commodity has fluctuated with the most recent price action sending it to recent lows of 725.74. However, given the pervasive uncertainty in markets we think that this represents a strategic buying opportunity on the back of our bullish call for gold to spike towards $1100 in 2009 with the potential for a much larger move over the longer term.

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Friday, October 24, 2008

Spot Gold Hits New Low as Stocks and Sterling Crumble / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD sank yet again Friday morning, sinking to a fresh 13-month low for US buyers at $683 per ounce.

Global stock markets and commodity prices also crumbled once more in the face of huge gains in the Dollar and Yen – the two currencies most owed by leveraged investors worldwide.

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Friday, October 24, 2008

Why Cheap Oil is Great for the Oil Majors / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: John_Henry

For the last 3 years, the world's oil majors have not had an easy time from the oil producing states. Increasing oil prices has led to a complacent attitude by oil reliant governments. This often masks inefficiency, sometimes corruption, and has led to high taxation coupled with unsound business practices. Russia's oil production for instance, has been reducing each year despite the governments desire to increase output.

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Thursday, October 23, 2008

Gold Market Dis-Information Specialists Ply Their Trade / Commodities / Market Manipulation

By: Rob_Kirby

Tim Gardiner, president and CEO, Mitsui & Co. Precious Metals Inc. appeared on Canada's Business News Network [BNN] and – in a ridiculous attempt to explain the recent demolishing of the gold price - made the claim that demand for gold was down and, “the only reason for physical shortages of gold products at retail was ‘logistical' and due to a shortage of ‘blanks' from which the coins are stamped”.

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Thursday, October 23, 2008

Gold Crashes to 50% of Bull Market, Recovery Rally Expected / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The very long-term chart pattern shows that the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) has retraced 50% of its entire prior bull run (2005-2008), and so far has shown initial signs of reversal just above critical long-term support between 68.50 and 63.50. As of this moment, the weight of my technical work argues for a recovery rally into the 74.50-75.00 target zone, which could prove to be either the start of a very powerful upleg, or merely a recovery bounce prior to another loop to 70.00 or lower to complete the weakness from the March highs.

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Thursday, October 23, 2008

Commodity Prices Inverse Relationship to the US Dollar / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Donald_W_Dony

The connection with commodity prices and the movement of the U.S. dollar continues to remain tight and over-ride year-over-year fundamentals. Oil and gold are particularly linked to the currency and weakness or strength in the dollar are quickly transferred to positive or negative trading patterns for these natural resources.

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Thursday, October 23, 2008

Credit Deflation Brings Down Gold Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Chris_Galakoutis

Why would Credit Deflation bring down Gold when Credit Inflation didn't send it to the moon?

I have received many emails from readers about the public article I wrote last week on the issue of the current deflation scare. Those arguing against my position believe the US will not experience inflation as quickly as some might expect.

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Thursday, October 23, 2008

Gold Price Crash Continues on Forced Selling / Commodities / Articles

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF SPOT GOLD slumped yet again early Thursday as world stock markets sank and the Dollar continued to rise – alongside the Japanese Yen – on the forex market.

Gold's fresh $25 plunge took this week's loss for US investors above 10% at $705.40 an ounce – Spot Gold 's lowest price since mid-Sept. last year.

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Thursday, October 23, 2008

Gold Bulls Running Scared on Price Collapse / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Comex gold's recent sharp selloff has continued and even the most ardent gold bulls are getting nervous. Bearish sentiment is very prominent and the level of fear in the precious metal markets suggests that a low is likely in the coming days. Leveraged players in the futures market are dumping paper positions wholesale while astute contrarians are using this as an opportunity to buy physical bullion at firesale prices.

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