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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, May 01, 2014

Why is Gold Behaving this Way? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Brian_Bloom

The chart of the gold and silver share price index below (source: Stockcharts.com) may be very worrying to some, and it may be a source of great relief to others. It shows a potential Head and Shoulders reversal pattern, with a neckline at 90 and a peak of 107.5. If the neckline is penetrated significantly on the downside, theory says that the target destination will be 90 – 17.5 = 72.5, which will imply a fall of 22% from current levels.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 30, 2014

China Controls The Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

In addition to the latest excellent study of the Chinese gold market by the World Gold Council, we have received other reports on the Chinese gold market that differ with the conclusions drawn by the World Gold Council. But we shouldn't be surprised by this, not only because of the opaque nature of the Chinese gold market and the dearth of accurate statistics that are accessible. Which ones are right is critical for the conclusions each draw paint very different pictures of the future of the gold price.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 30, 2014

Gold Miners - End of the Bear Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Trader_MC

The analysis of the past twenty years of the Miners Index is showing that an important bottom has been printed in December 2013. The Miners Index’s symmetrical sequence and also the relation between the Miners and the 78.6 Fibonacci Number (both in Price and Time) are validating this major low.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 30, 2014

The Battle Between WTI and Brent - Why the Oil Price “Spread” is Getting Tighter / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: The spread between WTI and Brent is tightening again.

What’s “the spread?”…

It’s the difference in price between what crude oil futures cost on the NYMEX in New York (the West Texas Intermediate rate) and the rate set in London (the Brent rate).

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Obama’s Secret Pipeline More Sensitive than Keystone XL / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Marin_Katusa

Isn’t it odd that an 800-mile pipeline that runs across environmentally sensitive land has been permitted without any mention in the media? Not a word about it from President Obama either.

Obama’s Secret Pipeline will be built over land that’s much more sensitive than that of the Keystone XL pipeline, which gets nothing but front-page coverage. It will actually be 17% (six inches) larger in diameter than Keystone XL (36 inches) and it will transport natural gas, not oil.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Gold and Crude Oil Elliott Wave Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Gregor_Horvat

On gold we are tracking a triangle placed in wave 4) for a while now. Well, we have been bearish recently within wave D from 1393 which could have bottomed now after a bounce in the past week from around 1265, after three legs down. Keep in mind that market is still sideways, and that we still need wave E retracement which is expected to unfold in the next few weeks. After wave E we will turn bearish for a decline beneath 2013 low.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Bitcoin or Gold: Safeguards and Alternatives to the Global Monetary System / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Keith_Hilden

In our latest Squawk Walk series, we set out to learn- given a chance to either take Bitcoin or gold, what people of different backgrounds would pick, and why. We asked Chinese tourists, locals, and Westerners in Taipei, and we found, surprisingly, that the rate of acceptance regarding Bitcoin or gold was roughly equal, and far different from a 80/20 spread that we were anticipating. The reason? Ultimately it can be boiled down to a preference in risk profile. People who were willing to take on more risk were willing to take the Bitcoin, while people who valued stability and risk mitigation over quick gains were willing to take the gold. What further surprised us is that in a well-to-do neighborhood surrounding the Taipei 101 skyscraper is that risk profiles, again, were split close to 50-50. Furthermore, we were surprised in certain instances when a couple would be interviewed, and that the Taipei woman would have a higher risk profile than the man, who chose gold. The man was more concerned with stability and a long term outlook for their savings.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

China Holds the Keys to the Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Frank_Holmes

Last year China's private-sector demand for gold reached a record level of 1,132 tonnes, and according to the World Gold Council (WGC), the Asian nation could easily dominate the gold market once again, as they predict demand growing 20 percent by 2017.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Gold Mining Stocks Break Out but Gold Price Fails to Follow / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion no speculative positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

The situation in the precious metals sector remains tense - miners have broken above the declining resistance line, while gold hasn't. However, taking Friday's intraday move in the USD into account, we can say more about the gold-USD link. Let's take a closer look (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Monday, April 28, 2014

Listen, Silver: We Need to Talk / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jeff_Clark

I wrote to Silver last week, and she answered back. I’d like to share our correspondence with you…

Dear Silver,

Happy anniversary. It was on April 25, 2011 that you hit $49.80 per ounce in the New York spot market.

Today, three years later, you sell for around $20, nearly 60% less.

Is your bear market almost over—or are these low prices here to stay? Your price has lagged gold this year, so your normal volatility is lacking. How much longer will you be stuck?

