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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, July 08, 2015

Gold and Silver Spot Prices Increasingly Detached from Reality / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: MoneyMetals

Clint Siegner writes: An insolvent Greece has defaulted. On June 30th, officials missed repayment of billions in lMF loans and declared a banking holiday. Predictably, many Greek citizens responded to the crisis and bought gold coins. So did a lot of people here in the U.S. and around the world. You just wouldn’t know it by looking at spot prices.

The regular disconnect between the futures markets, where spot prices are set, and the physical markets reveals a growing problem. The link between the spot price and physical demand is thin at best. That is why the base price for gold coins in an Athens coin shop can get cheaper, but the all-in cost of buying the coins goes up as the line of buyers grows.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 08, 2015

Don't Panic, Nothing Has Really Changed In The Oil Markets / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Monday's 8% WTI crude decline is setting up a big opportunity for buyers. And there could be more to come. But this is driven by momentum, not by the fundamental conditions in the physical market.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 08, 2015

The Three Events That Just Sent Crude Oil Price Sinking… and Why There’s No Need to Panic / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: Yesterday, three geopolitical crises converged, sending the price of oil sinking.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the benchmark for crude set in New York, was down 8%. Dated Brent, the internationally used benchmark set in London, slipped 6%.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 08, 2015

ALERT! U.S. Mint Suspends American Silver Eagle Sales / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_J_Kosares

ALERT!

We have received word through an industry source that the U.S. Mint temporarily suspended sales of American Silver Eagles due to strong investor demand.  It intends to resume sales in two weeks.  The Mint sent out an announcement to this effect earlier today.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

Brent Crude Oil Price Breaks out of Bearish Wedge / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: MarketsToday

Brent Crude broke down from a bearish rising wedge formation several weeks ago, trading relatively sideways thereafter, until the tail end of last week when it fell below and closed below $60.97. The 50% retracement at $57.41 was surpassed yesterday to the downside, with the next target being around the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $54.53, followed by the most recent swing low (C) at $52.61.

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Commodities

Monday, July 06, 2015

Silver Price Consolidating Ahead of Another Sharp Drop / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

Silver's cheerleaders are trying to keep their flocks happy by talking it up as usual, but the hard reality is that silver's charts continue to look awful, and like it is readying for another sharp drop, which fits with our view that the dollar is getting ready for another big upleg.

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Commodities

Monday, July 06, 2015

Gold Price Gravitating Lower Towards $1000 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

Gold has not even been able to muster a rally on the Greek crisis, which is a bad sign, especially as the dollar looks like it is preparing to break out upside from a large consolidation pattern.

On its 8-year chart we can see that gold is still in the large downsloping consolidation pattern that has been going on for 2 years now. Goldbugs like to think that this trading range is a pattern is a base pattern, and while it may be, this is viewed as wishful thinking. Instead it looks like the B-wave of a large A-B-C correction from gold's highs in 2011. If it is, then the C-wave, which is suspected to be imminent, will take gold down at least to the strong support in the $1000 area, and probably lower towards the lower boundary of its large downtrend channel shown - if it gets there we are looking at $850 - $870. The good news is that this should mark the end of gold's bearmarket, especially as a rising rate cycle is just over the horizon, and contrary to popular belief, gold thrives in a rising rate environment - anyone remember the late 70's??

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Commodities

Saturday, July 04, 2015

Crude Oil Price Forecast to Plunge Below $40 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Gary_Savage

In the after hours trading on Thursday oil broke below the May daily cycle low indicating a failed daily cycle is in progress, and confirming the intermediate top occurred on May 6th.

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Commodities

Friday, July 03, 2015

Gold and Silver Subdued / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Gold and silver had a poor week, with no relief from drifting prices after the end of the second quarter. The gold price opened on Monday morning in the Far East at $1187 and fell to a low point at $1158 yesterday. Silver mirrored gold's move falling from $16.05 to $15.50. Both metals rallied yesterday afternoon with gold down slightly but silver up 14 cents. In early European trading this morning there were further small gains.

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Commodities

Friday, July 03, 2015

How the New Iranian Nuclear Deal Will Impact Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: This week, reports emerged that a draft deal on Iran’s nuclear program would be reviewed by the Western negotiators. Crude oil prices plummeted – West Texas Intermediate (WTI) closed down 4.2%, at $56.96 a barrel, the lowest since April 22.

