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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, July 04, 2013

How Gold Lost Its Luster / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: John_Mauldin

We have not revisited the topic of gold in Outside the Box recently, mostly due to the fact that nearly everything I read on the subject is derivative of what I have been reading for years. There hasn't been much that would cause me to think about gold in a different way, and that is the purpose of Outside the Box: to present new perspectives and make us think.

I have recently started to read the work of Ben Hunt at Epsilon Theory. His ideas are interesting in that he examines markets from a behavioral economics perspective, with ample doses of game theory and history, a combination that few people can bring to the table. (In a random but pleasant development, I will get to have lunch with him next week in Dallas when he visits my town. I look forward to it.)

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 03, 2013

Silver Market Buy Signal - Again! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

For the umpteenth time (actually the 3rd since June 2012), silver has given a buy signal according to my reading of the technical indicators.

Problem: How valuable is technical analysis (moving averages, oscillators, over-sold conditions, etc.) when the silver and gold markets are dominated by computers (High Frequency Trading - HFT) and not human beings?

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 03, 2013

Dow and Gold Silver Ratio Signals Coming Silver Price Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Hubert_Moolman

The Dow, in particular, has been the biggest obstacle to a rise in precious metals, due to it sucking up most of the available value on global markets. However, it appears that this obstacle is now out of the way, with the Dow likely having peaked.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 03, 2013

Gold Drop Done Enough, Traders Are Too Short / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

GOLD ROSE more than 1.4% from an overnight low at $1242 per ounce in London on Wednesday morning as world stock markets sank and the US Dollar rose.

Commodity prices ticked higher with major government bonds. Silver rallied 2.8% to rise again above last week's finish at $19.69 before dropping with gold.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 03, 2013

Gold Inches Higher on Return of Eurozone Debt Crisis as Portuguese Bonds & Stocks Crash / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,246.00, EUR 962.16 and GBP 818.28 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,260.75, EUR 967.95 and GBP 829.93 per ounce.

Gold fell $10.50 or 0.84% yesterday and closed at $1,242.20/oz. Silver slid to a low of $19.238 and finished down 1.33% at $19.34/oz.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 03, 2013

Silver and Photovoltaic Solar Panels Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

Miguel Perez-Santalla writes: How solar cells affected the silver price – and how it didn't...

The PHOTOVOLTAIC industry didn't start to show on charts of silver demand until the year 2000, when it consumed approximately one million ounces.

Those 31 tonnes were barely a blip on the silver consumption chart. In fact, in comparison to the smallest of the large consumers at the time – which was electronics – it was not even a tenth of their consumption.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 02, 2013

Gold Analysts Turn Bullish as Price Regains 40% of June Slump / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The PRICE of GOLD rose in Asia and jumped at the start of London trade Tuesday, hitting $1267 per ounce to recover 40% of last month's crash before easing back.

Prices for silver bullion also rose, but lagged gold's rate of gain, before slipping back below last week's finish at $19.69 per ounce.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 02, 2013

The London Gold Market: What’s Behind the Smoke and Mirrors? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jan_Skoyles

In our last two major research pieces we have been looking at the working parts of the gold market and where the heart of it lies. We’re trying to help investors understand where gold prices are really set.

Today we take a look at the London gold market, an older and arguably larger market than COMEX.

A couple of weeks ago we explained how we had ‘found that the COMEX was still the beating heart of the gold market.’ Since this research piece, Bron Sucheki, whose work featured in our last piece, suggested this may not necessarily be the whole story. Mr Sucheki pointed out the size of the London ‘opaque’ OTC forward market and research that shows price discovery fluctuates between both COMEX and London.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 02, 2013

Why You Still Shouldn’t Listen to Gold Bugs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: Many gold bugs are pounding the table for investors to buy gold – now that it’s dropped to roughly $1,200 – and sell stocks.

Don’t listen to them. Not because gold won’t rally from here or stocks won’t sell off – or both. But because – unbeknownst to many of their listeners – this is what they always say. Gold bugs don’t offer an investment analysis. They offer a world view that changes over the decades about as much as the constellation Orion.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 02, 2013

A Rare Anomaly in the Gold Stocks Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Jeff_Clark

Gold stock investors have been pummeled, including myself. Worse, we've had to hear "I told you so" from all the gold haters in the media.

There are a few commentators expressing mild interest in gold at these levels, but one thing I haven't heard any of them talk about is a metric that gold analysts are rarely able to use, because gold stocks just don't get this undervalued.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 02, 2013

Bernanke's Conundrum What it Might Mean for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_J_Kosares

“Central banks sold a record amount of US Treasury debt last week and bond funds suffered the biggest investor withdrawals on record as global markets shuddered at the prospect of the US Federal Reserve ending its quantitiative easing program.”