Jeff Clark, silver investor

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Commodities

Monday, April 28, 2014

Will Gold Price See A Bullish Reversal? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Gregor_Horvat

Gold has been trading nicely to the downside since mid-April from 1331 where we called a bearish turning point. The market did not move aggressively to the downside, but still managed to take out the 1277 low-our minimum expectations. Based on the very slow and overlapping price action in the last two weeks, we suspect that the market made an ending diagonal in wave (c) that is now showing signs of completion at 1268, so we need to be aware of more upside in days ahead.

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Commodities

Monday, April 28, 2014

Buy Signal in the Gold and Silver Sector / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

It looks like gold and silver stocks bottomed on Monday, April 21, and that gold and silver also bottomed this week.

Really? The usual reaction is, “the stocks have been hammered, gold is off over 30% from its highs, and silver is down nearly 60%. Sentiment is low, few people are interested, and gold and silver will probably crash again in a few weeks.”

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Commodities

Monday, April 28, 2014

Gold and The Ukraine Crisis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clive_Maund

In this article we are going to look at what is going on in the Ukraine, because it has major implications well beyond its borders, and could have a significant impact on the price of gold and silver. We will examine this situation in a calm, detached and objective manner, as if we were visitors from another planet with no bias or stake in any outcome.

The Ukraine is clearly is great geopolitical importance, otherwise the US would not be taking such an active interest in what is going there. In order to assess how the Ukraine arrived at its present situation, and the future trends and dangers, we need to understand the motives and objectives of the protagonists - the parties who are, or who are close to fighting over it, namely the US and its allies, and Russia.

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Commodities

Sunday, April 27, 2014

Gold And Silver Prospects From A Russian Point of View / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

One of the biggest problems for the West, the US in particular, is its increasingly parochial perspective from the narrowest of lenses, fully colored by the elite's use of its main propaganda machine, the Maintstream Media. It will not work for people to expect more from their government, rather, people have to demand and expect more from themselves, for in the end, people will discover all they really had to rely upon was themselves and failed to do so.

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Commodities

Sunday, April 27, 2014

Gold Bounces Back Above $1,300 as Ukraine Crisis Escalates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jason_Hamlin

John Kerry and other U.S. officials and once again banging the war drums. In the most recent comments, Kerry said that the United States is “ready to act against Russia.” The truth is that the U.S. has been acting against Russia for quite some time in various ways. The implication here is that the U.S. government is now ready to act militarily, however subtly it may have been stated. To get an idea of just how quickly the conflict has been escalating, here are some of the headlines from the past week alone:

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Commodities

Saturday, April 26, 2014

Safe Deposit Boxes Are Not Safe for Silver & Gold Buyers / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldSilver

James Anderson writes: Many silver and gold buyers forget one of the main reasons to buy physical silver and gold bullion today is due to the world's current fragile financial system.

Some even make the mistake of buying physical bullion and then storing it in a Safe Deposit Box at their local bank. 

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Commodities

Friday, April 25, 2014

U.S. Exports A Record Amount Of Gold To Hong Kong / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Steve_St_Angelo

The figures are out and it looks like the United States exported a record amount of gold to Hong Kong in January.  Not only was this a one month record... it was a WHOPPER indeed.

Last year, the U.S. exported a total of 215 metric tons of gold bullion to Hong Kong.  This was not the total amount of gold exported to Hong Kong as some smaller quantities of Dore' and precipitates made their way into the country as well.

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Commodities

Friday, April 25, 2014

Gold Futures Selloff Wanes, Short Squeeze Coming? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold’s sharp selloffs since mid-March have been mostly driven by American futures speculators’ heavy selling.  These traders dramatically slashed their long bets on gold while ramping up their shorts.  The resulting deluge of supply flooded the market and temporarily overwhelmed demand.  But intense bouts of gold-futures selling quickly burn themselves out, and today’s is waning.  Thus gold’s upleg is due to resume.

While many stock traders view the gold market through the lens of the mighty GLD SPDR Gold Shares ETF, it is still gold-futures trading that usually dominates price action.  While GLD certainly can move the gold price on trading days with particularly large builds or draws from differential GLD-share buying or selling, these are fairly rare.  The vast majority of the time gold and therefore GLD are driven by futures.

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Commodities

Friday, April 25, 2014

How Oversold Can Gold Price Get? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Gold is now extremely oversold, with emotional opinion in paper markets unanimously bearish. Traders tell us the 200-day moving average is well and truly broken and the next support level is $1260. However, when gold broke down through the $1280 level yesterday it rallied sharply to test the $1300 level in a one-day spike reversal.

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Commodities

Friday, April 25, 2014

Gold and Silver Prices - Filtering Out the Noise / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Silver and gold price sentiment is an unmentionable reflection of the desires of central banking, backed by a currency enforced by decree. Real price discovery is the forbidden yet beating heart of darkness - where few are willing to travel.

A million barriers are self-constructed to protect the sinister truth. And a million barriers rise up to justify price action, whether up or down.

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