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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 23, 2010

Flight From Safety of U.S. Treasury Bonds into Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010

By: Steven_Vincent

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAlthough the current market dialogue between Bulls and Bears is focused on the Inflation vs. Deflation dichotomy, it's possible that a dynamic between Risk vs. Safety is the better framework for analysis.

The possible transition from Safety to Risk took a big leap forward recently as the most favored repository of investor fears, the US Treasury market, showed significant signs of breaking down and putting in a long term top. SPX:USB, the ratio of Risk to Safety as measured by the S&P 500 / US Treasury 30 Year Bond price, closed well above its 200 day EMA after having broken out of a declining wedge pattern. After the breakout the EMA was successfully retested:

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 23, 2010

More Signs of a Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs Freddie Mac Reports An Uptick In The 30 Year Mortgage Rate, Have Mortgage Rates Hit A Floor?

(ZeroHedge)  Is the floor in mortgage rates in? After hitting a record all time low of 4.19% in the week ended October 14, the Freddie 30 Year Fixed mortgage rate has risen slightly but appreciatively to 4.21% (chart below). This is not all that surprising considering the 10 Year UST has been meandering around the 2.5% spot for a while now. What it does indicate, however, is that absent QE2 mortgages may have just hit their floor for the current regime. As it is no secret the Fed is intent on lowering mortgage rates as low as possible the question becomes whether a level in the low 4%'s is enough for mortgage activity to finally pick up.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 23, 2010

America has Become an Asterisk, Which means it Only Exists Conditionally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe conditions are explained by asterisks. For instance, big banks earn a lot of money as long as minor details like expenses, losses, and derivative valuations are ignored. The governments car company, GM, will soon release an 'electric' car that gets 280 miles per gallon equivalent. However, it is not really 'electric' as it has a small gasoline motor and at highway speed, the motor kicks in. In truth, it will return mileage equivalent to a Toyota Prius. Only, the US taxpayer will have to chip in about $7k per car sold to even make it seem competitive. It is ‘electric’ with an asterisk.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 23, 2010

U.S. Screwflation Nation - Ben and Tim at it Again! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010

By: PhilStockWorld

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleStrong dollar?  Hahahahahahahahahahahaha....
That is was the answer to a question I had this summer when I met with an unnamed Treasury official whose name might rhyme with Jimothy.  The unnamed official nearly fell off his chair laughing when I said "So, does the US still have a strong dollar policy?"  It was meant as a joke.  I was sitting at Treasury with Yves Smith, John Lounsbury, Steve Randy Waldman and a couple of other writers on Aug 16th, with the dollar at 82.5, down from 88.7 in May.  I mentioned in my Aug 17th post that, based on my meeting at Treasury: "we’re certainly not going to be expecting a "strong dollar" policy."  At the time, I summed up the meeting saying:

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 22, 2010

Avoiding The Trip to Q.E. Hell / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010

By: DeepCaster_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“Quantitative Easing will some day be looked back upon as we now look at healing the sick through bleeding back in the 1700s. It is terrible economic policy, in fact should be considered criminal activity. Criminal for many reasons, such as debasing the value of the Dollar, but more importantly because it will be the final nail that destroys our economy. Wall Street is the key beneficiary. Households (consumers) which account for 70 percent of GDP, and small businesses, which account for 70 percent of employment, will not benefit from this fraudulent activity by the Federal Reserve. Where on earth is it right for someone to print trillions of Dollars out of thin air and then buy legitimate legally binding debt instruments in exchange for this printed paper? Anyone else doing this would be arrested and thrown in jail, with the key tossed into the deep blue sea&h

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 22, 2010

Dangers of Seeking Fast Profit in High Speed Trading / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Barry_Elias

Benoit Mandelbrot, world renowned mathematician from Harvard and Yale, passed away last week at the age of 85.

He coined the term “fractal” (a shape comprised of smaller similar shapes). He determined that derivative pricing in financial markets follows this self-similar characteristic, which leads to infinite variance (e.g., black swan, fat-tail events)

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 22, 2010

FTSE 100 Stock Market Index Forecast To Go Higher / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGlobal equity markets have been bullish in recent weeks supported by expectations that the Fed will restart its QE program and buy more US Treasuries. The Bank of Japan too, recently cut rates to zero and announced a Bond purchase program which is seen as a prelude to full blown QE.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 22, 2010

Getting Some Stock Market Perspective / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: Christopher_Quigley

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrom a Dow Theory point of view this is the situation as I see it. The market is giving very strong signals particularly on the Transports side. My key break point is 5265 to give the first indication that the new Bull Run has commenced. We are currently at 4735. Near but not quite there. My key break point on the Dow Industrials is 13566. WE are currently at 11146 some 2420 points away.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 21, 2010

What's Next for the U.S. Dollar, Stocks and Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe equities market reversed to the upside Wednesday posting a light volume broad based rally. Remember light volume tends to have a neutral to upward bias on stocks, But it was mainly the sharp drop in the dollar which spurred stocks and commodities higher.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Small Investors Miss Out on Stocks Bull Market and Hot Commodities / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: David_Banister

