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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, February 02, 2015

Gold and Silver Price Forecasting Problem / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

“The problem is not that there are problems. The problem is expecting otherwise and thinking that having problems is a problem.”- Theodore Rubin

The media sensation surrounding various storms of the century has been astounding. Meteorological prediction is complex science to say the least. The fact that 24 hour forecasts have become almost 87% accurate over the years is a testament to modern science – and, in particular, chaos theory.

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Commodities

Monday, February 02, 2015

Gold Gets Safe Haven Bids But COMEX Has Stopping Power / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldSilverWorlds

This article is part of a series of in-depth market analyses for gold investors. Our aim is to publish this type of analysis on a weekly basis. It is not meant to be investment advice, but it should provide precious metals investors key insights about the ongoing and expected gold price trend(s).

Our focus is on chart analysis. With an average of 10 to 15 charts per article, we will cover not only the gold market but also intermarket analysis. It is our core belief that all financial assets, including gold and silver, attract bids relative to the (perceived) value of other financial assets. In other words, the attractiveness of gold is not only influenced by “internal” factors within the gold market but also by “external factors” like stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies. Makes sense probably, but a thorough and objective analysis is mandatory to identify intermarket influences.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 31, 2015

Gold And Silver Price Probability for A Lower Low Has Increased / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

Mention is often made that one should wait for confirmation of a particular move in futures before making a commitment, either way. Last week, it appeared evidence was mounting that November could be a possible low for the correction since late 2011. Then, we run across this graph from goldchartsrus.com which shows an inordinate build-up of short positions in silver by what we would call “smart money,” “insiders.”

These large traders do not make such overtly strong commitments to the short side without expectations that things will go their way. If anything can be said about the market manipulators, mostly the elite’s central bankers/Wall Street/Fed, it does not really matter as to accurate identity, for they hide their source[s] very well. What matters is the outcome from the effort, and to date, there has been a lot of “smashing” success in taking both silver and gold lower, at will, and with no opposition.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 31, 2015

199 Days of Hell - Unintended consequences: Oil and the Worst Battle in History / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Marin_Katusa

Just after I signed the publishing agreement for my first book, The Colder War, I realized how much research I was going to end up doing, specifically in areas that I never thought would be so integral to my subject area: energy and mining. Along the way, I came across some fascinating events that were completely out of my area of expertise but gave me a better sense for the unintended consequences in an historical perspective of the events that led to where we are today.

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Commodities

Friday, January 30, 2015

Kaminak Yukon Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

It was in 1896 when prospectors stumbled across large quantities of gold in one of the tributaries of the Yukon’s Klondike River.  Word of this discovery spread like wildfire.  And in no time at all prospectors from far and wide set course to get a piece of the action.  The aptly named Klondike Gold Rush ended up being one of legend!

Provocatively this legend was not entirely one of smashing success and untold riches though.  Yes, there were some who cashed in, but it was ultimately one of endless frustration and failure.  Gold fever ended up blinding folks to the reality of the Yukon’s harsh climate and challenging geography.  And most of those who journeyed there were ill-equipped to deal with it.

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Commodities

Friday, January 30, 2015

Greeks Turn to Gold on Bank Bail-in and Drachma Risk / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

The Greek stock market is down 36% year to date; the risk of global contagion in the event of a Greek exit is very real. Ordinarily such a crisis would require a massive coordinated effort from global stakeholders, perhaps directed by the IMF or some other pan-national financial body. But not in this case; the rhetoric is nationally-based and biased without unity of purpose across finance ministries. Recent official soundings from the UK and German governments saying that exposure to Greece is limited only underscores the depth of denial, ignorance and lack of consensus that exists within the euro area. A Greek exit from the euro would profoundly weaken the euro experiment and create a dangerous precedent for all future crises in the region.

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Commodities

Friday, January 30, 2015

Gold Price Short-Term Bottom Due, Higher into February / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jim_Curry

With the sharp selling in recent days, there is now the potential that another larger-degree peak has been seen in the Gold market. Having said that, this is not set in stone at the present time, and the various time cycles that I track suggest that we should be at or nearing at least a short-term bottom, with the potential for one final slingshot higher into early-to-mid February.

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Commodities

Friday, January 30, 2015

Caught Inside the Crisis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

“If a little is great, and a lot is better, then way too much is just about right!”
-Mae West

A comment from my last essay, "Finding The Real Price Of Money", got me thinking about preparing for the eventual crisis.

That - and an experience I had in the ocean.

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Commodities

Friday, January 30, 2015

Impending US Dollar Peak Should be Catalyst for Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold has performed very well under the circumstances of declining inflation and a surging US$ index. Since 2014 the US$ index is up nearly 18% while Gold is up 3%. Since Gold's November low the US$ index is up over 10%. Had we known that at the time, we'd have thought Gold would be headed for $1000 and not the $1300 it recently hit. At present, the US$ index appears ripe for a correction or major pause in its uptrend. Given that Gold is priced in US$ and that Gold has shown strength in real terms, sustained US$ weakness could be a major boon for Gold and precious metals as a whole.

