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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, January 24, 2008

Gold Bull Trap Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

My near and intermediate-term work is warning me that 3 session climbs from $850 to $911 (so far) in spot gold will turn out to be a trap (bull trap) and part of a near-term topping process just above $900, prior to another bout of corrective weakness that presses prices into the $800-$770 area in the weeks ahead. The upleg pattern off of the August 2007 low at $641.00 to the January 14th high at $914.00 exhibits the look of completion. In addition, the heretofore reliable 15-18 week cycle (low to low) is now in its 8th week.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 24, 2008

Gold and Silver ETF's (GLD, SLV) Disparities With Gold Price Means Higher Risk / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Richard_J_Greene

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have heard from many investors inquiring if they should sell their gold stocks and just buy the gold and silver ETFs. The first thing they should understand is that doing so would prolong the time they must wait for gold and silver to reach their true market levels which are much higher. The gold and silver ETFs were created by such financial giants as JP Morgan and Barclay's Bank that also serve as custodians and sub-custodians. These are the very firms that have been involved in the process of short selling gold and silver in huge quantities. That they would be involved in creating the ETFs had to be considered as most unlikely unless they had nefarious purposes.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 24, 2008

NYBOT Plans to Close Trading Floor - The End of an Era / Commodities / Financial Markets

By: George_Kleinman

“They're not just getting rich…they're getting even”--Trading Places [1983]

There's an electric tension in the air as our heroes, Louis Winthorpe III and Bill Ray Valentine, muscle their way through the crowd of traders lining the New York Board of Trade's (NYBoT) frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) trading pit. The traders are nervous with the anticipation of what's to come, sweating from the heat generated by more than 100 tightly packed bodies. The clerks manning the phones surrounding the pit are on high alert. 

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Commodities

Thursday, January 24, 2008

Gold and Stock Markets Surge on Monolie Bond Insurers Rescue Plan / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT GOLD MARKET gained 0.8% to break above $900 per ounce in London on Thursday, while European stock markets posted their biggest one-day gains since the Tech Stock Crash bottomed in March 2003.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 24, 2008

Gold Stocks - The Next Stock Market Sector to Crash? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Alex_Wallenwein

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have thought hard for a long time about writing this article. There is a danger that it might spook a lot of investors out of gold stocks and gold mutual funds altogether, and therefore bring unnecessary loss to many people. On the other hand, this one article will probably not be that influential.

I cannot shake the feeling that, during the first part of 2008 at least, gold stocks will have a whale of a bad time. Yet, nobody wants to address the subject because most so-called gold bugs are really gold stock bugs. Nobody wants to scare their own customers away, but there is a time when a warning is due, and I think hat time is now.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Gold Stocks Bull Market - Have No Fear, Wave [3] of III of the HUI Gold Bugs Index is Nearly Here / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: David_Petch

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne fault with Elliott Wave if considered a fault is that price objectives can be reached quicker than anticipated. When small indices such as the HUI are examined, slapping an Elliott Wave count onto it can be rather difficult. Such a small representation of the global indices can cause prices to move rather quickly, so there MUST be some allowance for the behaviour and structure of patterns. I would be the first to admit flaws with the counts presented below, but as described in “The Technical Palette” written in September 2006, using Frame Shift Analysis aids in determination of the correct reading frame of a selected section of chart within surrounding wave structures. By providing a realistic balance with wave structures, a somewhat accurate road map can be painted to guide the investor for where things stand in the big picture.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Mining Stocks Dragged Down By Stock Market Panic / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Investmentscore.com

As investors, one of our main goals is to keep various market movements in perspective. The Canadian TSX stock exchange fell over 600 points, leaving many investors with a feeling of panic. As mining equities were dragged lower in the down draft of the TSX fall, many precious metals investors questioned their decision to invest in commodities and now wonder if the bull market is over.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Gold Rallies, European Equities Miss Out on the US Interest Rate Bounce / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES held steady on Wednesday morning in London , recording an AM Fix just off the overnight low of $887.80 per ounce while European stock markets continued to fall despite yesterday's emergency rate cut by the US Federal Reserve.

All 30 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News now expect the Bank of England to cut its key lending rate to 5.25% when it meets on Feb. 4th. "From a European perspective," agrees Amit Kara, an economist at UBS, "the Fed cut [also] adds to the risk of more and quicker rate cuts here.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Agricultural Commodities are the Future Not Bank Stocks! / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Ok, so you have never looked at a chart of prices for feeder steers. As the equity markets continue the traumatic process of shedding yesterday's themes in order to move on tomorrow's ideas, investors are going to look at a lot of charts new to their experience. Despite Bailout Bernanke's efforts to save the banks, the financial stocks are passing into history. Agri-Food is the future, not bank stocks.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Gold Stocks to Play Catch Up to Gold Price During 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: David_Vaughn

Gold continues to perform quite beautifully.

And these are not simply short term rallies. These are real highs and very real price gains. Right now there appears to be a great disconnect between the gold price and the price of gold stocks. But I am here to remind you that this disconnect is slowly evaporating away. The following individual below is an individual worth listening to. I like the wise predictions he has put together for 2008. Let's hear a couple of these sound predictions.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Gold and Silver Stocks Held Back by Bearish Stock Markets / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Greg_Silberman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJuniors will move once a stock market bounce gets underway: Whilst we spend most of our time talking about Gold in US Dollars we often fail to recognize that this is truly a global business.

