Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Gold and Silver in Deflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

As global growth is being downgraded by the I.M.F. from 3.5% to 3.1% fears that the Eurozone is already in a recession and the U.S. is likely to enter one next year, are growing. As the world becomes more and more familiar with the economic and financial climate investors are realizing that economic life is far from simple and that growth is not something that governments or central banks can turn on or off.

Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Gold Making Gains on Stronger Dollar, AAA-rated Debt "An Endangered Species" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Ben_Traynor

U.S. DOLLAR gold prices fell to $1573 an ounce Tuesday morning in London – a few Dollars above last week's low – as stocks and commodities also traded lower, while US Treasuries were flat and German bunds fell after Germany's credit rating was placed on negative outlook.

Silver prices briefly dipped below $27 per ounce – 1.2% below where they began the week.

Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Anatomy of Future Gold and Silver Price Bubble / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

In recent commentaries we've written about the three phases of a bull market and how and why the final phase evolves as it does. Valuations, sentiment and market structure all explain why markets take a dramatic upward turn in the final phase after relatively stagnant performance in the previous phase. These are the "micro" behind why a bubble emerges in the final phase. Today we want to look at the intermarket driving forces behind the emergence of a bubble.

Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Gold Continues To Move Towards The Financial System / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Vin_Maru

It is currently estimated that the largest 110 central banks have 16% of their reserves as gold.  Anyone who follows the gold market knows that many central banks have become net buyers of gold in the last few years, and the pace of accumulation seems to be growing.  While central banks continue to accumulate gold, the misinformed mainstream media are still chanting the “gold is in a bubble” mantra.   What they are not acknowledging is the clear evidence that the highest level of bankers and regulators are proposing that gold become a Tier 1 asset class with zero risk, which can also be used for collateral in financial transactions. 

Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Defining “Intrinsic Value” in Gold and Silver Investing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The mainstream financial media touts a variety of 'anti-inflation' investments that can be used to protect wealth against the ravages of inflation. These typically range from buying commodities like oil and coal to more sophisticated instruments like inflation-protected treasuries and annuities.

While such investments may appear to be inflation-proof on paper, none of these investment vehicles have the solid intrinsic value of gold, silver or any of the other precious metals.

Tuesday, July 24, 2012

China Gold and Silver Strategy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The Chinese currency the Yuan is still pegged to the U.S. Dollar at a level that undervalues it substantially, provoking criticism of this exchange rate policy. The world still believes that China cannot survive and prosper without the West to fund its development, and so most analysts are focused on a hard landing for China.

Nevertheless, what is really happening is that new currency swaps are forming the backdrop of Chinese metals accumulation and production. In essence, China is gradually amassing the lion’s share of global wealth in the form of hard assets.

Tuesday, July 24, 2012

The Calm Before the Storm, Gold Bullion Will Benefit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Jan_Skoyles

Late last week when reading the World Gold Council’s Gold Investment Statistic’s commentary, we were reminded of when Doug Casey said ‘“inevitable” is not the same thing as “imminent.”’

As we keep mentioning on these pages the financial situation, which has been snowballing for over 40 years, will continue to do so and in the process those who decided to invest in gold bullion will benefit.

Monday, July 23, 2012

U.S. Dollar Danger Threatens Gold as Euro Hits 2-Yr Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Ben_Traynor

WHOLESALE gold bullion prices fell to $1569 an ounce during Monday morning's London trading – 0.9% off Friday's close – as stocks, commodities and the Euro also traded lower and US Treasuries gained, following news that two Spanish regions plan to ask for bailouts.

Silver bullion fell to $26.88 an ounce – a 1.9% drop on where it ended Friday.

Monday, July 23, 2012

Timid Silver Bugs Could Miss the Next Big Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Clive_Maund

Silver investors and speculators are amongst the manic-depressive you can possibly find in the investment world. When they are playing maximum credits on the slots and passing round boxes of cuban cigars and taking out massive loans to buy Ferraris and Lambos you know it's time to watch out. When they retreat into the shadows, only coming out to hurl themselves off bridges and other tall structures, mumbling about the "cartel" as they plummet earthwards, you know it's getting time to buy - and that is the situation we now find ourselves in. In this update we are going to examine evidence which suggests that, despite the fragile looking price pattern, silver is going to turn surprisingly strong in short order, or alternatively, if it does break down, it turns out to be a false move that is swiftly followed by a dramatic recovery.

Monday, July 23, 2012

Gold Shaping Up for a Major Uptrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Clive_Maund

Most would be investors and speculators in the Precious Metals sector at this time look and behave like the raw recruits at the start of the film An Officer and a Gentlemen - listless and muttering pathetically "This might not be the bottom - it could go down again" - so listen up you 'orrible lot and pull yourselves together - by the time you are done reading this you are expected to have cleaned yourselves up, straightened yourselves out and be ready for action - and insubordination will not be tolerated.

