Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, July 18, 2011
Marc Faber on Gold, Silver, Deflation and the U.S. Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Marc Faber was interviewed on the Financial Sense Newshour. It’s a long one, but it’s definitely worth a listen. As usual, we’ve included a summary below for our readers who don’t have the time to sit through the entire video.
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Sunday, July 17, 2011
Stock Market Bulls Scrape Through Nasty Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
It''s been a nasty week the past week in the markets, and at one time in the European globex session, there was a potential panic situation when the DAX went into free fall until it hit support at 7000, likewise the FTSE stopped at 5800, the bears really got their claws dug in, but a bad situation got averted, (I don''t know how long it will hold through) but so far so good, the bulls have just scrapped through and my idea of seeing a new yearly high on stocks is still on target as key support areas held, even with that mini panic we saw in the week on European markets.
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Sunday, July 17, 2011
Range Bound Stock Market Trading In the Heat of Battle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
After nearly tagging the upper end of its multi-month trading range seven sessions ago, the S&P has settled the week back down near the middle of its range. Friday closed the week with an inside compression bar, which could set the stage for some fireworks early next week.
Saturday, July 16, 2011
How to Protect Yourself From a U.S. Debt Default / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
The U.S. is in a very scary position right now... We have a real chance of defaulting on our debt. The government is still arguing over what to do about the debt ceiling, and if they can't find a solution we're looking at an economic meltdown.
The rating agencies are starting to catch on.
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Saturday, July 16, 2011
Standoff...Bad For Stock Markets....For Now... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The republicans want to keep taxes as they are and want to cut spending. The democrats want higher taxes for the wealthy and no cuts to spending. What's the solution to a problem such as this is what the market wants to know. Who will give in a bit? When you get a bunch of babiee, I mean politicians in the same room, the egos are so big you have to stay clear of that room. It fills up with so much nonsense you can't stand the smell. However, these babies, I mean politicians, need to come to some understanding, or some very innocent people are going to pay a very high price for those enormous egos. If we don't raise the debt ceiling, we will default on our debt, get downgraded, and the stock market will crash. No question about that. Not up for debate.
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Saturday, July 16, 2011
Stock Market Foolishly At The Brink! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Governments around the world are struggling with record debt. The debt crisis in Europe and the struggle in Washington to raise the U.S. debt ceiling are in the news every day.
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Friday, July 15, 2011
U.S. Dollar Faces Resistance, Stocks Stall / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Before we take a look at the S&P 500 (SPY) and U.S. Dollar (UUP), let’s put the analysis in the context of the biggest news from July 13:
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Thursday, July 14, 2011
Stock Market Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
For those new to the blog we would like to restate something we did during the last bull market. The SPX/NDX can offer confusing patterns. Their futures contracts are heavily traded which causes volatility. In fact, occassionally a wave does not appear where it should, or a wave occurs that shouldn’t. How do we know? The DOW.
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Thursday, July 14, 2011
How the Stock Market Market Prices In Recession / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Recently I compared the 2007 equity topping pattern to that of the current market. The premise being today as in 2007 the US economy is quite possibly entering economic recession. Long gone are the days of equity markets being forward looking as proven in 2007 when they peaked just two months before contraction began. A similar pattern is also playing out in the 10 year treasury.
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Thursday, July 14, 2011
The Long Wave Deflation Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Deflation
David Knox Barker is one of the leading authorities on the economic long wave, otherwise known as the Kondratieff Wave (a.k.a. "K Wave"). Barker has had an impressive career both as a financial market writer and long wave analyst, as well as being an entrepreneur in the emerging field of nanotechnology.
Back in the late 1980s and '90s, Barker was known for his insightful and accurate views on the U.S. economy and financial markets via his K Wave Report newsletter. Today he shares his views on the global financial market and economic outlook through his Long Wave Dynamics Letter.
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Thursday, July 14, 2011
Stock Market Panic Levels, the VIX, and the NYSE New Lows... / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Many regard the VIX as a measurement of fear and panic levels in the market. But, how do you really know what the fear level is?
One way is to keep an eye on the NYSE (New York Stock Exchange) New Lows for the day. As fear levels rise, the daily number of New Lows should also be rising ... if they aren't, then you have to question how much fear is really in the market.