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Commodities

Monday, January 21, 2008

World Stock Markets Crash on Black Monday / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES dropped 1.6% to hit a two-week low early in London on Monday as global equity markets collapsed on what one Hong Kong stock broker called "another horrible day."

"Today it's because of disappointment that the US stimulus package [announced Friday] is too little, too late," said Francis Lun at Fulbright Securities to the Associated Press overnight.

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Commodities

Monday, January 21, 2008

Gold Still Bullish Despite Early Signs of a Trend Reversal / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Someone once said “ it was the best of times, it was the worst of times ” or something like that. I guess this past week can be classified as one of those “ worst of times ”, at least for precious metal stocks. About now you're probably wondering what's happening? Let's get right to it then.

GOLD : LONG TERM

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Commodities

Monday, January 21, 2008

Precious Metals Consolidation on US 50 Basis Point Interest Rate Cut / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“Now that gold has hit $900, the question becomes whether this magnetic price that played on the yellow metal for weeks, calling it ever upward, will act like $100 has for oil, or will gold break through.  Two factors that tend to indicate gold getting through that resistance level in a matter of weeks if not days, are the difference in the inflation adjusted highs for gold and oil, and the bullishness of the Fed's current rate cutting disposition. It's clear not only will the Fed cut by 50 basis points in January, it will justify … by a view of inflation that overlooks short term measures.” ~ Precious Points: Gold and Inflation , January 11, 2008

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Commodities

Saturday, January 19, 2008

Gold - No Imminent Blow-off Phase / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNow that the sound of cork-popping and other signs of celebrating the New Year, and the new record highs in the price of gold, are dying down, some questions arise the answering of which brooks no delay. How high is high? Is it the nominal price or the so-called ‘real' price of gold that gives us a valid reading of whence we came, where we are, and whither we go? Chrysophobes have already started their dissonant chorus reminding gold bugs that the last time gold was trading at these levels, in January, 1980, it was a sign marking the onset of a bear market taking the price down by more than 75 percent, lasting over twenty years. Goldbugs take comfort in the thought that the previous peak in the price of gold was much higher in “real terms”, so that the current price is not so high after all. However, this begs the question. The previous peak was the result of a blow-off, and further rise from here may make a new blow-off loom large on the horizon, with all the unpleasant consequences.

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Commodities

Friday, January 18, 2008

Silver Set to Outperform Gold - Real Silver Highs 2 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold is definitely not the only commodity enjoying a very happy new year. The strong global investment demand for precious metals has spilled over into silver as well. Just last week, silver soared above $16 for the first time since January 1981! Silver investors are naturally very excited about this dazzling 27-year high.

I am very thankful to be one of the early investors in this secular bull. Silver's bear-market bottom was carved in November 2001 just over $4. That very month I started formally recommending silver bullion as a long-term investment to our newsletter subscribers. Soon after in early 2002 I started investing and speculating in silver stocks. Over the years since, we've been blessed with many awesome realized and unrealized gains in this silver realm.

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Commodities

Friday, January 18, 2008

Gold Correction Has Further Downside Potential / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Once again the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) has attempted an early session rally, but appears to have failed below key near-term resistance at 88.00 -- and has since reversed below 87.00 and now finds itself in an ominous near-term position. As for as my pattern and momentum work is concerned, the GLD still has unfinished business to the downside prior to the completion of the correction that started at the 1/15 high of 90.34. The optimal target zone for the current down-leg is below 85.50.

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Commodities

Friday, January 18, 2008

Uranium Stocks Bearish Chart Signals / Commodities / Uranium

By: Merv_Burak

Boy, there are going to be some good bargains after all this is over, but it's not all over yet. Another bad day at the markets. The Merv's Daily Uranium Index closed lower by 0.158 points or 4.17%. It just feels like things are getting worse every day. There were only 3 stocks that closed higher today while 44 (out of 50) closed lower. There were 3 unchanged. As for the biggies, they all have seen better days. Cameco lost 4.2%, Denison lost 4.0%, Paladin lost 6.2%, UEX lost 4.7% and Uranium One lost 4.0%. The best performer of those three winners was Western Uranium with a 9.4% gain (not bad for a crummy day) while the worst performer was Alberta Star with a loss of 14.7%.

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Commodities

Friday, January 18, 2008

Gold Weak on US Stimulus Package / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES bounced but held inside the week's downtrend early in London on Friday, recording an AM Fix of $872.50 per ounce – the lowest fix in nine sessions.

"Overnight gold traded as low as $870," says today's Gold Market note from Mitsui, "as investors begin to liquidate positions.

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Commodities

Friday, January 18, 2008

Three Reasons To Invest In Agricultural Commodities Now  / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Mary_Rivas

Agricultural commodities surged in 2007. The S&P GSCI agricultural commodities index rose 31% in 2007, its best performance since 1981. Wheat and rice prices, for example, hit record highs as a result of low inventories. Soybean prices soared to a 34-year high while corn prices jumped to an 11-year high.

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