Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, May 27, 2014
Gold & Silver Price More of the Same – For How Long? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Briefly: In our opinion speculative short positions (half) in gold, silver, and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
The history repeats itself once again – gold just attempted to move higher but failed to ignite anything more than a small daily rally. Let’s see if there’s anything that this can tell us (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Tuesday, May 27, 2014
Silver to Gold Ratio: 27 Years of Price Data / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: DeviantInvestor
Statistically, gold and silver prices closely follow each other. But what is more important is the ratio between silver and gold and the trend of that ratio.
Examine the following chart.
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Tuesday, May 27, 2014
Agri-Foods Dramatic Price Rise During 2014 / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
Agri-Commodities Prices Winning - Or, how long does it take the Street to identify an elephant in the room? Apparently the answer to that question is a time period longer than should be the case. As portrayed in the chart below, Agri-Food prices have been rising fairly dramatically thus far this year. With an average gain of about 10% since the beginning of the year, eating is becoming far more expensive. Rather than a short-term phenomenon, higher prices for Agri-Foods over time are part of the future, an unavoidable one.
Monday, May 26, 2014
Silver Price Set To Stun / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Austin_Galt
Where to begin with silver? I guess there is no better place than the yearly chart. Let’s have a look.
YEARLY CHART
Monday, May 26, 2014
Antinomic European Energy Security Strategy Tweets / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: Andrew_McKillop
Roll Out the Antinomics
Antimony the metal (Sb) has a history stretching back to at least 3000 BC, when in Predynastic Egypt it was used to make kohl or eyeliner – giving the metal the name “wide-eyed”. However, by the start of the European age, it was also called the “monk-killer”. Combining the two, we have a wide-eyed monk-killer, which is a useful extra definition of antinomic. This is usually defined as a total contradiction in and between a pair of statements, or a paradox operating either internally, within the statement or statements, or relative to their external semantic referent.
Sunday, May 25, 2014
Barclays Fined For Brazenly Manipulating the Price of Gold With the 'Dr. Evil Strategy' / Commodities / Market Manipulation
By: Jesse
“The whole purpose of propaganda is to make the obvious seem obscure, or offensive.” - Stefan Molyneux
In this case action was taken because a large option customer complained to Barclays, which in turn gave the trader up to the FSA. And so Barclays threw one of their traders to the regulators. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 24, 2014
Gold And Silver Price Central Bank Manipulation Or Chinese Accomodation? Both / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Michael_Noonan
It certainly started out as central bank manipulation, doing everything possible to cover their theft and resulting deficiency of replaceable physical gold. Almost all of their unauthorized reselling or hypothecating went unnoticed or without any ability to stop the activity. China had a lot of its gold stored in the United States that was stolen in the 1990s. She has since become the world-leading economic powerhouse and is now in a position to force the Rothschild elites to make good on the theft, which they are doing.
Saturday, May 24, 2014
Gold and Silver Price Turnaround Alert / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Briefly: In our opinion speculative short positions (half) in gold, silver, and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
The history repeats itself and we have just seen another example confirming this statement. Gold once again moved higher initially but failed to hold its gains even until the end of the session. This made yesterday's session very similar to May 19. The intra-day high was once again lower. Before discussing this situation, let's take a look at the USD Index (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Friday, May 23, 2014
All Along the Silver Demonetization Watchtower / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
The particularly ruthless destruction of wealth that disproportionately have an effect on the poor and elderly is a process that slowly, then all at once, destroys the middle class - which has its roots in the debasement of money.
This is as pervasive today as it was in the days of coin clipping.
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Friday, May 23, 2014
Gold Safer Than A Bank Account...But Only If You Follow This Crucial Advice / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Jeff_Berwick
Vin Maru writes: While investors in the precious metals sector had to endure a tough bear market in the past couple of years, there is a glimmer of golden light at the end of this dark tunnel. The fundamentals for gold ownership have not changed and remain as strong as ever, and that's why our special report Getting Your Gold Out Of Dodge (GYGOOD) comes highly recommended. Over two years ago, I started researching and writing this report with The Dollar Vigilante team. It is a complete compendium on how to internationalize your precious metal's holdings and move them out of the western financial system.
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Thursday, May 22, 2014
Gold Price Shaping Up for the Next Plunge / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Submissions
Austin Galt writes: I always begin my analysis by looking at the big picture to determine what is the overall trend and where we are in that trend. That means starting by looking at the yearly chart. I also like to keep my charts simple so things aren’t too confusing and I don’t start jumping at shadows.