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Thursday, July 14, 2011
Stock Markets Trapped in a Contracting Fibonacci Spiral Towards Point of Singularity 2019 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Today's article focuses on an “Aha moment”, while drinking a bottle of home made Port with a visiting friend . Fibonacci sequences were discovered by Fibonacci around 1200 AD...it is only recently that Fibonacci ratios, such as the golden ratio (1.618) were found to exist within the framework of the Universe and evolution of life. Robert Prechter has written volumes of extraordinary articles and books dealing with Fibonacci numbers etc. So I will assume that most readers are familiar with concepts. The Fibonacci sequence is 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 33, 55, 89 etc. Which is based upon no, ni+no.... nj..Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 13, 2011
Stock Market Trend Expectations, Anticipate, Monitor and Adjust / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
During the 2002-2007 bull market, equity markets around the world were in impulsive five wave long term uptrends. The fifteen world markets we track had some periods of concern, from time to time, but they all recovered and continued higher. Check the charts using this link, and scroll through pages 7 – 9: http://stockcharts.com/def/...
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Wednesday, July 13, 2011
Are Floundering U.S. Debt Ceiling Talks Causing or Reflecting Uncertainty? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
The chart below – courtesy stockcharts.com – is one example of various currency charts that are giving technical buy or sell signals
These “tentative” breakouts may be symptomatic of a much broader scenario
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Wednesday, July 13, 2011
The Hunt for Eurozone's Own Lehman Bros That Could Trigger Financial Armageddon / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Does the Eurozone have its own American International Group Inc. (NYSE: AIG), or worse, its own Lehman Bros. when it comes to Greece?
I believe it does.
Why else would the European Union have bent over backwards to "save" a member nation that: A) Accounts for 2.01% of the EU by trade volume; and B) Would essentially be like letting Montana go out of business - no offense to Montanans or Montana!
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Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Merger Mania Returns to Natural Gas Sector / Stock-Markets / Natural Gas
Kent Moors writes: Today we're going out into the Moroccan desert to evaluate shale gas fields here. It's early morning, and I am now awaiting my "ride."
They tell me his name is Saad, which means "happiness" in Arabic. Seems a strange name for what I'm still hoping is a Jeep.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Is Brazil Stock Market Putting Up A Bearish Warning Flag? / Stock-Markets / Brazil
Brazil's Bovespa stock market index closed at fresh lows today. It's rally off the early July low was far weaker than that of most other major world markets. A look at the chart shows that a significant level of support going back to October of 2009 was violated in today's selloff.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Stock Market Reversal Time From Overbought... Italy/Jobs... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
When a market needs to sell it will sell. You had the combination of overbought stochastics, overbought RSI's, and overbought MACD's on all the daily charts. In addition, you also had overbought 60-minute charts across the board repeatedly. Never good to stay that overbought for so long. The market needed to sell off those 99 stochastic readings on the daily index charts along with 70 RSI's. News needed to come along to expedite that process. First, we had the poor Jobs Report on Friday, which started the ball rolling down the hill. The selling was far from bad. Then we had Italy debt problems over the weekend, and that was the final ingredient necessary to get things rolling down the hill quite a bit faster.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Don’t Miss Your Chance to Catch the Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Many people missed the market’s enormous appreciation during the latest equity bull market because they were late to the game or chose to sit on the sidelines. The sideline is a crowded place these days as investors have been reluctant to fully embrace equities.
Household savings for the past 12 months totaled $711 billion, the highest level ever recorded in dollar terms. You can see from the chart that’s roughly double the amount of savings recorded following the Tech Bubble. In fact, household debt-to-savings ratios are currently at levels so low, they’ve not been seen since the mid-1990s.
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Monday, July 11, 2011
Profits and Commodities Part of Mixed Picture for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
In a volatile environment, it is helpful to take a step back and look at the bigger picture. There are serious problems with debt in the United States and Europe, which are representative of the negative side of the bull-bear debate. On the positive side, companies are doing well and the technical picture of stocks remains firmly in bull market territory. According to Bloomberg:
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