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 02, 2013

Gold - Stay the Course As Mixed Signals Move Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Frank_Holmes

Traders stampeded out of gold, emerging markets and bonds this month, setting record monthly outflows in June. Ever since the Federal Reserve hinted in May that signs of a stronger economy could allow for a slowdown of stimulus, markets have protested the news.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 02, 2013

Why I Remain Bullish on Gold Even While Negativity Surges / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: Gold bullion prices are taking a hard hit. Headlines are blaring with negativity, and bears continue to say the precious metal is useless. Dear reader, they may have done a good job driving the gold bullion prices lower, but they haven’t changed my opinion on gold one bit. I continue to believe that gold bullion has a shining future ahead.

Regardless of the gold bullion prices declining on the paper market, I see demand for the precious metal increasing. It’s giving the average investor another buying opportunity just like they had back in 2008.

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Commodities

Monday, July 01, 2013

The Bell Just Rang On Gold Stocks - The Lows Are In! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: David_Banister

As they say on Wall Street, “They don’t ring bells at the top” and for sure they usually don’t give you a phone call at the bottom either. Many heads have rolled trying to call this recent near 2 year downdraft in Gold in terms of bottom callers, me included. I thought we would never get much below 1440 or so from the 1923 highs, but alas we all know we did.

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Commodities

Monday, July 01, 2013

The Golden Gold Price Cycle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Peter_Schiff

The New York Times had the definitive take on the vicious sell off in gold. To summarize one of their articles:

Two years ago gold bugs ran wild as the price of gold rose nearly six times. But since cresting two years ago it has steadily declined, almost by half, putting the gold bugs in flight.  The most recent advisory from a leading Wall Street firm suggests that the price will continue to drift downward, and may ultimately settle 40% below current levels.

The rout says a lot about consumer confidence in the worldwide recovery. The sharply reduced rates of inflation combined with resurgence of other, more economically productive investments, such as stocks, real estate, and bank savings have combined to eliminate gold's allure.

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Commodities

Monday, July 01, 2013

Gold Price Rally Only Technical Bounce / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The PRICE of gold rose hard in Asian trade Monday morning, extending Friday's strong rally, but slipped back in London to start the third quarter of 2013 with an AM Fix of $1243.50 per ounce.

That was 26% below New Year for US Dollar investors, 21% down in Sterling, and 25% lower in Euros.

Silver also spiked before pulling back, dropping below Friday's finish at $19.69 per ounce.

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Commodities

Monday, July 01, 2013

Russia and China Building Their Gold Reserves / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Chairman Mao Western economic commentary on China and Russia is usually coloured by monetarist assumptions not necessarily shared in Moscow and Beijing. For this reason, Russian and Chinese fiscal and monetary policies are misunderstood in financial markets, as well as the reasons their governments buy gold.

China has been notably relaxed about her own people acquiring gold, and the government itself appears to be absorbing all of China’s mine output. Russia is also building her official reserves from her own mine supply. The result over time has been the transfer of aboveground gold stocks towards these countries and their allies. The geo-political implications are highly important, but have been ignored by western governments.

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Commodities

Monday, July 01, 2013

Is the Gold Bubble Phase About to Begin? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Toby_Connor

I think the manipulation after QE4 has accelerated the bull market. We now have the necessary conditions for the bubble phase in gold to begin. I was expecting the second phase correction (the correction that separates the second phase of the bull market from the bubble phase) to occur at the next 8 year cycle low due in 2016. However I think the manipulation of the precious metals markets over the last 8 months has probably shortened the bull market.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 30, 2013

Gold Stocks Low? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: WavePatternTraders

I have been tracking a potential 5 wave decline in Gold stocks to help me also find a low in Gold.

Fridays reversal in both the $HUI and Gold was an encouraging sign for the bulls and whilst its only a 1 day move, it has the potential for something much more.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 30, 2013

Time To Buy Gold Again? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Brian_Bloom

The following interview with Jim Sinclair is highly significant in my view. (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GNjAg9x1_s8)

I find myself respecting what this man says and I think he is reading the gold market situation substantially correctly. He made four salient points in the first half of the talk (the second half was elaboration)

1.    When the bordello is raided, even the piano may need to be sold by the owners so that they may survive in the immediate future. Thereafter, the facts of life re-establish themselves and they regroup. The gold price has been falling for various reasons, including a raid by the authorities. It will bottom when weak holders are forced to sell the piano. Thereafter, it will rise.

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