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAll investors can recall the horror during the five months from October 2008 through early March of 2009 as day after day the markets continued to make new lows. That type of catastrophic drop leaves many psychological scars and probably spooked millions of investors out of the stock market for good. To wit, since the March 2009 lows and throughout this new Bull Market Cycle, Investors are pulling money out of equity funds in droves and piling into Bonds. This is the fight or flight mentality taking hold of the herd, and as they continue to disbelieve in the new bull cycle in stocks, the market continues to power higher.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Is a Stock Market Crash Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: Bob_Clark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAssets are already inflated
We are seeing some amazing imbalances in the markets.  I don't remember so many different asset classes being this heavily shorted or hedged by large commercials,  all at the same time. Don't get me wrong, to rise and fall together is fairly normal now.  It is the extremes we are reaching that is amazing. The red line on the chart shows commercial long positions minus short positions in the various futures instruments.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

U.S. Mortgage Foreclosure Fiasco Weighs on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: PaddyPowerTrader

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe surprise decision by the PBoC to raise rates by 25bps (I’d now expect tomorrows GDP and CPI numbers to be upside surprises !) led to de-risking across the board and US stocks suffered their biggest setback in 2 months. The dollar (the $ index DXY +1.7 percent) was the main beneficiary as it had its biggest gain in 6 months. Commodities had a knee-jerk move lower with Gold -2.5 percent, Crude -4 percent, and Copper -3 percent. Every major S&P Subsector finished in the red with Autos (-3.3 percent), Energy (-2.4 percent), and Materials (-2.25 percent) the biggest losers. Financials (-.9 percent) held up very well over the morning, but a report released at 1:30 rattled the Banks and sent the S&P’s down an additional percent (1156 low).

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Think “Globally” For Investing Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010

By: Tony_Sagami

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJudging from the response, my last article on Asian IPOs caught a lot of people’s attention.

Of the top 15 performing IPOs this year, nine of them are foreign companies. Out of those nine foreign companies, one is from India: MakeMyTrip.com (MMYT). One is from the Cayman Islands: Fabrinet (FN). The rest are from China, such as SouFun Holdings (SFUN), China New Borun (BORN), and Country Style Cooking (CCSC).

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Bank Index Shows Clear Relative Weakness For Stock Market QE Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe main driver of the stock market rally off the late-August low seems to be the Fed’s relatively clear announcement of quantitative easing number two. Market participants seem to think that another round of extremely easy money will accomplish what the first round couldn’t.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Wall Street, Chaos Theory and Fractal Geometry / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: Mathematician Benoit B. Mandelbrot, the inventor of fractal geometry, died Oct. 14.

As mathematicians go, Mandelbrot was very likely the best of the last half-century. And that brilliance extended to the financial markets. In fact, his groundbreaking insights into the operations of the stock market could have been used to avert the 2008 crash - had those insights only been heeded.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Stocks Have Been Riding the Feds Quantitative Easing Higher, Could be Topping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: Steve_Betts

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt’s been a while since I’ve dedicated a daily report to stocks so today I would like to spend some time discussing the Dow. Stocks have been riding the Fed’s implicit promise for more quantitative easing higher, and it now appears to me that the wave is about to wash up on shore and expire. The initial effects of easing mean more liquidity while the long term effects mean more debt heaped on top of older obligations that will never be repaid. A once great nation is now reduced to borrowing money in order to service the interest on existing arrears with no intention of paying it back. The liquidity is a result of the printing press as the Fed becomes the buyer of last resort in both the stock and bond market. A good analogy is a patient on life support just before he takes his last breath.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Stock Market Steep Sell-Off, Though Indices Bounce Off Lows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices opened with big gaps down today, fell sharply lower, but did rally back in the morning to take back about half the losses, but that was a 3-wave corrective-looking rally. Then they rolled over late morning to early afternoon sharply, bounced a couple times, managed to hold the morning lows on the Nasdaq 100, but took them out twice on the S&P 500, reaching down just below 1160. They snapped back in the last 15-20 minutes and took back a chunk of the losses.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Chinese Interest Rate Hike Spooks Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010

By: PaddyPowerTrader

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleU.S. stocks rose Monday to a five-month high, led by financial shares, after Citigroup.’s earnings topped estimates and an unexpected drop in industrial production was taken as a further sign that the Federal Reserve will help fuel the recovery with another bout of QE. Citigroup rallied 5.4%. Hasbro., the second-largest toymaker, advanced 3.8% after reporting higher-than- estimated earnings. But Halliburton, the second-biggest oilfield-services provider, slumped 4.8% as profit missed analysts’ estimates.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

European Emerging Stock Markets Top Performers / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWell-known author and investment consultant Roger Gibson recently hosted a webcast where he educated investors on the importance of diversifying into international markets and we believe it is an opportune time to explore new areas with your portfolio.

Global investment guru Nicholas Vardy says “there’s always a bull market somewhere” and it’s up to investors to find it. We think there’s a bull market emerging in Eastern Europe.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Investors Look to Emerging Markets as the Fed Diminishes the U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJon D. Markman writes: The main thrust of the past two months has been the renewed collapse of the U.S. dollar.

The dollar has been on a one-way elevator ride to the ground floor since August, when U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke first warned that quantitative easing was on the horizon.

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