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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Monday, October 24, 2011

Another U.S. Sovereign Downgrade Likely By 2011 Year End, Says Merrill / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: EconMatters

While some of us are still recovering from the first ever U.S. sovereign credit downgrade from S&P in August, BofA Merrill dropped another bomb.  From Reuters,

"The United States will likely suffer the loss of its triple-A credit rating from another major rating agency by the end of this year due to concerns over the deficit, Bank of America Merrill Lynch forecasts.   

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 24, 2011

Assessing the Damage of the European Banking Crisis / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: STRATFOR

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEurope faces a banking crisis it has not wanted to admit even exists.

The formal authority on financial stability, International Monetary Fund (IMF) chief Christine Lagarde, made her institution’s opinion on European banking known back in August when she prompted the European Union to engage in an immediate 200 billion-euro bank recapitalization effort. The response was broad-based derision from Europeans at the local, national and EU bureaucratic levels. The vehemence directed at Lagarde was particularly notable as Lagarde is certainly in a position to know what she was talking about: Until July 5, her title was not IMF chief, but French finance minister. She has seen the books, and the books are bad. Due to European inaction, the IMF on Oct. 18 raised its estimate for recapitalization needs from 200 billion euros to 300 billion euros ($274 billion to $410 billion).

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, October 23, 2011

What Quantitative Easing Really Means / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Global_Research

Prof. Ismael Hossein-zadeh writes: Stripped from the fancy (and mystifying) jargon, quantitative easing (QE) simply means increasing the quantity of money supply, or easing credit conditions—in the hope of stimulating thestagnant economy. This is usually done byhaving central banks inject a pre-determined quantity of money into the coffers of commercial banksin return for the purchase of their financial assets, which consist largely of government bonds. Although it is typically done electronically, or on paper, its practical effect is the same as printing money.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, October 23, 2011

Fed Officials Offer Broad Hints That QE3 is Likely if Soft Patch Persists / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

Vice-Chair Janet Yellen, Fed Governor Tarullo and Boston Fed President Rosengren have in the past two days voiced their support for more Fed action to support economic activity. Governor Tarullo indicated that there is “ample room” for the Fed to consider buying mortgage back securities. Two rounds of quantitative easing have helped to bring down mortgage rates, with QE1 (quantitative easing) appearing to have been the more successful (see Chart 1) program of the two programs.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 21, 2011

QE4, Wall Street and Student Debt Foregiveness / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Ellen_Brown

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAmong the demands of the Wall Street protesters is student debt forgiveness—a debt “jubilee.” Occupy Philly has a “Student Loan Jubilee Working Group,” and other groups are studying the issue.  Commentators say debt forgiveness is impossible.  Who would foot the bill?  But there is one deep pocket that could pull it off—the Federal Reserve.  In its first quantitative easing program (QE1), the Fed removed $1.3 trillion in toxic assets from the books of Wall Street banks.  For QE4, it could remove $1 trillion in toxic debt from the backs of millions of students. 

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 21, 2011

Six Layers Of Deficits Mean Debt Retirement Disaster / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dan_Amerman

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is a common but mistaken belief that the children and grandchildren of older Americans will be the ones who will be paying for today's massive government deficits.  In this article we will look at six different layers of the deficit and unfunded government promises and put them into personal, per household terms in order to get to the truth of the matter.  This truth is that the deficits are far too large to be repaid by taxpayers decades from now, but will be instead effectively repaid through the destruction of retiree savings and retirement investment portfolios in the coming years.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

Robert Prechter Goes "behind the scenes" on the Federal Reserve / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis is Part II of our three-part series, "Robert Prechter Explains The Fed." You can read Part I here.

Money, Credit and the Federal Reserve Banking System

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

The Day the U.S. Treasury Doomed America / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: In the mid 1990s, when I was working as a U.S. Treasury advisor to Croatia, I met with the managers of the U.S. Treasury's debt.

In what would turn out to be terrific advice, the Treasury officials suggested that we extend Croatia's debt maturities so the Central European country wouldn't have to refinance too often.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 15, 2011

ECB Rate Cut: Eyes on Aussies / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Investors sent German government bonds higher, banking on a rate cut from the European Central Bank. Now just days after bullish bond sentiment reached its peak, investors have backed off, realizing that a rate cut might be less likely than once thought.