The concern spurring the decline is that an agreement would lift the Western sanctions and allow Iranian oil to flood into the market, propelling prices down.

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Commodities

Friday, July 03, 2015

Gold Stocks Cheap to Buy but Not for Long / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

Fund Manager Adrian Day believes that the U.S. dollar is fundamentally overvalued and we can expect a devaluation at some point. This is good news for the price of gold. In this interview with The Gold Report, Day adds the even-better news for investors in gold equities is that so many good shares now sell for so little, and he discusses several companies that won't remain bargains for long.

The Gold Report: Despite the lack of an economic recovery and the reality of ever-increasing debt, the U.S. dollar and the equity markets remain strong, while gold (as denominated in U.S. funds) remains weak. Do you expect these conditions to change?

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Commodities

Thursday, July 02, 2015

HUI Gold Stocks Most Destructive Bear Market in History / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Toby_Connor

When this support zone breaks the bankruptcy phase will start in earnest.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 01, 2015

Gold Stocks Break Below 2008 Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion, short (half) speculative positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward point of view.

Gold and silver declined yesterday, but the really profound action was seen in the precious metals mining stocks. Both key indices for this sector (the HUI and XAU) declined below their respective 2008 lows and managed to close below them. What’s next? Will gold and silver stocks bounce like they did in late 2014?

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 01, 2015

Silver Tunnel Vision 'Experts' / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

Over the past month, we have been subjected to one breathless article after another predicting a huge upside blowout in silver as "the trapped shorts are forced out".

"The rise in open interest to a record high, even higher than when silver was trading near $50, tells us that some big money is going into silver and it is just a matter of time before the shorts are given a religious experience".

Thus would the summation be of the crux of the silver perma-bull "analysis".

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 01, 2015

Gold And Silver - Monthly, Quarterly Ending Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

While not many pay any attention to these two larger time frames, especially the Quarterly, both are more controlling and receive greater attention from smart money players. These time frames are not at all used for market timing, but they do show the dominance of a trend. It also takes considerably more effort to effect changes on either or both.

There is no need to reference any news events because current events cannot alter the established trends, and the collective current events of the past several years have done nothing to change the trend. We take that back. For the last year, while the overall trend has been down, price has been relatively neutral in the sense of moving sideways instead of lower. That noted aspect is actually a change in behavior, and it is more evident on the silver chart.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 01, 2015

How the Latest Greek Drama Will Affect the Price of Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: In Greek history, there is a story that after devising the Athenian system of governance the great classical lawgiver Solon was walking down from the sacred council site of the Areopagus when he was greeted by another citizen.

“Well, Solon, did you give Athens the best constitution possible?” the fellow asked.

“No,” Solon responded. “I gave her the best constitution she could accept.”

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 30, 2015

Greece Crisis Shows Importance of Gold as Europeans Buy Coins and Bars / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

- Demand for physical gold from Europeans surges
- Greek ATMs limit withdrawals to €60 per day
- Greeks panic buy food, fuel and medicine
- European elites threaten Greece with expulsion
- Gold not subject to capital controls or “bail-ins”

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 30, 2015

Gold GDXJ : Impulse Move Pending / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

The GDXJ is at an important inflection point right here and now. As you can see it’s sitting right on the neckline of a small H&S top that has formed at the fourth reversal point on the potential bearish falling wedge. A break of the neckline will almost assure a move down to the bottom blue rail of the falling wedge at a minimum.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 30, 2015

Crude Oil Weakness is Not Gold Friendly / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

Amidst all the talk about "Grexit" (are the rest of the readers as sick of hearing about this as I am at this point?), one thing being overlooked, especially by those who keep calling for some sort of rip roaring surge higher in gold and silver, is the fact that crude oil is weakening.

In short, with many looking at the situation in Greece as contributing to a hit on economic growth, and with the fact that China is struggling, crude oil is moving lower as traders are concerned over a SLOWDOWN IN DEMAND.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 30, 2015

Fed Interest Rate Increase Could Be Best Thing to Happen to Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

A true contrarian knows that when everyone says an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve would kill stocks, that is the best time to double down on junior mining names. In this interview with The Gold Report, Gold Stock Trades author Jeb Handwerger shares the names of the companies he thinks could do well through the drill bit or by acquisition regardless of when the inevitable turnaround comes.

The Gold Report: Common wisdom says that when the U.S. Federal Reserve raises interest rates later this year, it will prove negative for gold. Do you agree?

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