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Commodities

Friday, January 30, 2015

Silver and Other Precious Metals To Manipulate / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Dan_Norcini

Here is a quick update for the silver surfers out there.

I mentioned today that the Australian Dollar was taken out to the woodshed and given a sound thrashing. Silver must have been dragged out there as well because it was beaten with the proverbial ugly stick.

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Commodities

Friday, January 30, 2015

Silver Investor David Morgan: Industrial Demand, Looper (Film), Dividends & Oil / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: David_Morgan

How long have you been investing in silver?

Since my early 20’s, once I had a job and some sort of cash flow that was the real beginning.  I did buy a few silver coins as a kid but nothing of significance.

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Commodities

Friday, January 30, 2015

Seen the Energy Downturn Movie Before, and Not Worried / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: The_Energy_Report

With oil and gas prices down, it's time to cull the herd, sell marginal producers and double down on the strong ones in your portfolio, says Michael Waring, founder of Galileo Global Equity Advisors Inc. In this interview with The Energy Report, Waring explains that this kind of correction happens every 10 years in this space. It presents opportunities for companies to improve and investors to profit—and he names four companies he considers most likely to succeed.

The Energy Report: Michael, you said in November that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) expected the U.S. to share in reducing production growth to help stabilize the oil market. Have events justified that expectation?

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Commodities

Thursday, January 29, 2015

Increasing Demand For Refined Products Will Increase Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Dan Steffens writes: In last week's article I posted a chart from the International Energy Agency'srecent Oil Market Report that shows global demand for refined products catching up to supply by the 3rd quarter of this year. My opinion is that all of the analysts who are now blaming the sharp drop in oil prices on a "glut" of supply could change their tune quickly as consumers adjust to lower fuel costs. Just as higher costs reduce demand for any commodity, lower costs will increase demand. This is especially true for a commodity that has a direct impact on standard of living, like oil does.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 29, 2015

Saudi Arabia Changes Kings, But Not its Oil Policy / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: Last Friday, I appeared on CNBC’s “Closing Bell” to discuss the new Saudi King Salman and his impact on oil prices.

The interview was set up on a flight back to Pittsburgh, and took place via satellite feed almost as soon as I landed.

Now, these hastily put together appearances can be somewhat trying if the anchors are not up to speed on the material.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Crude Oil Price Bulls vs. Resistance Zone / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Tuesday, crude oil gained 1.55% after mixed U.S. data weakened the greenback. As a result, light crude climbed above $46, but the nearest resistance still keeps gains in check. Will we see higher values of the commodity in the coming days?

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 28, 2015

The Great "inflated" Expectations for Gold, Oil, Commodities -- and Now Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: EWI

What's Bigger Than a $1.4 Billion Mortgage Ratings Scandal?

Last chance to get prepared for the major moves in U.S. stocks, commodities, gold, USD and more for 2015 and beyond -- Elliott Wave International's free State of the U.S. Markets online conference ends Wednesday! Register now and get instant access to a free video presentation from market legend Robert Prechter plus all of the great insights from our most recent publications and presentations from our key analysts.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 28, 2015

There’s More to the Gold Price Rally Than European Market Fears / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Frank_Holmes

Gold was down 1.72 percent at the end of 2014, but things are looking up for the yellow metal. Last week I returned from presenting at the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference, where sentiment for gold was through the roof.

And with good reason. Even though gold was down last year, it still ranked as the second-best-performing currency following the U.S. dollar. The metal has risen about 10 percent year-to-date, and last Tuesday, for the first time since mid-August, it broke through the $1,300 mark.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, January 27, 2015

Gold's Time Has Come / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

December 1987 to March 1993:  Gold fell 36% in 5.3 years

February 1996 to July 1999:  Gold fell 40% in 3.4 years

August 2011 to November 2014:  Gold fell 40% in 3.3 years

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 27, 2015

Gold and Silver Stocks Investing Basics / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

Investing in mining equities can get rather complicated but Heiko Ihle, managing director at H.C. Wainwright & Co., says precious metals equity investors need to focus on just three criteria: jurisdiction, management and asset viability. In this interview with The Gold Report, he explains his rationale and discusses several of his preferred gold and silver names.

The Gold Report: Do you have a price forecast for gold and silver for 2015?

Heiko Ihle: Our long-term prices for gold and silver are $1,200/oz and $17.50/oz, respectively. We recently lowered those prices from $1,300/oz and $20/oz given current market prices.

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Commodities

Monday, January 26, 2015

Is the Gold Price Rally Over? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion speculative short positions (half) are currently justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Gold’s rally took place along with the U.S. dollar’s rally and this was encouraging for gold bulls, but gold’s reaction after the 1,140 billion euro QE program was announced was very disappointing. Is the rally over and will the gold market plunge once again?

In short, it’s possible, but not imminent. Let’s move right to the charts (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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