Rates are already held low by the European Central Bank, which stopped short of actions on a magnitude to mirror the United States. The ECB currently offers a 1.5% rate on its main financing operations, known as fixed-rate tenders.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 15, 2011

Investors Lose Confidence in the US Government / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The equity markets staged a rally on Monday, with a buying spree that was largely seen as a response to European fears. Quietly, the same investors who purchased corporate stock on the open markets moved out of other investments, primarily Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac securities.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 14, 2011

The Fed 8% Inflation Solution / Interest-Rates / Inflation

By: Fred_Sheehan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe terminal stage of Dr. Frankenstein-style central banking is disgorging ridiculous claims of authority motivated by reckless efforts to retain control. One such pincer attack is the Federal Reserve's purported 2% inflation target. Behind our very eyes, this fictional mandate is being raised, all the more reason that savers need to speculate, not a welcome prospect with both inflationary and deflationary influences expanding and bound to burst.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 14, 2011

Italian Bond Yield Surges to 5.82%, Government Loses Routine Budget Vote / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter losing a routine parliamentary vote on the budget, Silvio Berlusconi, the very annoyed prime minister of Italy called for a vote of confidence. The vote is expected on Friday.

I believe Berlusconi may lose a close vote. If not, he will be discarded by March.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 13, 2011

Robert Prechter Explains The Fed, Part I / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe ongoing economic problems have made the central bank's decisions -- interest rates, quantitative easing, monetary stimulus, etc. -- a permanent fixture on six-o'clock news.

Yet many of us don't truly understand the role of the Federal Reserve.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 13, 2011

FOMC Meeting: QE3 is Likely, if Economy Slips / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Asha_Bangalore

The minutes of the September 20-21 FOMC meeting indicate that several members see significant downside risks to economic growth. They do not project a decline in GDP, but noted that the economy was “vulnerable to adverse shocks.” In this context, the sources of adverse shocks included “pronounced or more protracted deleveraging by households, the chance of a large-than-expected near-term fiscal tightening, and potential spillovers to the United States if the financial situation in Europe were to worsen appreciably.”

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

Adjusted U.S. Monetary Base Less Excess Bank Reserves / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Jesse

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThanks to my friend Gary at NowandFutures.com for this chart.

I like to think of the expansion of the monetary base as it has been implemented this time, versus 1933 , as a large animal passing through the body of a python.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, October 09, 2011

An Irish Debt Haircut / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJust as only four short years ago it was All Subprime, All the Time, and then it was the Credit Crisis, now it is Europe. (When) will Greece default and which banks will implode as a result? Is there another banking crisis in our future? I just came back from a whirlwind four-country visit to Europe, and I will try to offer a few insights. This week we start with Ireland, move to the problem of Europe at large and, if we're not out of space (and your patience!), we'll visit some last-minute data points. There is a lot to cover, so let's jump right in.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 07, 2011

Mervyn's Pringle Problem / Interest-Rates / UK Debt

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBank to Treasury: Forget credit easing. It's your debt that needs queasing...

UNLIKE PRINGLES tasty potato snacks, quantitative easing doesn't come with a resealable lid. So the famous sales line is only more true for central bankers:

"Once you pop, you can't stop!"

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 07, 2011

Financial Debt Destroyed Our Economy / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Barry_Elias

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe financial industry had few assets to market in the past three decades.

As such, they fervently pursued the marketing of debt. In many instances, it appears this methodology was a sustained, premeditated, and deceitful endeavor).

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 07, 2011

Navigating the Eurozone Debt Crisis and Preparing for Greeceā€™s Failure / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFolks, you hear a lot about the eurozone crisis, but what you don't run across very often is a coherent idea on how to move forward. My friends at STRATFOR, a private intelligence company, have done us all the courtesy of saying out loud what everyone else shies away from: Eject Greece from the eurozone.

It's not pretty. It belies the lovely concept of a unified and prosperous Europe. And the worst part: it comes with a big fat price tag, of the 2-trillion-euro variety. But it may be the only way to steer the train before it derails completely.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 06, 2011

How Ben Bernanke "F*d" the Banks and Fixed Income Savers at the Same Time / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHello Ben. It seems your ploy to hold interest rates at preposterously low levels has backfired into a run on Bank of America assets.

Bank of America Customer Frustration Grows

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