YEARLY CHART
Thursday, May 22, 2014
The California Shale Bubble Just Burst / Commodities / Fracking
By: OilPrice_Com
The great hype surrounding the advent of a shale gas bonanza in California may turn out to be just that: hype. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) – the statistical arm of the Department of Energy – has downgraded its estimate of the total amount of recoverable oil in the Monterey Shale by a whopping 96 percent. Its previous estimate pegged the recoverable resource in California’s shale formation at 13.7 billion barrels but it now only thinks that there are 600 million barrels available.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 22, 2014
Seven Things You May Not Know About Coal / Commodities / Coal
By: Marin_Katusa
The days of tossing another lump on the fire to keep warm are behind most of us, but coal is still vital to keep our modern computers, air conditioners, and even cars humming. How much do you know about one of the world’s most indispensable commodities?
#1. Before turning into coal, layers of ancient swamp bed transition through another familiar carbon compound in as little as 9,000 years. That’s peat.
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Wednesday, May 21, 2014
Will Central Banks Need to Buy Gold Back from The Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
Gold Leasing - to what extent
There is a belief that central bank gold in the custody of the world's leading central banks such as the Fed, the Bank of England and the Banque de France has been leased out to the market. Central Banks have confirmed this, but it remains a source of contention. Even where the gold of the world's central banks are held in the world's leading central banks in a custodial arrangement this is so and it is reasonable to assume that this could not be done without the gold's owner's permission. This is what we do know;
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Wednesday, May 21, 2014
The Birth of a New Palladium Bull Market / Commodities / Palladium
By: Jeff_Clark
If I asked you why you think I’m bullish on platinum and palladium, you’d probably point to the strikes in South Africa, the world’s largest producer of platinum. Or maybe the geopolitical conflicts with Russia, the largest supplier of palladium. Maybe you’d even mention that some technical analysts say the palladium price has “broken out” of its trading range.
These are all valid points—but they’re reasons why a trader might be bullish. When the strikes end, or Russia ends its aggression, or short-term price momentum eases, they’ll sell.
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Tuesday, May 20, 2014
Gold Price - A 40 Year Perspective / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: DeviantInvestor
In broad terms, gold was in a bull market during the late 1960s and 70s, a bear market during the 80s and 90s, and back in a bull market since 2001. The important questions are:
- Did gold reach a generational peak in 2011 and subsequently turn down for a decade or two?
Or
- Did gold reach an intermediate top in 2011 based on QE, dollar weakness, and high demand, correct for 2.5 years, and then begin a rally likely to persist through the end of the decade?
Tuesday, May 20, 2014
Gold Price Bearish Reversal Ahead / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Gregor_Horvat
Gold is moving sideways in 1268-1331 range for more than a month between two contracting trend-lines that make a shape of a triangle. We are looking at a running triangle in wave (b) that can be near completion as rise from 1276 is already in three legs that represents wave e), final leg in the pattern. With that in mind, traders should be aware of a bearish reversal down in wave (c) towards 1220/40 especially once 1277 and pattern support will give way.
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Tuesday, May 20, 2014
Crude Oil Stocks Change of Trend or Just a Correction? / Commodities / Oil Companies
By: Nadia_Simmons
In the previous week, crude oil moved higher after pro-Russian separatists in eastern Ukraine voted in favor of self rule in a weekend referendum. These circumstances fueled fears that the conflict may escalate further and trigger more sanctions against Russia, affecting Russian oil shipments. At this point, it’s worth noting that worries over this issue have kept oil prices above the level of $100 in recent weeks. Nevertheless, although the U.S. and the European Union imposed two rounds of sanctions, they didn’t disrupt shipments from Russia. The situation, however, deteriorated slightly as the EU expanded sanctions (targeting two Crimean companies and 13 people to aim at corporations rather than individuals) last Monday. In reaction to this news, Russia reiterated that it could cut off Kiev's natural gas supplies and informed the EU in the following days that it would stop natural-gas deliveries to Ukraine on June 1 unless it receives payments for past-due amounts. Ukraine said it is preparing to pay $4 billion to Gazprom but hopes to negotiate lower prices.
Tuesday, May 20, 2014
Time Is the Trigger for Equities and Gold Bullion / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: The_Gold_Report
Charles Oliver, lead portfolio manager with the Sprott Gold and Precious Minerals Fund, believes the only thing between investors and bigger investment returns on precious metals equities and bullion, especially silver, is time. In this interview with The Gold Report, Oliver discusses silver and gold demand drivers, as well as portfolio ideas that figure to get bigger with time as the trigger.
The Gold Report: "Sell in May and go away" is a common investing axiom but does it have any validity?
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Monday, May 19, 2014
Crude Oil Price At Crossroads / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
On Friday, crude oil gained 0.61% as strong U.S. economic data and ongoing worries over the crisis in Ukraine weighted on the price. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude came back above $102, but does this growth change the short-term outlook for the commodity?
On Friday, better-than-expected numbers from the housing sector gave crude oil a support. The Census Bureau reported that U.S. building permits rose 8% to 1.080 million units last month (while analysts had expected an increase to 1.010 million units in April) and the Commerce Department showed that U.S. housing starts rose 13.2% last month to 1.072 million units, beating expectations of 980,000 gain (it was the largest increase in five months).
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