Monday, July 23, 2012

SILVER: A Metal of Sunken Treasure and Champions / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Eric_McWhinnie

Earlier this week, Odyssey Marine Exploration, a world leader in deep-ocean shipwreck exploration, announced it successfully recovered approximately 48 tons of silver bullion from the SS Gairsoppa. The British ship was torpedoed by a German U-boat and sank in three miles of water off the coast of Ireland during World War II. Despite the silver being submerged for 71 years, it is still a highly prized discovery as the precious metal has appreciated in value.

Monday, July 23, 2012

Crude Oil Prices Heading For A Fall / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_McKillop

The week ending 20 July had vintage scenes from the 2008 epoch, as oil boomers bid up prices with such gusto they were able to grab 3%-a-day rises, midweek, but by weekend the cold chill of reality was trmming their sails. Although this was a vintage spectacle for a global oil market where the biggest brokers, bankers and traders both need and want higher oil prices, oil prices are set on greasy skids, oiled by a slew of so-called fundamentals. These include stubbornly slowing world demand, growing stocks, OPEC overproduction, increasing NOPEC output, large new finds of shale oil and stranded "greasy gas" able to yield NGL output, and oil's declining share in the global energy mix.

Saturday, July 21, 2012

Gold Daily and Silver Coiling for an Imminent Move / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Jesse

"Everything predicted by the enemies of banks, in the beginning, is now coming to pass. We are to be ruined now by the deluge of bank paper, as we were formerly by the old Continental paper.

It is cruel that such revolutions in private fortunes should be at the mercy of avaricious adventurers, who, instead of employing their capital, if any they have, in manufactures, commerce, and other useful pursuits, make it an instrument to burden all the interchanges of property with their swindling profits, profits which are the price of no useful industry of theirs."

Friday, July 20, 2012

How to Profit From Europe's New Gold Rush / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Jeff_Clark

Europe owns a sizable chunk of the world's natural resources.

Over the past few decades, however, EU countries have mostly imported their resources.

Outlandish? Maybe.

But it was simply easier, cheaper, and most importantly it avoided most environmental conflicts.

Friday, July 20, 2012

How to Minimize Risk and Increase Returns on Junior Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: The_Gold_Report

Joe Mazumdar, senior mining analyst at Vancouver's Haywood Securities, adheres to certain fundamental metrics when reviewing the pedigree of a junior firm. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Mazumdar explains why some juniors are positioned to do better than some majors in the current geopolitical climate and he counsels pragmatism: the key to unlocking golden opportunities is locating firms with experienced management and adequate cash flow that can qualify for mixed-source financing in the international context of uneven gold prices. He shares a few picks in that space.

Friday, July 20, 2012

Gold Reality Therapy for Abused Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“Renewed economic contraction has started to show up in the reporting of major economic series. Headline June retail sales declined by 0.5% versus May, in the context of earlier monthly contractions…

“The general outlook remains unchanged …. Official reporting shows a plunge in economic activity from fourth-quarter 2007 to second-quarter 2009, with an ensuing upturn in activity that led to a full recovery as of third-quarter 2011. In contrast, I contend the economy began turning down in 2006, plunging in 2008 into 2009 and subsequently stagnating—bottom-bouncing—at a low level of activity ever since. There has been no recovery, and the economic downturn is intensifying anew.

Friday, July 20, 2012

Silver Price Undervalued / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Zeal_LLC

After being sucked into the general commodities correction, silver has been relentlessly drifting lower since late February.  But this weakness has forced the white metal down to a very bullish place technically.  Silver is now quite undervalued compared to prevailing gold prices, its primary driver.  Thus it has great potential to rally mightily in the coming months to regain much lost ground relative to gold.

Friday, July 20, 2012

Gold Technical or Fundamental Analysis? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Each week we reply to questions from our subscribers and include them in our Premium Updates. Today's essay is dedicated entirely to commenting on one of the letter that we received this week. It touches several interesting points and shows us that there are still some controversies and doubts regarding two most popular approaches to analyzing financial markets, i.e. technical and fundamental analysis, that need clarification. For clarity's sake we decided to put our comments alongside it, in addition to answering the reader's final question.

Friday, July 20, 2012

Flat Currency Momentum Sees Gold in Contracting Range / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Ben_Traynor

THE U.S. DOLLAR gold price hovered above $1580 an ounce during Friday morning trading in London – in line with where it has spent the last two weeks – while stocks and commodities ticked lower and US Treasuries gained, as market attention returned to the European debt crisis, currently focused on Spain.

The silver price dipped to $27.07 per ounce, though it too remained firmly within its range for the last fortnight.

Friday, July 20, 2012

If India Sneezes, will the Gold Industry Catch a Cold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Jan_Skoyles

“If India sneezes, the gold industry will catch a cold” Ajay Mitra

India and gold are two words closely linked in the precious metals world. Gold investing is so deeply ingrained in Indian culture that Indian’s have over 20 different words for the yellow metal.